It is challenging to anticipate the conclusion of the Gaza operations that commenced with the Hamas attack on 7th October and proceeded with Israel’s severe massacres. Whether Tel Aviv will obey the United Nations Security Council’s resolution advocating for a ‘humanitarian pause’ in Gaza assaults remains vague. However, it is indisputable that Israel’s actions will hold notable regional and global ramifications. The initial effect is expected to impact the principles the West has promoted as ethical and just. The excessive and unethical backing of Israel’s actions by the West, particularly America, will not be readily disregarded. It must be noted that the concern is not merely Israel’s conduct, but the unreserved aid received by Israel from the Allied Western countries to perpetrate these atrocities. This assistance given without objective assessment, limitation or constraint to a country with an unimpressive past in such affairs and under the leadership of someone like Netanyahu, has embroiled America and even Europe in the acts of violence to the extent of precluding any debate.
Extremism, ethnic cleansing and the use of disproportionate force have been present since Israel’s establishment. However, in the last three decades, particularly since the abandonment of the Oslo Peace Process, the world has taken note of the imbalance in Israel’s violent treatment of civilians, who are advocates of a just two-state solution. It is noteworthy that the Palestine Authority does not have an army against Israel. Since 7 October, Israel’s reputation for killing babies and children on a large scale has been subject to international scrutiny. This situation seems particularly significant in light of the United States’ track record of starting wars worldwide to maintain its dominance and prevent the establishment of a multipolar world order. As a result, the West has turned the tool of ‘high moral principles’ against itself. In Ukraine, although Israel has carried out actions many times more than the mostly unproven claims against Russia (such as the Bucha massacre), Washington’s refusal to use terms such as ceasefire, de-escalation and the law of war, and its emphasis on Israel’s right to self-defence, will be remembered for a long time.
Henceforth, the global public opinion will disallow the US and the Western countries from using embellished language, like democracy, human rights, and freedoms, which it upholds as moral values, but, in reality, corrupts. The phrase ‘rules-based world order’ is also included in this prohibition. The purpose of these euphemisms is to safeguard American interests, sustain the unipolar world order, and safeguard Israel’s security in the Middle East. Moreover, they are used to whitewash wars and massacres in the name of democratisation. The West will be haunted by the Israeli attacks since 7th October and the deaths of thousands of infants, children, women and elderly people in this regard. In the future, many countries will continue to maintain interest-based relationships with America and the collective West, but they will likely decline to assimilate invaluable lessons in moral values.
The global geopolitical circumstances will soon start favouring countries outside America and the West
America’s efforts to enhance Israel’s security in the Middle East have not made Israel any more secure today than it was 30 years ago. However, their expenditure of enormous financial resources and energy in the region and in Afghanistan during this period of time has only served to strengthen their rivals, who are attempting to create a multipolar world. It is widely acknowledged that Washington’s decades-long involvement in Afghanistan following the events of September 11 greatly benefitted the American arms industry’s insatiable need for profit, while simultaneously causing extensive harm to Afghan citizens and their future prospects. The recent distressing scenes of the Biden administration’s withdrawal decision has expedited the move towards a multi-polar world.
Since the Afghanistan and Iraq invasions, which resulted in the deaths of over a million Iraqis, regional friction and the American occupation persist with Libya and Syria. Without a doubt, Iran’s influence and significance in Israel’s crucial areas, particularly Iraq and Lebanon, are growing. Hezbollah and Hamas, in particular, are and will remain significant security challenges for Israel. In brief, despite the considerable time and effort expended and the significant loss of life incurred by the US in transforming the Middle East into a massacre, Israel is not actually any more secure than it was three decades ago. It cannot be guaranteed that the current crisis will result in greater security for Israel. On the contrary, even the leaders of Arab nations with positive relationships with both the US and Tel Aviv are irritated with Washington. US diplomatic missions in the Middle East have reported that public opinion in the region has turned against America. This sentiment is gaining traction globally, with even European countries that support Israel facing popular opposition to the situation.
Russia and China are satisfied
However, Russia, which has contested the unipolar global system led by the US and has deployed military forces in Ukraine while opposing the entire Western coalition, is likely monitoring the erosion of America’s reputation in the Middle East with interest. In the initial weeks of the conflict in Ukraine, Russia was warned/anticipated by Western media outlets to suffer a devastating military defeat and total financial ruin. Despite this, Russia not only put up a strong resistance, but also emerged victorious on the frontline. The rumoured Ukrainian counter-attack since March had little impact on the front lines, resulting in tens of thousands of casualties on the Ukrainian side. Moreover, Western media outlets have increasingly reported that Ukraine is not receiving enough weapons and ammunition from the Western world. Additionally, Western public opinion is reluctant to aid Ukraine due to the perceived lack of success in Ukrainian military operations despite significant financial and arms support from the West. It is undeniable that the US, which has concentrated all of its military might in the Middle East to safeguard Israel, has lost its previous interest in Ukraine. Therefore, Ukrainian President Zelenski has started to implore, “Please don’t forget about us.”
In fact, the US’ wars, which began in Afghanistan and extended to Iraq, Libya, and Syria, have consistently benefited Russia. It is noteworthy that Putin’s election as President of Russia, which marked the end of the Yeltsin era’s turbulence, occurred simultaneously with the invasion of Afghanistan, which marked the onset of the US’ prolonged Middle East foray. While America was expending its resources and experiencing significant military defeats in wars it could not win, Russia, led by Putin, was able to regain its strength and secure time.
The situation was analogous for China. Over the past three decades, America’s shifting focus from one conflict to another in the Middle East, beginning with the First Gulf War, has allowed Beijing to progress steadily and complete its military preparations. Given America’s current policy to engage Russia over Ukraine and China over Taiwan through proxy wars, why should Beijing be unsettled by the comeback of Washington to the Middle East, where its influence was meant to be reduced when Biden assumed office? Instead, it would be in favour of Beijing. In fact, China is satisfied with American criticism, observing that America is squandering its power and resources again in this area. While America’s prestige is rapidly declining in the eyes of global public opinion due to Israel’s massacres, it is gaining credibility with Arab countries by advocating for a two-state solution to the Palestinian problem. China’s achievement of re-establishing diplomatic relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia is a historic success. As it adds political and diplomatic dimensions to its economic presence in the Middle East, China will host Syrian President Assad and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas in Beijing. This process will continue to produce results against America at both regional and global levels, and China will closely monitor it.
In brief, it is evident that the American Deep State faces a challenging task in averting global political, military, and economic developments that work against its interests over the next ten years. However, it appears that the current political leadership lacks the vision to recognize that Netanyahu’s extremist views are exacerbating this trend, to the detriment of the West and in support of the idea of multipolar power structures. It proved arduous for America and the Collective West to entirely prevent the shift towards multipolarity. Following the unreserved endorsement of Netanyahu’s actions, this endeavour has turned into a battle with windmills, akin to Don Quixote’s.
