Connect with us

Diplomacy

Former diplomat warns forcing Iran out of the NPT is the greatest danger

Published

on

According to former Indian diplomat M.K. Bhadrakumar, the tension between Iran and Israel stems not from the possibility of Tehran developing nuclear weapons, but from Israel’s ambition to preserve its regional dominance.

Drawing on his 30-year diplomatic career involving close contact with Iran, Bhadrakumar expressed that his greatest fear is the prospect of Iran being pressured into withdrawing from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT).

‘The real issue is Israel’s regional dominance’

Speaking at an online panel organized by the Schiller Institute titled We Must Reject the Path to Nuclear War, Bhadrakumar asserted that he does not believe the current situation originates from Iran’s nuclear program. “This is the core of the problem. I have never believed that Iran is creating nuclear weapons. So, where does that leave us today? It’s all about Israel’s security. Israel is a major global military power. It is the world’s foremost military state, a position secured through the unified support of the US and European governments,” he assessed.

Emphasizing that Iran is a signatory to the NPT and remains open to international inspections, Bhadrakumar stressed the geopolitical nature of the conflict. “The problem is geopolitical, as it enables Israel’s continuous domination of the Middle East. In my view, this carries a grave responsibility for the current crisis,” he stated.

‘Forcing Iran to exit the NPT is the greatest danger’

Drawing attention to the 2015 nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), Bhadrakumar noted that Iran had significantly limited its nuclear program and allowed for comprehensive inspections under this agreement.

“My great fear is that Iran might take a step to leave the NPT. This is my biggest concern,” Bhadrakumar said.

Reflecting on his three decades of engagement with Iran’s political elite, Bhadrakumar remarked, “I see very little chance that Iran will relinquish its rights concerning its nuclear capabilities. This unfortunate position has been reaffirmed even in recent days.”

‘Regional movements are not Iran’s invention’

Bhadrakumar contended that movements such as Hamas and Hezbollah were not created by Iran but are natural outcomes of the region’s unresolved problems, especially the Palestinian issue. He explained, “Hamas, Hezbollah, and others are all manifestations of the circumstances and inherent rights within the region. Paradoxically, Iran is in a position to influence these groups toward moderation and must be included as a party to any potential comprehensive solution.”

‘There is still hope for diplomacy’

Despite the challenging circumstances, Bhadrakumar expressed his belief that a path for diplomacy still exists, highlighting Russia’s influence in the region. The former diplomat dismissed the notion of a rigid anti-Western bloc comprising Russia, China, and Iran, asserting that these nations each preserve their strategic autonomy.

Bhadrakumar assessed, “Russia holds significant influence in Iran. These countries follow their own paths and cherish their strategic autonomy, which is why I don’t subscribe to the idea of a rigid bloc. At the same time, however, there is a certain unity between Russia and Iran.”

Finally, Bhadrakumar recalled that Russia had previously proposed a consortium that involved storing Iran’s surplus enriched uranium on its territory, adding that such solutions might still be possible.

Diplomacy

Allies step back from US as default partner across assets and defence

Published

on

The US is losing its status as the “default choice” for allied governments that have spent decades keeping their money in the country, purchasing weapons, and sending their students to American universities.

American news website Axios emphasises that even small steps away from this Washington-centred balance could harm the advantages that have long sustained US economic power.

Steps taken by European countries to repatriate their financial reserves rank among the concrete signs of this trend.

The Netherlands withdrew approximately 86 tonnes of gold from the US and Canada last week, describing the move as a precaution against “extreme risks”.

France relocated the entirety of its gold reserves in New York back home, while Germany announced its intention to take a similar step.

Amid market volatility, Norway’s sovereign wealth fund announced plans to reduce its holdings of US Treasury bonds.

A similar picture draws attention in the defence industry. According to information reported by Reuters, Europe is seeking to reduce its dependence on the US and is purchasing more military equipment from manufacturers within the continent.

In addition, the European Union (EU) shared plans last summer to develop new strategies for cloud computing services to limit dependence on American technology companies.

A noticeable decline is also visible in the interest of foreign students and visitors in the US. Axios reported that applications by foreign students to American universities dropped by 10% during the latest application cycle.

