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Europe builds drone defence walls along eastern flank against UAVs

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On the night of 20 August, an uncrewed aerial vehicle crashed near the Ukrainian border in Romania, marking the fourth such incident in the country within a single month.

The Romanian Ministry of National Defence announced that the drone, which had entered national airspace, came down in an uninhabited area approximately 4 kilometres north-east of the village of Grindu. On the same day, Moldova’s Ministry of Internal Affairs reported that UAV wreckage had been located one kilometre from the Ukrainian border.

Over the past month, at least six incidents involving airspace violations or crashes of unidentified UAVs have been recorded across Europe, including in Germany, Bulgaria, Latvia, Romania, and Moldova. Several regional states suggested that Russia may have been involved in these occurrences.

Following the crash and detonation of a military drone near the village of Crocmaz, Moldova recalled its ambassador to Moscow for consultations on 10 August.

Moldovan Defence Minister Anatolie Nosatii stated on 12 August that initial data indicated the UAV was of Russian origin, adding that experts were continuing to examine the wreckage.

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova rejected the allegations, stating that Moscow does not fly UAVs through the airspace of states neighbouring Ukraine, including Moldova, and does not plan such flight paths.

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), the US administration decided to disband a strike battalion established in Europe in January to advance UAV warfare tactics.

Speaking to the newspaper, an unnamed US Army official said the unit would present its findings to command following large-scale exercises conducted in Germany in August and September, before reverting to its primary combat mission as an airborne infantry battalion.

Incidents involving unidentified UAV violations of European airspace have grown more frequent since the autumn of 2025.

In response to these developments, the European Union began discussing the construction of a collective defence mechanism along NATO’s eastern flank, termed a “drone wall”.

The European Commission presented the concept to the public in October 2025 under its Defence Readiness Roadmap 2030.

The planning envisaged the implementation of two projects: the European Drone Defence Initiative and Eastern Flank Watch.

The first project aims to establish a joint EU-Ukraine Drone Alliance. A €6 billion loan was allocated to fund this initiative under the G7’s Extraordinary Revenue Acceleration (ERA) programme in support of Kyiv.

Under the Eastern Flank Watch project, the EU aims to build a unified European defence system in close coordination with NATO against a broad spectrum of threats, including hybrid operations, Russian “shadow fleet” activities, and the risk of armed attack.

Encompassing multi-layered surveillance systems, anti-drone technologies, electronic warfare assets, and precision strike systems, the project is slated for deployment across all countries along the EU’s eastern border, including land and maritime frontiers with Russia and Belarus. The system is planned to become operational by the end of 2028.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced on 15 July that an agreement on joint UAV production had been signed between the EU and Ukraine.

“Ukraine has the ingenuity, what it needs is scale. Together we can deliver that, so that Ukraine keeps its edge and Europe reinforces its own strength,” von der Leyen said.

Formally launched two days later, the Drone Alliance was designed as a platform bringing together Ukrainian and European manufacturers of UAVs and countermeasures.

A total of 18 companies joined the initiative, nine from each side. Firms on the European side include ORQA, Indra Group, Fincantieri, and WB Electronics/WB Group.

Europe also deepened its cooperation with the US during this period. According to information reported by the WSJ, the decision to form a specialised battalion within the 173rd Airborne Brigade to study the Ukrainian experience was taken in November 2025.

Under the plan devised by former Chief of Staff of the US Army General Randy George, the concept’s architect, a small group of American soldiers from the approximately 600-strong battalion made covert visits to Kyiv to meet with Ukrainian officials. The unit also conducted joint work with Ukrainian UAV operators at NATO combat training areas.

The decision to end the battalion’s activities was reportedly taken under the influence of Acting Secretary of the Army Christopher Laniwe, who is known for his close ties to US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth.

The WSJ previously reported that US troops’ vulnerability to UAVs was exposed during the Combined Resolve exercises held in Germany in April and May, where Ukrainian drone operators detected and simulated strikes against American units and armoured vehicles.

