America
Why Washington avoids an abrupt collapse in Venezuela?
Danilo Caruso, a professor at the Federal Institute of Rio de Janeiro (IFRJ), argues that oil’s central role in the Venezuelan economy is key to understanding the limitations of the United States’ interventionist strategy toward the country.
According to the academic, an abrupt overthrow of the Chavista government could trigger a scenario of instability affecting oil production in the short, medium, and long term—a result that would not serve Washington’s interests.
In this context, Caruso evaluates that the most effective strategy for the US is to exert pressure on the cadres of the Bolivarian government, which he identifies as the only force capable of managing or containing the potential reaction of the Chavista base.
President Donald Trump’s preference not to force a total political transition reinforces this reading.
Speaking to the Brazil-based newspaper Opera Mundi, Caruso said: “Venezuelan politics and the economy have revolved around oil since the early 20th century, and the situation is no different today. The best scenario for the US to impose its interests is to force the Bolivarian administration into concessions. This is because only this administration has the conditions to prevent or control a potential reaction from the Chavista base. Trump’s preemptive rejection of the possibility of bringing María Corina Machado or another opposition figure to power clearly demonstrates this.”
The Donald Trump administration announced this week—without providing official details of the agreement—that the provisional administration led by Delcy Rodríguez has agreed to deliver 30 to 50 million barrels of oil to the US.
Venezuelan officials have not yet issued a confirmation regarding the matter.
According to Trump, the South American country’s oil will be sold at market prices, transported by storage vessels, and unloaded at US ports. The US president also stated that he would maintain control over the funds generated by the sale.
Caruso emphasized that US aggression toward Venezuela must be read through broader strategic interests that transcend the domestic scenario and fit into global geopolitical competition.
“Beyond this very heavy attack on international law, Venezuela’s sovereignty, and the Bolivarian Revolution, this is also a clear sign of the role imperialism has assigned to us in the face of China’s rise—turning us into colonies to support US hegemony,” Caruso evaluated. “Today it is Venezuelan oil; tomorrow it will be our rare earth elements, water resources, or the Amazon.”
Last week’s US operation resulted in the deaths of more than 80 people and the abduction of President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores.
The Venezuelan leader and the First Lady were illegally taken to New York, where they were brought before a court on narco-terrorism charges.
The IFRJ professor pointed out that the charges presented by Washington to justify the kidnapping are “fragile.”
“There is no evidence that a structure called the Cartel of the Suns (Cartel de los Soles) actually exists,” Caruso said. “Beyond the Drug Enforcement Administration’s (DEA) ‘anonymous sources’ constantly cited in mainstream media, there is no proof that they constitute an organized group.”
The US Department of Justice has also walked back the accusation that Maduro was the leader of the Cartel of the Suns, now defining it as a “culture of corruption” composed of high-ranking Venezuelan civilian and military officials who “protect and encourage drug trafficking.”
This definition differs from the rhetoric Trump propagated months before the military assault.
According to the professor, the direct accusation against Maduro is even less credible.
Stressing that state control over oil revenues would make any relationship with illegal structures unnecessary, Caruso said: “The idea that Maduro is part of this so-called criminal organization is even less plausible. There will be no ‘trial’ for Maduro, only an extrajudicial and illegitimate conviction.”
Is there a deal between Caracas and Washington?
Caruso also commented on narratives suggesting a possible deal between Washington and the upper echelons of the Venezuelan military.
While noting that this perception has not yet been proven, the academic highlighted its political weight and the challenges of the new balance of power.
“From a pragmatic perspective, the rumor of ‘betrayal’ is already being discussed in the streets, and if the Venezuelan government makes concessions in future oil agreements, this situation will be ‘proven,’” Caruso said.
Stating that the provisional government is walking an extremely delicate line, Caruso evaluated: “This is the razor’s edge that the provisional government will now have to navigate.”