The report linked this decrease to tightened rules on student visas and broader immigration policies implemented by the administration of US President Donald Trump. At the same time, travel to the US fell by 5.5% in 2025, marking the first decline since the COVID-19 pandemic.

According to an analysis published by Foreign Affairs magazine in June, Trump’s return to the White House prompted European countries to reassess their security architecture and accelerated rearmament on the continent.

With Trump taking office, relations between Washington and its European allies grew noticeably strained. Washington repeatedly demanded that European countries increase their defence spending.

Trump also criticised NATO allies on the grounds that they did not provide sufficient support to the US during the war with Iran, and threatened to review Washington’s role in the alliance.

In light of these developments, calls in Europe to strengthen self-defence and reduce dependence on Washington became more frequent.

In a report published in June titled “Defending Europe, Deterring Russia”, the EU Institute for Security Studies called on continental nations to assume greater responsibility within NATO.

The report stressed that military spending must be increased, arms and ammunition production accelerated, joint procurement expanded, and the domestic defence industry developed.

The authors of the study noted that Europe can no longer rely on the previous level of military support from the US.

Continue Reading

Diplomacy

Anthropic uncovers Claude use by Iranian, Houthi, and Russian units

Published

on

Artificial intelligence company Anthropic has disclosed attempted “abuses” of its Claude AI model ranging from conventional weapons to biological research by state-linked entities, foreign intelligence services, and cybercrime networks, publishing the findings in a detailed threat intelligence report.

A significant portion of the report comprised the development of guided missile software by the Houthis in northern Yemen and the conversion of the model into a military reconnaissance tool by Iran-linked actors seeking to target US naval assets in the Middle East.

Covering the period between December 2025 and August 2026, the report shared details of activities detected across seven primary areas: cyberattacks, influence operations, mass surveillance, conventional weapons development, biological risks, and unauthorised model distillation.

The company announced that it had terminated all accounts violating its rules and shared the resulting data with relevant international counterparts.

According to findings by Anthropic’s Threat Intelligence unit, a weapons cell based in northern Yemen, where the Houthis operate, substituted human software engineers with the Claude Code system across three distinct missile development programmes.

These efforts comprised a tactical rocket equipped with a terminal guidance system powered by a commercial smartphone processor, a multi-stage ballistic missile with a target range exceeding 2,000 kilometres, and missile designs carrying a hypersonic glide vehicle.

The cell utilised the artificial intelligence to adapt open-source autopilot software to the smartphone processor, optimize flight control algorithms, and compile firmware.

Structuring their Claude accounts like a virtual engineering team, the Houthis assigned one account to write code, another to conduct research, and a third to review and audit the written code.

The report noted that the group conducted an actual test launch with a guided rocket in the Yemeni theatre.

Immediately following the failure of the live-fire test, the actors were documented returning to the Claude platform within hours to upload telemetry data and diagnose the cause of the malfunction.

The cell was observed successfully compiling offline simulation tools capable of operating independently even if access to Claude were severed.

Iran tracked US warships and personnel

Another military case detailed in the report involved attempts by Iran-linked cyber actors to target US naval forces in the Middle East.

These actors were found to have scraped open-source military data to draft operational targeting manuals directed against American warships and personnel.

Iran extracted name rosters of American military personnel from the captions of publicly accessible military photographs, monitored vessel and aircraft transponder data, authored code to scan commercial satellite imagery, and mapped vulnerabilities in maritime satellite communication terminals.

Other networks linked to the Tehran government were determined to have developed domestic and regional surveillance systems. A Qom-based unit produced a malicious web browser extension disguised as a prayer-time application to harvest credentials from social network users, funneling the data into a central case management system designated “Arman”.

Additionally, official Iranian institutions reportedly cloned authors’ voices using AI and operated multilingual disinformation networks to lay the groundwork for the supreme leadership succession.

Russia also used it for an autonomous kamikaze drone swarm

The report stated that an independent Russia-based software team developed fully autonomous kamikaze uncrewed aerial vehicle swarm software dubbed “DronDoc” or “Serafim”.

Affiliated with a university connected to the Russian Academy of Sciences, the team was said to have trained the artificial intelligence to distinguish between friendly and hostile elements using footage retrieved from the Ukrainian battlefield.