Transatlantic cooperation continues across various channels. At the Industrial Forum in Ankara in July, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte announced the NATO Drone Edge initiative, aimed at developing UAV systems and counter-drone capabilities.

Alliance members agreed under this framework to allocate more than $40 billion over five years and to quintuple the number of trained UAV operators by the end of 2027.

“We are using the latest innovative technologies, investing in our transatlantic defence industry, and drawing practical lessons from the fighting in Ukraine,” Rutte said.

During the same period, Germany, Denmark, Finland, and Norway signed a letter of intent for the joint procurement of MQ-4C Triton long-range, high-altitude UAVs, developed by Northrop Grumman for the US Navy.

Germany has become one of the most active countries in the field of UAV technologies and defence. In early August, a UAV containing Semtex-type explosives was discovered at Leipzig/Halle Airport near a Ukrainian An-24 transport aircraft believed to be carrying ammunition.

German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt stated that his country had become the “target of hybrid warfare” conducted by foreign states, though he did not name a specific country. No further official statements were issued by senior authorities regarding the incident.

The Bild and Die Zeit newspapers reported that DNA traces found on the UAV matched DNA samples from a 2024 arson attack at a DHL freight facility in Leipzig, which German investigators linked to Russian sabotage operations.

Die Zeit also reported that security services were considering the possibility that the operation might have been conducted by Ukraine as a false flag action intended to induce the Berlin government to provide greater support against Russia.

The Russian Embassy in Berlin described the incident as a provocation, stating: “It is obvious that this hastily orchestrated provocation serves solely the objectives of Kyiv and the militarist wing of the European political class.”

Amid these developments, the Drone Defence Technology Centre was officially opened on 18 August at the German Aerospace Centre (DLR) test airfield in Magdeburg-Cochstedt.

The facility aims to combine scientific research, technology, and the requirements of security agencies to accelerate the development of UAV detection and interception systems. The centre houses the mobile anti-drone unit of the Federal Police alongside a joint UAV coordination centre established by federal and state authorities.

Speaking at the opening ceremony, Dobrindt emphasised: “The arms race in the UAV sector requires us to establish our own research units to keep pace with technological developments,” noting that Germany faces daily hybrid attacks from foreign states due to its pivotal role in Europe’s economic and political security.

Up to €10 million is expected to be allocated in the coming years for the development of the centre.

German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius presented the country’s first military strategy document in April. The document noted that Russia would remain the “greatest security threat” to Europe for the foreseeable future.

According to the text, Moscow aims to reshape the European security architecture by weakening NATO. In the section titled “Threat”, the document stated: “Russia is creating the preconditions for a military attack against NATO countries. This is already leading to hybrid operations being conducted against alliance member states, including Germany.”

The Polish government has also accelerated work on its air defence perimeter. Having announced an anti-drone wall project named SAN along its eastern border in January, Warsaw is executing the €3.8 billion project through a consortium comprising state-owned Polska Grupa Zbrojeniowa, Norway’s Kongsberg, and the private Polish firm Advanced Protection Systems.

Polish Deputy Defence Minister Cezary Tomczyk announced that 18 specialised anti-drone air defence batteries—comprising APKWS missile launchers, anti-aircraft artillery, machine guns, and interceptor UAVs—would be deployed, with work scheduled for completion by 2028.

The Baltic Drone Wall initiative, announced in January 2025 by Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Finland, is likewise targeted for completion by the end of 2026.

Designed to protect the eastern flank of the EU and NATO, the joint project provides for integrating radars, sensors, and interceptor UAVs into a single multi-layered network under centralised management. Participating nations plan to expand the network by the end of the year to ensure uninterrupted surveillance along the Russian border.

Experts from the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) note that while the EU, NATO, and eastern flank states are making intensive efforts to address the UAV threat, the proliferation of initiatives risks causing duplication of effort and uncertainty for commercial entities participating in the projects.

“Greater coordination is needed to ensure coherence across initiatives, particularly at the level of data sharing,” the report stated. It also emphasised that capacity building within the European defence industry against the Russia-derived UAV threat can in no way replace diplomatic, political, and military measures.