According to Caruso, national sovereignty remains a constitutive element of Venezuelan identity. “Millions of people voted for Maduro knowing that this would mean the continuation of economic sanctions imposed by the US,” the academic said, emphasizing that this stance demonstrates the determination of Venezuelans not to submit to foreign yokes.
America
US wealthy demolish multimillion-dollar mansions for land
Wealthy buyers in the US are tearing down multimillion-dollar homes shortly after purchasing them for hundreds of millions of dollars.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the trend is driven by a shortage of land in prestigious locations, particularly along coastlines.
For ultra-wealthy buyers, the prime factor has become the land’s location rather than the structure standing on it. After the acquired properties are flattened, newer, more modern homes are built on the cleared lots.
Drawing attention to the shift in the luxury real estate market, the report noted:
“The home itself, formerly the primary driver of an expensive real estate purchase, is now almost beside the point. Buyers are competing first and foremost for well-located land, situated on the ocean or a mountaintop.”
The newspaper cited moves by US billionaire William Lauder as an example. Lauder purchased the oceanfront estate of radio host Rush Limbaugh, who died in March 2023, for $155 million and had it completely demolished in July.
Lauder had previously torn down two homes situated on roughly 1.2 hectares of land along the Palm Beach coast. Having initially planned to construct his own residence on the parcel, Lauder subsequently sold the cleared plot for approximately $200 million.
Jonathan Miller, a real estate appraiser, stated that such transactions are becoming increasingly common as land prices rise.
Amid this momentum, estate agents have also begun marketing luxury homes directly as teardown lots.
Listings use artificial intelligence-generated imagery to showcase how the land would look without the structures on it.
Marketers avoid using the word “demolition” directly, resorting instead to terms such as “adaptive reuse”.
Teardown listings rise across luxury housing market
The trend is not confined to the coast and is spreading to other regions across the US.
Data from property brokerage Redfin reveals that references to demolishing buildings are becoming more frequent in sales listings.
The share of such listings exceeds 15% in the Bunker Hill Village area of Houston, while standing at 6.67% in Pimmit Hills, Virginia.
Dina Goldenteyer, a real estate agent working in Miami, remarked that serial demolitions have become more frequent because buyers no longer appreciate homes older than a decade.
Former retail executives Jamie Dooley and Christine Scott spent $3.7 million in 2020 to demolish a seaside home near Destin, Florida.
Although the couple spent five years building a modern home on the cleared site, they listed the resulting new structure with a demolition condition, citing the fact that no one wanted to buy the property as it stood.
William Paddock, an employee at the environmental consultancy WAP Sustainability, pointed to the environmental damage caused by this construction cycle.
Paddock emphasized that tearing down a home of roughly 1,000 square metres and replacing it with a new building of approximately 2,700 square metres generates a carbon footprint equivalent to the annual emissions of an average 250 American households.
America
US inflation reaches 3.7% as midterm election campaign intensifies
An uptick in September inflation as the US midterm elections approach has pushed the cost-of-living debate back to the centre of the agenda for Democrats seeking to regain control of Congress from Republicans.
Annual inflation stood at 3.7% in September, according to the Consumer Price Index published by the Bureau of Labour Statistics, with energy, petrol, and electricity costs rising on a monthly basis.
Food prices remained flat from August to September, recording a 2.5% increase compared with the same period last year.
Democrats are anchoring their election campaigns to pledges of easing the cost of living, blaming the price increases on President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the war with Iran.
Trump and Republicans, pointing to the numerous left-wing candidates who won primary elections this year, contend that the opposition has become captive to “communists” within the party.
When annual inflation stood at 2.4% in February, the US and Israel launched the Iran war on the final day of that month, and prices continued to climb throughout the conflict.
The recent acceleration has not entirely reversed the retreat from the 40-year peak of 9.1% recorded in June 2022; however, the rate has remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for over five years.
Fed policymakers raised the benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point last month, citing the battle against stubborn inflation. Officials will convene again next week to consider whether to raise rates or hold them within the 3.75% to 4% target range.
