report<\/a><\/span> by the newspaper Welt, the fundamental issue that officials do not openly voice in public is the necessity of converting resources allocated from tax revenues and loans into military capabilities as efficiently as possible, given that disruptions continue to occur in this area.<\/p>\nRegarding new infrastructure construction, the process is generally assessed to be proceeding as planned.<\/p>\n
The objective this year is to add approximately 9,000 new bed spaces to barracks, with the initial allocations to these beds having begun in recent days.<\/p>\n
Over the next four years, plans envisage incorporating roughly 54,000 additional beds into the system alongside new buildings.<\/p>\n
Despite all these areas, personnel continues to be the single largest problem area in the armed forces.<\/p>\n
In a statement issued at the beginning of the week, the ministry reported that the number of active-duty soldiers reached 186,700 as of 31 July, marking the highest level in approximately 13 years.<\/p>\n
Although this figure falls considerably short of the ultimate target of 260,000 troops to be reached by 2035 at the latest, the ministry argues that the current figure lies “within the projected target corridor for personnel growth”.<\/p>\n
This stems from an agreement initially reached with the Bundestag on a relatively slow trajectory of expansion. The planning in question projects an active strength of between 186,000 and 190,000 personnel by the end of the year.<\/p>\n
The ministry projects that, “in line with general positive developments in the recruitment process, the Bundeswehr’s personnel growth will maintain its positive trajectory until the end of the year, despite the impact of seasonal fluctuations”.<\/p>\n
However, not all observers share this assessment. In a post published on LinkedIn, the former Chief of the German Army, Lieutenant General Alfons Mais, made the following evaluations:<\/p>\n
“Looking at these announcements, one could easily get the impression that the constitutional mission of the Bundeswehr is to employ as many people as possible. The key question is: Where does this additional strength, including personnel whose service has been extended, contribute to the defence mission? In administrative posts? In territorial defence? In the reserve elements of operational units? In closing existing personnel gaps in active units? In augmenting new capabilities aimed at NATO planning targets? In Lithuania?”<\/p>\n
Pointing out that the issue is not merely one of quantity but of quality\u2014namely deploying the right personnel in the right places\u2014Mais indicates that personnel must not be stationed solely in headquarters, but in artillery battalions, naval surface units, fighter aircraft squadrons, or the electronic warfare domain.<\/p>\n
Indeed, the ministry is also aware of the structural problems highlighted by the retired lieutenant general.<\/p>\n
Even as politically desired record figures are made public, officials in the Bendlerblock acknowledge that the Bundeswehr’s personnel structure must be returned to a pyramid form to adopt a defence posture suitable for potential crises and wartime situations.<\/p>\n
In ministry corridors, there is talk that the military in its current structure has “accumulated too much fat” and that its administrative middle has grown cumbersome.<\/p>\n
In the pyramid model considered ideal for the armed forces, generals and staff officers form the apex, while junior enlisted personnel and privates constitute the broad base; officers and non-commissioned officers occupy the space between these two tiers.<\/p>\n
A large base combined with a small number of command positions guarantees both a young and physically resilient force and the steady advancement of the most capable personnel to higher ranks through continuous selection.<\/p>\n
This model also provides cost efficiency and delivers high mobilisation capacity through personnel who transition into the reserves upon completing their service.<\/p>\n
Today, however, the Bundeswehr possesses not only a bloated upper echelon but also a disproportionately broad middle tier, resulting in a cumbersome institutional torso.<\/p>\n
The ranks of young enlisted personnel remain insufficient, while older officers are present in surplus. A major who lacks sufficient troops to command produces no military added value; moreover, the prolonged retention of senior personnel prevents the promotion of younger soldiers.<\/p>\n
Consequently, defence expenditures are absorbed by high salaries for mid- and senior-level staff rather than being channelled into combat strength, equipment, or the next generation of personnel.<\/p>\n
Despite the ministry’s recognition of this dynamic, no concrete transformative steps have yet been taken in practice.<\/p>\n
An ageing force with no gain in deterrence<\/strong><\/p>\nTo sustain positive personnel statistics alongside new recruitment, the Pistorius leadership is resorting to “retention measures” aimed at keeping contract and regular personnel in the armed forces beyond the conclusion of their service terms.<\/p>\n
Since April, the minister has been sending personalised letters to non-commissioned officers and officers.<\/p>\n