Europe

EU wrestles with domestic content rules for ‘Made in Europe’ push

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The EU wants to leverage its immense public spending power to bolster European industry through a “Made in Europe” initiative.

Deep divisions remain, however, over what should genuinely count as European-made.

According to a report by Politico, the European Parliament and member state governments are trying to establish their positions on the Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA), which forms part of Brussels’ effort to turn the “Made in Europe” slogan into an industrial strategy.

The initiative aims to use tenders and subsidies to create a guaranteed market for products of European origin.

Yet doing so requires answering politically contentious questions, such as how “European” a product must be to qualify, and how much more governments and consumers should be prepared to pay to buy domestic goods.

Disagreements are playing out not only between Parliament and the Council, but also among national governments and even between political allies from different countries.

Unveiled by the European Commission in March, the IAA seeks to channel public expenditure on green technology, energy-intensive industries, and motor vehicles towards European firms, helping them compete with dominant Chinese exporters.

Six months on, it is becoming increasingly clear how difficult it is to turn that objective into workable legislation.

Opposing sides broadly agree on the need to strengthen Europe’s industrial base, accelerate permitting procedures, and reduce strategic dependencies.

However, sharp divisions persist over how extensively the EU should support European manufacturing and how much flexibility national governments should retain.

Politico has identified five issues that will dominate negotiations through 2027.

The first issue is the debate over what qualifies as “Made in Europe”.

Defining EU origin is the most politically sensitive topic in the talks. With public procurement accounting for 15% of the bloc’s GDP—equivalent to roughly 3 trillion euros a year—the sums at stake are enormous.

If the threshold defining how European a product must be is drawn too narrowly, Brussels risks alienating close trading partners and disrupting supply chains.

Conversely, if drawn too broadly, the “Made in Europe” preference risks becoming meaningless.

Parliament is pressing for stricter anti-circumvention rules and demanding that at least 50% of a product’s value be created within the EU.

This condition would also make it harder for goods or components from third countries to be treated as equivalent to EU-origin items.

Lawmakers also aim to impose tighter conditions, including reciprocity, economic security measures, climate commitments, labour standards, and human rights safeguards.

The Council is more open to treating content from countries covered by the WTO Agreement on Government Procurement or relevant free trade agreements as equivalent to EU-origin content under specified conditions, including certain reciprocity principles.

Yet EU member states are still debating their positions and putting forward various conflicting proposals.

Ireland, which holds the Council presidency, plans to submit a fresh compromise proposal featuring the “Made in Europe” designation by mid-October.

Another issue is Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) screening.

Parliament wants a more comprehensive and stringent system to screen foreign investment in strategic sectors.

Underpinning this demand is the concern that, despite the EU spending billions to develop strategic industries, subsidized or otherwise state-backed foreign investors could acquire the very companies and assets the EU helped build.

Lawmakers want to lower the review threshold from the proposed 100 million euro investment figure to 50 million euros, bring affiliates of foreign investors under the rules, and lower the control threshold that triggers mandatory notification.

They also want to give the Commission a stronger role, granting it the power to block investments in critical raw materials when EU funds are involved.

The Council’s position is narrower: it broadly retains the 100 million euro FDI threshold and the 30% control threshold set out in the Commission’s original proposal, while granting national authorities greater flexibility in managing the approval process.

The two institutions are at odds not only over the scope of screening, but also over the institutional balance of power between Brussels and national capitals.

The third issue centres on the scope of tenders and subsidies.

Both sides want public tenders and state support to drive demand for European-made, low-carbon goods.

However, opinions diverge on how broadly the rules should apply.

This is where political goals collide directly with public purse strings. Requiring governments to purchase European-made goods could spur demand for domestic manufacturers, but it could also force taxpayers to pay more when cheaper imported alternatives are available.

Parliament wants various requirements—such as green, social, or “Made in EU” criteria—to cover up to 90% of state aid or subsidy programmes, compared with 45% in the Council text.

It also proposes tighter social and labour conditions, relocation curbs, and stricter verification and enforcement mechanisms.