Energy and fuel record sharpest increase since first month of war
In September, energy prices posted their largest monthly jump since March, the first full month of the war with Iran, climbing 20.4% year-on-year. Energy costs had risen 2.1% from July to August, after falling 1.5% from June to July and 5.7% from May to June.
Recent escalations in Iranian attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside more frequent strikes by Ukrainian forces against Russian refineries, have strained global crude oil and refined product markets, driving up US petrol and diesel prices.
Petrol prices also recorded their sharpest monthly increase since the first month of the war, climbing 9.1% from August to September, bringing the annual increase to 35.3%.
American Automobile Association (AAA) data shows the average price of regular petrol across the US stands at $4.26 per gallon; while below the level of roughly $4.48 recorded a month ago, it remains more than $1.20 higher than a year earlier. Average gallon prices exceed $6 in California and $5 in both Washington state and Nevada.
Electricity prices rose 0.2% from August to September, offsetting the 0.2% decline between July and August, and were up 4.4% year-on-year.
Heavy power demand from new data centres is feeding through into local household electricity bills. Trump argued that companies must cover the cost of the electricity required by their data centres themselves.
In a post on Truth Social, Trump claimed that he was requiring large data centres to generate their own power and feed the surplus back into the local grid, suggesting this could bring about “a major drop” in electricity prices.
Used vehicle market posts monthly rise as food costs stabilise
The cost of food at home fell 0.1% month-on-month in September, while dining out increased 0.2%.
Egg prices dropped to $2.27 a dozen, falling roughly 35% compared with September 2025 and remaining well below the 20-year peak of $6.23 recorded in March 2025.
Ground beef prices rose roughly 2.4% compared with September 2025, but at $6.48 a pound, they remained below the 20-year high of $6.98 reached in June.
Chicken held steady at its year-earlier level of $2.06 per pound last month, having fluctuated between $2.01 and $2.09 since November 2024.
Used car and truck prices fell 1.5% compared with September 2025, but rose 0.7% month-on-month in September following 0.4% increases in both July and August.
Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, noted that the sector faces severe pressure stemming from a combination of expensive replacement parts and a shortage of skilled labour.
Speaking to The Hill, Long emphasised that every cost pressure across the market is being felt directly at local auto repair shops.
America
Anthropic posts $80.7bn loss ahead of IPO as computing costs soar
Anthropic, developer of the artificial intelligence model Claude, reported a net loss of $80.7 billion for the first six months of 2026 ending 30 June.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal citing the company’s draft initial public offering prospectus, this recorded loss nearly doubled the $42 billion loss incurred across the entirety of 2025.
The vast majority of that enormous figure, accounting for $72 billion, stemmed from accounting-driven book-value write-downs.
In contrast, the company saw a sharp surge in revenue, with turnover in the first half of the year climbing to $16.3 billion from $1.1 billion in the same period of the prior year.
During this period, Anthropic spent approximately $9 billion on computing power and infrastructure needs, surpassing in just six months the $7.3 billion spent across the whole of 2025.
The company has commitments to pay roughly $450 billion over the next seven to 10 years under cloud service contracts.
Under these obligations, contracts are planned for $111 billion with Google Cloud, $110 billion with Amazon Web Services, and $31 billion with Microsoft.
Anthropic will also spend up to $86 billion by 2033 and 2034, respectively, to lease Nvidia chips through smaller AI-focused cloud providers Nscale and Lambda.
The company could spend an additional $750 billion in the coming years to expand its computing capacity.
Roughly a third of the draft IPO prospectus was dedicated directly to risk factors.
The document highlighted the possibility that models could cause tangible real-world harm, noting that artificial intelligence could exhibit a “self-preservation” tendency and produce responses resembling “blackmail”.
Anthropic warned that the scale of damage caused by an AI-driven “catastrophic event” could render insuring against such risks impossible.
According to market expectations, Anthropic’s IPO could rank among the largest transactions in history, potentially surpassing SpaceX’s record.
Following the market debut, the company’s market valuation is projected to reach up to $2 trillion.
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