Leaked Trump peace plan offers Ukraine security guarantees for territorial concessions

Ukrainian Member of Parliament Oleksiy Honcharenko has publicly shared a 28-point peace plan reportedly prepared by US President Donald Trump and his team.

The leaked document proposes that Ukraine make significant concessions regarding its territorial integrity and NATO membership in exchange for comprehensive security guarantees from the US and its allies.

According to information reported by the website Axios, the plan was presented to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by US Secretary of the Army Daniel Driscoll.

Ukraine gives up its NATO goal

The document published by Honcharenko includes radical changes to Ukraine’s security and political status.

According to the plan, while Ukraine’s sovereignty will be affirmed, the country’s non-aligned status and its commitment not to join NATO will be enshrined in the Constitution.

The US will provide security guarantees to Ukraine under certain conditions, but these guarantees stipulate that NATO forces will not be deployed on Ukrainian territory.

The alliance’s fighter jets are envisioned to be stationed in Poland.

Additionally, a limit will be placed on the number of personnel in the Ukrainian army, and the country’s non-nuclear status will be maintained.

The most controversial articles of the plan involve regulations related to territorial issues. According to the document, the Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk regions will be recognized as “de facto” parts of Russia.

The Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions will receive a “frozen status” along the current line of contact.

While Trump’s proposal requires that the parties do not change borders by force, it also includes the creation of a demilitarized buffer zone that will be under Russia’s de facto control.

A security umbrella equivalent to NATO’s Article 5

The US-based website Axios published a report that confirms and elaborates on the points shared by Honcharenko.

According to the report, the Washington administration is offering Kyiv a 10-year security guarantee similar in nature to NATO’s Article 5, which governs collective defense.

According to the draft framework agreement, any future “comprehensive, deliberate, and sustained armed attack” by Russia against Ukraine will be considered a threat to the peace and security of the transatlantic community.

In such a case, the US and its European allies will provide the necessary response, including the use of military force. The signatories to the agreement include Ukraine, Russia, the US, the European Union, and NATO.

The peace plan contains detailed provisions on how the economic costs of the war will be covered.

A total of $100 billion of Russia’s frozen assets will be used for the investment package created for Ukraine’s reconstruction.

However, 50% of the profits generated from these assets will be transferred to the US. European countries are planned to provide an additional €100 billion in resources and establish a Ukraine Development Fund.

Regarding Russia’s position in the international system, the plan proposes the gradual lifting of sanctions, the country’s return to the G8 group, and long-term economic cooperation with the US.

The establishment of a joint working group on security between the US and Russia, and a legal commitment by Russia to a non-aggression policy are also among the articles.

Elections after 100 days

Articles related to domestic politics stipulate that elections will be held in Ukraine 100 days after the agreement is signed. Furthermore, a full and comprehensive general amnesty will be declared for all parties involved in the conflict.

Under the heading of energy security, the plan envisions the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant resuming operations under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), with the electricity produced being shared 50% between Russia and Ukraine.

The US will also support the repair of Ukraine’s natural gas infrastructure.

The supervision of the peace process will be carried out by a “Peace Council” led by Donald Trump.

The agreement includes an immediate ceasefire upon signing and the imposition of sanctions in case of violations. On humanitarian issues, the goal is to conduct a prisoner exchange based on the “all for all” principle and to reunite families.

White House officials who spoke to Axios acknowledged that the plan demands “painful concessions” from Ukraine but argued that the proposed security guarantees represent a “major victory” for Zelenskyy.

It was stated that Zelenskyy met with Secretary of the Army Daniel Driscoll and a Pentagon delegation in Kyiv on November 20 and is ready to work on the draft.