The Council favours broader exemptions where suitable products are unavailable, excessively costly, or technically unviable.

This posture reflects governmental concerns over higher public spending or project delays linked to reliance on imported components.

The fourth issue is the divergence over sectoral targets.

Parliament generally seeks higher and more granular European-origin content requirements for batteries, solar panels, wind turbines, electrolysers, nuclear technologies, and electric vehicles.

Electric cars illustrate how complex the “Made in Europe” concept can become in practice.

A vehicle assembled within the EU may contain a battery and raw materials sourced through supply chains spanning the globe.

Parliament plans to raise the required EU-origin share for non-battery vehicle components from the 70% proposed by the Commission to 75%.

Requirements governing battery materials, binders, and strategic raw materials would also be introduced.

The Council’s stance, by contrast, is less prescriptive and allows for a more phased implementation.

The dispute is not over whether strategic sectors should receive support, but whether the IAA should impose binding content targets that could push up costs for manufacturers and consumers.

The fifth and final debate concerns the sectors covered by the Industrial Accelerator Act.

The argument centres on whether the IAA should remain a targeted response to strategic dependencies or become a broader vehicle for EU industrial policy.

Parliament wants to expand the legislation to cover areas such as maritime manufacturing, materials recovery, and certain plastic products used in construction.

It also wants sectors such as fertilizers, rolling stock, robotics, and aerospace considered in future reviews.

The Council text focuses more tightly on sectors already identified, including energy-intensive industries, automotive, net-zero technologies, and critical raw materials.

The debate reflects wider friction over how far the EU should extend “Made in Europe” preferences.

When public procurement and subsidies are deployed in certain strategic sectors to shield domestic manufacturing, other industries gain a strong incentive to argue that they too should benefit.

According to a separate report by Politico, Brussels is prepared to grant candidate countries access to its single market, provided they agree to align with the bloc against “hostile states” and industrial competitors.

Under the draft plan, candidate countries would receive unprecedented “gradual integration” into the single market while their accession bids are assessed, including frictionless trade and access to research programmes.

An assessment of “pre-enlargement” benefits to be offered to candidate nations states: “The single market is the primary driver of economic convergence.”

The draft states:

“Earlier integration will create opportunities for businesses across the Union, strengthen European value chains, and reduce strategic dependencies. The Commission will identify sectors where verified regulatory alignment and enforcement capacity allow for deeper participation in research, innovation, and industrial cooperation, as well as broader market access. Priority should be given to opportunities that advance accession preparations and address shared economic and strategic needs.”

Overseen by Alexandre Adam, top adviser to Ursula von der Leyen and former aide to French President Emmanuel Macron, the review would fundamentally transform the EU’s approach to neighbouring countries.

At present, almost all the economic advantages of closer cooperation remain reserved for member states.

No new country has joined the EU since Croatia’s accession in 2013.

As part of Adam’s package of measures, Ukraine, Moldova, Albania, and Montenegro are set to receive “roadmaps” designed to accelerate their accession process in the coming years.

For other nations, including North Macedonia, Kosovo, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Türkiye, the process continues to drag on amid mounting fears that they could drift away from the EU or draw closer to Russia or China.

Under the Commission’s blueprint, economic benefits extended to candidate countries would depend on their backing of EU foreign policy goals.

Single market access would hinge on candidate states not sharing key technologies with hostile governments and commercial rivals.

The review document notes:

“As industrial and market integration deepens, participation in sensitive sectors must go hand in hand with cooperation on investment screening, export controls, sanctions enforcement, and the protection of sensitive technologies. Access assessments must consider strategic alignment, critical dependencies, and the capacity to manage risks to infrastructure and supply chains. Where these conditions are not met, the scope of participation should be recalibrated under the relevant regulatory framework.”

Areas being considered for closer cooperation include semiconductors, quantum technologies, biotechnology, artificial intelligence, and space.

According to the review, full EU membership must remain the ultimate goal for candidate countries.

