{"id":17187,"date":"2026-10-30T12:44:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T09:44:46","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2026-10-30T12:44:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T09:44:46","slug":"ukraine-economy-set-to-shrink-for-first-time-since-2022-bank-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/ukraine-economy-set-to-shrink-for-first-time-since-2022-bank-says\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine economy set to shrink for first time since 2022, bank says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ukraine&#8217;s economy is set to shrink for the first time since 2022, according to a Bloomberg <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-10-29\/ukraine-economy-to-shrink-for-the-first-time-since-full-scale-war\">report<\/a><\/span> citing projections from the National Bank of Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>The central bank forecasts that the country&#8217;s gross domestic product will contract by 0.4% by the end of this year.<\/p>\n<p>The National Bank of Ukraine had previously projected that the economy would grow by 1.8%.<\/p>\n<p>The country&#8217;s last economic contraction was recorded in 2022, when gross domestic product plunged by more than 30%.<\/p>\n<p>The National Bank of Ukraine attributed the worsening forecast to Russian strikes, which it said led to a &#8220;sharp drop in business activity.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Russian Defence Ministry has repeatedly stressed that the strikes target only Ukrainian military and energy facilities, as well as infrastructure linked to them.<\/p>\n<p>President Vladimir Putin said that the Russian military&#8217;s strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure were effective and timely actions because they helped troops resolve the combat tasks before them.<\/p>\n<p>The National Bank of Ukraine expects the economy to return to a 0.4% growth path next year, driven by rising investment in the defence industry and other projects.<\/p>\n<p>According to Bloomberg, the National Bank of Ukraine raised its policy rate following the deteriorating economic forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>The central bank&#8217;s updated assessments point to higher inflation than previously expected.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Government cuts spending and switches to austerity mode<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ukrainian Prime Minister Sergey Koretskiy announced in late September that the country had switched to a maximum austerity regime and postponed all non-urgent spending.<\/p>\n<p>Koretskiy had previously stated that the state of the country&#8217;s public finances was nearing a critical level.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine&#8217;s 2026 budget was approved with a deficit of approximately 1.9 trillion hryvnias, or $47.5 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Describing the upcoming 2026 winter as &#8220;objectively difficult&#8221; for the country, Koretskiy pointed out that the funding gap in Ukraine&#8217;s energy sector remained at around 650 million euros ahead of the winter period.<\/p>\n<p>The Ukrainian Finance Ministry estimates that the country will require nearly $146 billion in external financing between 2026 and 2029.<\/p>\n<p>The International Monetary Fund, meanwhile, projects that Ukraine will face a financing gap of up to $54 billion through 2029.<\/p>\n<p>At the beginning of the year, the European Union agreed on a 90 billion euro loan package for Kyiv, allocating 60 billion euros for defence spending and 30 billion euros for budget and economic support.<\/p>\n<p>As of 14 October, Ukraine had received only 19.8 billion euros of the agreed loan, representing just 22% of the total amount.<\/p>\n<p>The Moscow government condemns military support provided to Kyiv.<\/p>\n<p>Russian Security Council Secretary Sergey Shoigu, assessing the EU loan to Ukraine, claimed that this policy was driving European states toward &#8220;the ultimate loss of their sovereignty.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>President Vladimir Putin stated that &#8220;the entire West&#8221; was helping Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>Putin said Russia reserves the right to use weapons against the military facilities of countries that allow their delivered weapons to be used in attacks on Russian territory.<\/p>\n<p><!-- notionvc: 0e99d01b-8096-43cd-95ae-7afd2e8a7903 --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ukraine&#8217;s economy is set to shrink for the first time since 2022, according to a Bloomberg report citing projections from the National Bank of Ukraine. The central bank forecasts that the country&#8217;s gross domestic product will contract by 0.4% by the end of this year. The National Bank of Ukraine had previously projected that the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17188,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[11746,1866,1457,3469,52,6645,805,22829,916,917,4051,5011,22828,683,22831,22830,22832,822,444],"class_list":["post-17187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-diplomacy","tag-2026-budget","tag-austerity","tag-central-bank","tag-deficit","tag-economy","tag-energy-sector","tag-european-union","tag-gdp-contraction","tag-imf","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-military-aid","tag-national-bank-of-ukraine","tag-russia","tag-russian-strikes","tag-sergey-koretskiy","tag-sergey-shoigu","tag-ukraine","tag-vladimir-putin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ukraine economy set to shrink for first time since 2022, bank says - 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