{"id":14588,"date":"2026-04-22T11:20:46","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T08:20:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/?p=14588"},"modified":"2026-04-22T11:20:46","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T08:20:46","slug":"journalist-lily-lynch-trump-is-becoming-a-burden-for-the-right-particularly-in-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/journalist-lily-lynch-trump-is-becoming-a-burden-for-the-right-particularly-in-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"Journalist Lily Lynch: “Trump is becoming a burden for the right, particularly in Europe”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Foreign affairs writer Lily Lynch discusses the shifting political landscape of Central Europe and the Balkans in this interview with Harici. Lynch, whose work frequently appears in the\u00a0New Statesman<\/em>,\u00a0New Left Review<\/em>, and\u00a0The Baffler<\/em>, addresses a range of topics from Hungary\u2019s recent elections to Serbia\u2019s complex foreign policy maneuvers. A recipient of a 2025 LA Press Club award, she examines the “clarifying effect” of the Ukraine war on regional leadership and the evolving nature of right-wing populism across the continent. The conversation offers a detailed analysis of the challenges facing the European right and the persistent geopolitical tensions in the region.<\/p>\n

I would like to begin with Hungary, specifically with the recent electoral victory of the right-wing populist Tisza Party, much like Viktor Orb\u00e1n and Fidesz, and of its leader, P\u00e9ter Magyar. What does this victory signify for Hungary’s future? The deep corruption and abuses of power involving Orb\u00e1n’s circle had also received coverage in the international press. The fact that the country’s three major parties at the top of the electoral list are all right-wing paints a rather bleak picture.<\/strong><\/p>\n

I think that Magyar\u2019s victory demonstrates several things. One is that right-wing ideas are still broadly popular in Hungary. The fact that Magyar is not so different from Orban on issues like immigration demonstrates that. So right-wing politics were not defeated in this election; instead, it is clear now that they are very much entrenched in Hungary and do reflect the sentiments of the public.<\/p>\n

At the same time, I think there\u2019s a particular brand of right-wing populism that is starting to cause some fatigue. This is a sort of clownish, personality-driven Trumpian populism that is wedded to Zionism, and which Orban embodied as well. I think Magyar\u2019s success hints at a desire for a more sober and serious right-wing politics, decoupled from MAGA populism, and perhaps somewhat less revisionist: a politics that are anti-immigration and conservative but also more content with the status quo.<\/p>\n

The electoral result also suggests that Trump\u2019s brand has grown increasingly toxic, and that Orban\u2019s choice to embrace Trump\u2013going so far as having JD Vance campaign for him ahead of the election\u2013hurt more than it helped. Trump is becoming a burden for the right, particularly in Europe. After Trump\u2019s threats towards Greenland, no one in Europe can say they support Trump and also support respect for sovereignty. Of course, this is exactly what Orban once preached, as he fashioned himself a sovereigntist. In the end, it appeared that he only opposed encroachments from Brussels, but gave Trump\u2019s America a pass.<\/p>\n

At the same time, Orban\u2019s deliberate stoking of the culture war ended up producing diminishing returns for him. Without decent economic performance, and with so much perceived corruption, his culture war crusades on issues such as gender simply were not enough to keep him afloat. In addition, Orban\u2019s re-traditionalization efforts failed. The pro-natality policies he put in place were expensive but did little to boost the birth rate. Church attendance under Orban was even lower than it was during the socialist period, when religion was frowned upon by the authorities.<\/p>\n

It may also be useful to touch on Serbia. The government led by Aleksandar Vu\u010di\u0107 appears to be pursuing what is often described as a “multi-vector foreign policy.” On the one hand, there is the prospect of EU membership; on the other, there are Serbia’s historically rooted ties with Russia. Yet in the course of the war in Ukraine, how should we interpret the statements coming from Moscow, particularly the strong reaction led by the Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) to alleged arms deliveries to Kyiv via third parties? How sustainable is this condition of being a “swing state”?<\/strong><\/p>\n

There was a time when Vu\u010di\u0107 managed Serbia\u2019s complex geopolitical position relatively well. At the height of the Vu\u010di\u0107 era, which was already a decade ago now, Serbia had relations with Russia, China, Turkey, the US, and many countries of the Global South that are members of the Non-aligned Movement\u2013all while remaining a candidate for EU membership. But February 2022 changed everything for him. A major war in Europe\u2013no longer confined to Donbass\u2013meant that he was suddenly under much more pressure to harmonize Serbia\u2019s policy with that of other European countries. In practice this meant things like imposing sanctions on Russia, and by voting in lockstep with EU and NATO member countries on resolutions on Ukraine in UN General Assembly votes.<\/p>\n

It is true of course that Vucic was permitting indirect Serbian arms sales to Ukraine, which bought him a lot of credibility in Western capitals. With the Russians, meanwhile, he made excuses: He claimed that he was under a tremendous amount of pressure, and basically could not tell the West \u201cno\u201d. For a while I think the Russians accepted this, if grudgingly. But then as the arms sales to Ukraine didn\u2019t stop after Vucic said they would, there were strong reactions in Russia.<\/p>\n