“Yet accession takes time: candidate countries must complete a rigorous, merit-based process and deliver comprehensive, enduring reforms,” the report notes. “This period must be fully exploited strategically, both to prepare the Union for a wider membership and to deepen gradual integration in areas of mutual interest.”

The benefits gained, however, will be contingent on countries fulfilling their obligations:

“Where these commitments are not honoured, integration must be reversible. The accession process should be suspended or rolled back where deemed necessary.”

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German industry lobby urges priority for growth and competitiveness

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A new policy paper published by the Federation of German Industries (BDI) calls for “making German industry, growth, and competitiveness the top priority” in Germany.

Based on this foundation, the BDI document sets out guiding principles for German foreign policy.

According to German Foreign Policy, the document, published last Friday (25 September), strongly emphasises that existing dependencies must be consistently reduced in both Germany and the EU.

The document highlights a “systemic rivalry” between the EU and China and advocates “de-risking”, particularly in the field of critical raw materials.

The BDI advocates a similar “de-risking” regarding the US as well. However, the document states that this should not come at the expense of long-term strategic relations with the US.

Expanding the EU’s “partnerships” worldwide with other countries and alliances is also among the policy recommendations.

Top priority: Growth

The BDI is the most influential association of German industry, representing 38 separate member associations, more than 100,000 companies, and approximately eight million employees.

In its latest policy paper, the association calls for “new economic policy orientations” in light of weakening growth and declining competitiveness in Germany and Europe, as well as fundamental shifts in global politics and the international system.

Titled “Principles of Economic and Trade Policy”, the document is published against the backdrop of ongoing debates on crisis and reform in Germany and calls for “making German industry, growth, and competitiveness the top priority”.

This document is understood not as a political wish list for day-to-day politics, but rather as a common guideline for member associations.

Finding of “systemic rivalry” with China

In its sections on foreign trade and European policy, the document highlights, on the one hand, the EU’s competition with China, classifying it as “systemic rivalry”.

Referring to China’s “state-driven” market distortions, it states that the implementation of existing measures to bolster the Union’s competitiveness remains inadequate.

Arguing that “de-risking” and reducing dependencies regarding the People’s Republic of China remain the correct approach, the BDI wants these steps implemented “more rigorously”.

According to the BDI, even if “de-risking” incurs costs, including those arising from Chinese countermeasures, “remaining passive is, in the long run, economically far more expensive and irresponsible in terms of security policy.”

According to industrialists, the EU in particular must reduce its strategic dependence on critical raw materials in response to the “challenge” posed by the Chinese economy to the “open social market economy”.

In addition, it seeks to ensure the “rapid and legally robust implementation of investment screening and export controls”.

This translates into tighter restrictions on investments by Chinese companies and exports to the People’s Republic of China.

Finally, the report highlights the need for new economic “defensive instruments”, including anti-dumping and anti-subsidy measures, to counter competitive distortions.

Ambivalent stance in relations with the US

At the same time, the document adopts a stance toward the US that is at times similar to the position taken toward China.

The document identifies a “progressive paradigm shift in US trade and industrial policy” and advocates a “self-confident” and “interest-driven European position”.

Furthermore, it proposes establishing an “enhanced transatlantic de-risking dialogue” aimed, on the one hand, at safeguarding European autonomy and, on the other, at developing shared transatlantic priorities regarding critical technologies and resilient supply chains.

Finally, the BDI advocates adopting appropriate countermeasures against US protectionist measures that weaken the competitiveness of European companies.

However, it is urged that this should not come at the expense of long-term strategic relations with the US.

Emphasis on new partners beyond the US and China

According to the BDI, beyond realigning its relations with China and the US, the EU must also expand its strategic partnerships with other regions of the world.

The goal is to build a “resilient network of like-minded partners”, “particularly for raw materials and key technologies of strategic importance”, offering “market access, investment protection, and the diversification of critical supply chains”.

Throughout this year, the EU has signed a series of trade agreements with countries and economic blocs across the world.

In January, a free trade agreement was signed with Mercosur, the South American trade bloc comprising Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay. Bolivia is not a party to the agreement because it became a full member of Mercosur after the treaty text was finalised.

