{"id":6485,"date":"2024-12-02T14:11:32","date_gmt":"2024-12-02T11:11:32","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2024-12-02T14:15:18","modified_gmt":"2024-12-02T11:15:18","slug":"where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/","title":{"rendered":"Where does T\u00fcrkiye fit into the Syrian equation?"},"content":{"rendered":"

In its official statements, T\u00fcrkiye claims it is not involved in the clashes in northwestern Syria, which escalated again on 27 November. However, the participation of elements of the Free Syrian Army (FSA)\u2014referred to as the Syrian National Army (SNA) by Ankara\u2014in clashes in Aleppo on the side of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), along with the group’s entry into Tel Rifaat, indicates that T\u00fcrkiye is not entirely removed from the situation. Shortly before these developments, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan criticized T\u00fcrkiye’s Astana partners for their inaction regarding terrorism and the refugee crisis in Syria, stating: “Where diplomacy does not get an answer, other kinds of steps can be taken.”<\/em><\/p>\n

On 29 November, T\u00fcrkiye issued its first official statement regarding attacks launched by terrorist groups in Idlib against the Syrian army on 27 November, which led to the capture of Aleppo and movements toward Hama.<\/p>\n

In a statement shared on social media, Foreign Ministry Spokesman \u00d6nc\u00fc Ke\u00e7eli attributed the HTS attack on Aleppo to the recent escalation of attacks in Idlib. While avoiding direct references to specific groups, Ke\u00e7eli emphasized:<\/p>\n

“We have made the necessary warnings on various international platforms, stating that the recent attacks on Idlib have reached a dimension that will harm the spirit and functioning of the Astana agreements and cause serious civilian casualties. These attacks must stop.”<\/em><\/p>\n

He further noted that the clashes have heightened tensions, and T\u00fcrkiye is closely monitoring the increase in attacks by terrorist groups\u2014such as the YPG, the Syrian affiliate of the PKK\u2014in Tel Rifaat and Manbij. Ke\u00e7eli expressed concern about the failure to implement agreements aimed at eliminating terrorist threats in these areas.<\/p>\n

The next day, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan reiterated that T\u00fcrkiye was not directly involved in the Aleppo clashes, stating:<\/p>\n

“We will not take any action that triggers a new wave of migration.”<\/em><\/p>\n

Fidan emphasized Turkey\u2019s vigilance over developments in Syria, particularly the potential for instability to drive another mass migration. Hosting approximately 3 million Syrian refugees, T\u00fcrkiye has long warned that further conflict in Idlib\u2014home to nearly 2 million displaced people\u2014could exacerbate the refugee crisis.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye has expressed dissatisfaction with the reluctance of the Syrian government and its Astana partners\u2014Russia and Iran\u2014to address key issues, including the refugee crisis and the YPG threat. According to a report in the Financial Times<\/em>, Iraqi mediators revealed that Damascus refused to take steps on refugee repatriation, continuing instead to bombard rebel-held Idlib, which has displaced thousands toward the Turkish border.<\/p>\n

President Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan has urged Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to cooperate in normalizing relations. However, this process has stalled due to Assad\u2019s demand for a Turkish troop withdrawal and a corresponding timeline\u2014preconditions Ankara rejects. Foreign Minister Fidan has noted that both Russia and Iran appear unwilling to pressure Assad, further complicating normalization efforts.<\/p>\n

Syrian ‘opposition’ sources in T\u00fcrkiye told Al-Akhbar <\/em>of T\u00fcrkiye’s position: ‘The war would not have started without its approval, but there may not be a target match between what Ankara wants and what the Syrian opposition wants.”<\/p>\n

Analysts said that while T\u00fcrkiye may not have explicitly approved the HTS-led attack, it would serve T\u00fcrkiye’s interests and give Ankara more leverage in any negotiations, the FT<\/em> reported.<\/p>\n

Syrian analyst Malik al-Abdeh said: “Since the summer, Assad has had a chance to sit down with Erdogan and work out a plan in which T\u00fcrkiye would create a zone of influence in northern Syria. He had a chance to negotiate this situation politically while preserving his dignity, but he refused.”<\/p>\n

