{"id":14843,"date":"2026-05-07T14:19:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T11:19:09","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2026-05-07T14:19:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T11:19:09","slug":"strong-yuan-tests-chinese-export-giants-as-byd-and-sany-report-fx-losses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/strong-yuan-tests-chinese-export-giants-as-byd-and-sany-report-fx-losses\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong yuan tests Chinese export giants as BYD and Sany report FX losses"},"content":{"rendered":"

The People\u2019s Bank of China (PBOC) set the yuan\u2019s exchange rate against the US dollar at its strongest level in more than three years on Thursday, a move that reinforces Beijing\u2019s ambitions to internationalize the currency but threatens to squeeze the profit margins of the country\u2019s industrial export giants.<\/p>\n

The PBOC fixed the yuan\u2019s midpoint rate\u2014the central reference point for daily onshore trading\u2014at 6.8487 per US dollar, the firmest level since April 2023. The fixing followed Wednesday\u2019s reference rate of 6.8562.<\/p>\n

The appreciation comes as Beijing maintains its drive to increase the yuan\u2019s global footprint while international confidence in US dollar-denominated assets continues to fluctuate. Analysts expect the Chinese currency to maintain its upward trajectory in the coming months, potentially reaching 6.65 per US dollar by year-end, even as the rally creates headwinds for China\u2019s massive export sector.<\/p>\n

The yuan\u2019s rise coincides with a period of sustained pressure on the US dollar. Investors have grown increasingly cautious amid policy uncertainty in Washington, questions regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, and concerns over the long-term fiscal sustainability of the US. The US dollar index stood at 97.97 on Wednesday, a sharp decline from 119.61 at the start of the year.<\/p>\n

While Thursday\u2019s fix marks a significant milestone, Serena Zhou, senior China strategist at Mizuho Securities Asia, told<\/a><\/span> the South China Morning Post that markets were not caught off guard by the move.<\/p>\n

“Today\u2019s fixing reflects an improvement in Asian market sentiment, largely supported by developments in the Middle East,” Zhou said. “Expectations that the US and Iran may be nearing a peace agreement have lifted equities and bolstered confidence in the yuan.”<\/p>\n

Zhou forecasts the yuan will reach 6.80 per US dollar this quarter before strengthening to 6.65 by the end of the year. “Beijing\u2019s policy objectives of rebalancing trade and stimulating domestic consumption are generally aligned with a gradually strengthening currency,” she added.<\/p>\n

The exchange rate is expected to be a key item on the agenda during a projected mid-May summit in Beijing between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump. The US leader has previously accused Beijing of maintaining a “weak” currency to gain an unfair trade advantage\u2014a claim the PBOC governor rejected during a meeting in March.<\/p>\n

Concurrently, Beijing is accelerating efforts to promote the cross-border use of the yuan as an alternative to the dollar-based financial system amid intensifying discussions over global “de-dollarization.” In April, the United Arab Emirates signaled it could conduct oil transactions in yuan should US dollar supplies be disrupted.<\/p>\n

Data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) this month showed the yuan\u2019s share of global foreign exchange transactions has climbed to 8.8% from just 2% in 2013. The Chinese currency now ranks third globally in cross-border trade payments, with a share exceeding 7%.<\/p>\n

On the monetary policy front, the US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady for the third consecutive meeting on April 29, maintaining the federal funds rate between 3.5% and 3.75%. Markets have priced in no further rate changes until at least the start of 2027. Meanwhile, Kevin Warsh, Trump\u2019s nominee to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, is expected to be confirmed by the Senate as early as next week.<\/p>\n

The yuan has appreciated by a total of 2.64% against the US dollar so far this year. “Exporters are becoming increasingly willing to convert their US dollar holdings back into yuan as expectations for further appreciation grow,” Zhou noted. “This shift in conversion behavior is providing additional self-sustaining support for the currency.”<\/p>\n

Despite the currency’s rise, China\u2019s export engine has remained resilient. Customs data shows that exports grew 11.9% year-on-year in the first quarter. In a January report, Soochow Securities argued that the impact of a strong yuan on export competitiveness may be more limited than widely assumed, as Chinese exporters increasingly rely on technological sophistication rather than simple price advantages.<\/p>\n

The report also noted that the rising use of the yuan in cross-border settlements has made Chinese firms less sensitive to exchange rate volatility.<\/p>\n

Nevertheless, foreign exchange losses have emerged as a significant drag on the earnings of several prominent Chinese corporations in recent months, renewing pressure on businesses to enhance currency risk management.<\/p>\n

Chinese electric vehicle leader BYD reported a reversal from a 1.9 billion yuan ($279 million) foreign exchange gain in the first quarter of 2025 to a 2.1 billion yuan loss in the first quarter of this year. This represents a 4 billion yuan swing that weighed heavily on net profits.<\/p>\n

Eoptolink, a manufacturer of optical modules, saw its financing expenses surge 1,678% year-on-year to 522 million yuan, driven largely by exchange rate losses. Construction equipment giant Sany Heavy Industry also recorded approximately 800 million yuan in currency-related losses during the first quarter.<\/p>\n

“Major exporters typically hedge against large currency moves through forward contracts and options,” Zhou said. “The actual impact is often more manageable than headline figures suggest.”<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The People\u2019s Bank of China (PBOC) set the yuan\u2019s exchange rate against the US dollar at its strongest level in more than three years on Thursday, a move that reinforces Beijing\u2019s ambitions to internationalize the currency but threatens to squeeze the profit margins of the country\u2019s industrial export giants. The PBOC fixed the yuan\u2019s midpoint […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14844,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[12034,2756,529,13233,10067,319,18469,2110,18471,5856,18472,18466,3805,18468,11901,4614,18470,18467,3807,1510,8831,786,1473],"class_list":["post-14843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia","tag-bis","tag-byd","tag-china","tag-currency-hedging","tag-de-dollarization","tag-donald-trump","tag-eoptolink","tag-exchange-rate","tag-export-competitiveness","tag-federal-reserve","tag-foreign-exchange-losses","tag-internationalization","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-mizuho-securities-asia","tag-oil-trade","tag-peoples-bank-of-china","tag-sany-heavy-industry","tag-serena-zhou","tag-trade-policy","tag-uae","tag-us-dollar","tag-xi-jinping","tag-yuan"],"yoast_head":"\nStrong yuan tests Chinese export giants as BYD and Sany report FX losses - 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