Eliminating tariffs on more than 91% of EU exports to Mercosur countries, this agreement was the culmination of negotiations that lasted more than a quarter of a century.

Also in January, the EU signed a trade agreement with India, regarded as the largest free trade agreement in India’s history.

Under the terms of the agreement, both sides aim to reduce or eliminate tariffs on more than 95% of their bilateral imports.

A comprehensive rapprochement is also taking shape in EU relations with Canada. Canada, whose relations with the US have deteriorated significantly due to Trump’s annexation threats, welcomes this development.

On 16 September, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen formally invited Canada to become the EU’s first “associate member”.

Presenting this unprecedented offer to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney at the European Parliament, she stated that the EU and Canada “view the world from the same perspective”, for instance regarding the war in Ukraine.

Von der Leyen’s offer followed Carney’s call on ten EU member states to finally formally ratify the EU’s trade agreement with Canada, which was signed nine years ago.

Carney argued that this would make all parties “more resilient, more independent”, and more prosperous.

Known as the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), which provisionally entered into force in 2017, the agreement between Canada and the EU has not yet been ratified by ten EU member states.

This is primarily due to concerns that Canadian agricultural exports could harm European farmers.

Industrial bosses want wage suppression

In addition to foreign trade and European policy, several other areas are addressed in the BDI policy paper.

For instance, one section addresses “economy, competition, regulation, and industrial policy”. Here, it is stated that Germany as a business location needs growth-enhancing measures and structural reforms.

“High labour and energy costs, alongside the high tax burden on labour and capital”, rank among the most critical areas where reforms are deemed necessary.

The BDI also advocates introducing “spending discipline” to prevent massive public expenditure, including military build-up and infrastructure, from spiralling out of control.

In the section titled “Digital and Innovation Policy”, it is noted that technological sovereignty and resilience must be advanced.

This encompasses the “expansion of common European data spaces, further development of an integrated digital single market, simplification of digital regulation, and robust cybersecurity architectures”.

Furthermore, it demands that Germany and the EU expand their capacities across the entire semiconductor supply chain, from research and design to basic chemical products and system integration.

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Key European allies excluded from US-led NATO meeting in Poland

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The Trump administration has not invited several key European allies to a meeting of NATO members scheduled for next month.

According to six diplomats who spoke to Politico, the meeting, to be held in Poland and spearheaded by Pentagon policy chief Elbridge Colby, essentially functions as a working group focused on the future of NATO.

However, many nations that did not receive invitations, such as the United Kingdom, France, and the Baltic states, are countries with high defence spending that play pivotal roles in the alliance.

This circumstance has led diplomats to wonder why they have been excluded.

These nations are questioning whether the White House is taking sides in a manner that could further fragment an alliance already grappling with “mounting Russian aggression and depleted weapons stockpiles”.

An official from one of the uninvited allied countries said: “We are doing everything asked of us. We are trying to understand what the criteria are and what the purpose of these meetings is. Little information has been conveyed to us so far.”

Politico reported last April that the White House had drawn up a sort of “naughty and nice” list of NATO countries, based on member states’ contributions to the alliance and their support for the US war in Iran.

The administration was considering reorganising military deployments, joint exercises, and arms procurement to reward countries deemed more loyal to Washington’s foreign policy stance.

Bloomberg reported on 14 August that the US had sent detailed questionnaires to NATO allies to gauge how closely aligned they were with Donald Trump’s agenda.

These questionnaires specifically assessed their support for US foreign policy and the continued use of US military bases.

Colby previously organised two meetings in the same format with Poland, Germany, Norway, Sweden, Finland, and the Netherlands.

These talks have come to be known as the “Bergen Group”, and Denmark may also be added to the group.

A diplomat from one of the participating countries stated that this smaller format was designed not to divide NATO, but to develop proposals that could subsequently be evaluated by the entire alliance.

Colby likewise stated that the goal was “to pull the whole alliance in the same direction” and build a stronger NATO with a more robust European military capability.

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