I don\u2019t think any of these actors, with the possible exception of China, trust Vucic anymore. For a long time, Vucic was all things to all people. A great example was in a UNGA vote Serbia voted in favor of a resolution on Ukraine, then Vucic immediately issued a statement saying that it had been \u201ca mistake\u201d and that they\u2019d meant to vote against it. This was a deliberate strategy of ambiguity: which message to believe? The actual vote or Vucic\u2019s statement to the press. He was masterful at this, for years: give one message to Washington, one to Moscow, and one to Brussels. I think you can sustain that kind of ambiguity for a time, and perhaps even a long time, but war has a clarifying effect. At a certain point, you just have to choose.<\/p>\n

Vucic has also been one of the losers of the second Trump administration. This is the exact opposite of what he had hoped: he expected Serbia to be a natural ally to Trump. Instead, Vucic has been rebuffed by the administration, and repeatedly. Vucic stayed faithful to his mutli-vector foreign policy with the expectation that Trump would come to power and immediately end the war in Ukraine. I think he really believed that would happen\u2013that Trump would end the war in Ukraine immediately. If that happened, Vucic\u2019s job would have been a lot easier: there would be far less pressure on him from the EU, for one. So long story short, two recent developments have imperiled his multi-vector approach. First, the full-scale war in Ukraine in February 2022, and second, Trump winning a second term, and subsequent ambivalent relations with the White House.<\/p>\n

It may also be worthwhile here to address the issue of Kosovo, which, as is well known, has in recent years become a fault line that periodically simmers and boils over. In the December elections in Kosovo, Albin Kurti once again returned to the office of prime minister. Would it be possible for you to share some information on this, or perhaps your observations and\/or firsthand impressions? It seems likely that this is a place we will be discussing in the years ahead.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Albin Kurti has staked his career in part on his opposition to the creation of something called \u201cthe Association of Serbian Municipalities\u201d of \u201cCommunity of Serbian Municipalities\u201d in northern Kosovo. Northern Kosovo is home to a Serbian-majority population who absolutely do not recognize Kurti\u2019s government as legitimate and largely answer to Belgrade, though they often feel left on their own by the Serbian government as well. According to the 2013 Brussels Agreement between Kosovo and Serbia, the government of Kosovo has to create something called the Association\/Community of Serbian Municipalities, a sort of thin layer of sovereignty or self-government that is nonetheless subordinate to Prishtina. Meanwhile, Serbia would extract itself from the north, ceding control of it to the government of Kosovo.<\/p>\n

This has always been hugely controversial in Kosovo, as some believe it will create the conditions for eventual Serbian secession. Kurti remaining in office effectively means that there will be little progress made on this front. This is something that has made Western capitals very frustrated with Kurti, and he was under EU sanctions until last year.<\/p>\n

However tense the current status quo is, I disagree with those who say a return to full-scale war is imminent or inevitable. There are something like 4,500 peacekeeping troops in Kosovo as a part of KFOR, NATO\u2019s Kosovo peacekeeping force. That said, I am sure there will be the occasional flare up of localized violence. This currently happens every 1-2 years. But I highly doubt that these spasms of violence will lead to a full-scale war. Despite all the acrimonious feelings and distrust, there is little appetite for another big war in the Balkans by any side.<\/p>\n

Finally, I am curious about your assessment, in broader terms, of what has given rise to the right-wing populist wave across Europe and\/or how it is likely to shape Europe’s future overall. The supposedly “anti-establishment” profile, as in the case of Giorgia Meloni, either ends up directly submitting to the establishment, that is, to the Brussels bureaucracy, or produces state structures of astonishing corruption. This is a genuinely compelling issue, and I would be very interested in your views.<\/strong><\/p>\n

My answer about what has given rise to the right-wing populist wave is not at all original. I don\u2019t think it\u2019s a coincidence that this wave was preceded by the 2007-2008 financial crisis, which led to an overall crisis in faith in institutions, experts, and in liberalism. This was fertile ground for a populist backlash against \u201celites\u201d. Of course, these anti-establishment politicians ride to power on promises to \u201cdrain the swamp\u201d or fight the powers that be, and then turn around and adopt very conventional policies once in office. Or, in Orban\u2019s case, they may actually break with established consensus, but turn out even more corrupt than the liberal \u201celites\u201d they rail against. There is always a rhetoric-policy gap in politics, but it\u2019s especially pronounced on the populist right.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Foreign affairs writer Lily Lynch discusses the shifting political landscape of Central Europe and the Balkans in this interview with Harici. Lynch, whose work frequently appears in the\u00a0New Statesman,\u00a0New Left Review, and\u00a0The Baffler, addresses a range of topics from Hungary\u2019s recent elections to Serbia\u2019s complex foreign policy maneuvers. A recipient of a 2025 LA Press […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":14590,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[174],"tags":[1039,319,8712,503,778,1380,4073,207,17992,1867,683,1037,18048,895,822,777],"class_list":["post-14588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-interview","tag-balkans","tag-donald-trump","tag-fidesz","tag-headline","tag-hungary","tag-kosova","tag-maga","tag-nato","tag-peter-magyar","tag-right-wing","tag-russia","tag-serbia","tag-tisza","tag-turkey","tag-ukraine","tag-viktor-orban"],"yoast_head":"\nJournalist Lily Lynch: "Trump is becoming a burden for the right, particularly in Europe" - Harici<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Foreign affairs writer Lily Lynch discusses the shifting political landscape of Central Europe and the Balkans in this interview with Harici.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/journalist-lily-lynch-trump-is-becoming-a-burden-for-the-right-particularly-in-europe\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Journalist Lily Lynch: "Trump is becoming a burden for the right, particularly in Europe" - 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