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Arab states oppose Trump’s Gaza plan, seek alternative

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However, according to Reuters, citing sources, the Arab states have not yet developed an alternative plan for Gaza. In particular, critical issues such as how the estimated cost of rebuilding Gaza, estimated at more than $50 billion, will be covered, or who will administer the territory, remain unclear.

Today, the Gulf states, Egypt, and Jordan will meet in the Saudi capital Riyadh. Saudi Arabian officials said the meeting was “an informal discussion in the framework of close fraternal relations.” However, sources told Reuters that the main agenda of the meeting was joint measures to counter Trump’s plan to “cleanse” Gaza of Palestinians and relocate most of them to Jordan and Egypt.

The Egyptian proposal calls for a $20 billion fund to rebuild Gaza over three years. No clear commitment has yet been made to this fund, which is expected to be largely contributed by wealthy Gulf and Arab states.

“The details are not clear and there is confusion among stakeholders about what the plan entails,” an official involved in the Gaza negotiations told Reuters. A source close to Saudi Arabia’s royal palace also told Reuters that no proposals had been finalized ahead of the talks.

It remains unclear whether Arab leaders will be able to agree on an alternative to Trump’s plan ahead of an emergency meeting of the Arab League in Cairo on March 4.

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi on Wednesday called on the international community to develop a plan to rebuild Gaza without displacing Palestinians.

Palestinians and many countries in the region are concerned that Trump’s proposal will destabilize the region and lead to a repeat of the Nakba (Great Catastrophe) that occurred during the creation of the State of Israel in 1948.

In 1948, some 800,000 Palestinians were forced to flee or displaced from their homes and villages. Many settled in refugee camps in Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, and in Gaza, the West Bank, and East Jerusalem. Today, millions of Palestinians are still living as refugees.

Palestinians often complain of discrimination in some Arab countries and of being abandoned by Arab states. However, the Arab states claim that they are doing their best to advance the Palestinian cause.

This poses a particular risk for Egypt and Jordan. Sisi is concerned that if large numbers of Palestinians come to his country, they will include members of Hamas, which he sees as a security threat.

Jordan, which has a large Palestinian population, fears that the plan will destabilize the Middle East by fueling radicalism, jeopardizing the peace treaty with Israel, and even putting the country’s very existence at risk.

The plan is also reminiscent of the idea of “Jordan as an alternative Palestinian state” with mass immigration from both the West Bank and Gaza, which has long been voiced by Israel’s right-wing.

On the other hand, countries such as Egypt and Jordan are dependent on US financial and military support, and the Gulf states are also dependent on Washington for security. It is therefore not easy for them to take a hard line against Trump.

According to an official involved in the Palestinian negotiations, key actors such as Jordan or the United Nations were not included in the formulation of the proposal that Sisi is expected to present, and there is still no clarity on how Gaza will be governed.

Sensitive issues such as the future role of Hamas are not expected to be discussed in public statements. A more comprehensive political and economic framework is planned to be presented at the Arab League summit in Cairo in March.

The Egyptian proposal envisages the creation of a national committee to govern Gaza and to carry out the reconstruction process with funding from Gulf states, other foreign governments, the United States, and financial institutions. According to two Egyptian officials familiar with the matter, these proposals are only ideas at this stage and require coordination and funding commitments from Arab countries for implementation.

Funding commitments are critical for any alternative to be acceptable to Trump. However, the oil-producing Gulf states are cautious about financing the reconstruction of Gaza.

On the other hand, the Palestinian Authority’s proposal for the administration of Gaza is expected to be presented on Friday. According to this proposal, a new deputy prime minister would be appointed as governor of Gaza, reporting directly to Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas.

However, Cairo proposes a different plan. According to this plan, a committee of neutral technocrats would manage Gaza’s border crossings, public services, and the reconstruction process.

However, Hamas reacted to the Arab League Deputy Secretary-General’s remarks that Hamas should completely withdraw from the administration for the benefit of the Palestinian people. Hamas said it had shown flexibility in several meetings regarding the political and administrative management of Gaza.

Aziz Alghashian, a Saudi analyst specializing in Palestinian-Gulf relations, said: “It is time for Arab countries to come up with a concrete plan, and this issue has become even more important after Trump’s proposal.”

Middle East

US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt

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The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.

The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.

Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.

Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.

A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.

Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.

A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”

This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.

An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”

The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”

“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.

The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.

The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.

A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.

In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”

The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.

The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.

Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.

Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.

In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.

Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.

This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.

Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.

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Middle East

Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks

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Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.

This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.

United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.

Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.

The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.

Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.

Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.

“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.

Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.

The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.

Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.

Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.

Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.

Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.

The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.

Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.

Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.

The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.

Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.

Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”

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Middle East

Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials

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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.

Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.

Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.

According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.

The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.

The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”

Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.

Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.

Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.

Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”

Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.

According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:

“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”

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