{"id":15025,"date":"2026-05-21T14:08:26","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T11:08:26","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2026-05-21T14:08:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T11:08:26","slug":"iran-conflict-accelerates-yuan-adoption-and-record-cips-volumes-in-global-oil-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/iran-conflict-accelerates-yuan-adoption-and-record-cips-volumes-in-global-oil-trade\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran conflict accelerates yuan adoption and record CIPS volumes in global oil trade"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-spacing=\"double\">The conflict involving Iran has accelerated the use of the Chinese yuan in global oil trade and sparked a surge in demand for Beijing\u2019s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), as the geopolitical landscape shifts toward alternative financial architectures.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">According to a <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" spellcheck=\"false\" href=\"https:\/\/www.channelnewsasia.com\/commentary\/us-china-win-dollar-yuan-currency-trade-6130281\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">report<\/a><\/span> by the Financial Times citing analyst evaluations, the rising volume of yuan-denominated settlements for Russian and Iranian oil exports has significantly bolstered the Chinese currency\u2019s position in the global energy market. Despite these developments, the US dollar maintains its status as the dominant currency in the global oil sector.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">Data shows that the average daily transaction volume on CIPS\u2014established by the People\u2019s Bank of China in 2015 as an alternative to Western-led payment systems\u2014reached a record 920.5 billion yuan (approximately $135.7 billion) in March. In early April, this indicator briefly climbed to as high as 1.22 trillion yuan per day.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">The Financial Times noted that the spike in the use of the payment system has intensified debates regarding the yuan&#8217;s increasing share of global oil trade. While official statistics on the exact amount of yuan used in petroleum payments are not publicly available, experts indicate that transaction volumes are growing steadily.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">The tightening of US sanctions on Russian and Iranian oil has forced several buyers, including India, to pivot toward the yuan for settlements. Due to these sanctions, Russia and Iran are unable to utilize dollar-based global payment mechanisms at full capacity.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">&#8220;Yuan-denominated trade is bound to grow because it is currently the only viable way for Russia to continue its trade,&#8221; said Professor Bert Hofman of the East Asian Institute at the National University of Singapore.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">Chi Lo, Senior Strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management, noted that Russia and Iran are already using the yuan extensively in oil trade due to sanctions. Lo added that Saudi Arabia is also increasingly preferring the Chinese currency in its bilateral trade with China.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">A report by Citi analysts identified the current geopolitical shifts as a &#8220;golden window of opportunity&#8221; for the international circulation of the Chinese yuan.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">Despite the momentum, experts emphasize that the yuan&#8217;s total share of global oil trade remains relatively low. Cheng Tang, founder of the consultancy GMF Research, estimates this share lies between 3% and 8%. Meanwhile, JPMorgan data reveals that approximately 80% of global oil payments are still conducted in US dollars.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">The Financial Times reported that the growing weight of the Chinese currency in energy trade has reignited discussions about the potential emergence of a &#8220;petroyuan&#8221; structure, modeled after the &#8220;petrodollar&#8221; system.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">However, analysts point to structural hurdles hindering the yuan&#8217;s global expansion. Experts argue that for the yuan to compete fully with the dollar, Beijing must further open its financial system and develop a more robust market for yuan-denominated derivatives.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">One mechanism highlighted by experts to expand the international use of the yuan is gold. Analysts suggest that foreign exporters can convert their excess yuan into gold via the Shanghai Gold Exchange, allowing them to exit the yuan position without interacting with the dollar-based system.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">In an assessment published in late March, Deutsche Bank stated that the conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran serves as a test for the dollar&#8217;s status in global oil trade. The bank noted that one long-term consequence of this conflict could be the wider adoption of the Chinese yuan within the energy sector.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">An analysis by Bloomberg also suggested that the war involving Iran has provided new momentum to Beijing\u2019s &#8220;petroyuan&#8221; ambitions. According to the report, transaction volumes in the Chinese currency rose rapidly after Iran began accepting yuan for transit fees through the Strait of Hormuz and for a portion of its oil shipments.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">The foundations of the petrodollar system date back to the 1970s, when Saudi Arabia agreed to price oil in dollars and invest surplus revenues into dollar-denominated assets in exchange for security guarantees from Washington.<\/p>\n<p data-spacing=\"double\">Today, Riyadh sells four times more oil to China than it does to the US. Gulf nations are also continuing to test non-dollar payment infrastructures. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) previously warned Washington that Abu Dhabi could resort to using the yuan or other currencies for oil payments should it face a shortage of dollar liquidity.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The conflict involving Iran has accelerated the use of the Chinese yuan in global oil trade and sparked a surge in demand for Beijing\u2019s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), as the geopolitical landscape shifts toward alternative financial architectures. According to a report by the Financial Times citing analyst evaluations, the rising volume of yuan-denominated settlements [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15026,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[5946,3010,529,18877,18880,5041,10067,7611,4054,18878,288,16326,4614,10039,18879,683,679,18881,10763,1510,682,1473],"class_list":["post-15025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia","tag-bloomberg","tag-bnp-paribas","tag-china","tag-cips","tag-citi","tag-cross-border-payments","tag-de-dollarization","tag-deutsche-bank","tag-energy-markets","tag-global-oil-trade","tag-iran","tag-payment-systems","tag-peoples-bank-of-china","tag-petrodollar","tag-petroyuan","tag-russia","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-shanghai-gold-exchange","tag-strait-of-hormuz","tag-uae","tag-us-sanctions","tag-yuan"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.7 - 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