Middle East
US-backed Gaza oversight board presses Hamas for weekend decision
The Peace Board, established under US leadership and expected to oversee the administration of Gaza, has given Hamas until the weekend to accept a disarmament proposal, it was reported.
According to a report by The Times of Israel, citing three different sources, the board remains determined to advance Gaza’s reconstruction even while the war with Iran continues.
According to the sources, the Peace Board’s High Representative for Gaza, Nickolay Mladenov, met a delegation of senior Hamas officials in Cairo on Friday.
Two Arab diplomats and a third source said Hamas was told that the Gaza oversight body wanted the disarmament agreement finalized by the weekend.
The sources said minor changes to the disarmament proposal could be considered, but Hamas’s demands for changes of a fundamental nature would not be accepted.
According to one of the Arab diplomats, Mladenov believes progress can be made in the second phase of US President Donald Trump’s plan to end the Gaza war.
However, the same diplomat acknowledged that mediators such as Egypt, Qatar and Türkiye were not nearly as optimistic.
The mediators were said to be exerting intense pressure on Hamas to accept the US-backed disarmament proposal.
However, a diplomat from one of the mediator countries said the group was “unlikely to simply say ‘yes’ without significant reservations.”
“And even if they accept, Israel is very unlikely to comply,” the same diplomat said.
According to the diplomat, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not approve an additional withdrawal from Gaza in an election year. The same diplomat cited the continued support of coalition partners for a permanent occupation of Gaza as the reason.
Hamas did not openly reject the proposal
According to the Arab diplomat, Hamas officials did not directly reject the disarmament proposal, which Mladenov first presented last month, during Friday’s meeting in Cairo.
Instead, they said Israel had failed to comply with the first phase of the Trump plan.
Hamas officials cited the limited operation of the Rafah border crossing, the low number of aid trucks entering Gaza, repeated Israeli military attacks deep inside Gaza, and the Tel Aviv government’s pushing of the ceasefire boundary known as the “Yellow Line” further into Gaza, thereby expanding the Israeli-controlled eastern zone.
According to the report, Israel waited several months after the October ceasefire before reopening the Rafah border crossing.
After reopening it, Israel also limited the number of passengers in each direction to 50 people.
During the war with Iran, the crossing point was again closed for roughly the first three weeks.
During the same period of fighting, daily aid deliveries, which under the ceasefire terms were required to reach 600 trucks a day, also fell far below that level.
The Arab diplomat said Mladenov had discussed some of these issues with Israeli officials in recent days.
According to the same diplomat, although the number of aid trucks has begun to rise again, the other alleged violations remain unresolved.
The same diplomat and a source familiar with the matter said the Peace Board’s Gaza representative was scheduled to hold another follow-up meeting with Hamas officials in Cairo today.
Final deadline is Saturday
The Saturday deadline conveyed to Hamas was said to have been given after the group moved slowly in responding to the proposal it received about four weeks ago.
The plan, parts of which were leaked to the media, contains an eight-month timetable.
That timetable begins with a committee of Palestinian technocrats taking over security control in Gaza under Peace Board supervision and ends with the full withdrawal of Israeli forces after Gaza has been “verified” as disarmed.
The entire reconstruction process for Gaza has been made conditional on Hamas accepting disarmament.
Mladenov also implied in a post on X last week that there would be consequences if the group did not join the process.
“He who does not cross the river drowns in the sea,” Mladenov wrote.
The leaked plan consists of two sections.
The first is a 12-point text titled “Steps Toward Completing the Implementation of Trump’s Comprehensive Peace Plan for Gaza.”
The second is a five-stage timetable under which Hamas would surrender its weapons within eight months.
The text states that all armed formations in Gaza, including groups such as Palestinian Islamic Jihad, will take part in the disarmament process under the supervision of Palestinian technocrats known as the Gaza National Administration Committee.
“Gaza will be governed in accordance with the principle of one authority, one law, one weapon. Accordingly, only persons authorized by (NCAG) will be permitted to carry weapons, and all armed groups will cease their military activities,” the text says.
It says the disarmament process will be overseen by a Weapons Collection Verification Committee to be established by Mladenov.
It also states that reconstruction will be permitted only in areas defined as disarmed.
Five-stage timetable
Under the plan’s timetable, the first stage will last 15 days.
During this stage, NCAG will assume security and administrative control in Gaza and begin preparatory steps for the collection of weapons.
The second stage will cover days 16 to 40.
During this period, Israel is to remove heavy weapons, including artillery systems and tanks, from the areas it controls, and an international security force is to be deployed.
The third stage, covering days 30 to 90, is defined as the most intensive period.
At this stage, Hamas will hand over all heavy weapons and military equipment in its possession to NCAG and will “allow the destruction of all tunnels, explosives and military infrastructure.”
In the fourth stage, from days 91 to 250, police forces affiliated with NCAG will collect and register all remaining weapons, including handguns and rifles.
During the same stage, Israeli forces will also begin a phased withdrawal.
The fifth stage is defined as “final verification.”
At this stage, “Israeli forces will fully withdraw from Gaza apart from their presence in the security perimeter, and comprehensive reconstruction efforts will begin.”
Middle East
US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt
The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.
The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.
Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.
A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.
Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.
A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”
This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.
An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”
The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.
The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.
The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.
A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.
In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.
The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.
Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.
Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.
In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.
Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.
This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.
Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.
Middle East
Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks
Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.
This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.
United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.
Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.
The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.
Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.
Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.
“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.
Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.
The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.
Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.
Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.
Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.
Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.
The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.
Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.
Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.
Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”
Middle East
Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.
Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.
Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.
The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.
The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”
Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.
Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.
Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.
Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”
Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.
According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:
“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”
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