Asia
Sanae Takaichi secures historic supermajority in Japan’s landmark winter election
Sanae Takaichi’s governing coalition secured a crushing victory in Sunday’s lower house elections, granting the Prime Minister a commanding “supermajority” with 352 seats. The results signal a definitive shift in Japan’s regional posture, as the leader looks to maintain a hawkish stance toward China in alignment with US policy, bolster national defense, and move away from the country’s traditional pacifist framework.
Takaichi, Japan’s first female leader who cites the United Kingdom’s “Iron Lady” Margaret Thatcher as her primary inspiration, led the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) to 316 seats in the 465-member House of Representatives, according to final counts released by public broadcaster NHK early Monday.
While the LDP easily cleared the 233-seat threshold required for a simple majority on its own, its coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party, secured an additional 36 seats.
With a combined 352 seats, Takaichi now holds a supermajority in the lower house. This status effectively streamlines her legislative agenda, allowing the lower house to override the upper chamber where necessary, despite lacking a majority there.
The results mark the party’s most significant electoral triumph since its founding in 1955, surpassing the previous record of 300 seats set in 1986 under the late Prime Minister Yasuhiro Nakasone.
“This election centered on major policy shifts—particularly a significant transformation in economic and fiscal policy, alongside the strengthening of our security posture,” Takaichi said in a televised interview as the results were finalized. “These are policies that have faced serious opposition. If we have received the support of the people, we must dedicate our full strength to these issues.”
Conversely, the new opposition alliance—comprised of the LDP’s former, more dovish coalition partner Komeito and the liberal-leaning Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan—is expected to see its pre-election strength of 167 seats slashed by half.
First to congratulate: The US, India and Taiwan
US President Donald Trump congratulated Takaichi’s coalition on Sunday.
“Congratulations to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and her Coalition on a BIG VICTORY,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform. “It was an honor to support you and your coalition. I wish you great success as you implement your conservative agenda based on the principle of peace through strength.”
Trump had voiced his explicit support for Takaichi on Friday, describing her as a “highly respected and very popular leader.” He added that Takaichi’s “brave and smart decision” to call the election had clearly paid off.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi also extended his congratulations. “Congratulations Sanae Takaichi on your historic victory in the House of Representatives elections!” Modi posted on social media Sunday, adding, “I am confident that under your capable leadership, we will further advance the India-Japan friendship.”
Taiwanese leader William Lai Ching-te also shared a message on social media offering his “heartfelt congratulations.”
The 64-year-old Takaichi called the rare winter snap election following her ascent to the LDP leadership late last year, seeking to capitalize on rising personal approval ratings.
While voters were drawn to her outspoken and industrious image, her promises of tax cuts have caused some unease in financial markets. Simultaneously, her ultra-nationalist tendencies and emphasis on security have strained relations with an increasingly assertive China.
Weeks after taking office, Takaichi sparked the most significant dispute with Beijing in a decade by publicly discussing how Tokyo might respond to a potential Chinese intervention in Taiwan.
In November, her suggestion that Japan could involve itself in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan escalated tensions further. Beijing responded by imposing restrictions on the export of rare earth elements to Japan and issuing travel warnings for the country.
Beijing has continued to emphasize its plans for reunification with Taiwan—which the United Nations recognizes as part of China—into 2026. While many nations, including the US, do not recognize Taiwan as an independent state, Washington continues to provide arms to Taiwan and support separatist trends against China. Takaichi’s alignment with US interests in this dispute has drawn the ire of Beijing.
A strong electoral mandate is expected to accelerate Takaichi’s plans to strengthen Japan’s defenses—a move Beijing characterizes as an attempt to revive the country’s militaristic past.
“Beijing will not welcome Takaichi’s victory,” said David Boling, a director at the Asia Group, which advises firms on geopolitical risk. “China is now faced with the reality that she is firmly established and that their efforts to isolate her have failed.”
Takaichi captured young voters
Takaichi managed to partially reverse the party’s fortunes by building a massive social media following and forging a connection with younger voters.
“Takaichi’s personal appeal will allow LDP candidates, who might otherwise struggle to get elected, to win seats through her endorsement,” Levi McLaughlin, a professor at North Carolina State University, told This Week in Asia.
The Prime Minister has also triggered an unexpected youth-driven trend known as sanakatsu—roughly translated as “Sanae craze”—which has led to high demand for merchandise she uses in parliament, such as her handbag and pink pens.
“She beats the drum. She has an interest in Korean products, music, and the entertainment sector. Unlike the rest of her party, she is active on social media,” said Mark Cogan, an associate professor at Kansai Gaidai University.
“She is markedly different from her rather stagnant peers,” Cogan noted, adding that this distinctiveness helped her weather various political storms, including diplomatic tensions with Beijing.
However, Cogan questioned the longevity of this popularity: “The real question is how long ‘Sanae craze’ will last. Is this a case of young people being swept up by something new or different while ignoring policy positions that do not always align with their own interests?”