The HTS is listed as a terrorist organisation by the United Nations (UN). Therefore, T\u00fcrkiye also considers HTS a terrorist organisation. However, it is well known that some elements of the FSA, which is officially supported by T\u00fcrkiye, have participated in HTS-led attacks.<\/p>\n

It is a common view that T\u00fcrkiye gave its ‘consent’ to the HTS attack in order to pressure Assad over a strategic city like Aleppo and force him to back down from the conditions he had set out for normalisation. T\u00fcrkiye wants to complete the normalisation process with Damascus, with the main goals being the return of refugees and the elimination of the YPG threat.<\/p>\n

However, given that the very name of normalisation has led to attacks by such groups on T\u00fcrkiye’s assets in Syria, the wisdom of taking this step in pursuit of this goal is debatable.<\/p>\n

The HTS is designated as a terrorist organization by the United Nations (UN) and T\u00fcrkiye. Nonetheless, there is evidence that elements of the FSA, officially supported by T\u00fcrkiye, have participated in HTS-led attacks. Analysts suggest T\u00fcrkiye tacitly approved the HTS offensive to pressure Assad into concessions, particularly regarding Aleppo, a strategic city.<\/p>\n

Amid these tensions, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met with Assad in Damascus to discuss regional stability. Araghchi reaffirmed Iran\u2019s commitment to combating Takfiri terrorists and expressed hopes for greater cooperation with T\u00fcrkiye on mutual security concerns. He noted that while T\u00fcrkiye and Iran share some common ground, disagreements persist.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In its official statements, T\u00fcrkiye claims it is not involved in the clashes in northwestern Syria, which escalated again on 27 November. However, the participation of elements of the Free Syrian Army (FSA)\u2014referred to as the Syrian National Army (SNA) by Ankara\u2014in clashes in Aleppo on the side of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), along with […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6486,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[4035,4034,4036,1480,503,1265,384,1905,531,4037,409,213],"class_list":["post-6485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-middleeast","tag-abbas-araghchi","tag-aleppo","tag-fsa","tag-hakan-fidan","tag-headline","tag-hts","tag-idlib","tag-oncu-keceli","tag-syria","tag-syrian-national-army-sna","tag-turkiye","tag-ypg"],"yoast_head":"\nWhere does T\u00fcrkiye fit into the Syrian equation? - Harici<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Where does T\u00fcrkiye fit into the Syrian equation? - Harici\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In its official statements, T\u00fcrkiye claims it is not involved in the clashes in northwestern Syria, which escalated again on 27 November. However, the participation of elements of the Free Syrian Army (FSA)\u2014referred to as the Syrian National Army (SNA) by Ankara\u2014in clashes in Aleppo on the side of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), along with […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Harici\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/haricitr\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-12-02T11:11:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-12-02T11:15:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/AA-20241201-36352911-36352899-HALEPTE_SILAHLI_GRUP.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Harici.com.tr\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@haricitr\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@haricitr\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Harici.com.tr\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Harici.com.tr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/45047d1e0be7e8c266daed68de2cf7aa\"},\"headline\":\"Where does T\u00fcrkiye fit into the Syrian equation?\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-12-02T11:11:32+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-12-02T11:15:18+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/\"},\"wordCount\":870,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/AA-20241201-36352911-36352899-HALEPTE_SILAHLI_GRUP.jpeg\",\"keywords\":[\"Abbas Araghchi\",\"Aleppo\",\"FSA\",\"Hakan Fidan\",\"headline\",\"HTS\",\"\u0130dlib\",\"\u00d6nc\u00fc Ke\u00e7eli\",\"Syria\",\"Syrian National Army (SNA)\",\"t\u00fcrkiye\",\"YPG\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Middle East\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/harici.com.tr\/en\/where-does-turkiye-fit-into-the-syrian-equation\/\",\"name\":\"Where does T\u00fcrkiye fit into the Syrian equation? 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