Asia
Will the ‘Camp David spirit’ continue after the US elections?
The course of regional crises and conflicts around the world will be determined by the United States presidential elections in November. While the Democrats’ desire to continue with Kamala Harris suggests continuity with the current policies of the Joe Biden era, the course of foreign policy in the event of a victory for the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, is a matter of debate.
Undoubtedly, the Asia-Pacific side of this policy is an important point for US security and foreign policy strategy.
To sum up the situation of the last five years, the US agenda of ‘Indo-Pacific strategy’ has brought the major power balances in the region closer, from an informal alliance against China and North Korea to partnerships with legitimised security agreements and action plans.
On Sunday 28 July, at a fast-track meeting in Tokyo, the US, Japan and South Korea signed agreements to secure gains in security cooperation and strengthen military alliances ahead of a new president in November.
South Korea felt the need to send its defence minister to Tokyo for the talks, his first official visit to the country in 15 years.
What has changed?
In March 2018, a group of senior officials from the South Korean democratic government of Moon Jae-in travelled to Pyongyang for a meeting hosted by North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. At the meeting, Kim announced that he was open to discussing the denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula if the US was willing to provide security guarantees for North Korea’s border security and sovereignty. Following these positive steps, Moon met Kim in Panmunjom on 27 April 2018. Moon and Kim discussed the resumption of the US-China quadrilateral talks and the signing of a peace treaty to formally end the Korean War. They also signed a joint statement calling for ‘complete denuclearisation, a denuclearised Korean Peninsula’. These important diplomatic processes were supported by Trump, and on 12 June 2018, Trump and Kim Jong-un met in Singapore.
Diplomatic efforts with the North stalled in 2019, with high-level talks between Kim and Trump going nowhere. The South Korean opposition stepped up its election efforts, claiming that this approach trampled on national honour. South Korean public opinion was influenced by US Democratic politicians who said that peace on the peninsula was not the way forward. Having made no progress with Pyongyang, Washington decided to abandon its previous policy towards South Korea by demanding that Seoul more than quadruple its financial contribution to the cost of maintaining the US military presence in the country.
In fact, South Korean right-wing conservatives, who believed that peace on the peninsula was not the solution and that ‘Kim and his country must be destroyed’, welcomed the new president, Yoon Seok-yeol, to the White House, where Yoon performed the song ‘American Pie’ with great honour.
Fumio Kishida, who replaced Shinzo Abe, who was assassinated in Japan, reiterated his determination to carry on the ‘hoshu honryu’ traditions and declared that he would continue Abe’s remaining works. The most prominent of these policies was the continuation of steps to change the ‘pacifist defence strategy’, Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution. While Kishida intensified joint agreements with the US Democrats, he also signed rapprochement agreements with the South Korean Yoon government, which is moving in the same direction, in order to satisfy the US.
What are the expectations?
While the race between Harris and Trump is in full swing, Yoon and Kishida appear to be polling poorly in their respective countries. This raises the question of whether a change of leadership in all three countries will continue the ‘Camp David spirit’.
Sources in the region say that the Japanese and South Korean governments have held or are planning dozens of high-level meetings with right-wing think tanks such as the America First Policy Institute, the Heritage Foundation and the Hudson Institute, which are known to be planning policies that Trump could implement in 2025.
When asked for assurances on the matter, Chris LaCivita, a senior adviser to the Trump campaign, said: ‘No one has the authority to make promises on behalf of Donald Trump about continuing a dialogue with another administration’.
Trump’s recent comments on China and North Korea are seen as a signal that he will pursue a more trade-oriented process in the Asia-Pacific. A consortium of conservative think tanks known as ‘Project 2025’, which is making detailed plans for Trump’s second presidency, describes South Korea and Japan as ‘critical allies’ in military, economic, diplomatic and technological terms in Trump scenarios. However, it is unclear how long public support for the South Korean conservatives and Japanese Liberal Democrats in power will last if the Democrats leave the US government.
Asia
Chinese Politburo signals cautious confidence as Beijing pivots toward targeted tech support
The mid-year meeting of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Politburo has long served as a critical evaluation point for Beijing. The session provides the central government with an opportunity to review developments from the first half of the year and steer the country toward a more realistic economic course in the months ahead.
The latest statement from the top leadership signals cautious confidence. The release indicates that policymakers are favoring a stable, targeted approach over the broad-based stimulus measures that characterized previous years. As China manages its economic transition, the post-Covid era of aggressive spending has clearly drawn to a close. In its place, a strategic and structural approach has taken hold, prioritizing resilience and stability over short-term capital injections.
According to the outcomes of the Politburo meeting, the policy orientation will continue to target specific sectors. Financial support will be directed away from the property market and toward high-tech emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors. In the real estate sector, the objective remains stabilizing market confidence and keeping debt risks under control.
Infrastructure investment is likewise being reshaped around the concept of “new infrastructure.” The focus is no longer solely on concrete and physical structures; smart power grids, information technology networks, and data infrastructure have taken precedence.
This approach signifies an investment in future competitiveness rather than simply pumping capital into the economy’s more stagnant sectors. Serving as a new driver of growth, digital infrastructure fulfills a dual purpose: supporting domestic demand in the short term while safeguarding technological competitiveness over the long term.
Finally, Beijing is signaling a more conciliatory posture in international trade. The Chinese leadership aims to establish a more balanced trade framework to mitigate concerns voiced by trade partners such as the European Union over what has been termed “China Shock 2.0.”
As the administration prepares for critical leadership changes next year, its primary focus will remain on stability across both economic and social spheres.
China continues to strike a balance between realistic growth targets and systemic restructuring, maintaining policy leeway to absorb potential external shocks. Beijing’s economic strategy reflects a pragmatic assessment of both domestic and international challenges.
Struggling with weak demand, the domestic economy is not yet in a position to anchor national growth independently. Expansion continues to rely heavily on a record trade surplus alongside the impressive export performance of high-tech and clean energy sectors. However, this reliance has drawn pushback from several trading partners.
To stimulate domestic economic activity and ease trade tensions, Beijing unveiled its first standalone five-year plan focused on consumption. Released in July by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce, the plan targets an increase in retail sales to 60 trillion yuan (approximately $8.9 trillion) by 2030. This represents an increase of roughly 20% compared to 2025 levels.
To improve profit margins for small businesses, regulatory authorities are tackling the issue of “involution”—described as excessive internal competition—by curbing platform monopolies and preventing destructive price wars. While these structural adjustments may take longer to yield results, they are viewed as a more sustainable and effective alternative to direct cash handouts.
Asia
Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand
Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.
Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.
Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.
Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.
Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.
In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.
The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.
Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.
This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.
The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.
Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.
Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.
Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.
CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange
Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.
As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.
At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.
Asia
Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister
Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests
India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.
The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.
The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.
What triggered the protests?
Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.
Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.
According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.
Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.
The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.
How the movement unfolded
Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.
Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.
The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.
Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.
CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.
Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.
Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.
Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.
In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.
Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.
Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.
Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.
On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.
On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.
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