The election was only the third general election in the post-war era to be held in February, as polls are typically conducted during more temperate months.
What challenges await Takaichi?
Following the dissolution of the lower house on January 19, a special session must be convened to officially elect the prime minister. This session is expected to take place on February 18. Takaichi’s immediate priority will be passing the annual budget for the fiscal year beginning in April.
While budget deliberations usually take about two months, the process was disrupted by the snap election. Takaichi is expected to prepare a provisional budget to ensure Japan’s financial operations continue through the first weeks of the fiscal year.
Another priority will be materializing her proactive fiscal policy. One of her core campaign messages was to increase domestic investment by targeting sectors with high growth potential. She also spoke of building a nation “resilient to currency fluctuations.” A framework for basic economic and fiscal policy, expected around June, is likely to outline measures to attract private investment back to Japan.
On the diplomatic front, Takaichi’s management of relations with both the US and China will be decisive and challenging.
She is expected to focus on reaffirming the robust Japan-US partnership. Takaichi will travel to the US on March 19 to meet with Trump at the White House, aiming to further solidify their strong relationship.
How Takaichi will navigate Japan-China relations remains uncertain. Trump is scheduled to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping during a visit to China in April, and the US President is thought to want to move relations with China to a more “stable” level.
Despite the strong mandate from voters, Tobias Harris of Japan Foresight notes that significant hurdles remain.
“The markets are watching her every move closely,” Harris said. “The truth is, it’s impossible to predict what will happen when the meeting between Trump and Xi takes place. If the US and China move closer while Japan and China do not move in the same direction, it leaves Takaichi in a delicate and uncomfortable position.”
“The issue of defense spending will be extremely complex,” Harris continued. “There is a consensus on spending more, but no consensus on how to finance it. This will pose a serious challenge, as will managing a larger LDP. She will have a strong base, but that doesn’t make these problems disappear; it only gives her more room to maneuver while addressing them.”
Asia
Chinese Politburo signals cautious confidence as Beijing pivots toward targeted tech support
The mid-year meeting of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Politburo has long served as a critical evaluation point for Beijing. The session provides the central government with an opportunity to review developments from the first half of the year and steer the country toward a more realistic economic course in the months ahead.
The latest statement from the top leadership signals cautious confidence. The release indicates that policymakers are favoring a stable, targeted approach over the broad-based stimulus measures that characterized previous years. As China manages its economic transition, the post-Covid era of aggressive spending has clearly drawn to a close. In its place, a strategic and structural approach has taken hold, prioritizing resilience and stability over short-term capital injections.
According to the outcomes of the Politburo meeting, the policy orientation will continue to target specific sectors. Financial support will be directed away from the property market and toward high-tech emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors. In the real estate sector, the objective remains stabilizing market confidence and keeping debt risks under control.
Infrastructure investment is likewise being reshaped around the concept of “new infrastructure.” The focus is no longer solely on concrete and physical structures; smart power grids, information technology networks, and data infrastructure have taken precedence.
This approach signifies an investment in future competitiveness rather than simply pumping capital into the economy’s more stagnant sectors. Serving as a new driver of growth, digital infrastructure fulfills a dual purpose: supporting domestic demand in the short term while safeguarding technological competitiveness over the long term.
Finally, Beijing is signaling a more conciliatory posture in international trade. The Chinese leadership aims to establish a more balanced trade framework to mitigate concerns voiced by trade partners such as the European Union over what has been termed “China Shock 2.0.”
As the administration prepares for critical leadership changes next year, its primary focus will remain on stability across both economic and social spheres.
China continues to strike a balance between realistic growth targets and systemic restructuring, maintaining policy leeway to absorb potential external shocks. Beijing’s economic strategy reflects a pragmatic assessment of both domestic and international challenges.
Struggling with weak demand, the domestic economy is not yet in a position to anchor national growth independently. Expansion continues to rely heavily on a record trade surplus alongside the impressive export performance of high-tech and clean energy sectors. However, this reliance has drawn pushback from several trading partners.
To stimulate domestic economic activity and ease trade tensions, Beijing unveiled its first standalone five-year plan focused on consumption. Released in July by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce, the plan targets an increase in retail sales to 60 trillion yuan (approximately $8.9 trillion) by 2030. This represents an increase of roughly 20% compared to 2025 levels.
To improve profit margins for small businesses, regulatory authorities are tackling the issue of “involution”—described as excessive internal competition—by curbing platform monopolies and preventing destructive price wars. While these structural adjustments may take longer to yield results, they are viewed as a more sustainable and effective alternative to direct cash handouts.
Asia
Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand
Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.
Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.
Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.
Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.
Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.
In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.
The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.
Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.
This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.
The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.
Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.
Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.
Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.
CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange
Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.
As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.
At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.
Asia
Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister
Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests
India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.
The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.
The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.
What triggered the protests?
Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.
Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.
According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.
Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.
The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.
How the movement unfolded
Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.
Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.
The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.
Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.
CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.
Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.
Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.
Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.
In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.
Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.
Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.
Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.
On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.
On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.
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