Diplomacy
World media cover İmamoğlu arrest amid Turkish turmoil
The detention of Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu early this morning, amid allegations of “supporting terrorism through a city consensus” and “corruption,” continues to resonate globally.
In Western media, İmamoğlu’s detention is largely viewed as a move ahead of potential presidential elections and against President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s most significant rival.
For example, the Financial Times, in its article titled “Turkish police detain Erdoğan’s main political rival,” stated, “State media said İmamoğlu’s detention on Wednesday was part of an investigation into alleged terror links, while the opposition called the move a ‘coup attempt,’ and the arrest sent the Turkish currency and markets tumbling.”
Investment management firm T Rowe Price analyst Tomasz Wieladek told the FT that the detention was “a wake-up call for everyone.”
Wieladek suggested that the Turkish Central Bank has “limited firepower” to defend the lira, adding, “Assets will probably continue to be sold off further.”
Bloomberg reported that Turkish banks sold $8 billion to support the lira from morning to midday.
Highlighting the market turmoil since morning, Bloomberg noted in another report, “Turkish markets were rattled on Wednesday after the detention of a top rival to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, stoking concern that political turmoil risks undermining recent investor-friendly economic policies.”
Nick Rees, macro research director at Monex Europe in London, was quoted in the report, saying, “This has been a bit of a shock to the system. Markets had become increasingly complacent, and now that spell has been broken, dramatic consequences are unfolding as traders reprice Türkiye’s political risk premiums.”
Henrik Gullberg from Coex Partners said the magnitude of the move was “surprising,” but news of political pressure was less so, adding, “Practically, I’m not sure this changes much in terms of market-sensitive economic policies.”
The report also noted that the Borsa Istanbul 100 Index fell by approximately 7% at the opening, while the yield on 10-year government bonds increased by 139 basis points to 29.58%.
Germany’s Der Spiegel, in its article titled “Turkish authorities arrest Erdoğan’s most important opponent,” stated, “Turkish authorities are expanding their repressive measures against Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu.”
The report highlights that İmamoğlu, along with Ankara Metropolitan Municipality Mayor Mansur Yavaş, is seen as Erdoğan’s strongest rival.
According to DW Turkish, İmamoğlu’s detention also resonated widely in German politics. The development was assessed as an “attempt by Erdoğan to disable his main rival” and warned that it could have serious consequences.
SPD Co-Chairman Lars Klingbeil harshly criticized İmamoğlu’s detention as a “severe attack on democracy in Türkiye.”
Klingbeil stated, “The Turkish government is thus showing that it no longer wants fair elections and an independent rule of law. The steps taken are disproportionate and destroy trust and credibility. This will have dramatic consequences for the entire country.”
Max Lucks, a member of the German Federal Parliament’s Foreign Affairs Committee and Chairman of the German-Turkish Parliamentary Group, also described İmamoğlu’s detention as an attack on fair elections and fair competition in light of the presidential elections.
The British The Times, in its article titled “Istanbul Mayor arrested as Erdoğan cracks down on election rivals,” stated, “Protests have been banned across the city after the arrest of Ekrem İmamoğlu, seen as the Turkish leader’s biggest threat for the presidency.”
A report in Tokyo-based Nikkei Asia also claimed that Turkish authorities had detained “Erdoğan’s main rival,” noting that the opposition described the move as a “coup.”
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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