Opening with an expression of gratitude for their service, the letters state:<\/p>\n
“Your final days in active service coincide with a period of profound upheaval. Our country and our continent face immense challenges. In this process, the Bundeswehr’s mission is becoming even more critical. Personnel growth is therefore our primary focus. This growth can only be achieved with qualified, high-performing, and above all dedicated soldiers\u2014experienced comrades like you. Let us look at your professional future together. Your contribution matters every single day.”<\/p>\n
The ministry defends these and similar retention measures solely on the basis of quantitative targets. According to its statement, “targeted individual advisory measures” conducted in 2025 alone prompted thousands of service members across all statuses and branches to extend their terms of service.<\/p>\n
Yet this method resonates primarily among older regular personnel. As of the end of July 2026, the strength of regular and contract soldiers rose by approximately 3,000 compared to the previous year, reaching 174,700.<\/p>\n
The primary driver of this increase was the rise in regular soldiers, whereas contract personnel numbers recorded a slight decline.<\/p>\n
Although 56-year-old regular soldiers whose physical performance may be limited remain necessary due to specialised expertise, this sweeping policy slows the effort to reshape the personnel structure into a pyramid.<\/p>\n
As the armed forces age in practice, debate continues over whether this approach converts the military into a more effective and hard-hitting force.<\/p>\n
The ministry is also hesitant to publicly disclose the true scale of the personnel shortfall. The gap is not merely the 73,300 soldiers separating the current strength of 186,700 from the 260,000 target.<\/p>\n
Regular personnel briefings omit the number of departures from the armed forces\u2014namely the actual requirement for replenishment and replacement.<\/p>\n
Over the past three years, an average of 14,000 regular and contract soldiers departed the Bundeswehr annually. According to the ministry’s response to an information request, this figure stood at roughly 14,600 in 2025, with similar numbers expected this year. Conscripts completing their term of service add to these totals.<\/p>\n
A ministry spokesperson stated that they could not provide a five-year projection because the data fluctuates continuously and remains highly volatile. However, such an estimate is not difficult to deduce.<\/p>\n
Following the suspension of compulsory military service in 2011, then-Defence Minister Thomas de Maiziere (CDU) began tying contract soldiers to extended service terms of 20 to 25 years under the “Personnel Structure Model 185”.<\/p>\n
As the service terms of these personnel expire in the coming years, replacement requirements will rise substantially.<\/p>\n
Experienced personnel planners agree that approximately 30,000 new recruits must enter the armed forces annually in the future to achieve the targeted growth.<\/p>\n
Current figures fall far short of this requirement. The annual net personnel gain stands at only around 3,700 compared to the previous year; furthermore, this expansion risks being eroded by regular attrition rates exceeding 20%. The implementation of the new military service model is also failing to progress at the intended pace.<\/p>\n
By the end of July, a total of 378,000 letters were dispatched under the military service questionnaire initiative, including roughly 194,000 to young men and approximately 184,000 to young women.<\/p>\n
Roughly 96% of the men, for whom completing the questionnaire was mandatory, fulfilled their obligation. Among women, for whom participation was voluntary, the response rate remained at 4%.<\/p>\n
Approximately 2,630 individuals who expressed interest underwent evaluation; following this process, 865 individuals were scheduled for deployment within the Bundeswehr.<\/p>\n
This situation underpins retired Lieutenant General Mais’s scepticism toward the defence leadership’s personnel bulletins.<\/p>\n
Mais underscored the gravity of the situation: “One cannot conceal qualitative deficits simply by cheering marginal numerical gains!”<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The German Ministry of Defence has set a series of priority targets for the second half of the year. Led by Boris Pistorius (SPD), the ministerial leadership is satisfied with the government’s draft federal budget, which is scheduled for adoption by the Bundestag at the end of November. According to a report by the newspaper […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16197,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[21300,21304,1100,1883,1901,2265,543,6333,21305,19507,5935,207,21302,21303,21301],"class_list":["post-16196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-europe","tag-alfons-mais","tag-armed-forces-reform","tag-boris-pistorius","tag-bundestag","tag-bundeswehr","tag-defence-budget","tag-germany","tag-lithuania","tag-military-personnel-structure","tag-military-recruitment","tag-ministry-of-defence","tag-nato","tag-personnel-retention","tag-thomas-de-maiziere","tag-troop-strength"],"yoast_head":"\n
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