The developed system was designed with the capability to select targets, execute live human classification, and issue detonation commands without requiring human intervention, with simulations run directly against coordinates in the Donetsk region.

Meanwhile, the Russian-origin “Midnight Blizzard” group targeted the Ukrainian drone supply chain and staged attacks aimed at foreign officials and drone engineers by compromising hotel Wi-Fi networks.

A procurement manager stationed at a design bureau in Moscow was also discovered drafting plans via Claude to circumvent European sanctions. The individual was recorded assembling fraudulent tender and logistics correspondence to transport German-made magnetometers, space-grade photovoltaic sheets, and military aviation oxygen systems into Russia through intermediary firms based in China and Hong Kong.

Biological threats and pathogen engineering

The report disclosed five concrete cases regarding the deployment of artificial intelligence in hazardous biological research. Virologists attached to a military research institute were documented using AI for gain-of-function research aimed at enhancing the transmissibility and immune-evasion capabilities of the mosquito-borne Chikungunya virus.

Similarly, experimental designs were prepared to adapt the H5 avian influenza variant, which carries a 50% mortality rate in humans, to mammals and confer airborne transmission capabilities, while immune-evasion mechanisms of pathogens from the smallpox virus family were modelled.

The identities of paralytic neurotoxins subject to export control lists and haemorrhagic fever virus proteins featured on the World Health Organization’s priority epidemic list were deliberately masked and submitted to the AI for analysis.

In addition, a consultant working on behalf of the Malian State Intelligence Service designed a mass surveillance platform designated “Lakana 360” with the assistance of Claude.

The system was designed to monitor approximately 25 million SIM cards registered across three mobile operators in the country without requiring court orders, intercept audio recordings, and cross-reference records with biometric databases.

Separately, leading Chinese artificial intelligence firms including Alibaba, Moonshot, DeepSeek, Zhipu, and Xiaomi were alleged to have initiated hundreds of millions of unauthorised sessions to extract the logical reasoning chains of Claude models. Moonshot and DeepSeek platforms reportedly routed their own users’ queries secretly through Claude, in the process exposing Chinese police surveillance feeds from hundreds of cameras covering military facilities in Chengdu, internal credentials of Chinese state-owned enterprises, and live database access codes connected to the Russian Defence Ministry to third parties.

Türkiye detail in the report

The report also detailed cases involving the abuse of the Claude AI model, incorporating findings concerning an Istanbul-based technology firm.

In case GTG-84005 of the intelligence report, an operation aimed at commercial election manipulation targeting voters in Malaysia was intercepted.

According to the findings, the operation operated under the guise of a startup providing cyber intelligence and counter-disinformation tools. Anthropic determined that Istanbul-based BBS Bilisim Teknolojileri was behind the infrastructure.

According to documents, the company marketed the architecture as a paid influence operation service styled as a “military-grade, AI-powered, real-time political operations ecosystem”.

Managing roughly 1,000 synthetic X accounts, the system processed demographic and electoral data across 222 parliamentary constituencies in Malaysia, calibrating targeting around sensitive social fault lines including ethnicity, religion, and the monarchy.

The network also circulated content from Russian and Chinese state media masquerading as independent Malaysian news via an artificial media outlet designated “Malaysia Pulse”, while manufacturing fraudulent intelligence dossiers targeting an opposition politician and civil society organisations.

Anthropic reported that the network received a request to generate 1 million artificial impressions in support of the Malaysian Prime Minister and sought to secure a contract with the country’s national communications regulatory authority.

While no evidence emerged that the undertaking succeeded, the associated user accounts were closed and operational digital indicators were shared.

Continue Reading

Diplomacy

EU pursues closer ties with Israel on space and air defence

Published

on

The EU is turning to Israel to bolster its new initiatives in high-tech air defence and space capabilities.

Shimrit Maman, head of the Israel Space Agency, travelled to Brussels this week and met on Tuesday with European Commissioner for Startups, Research and Innovation Ekaterina Zaharieva to discuss key sectors, including artificial intelligence and robotics.

The visit took place ahead of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s first major speech on space, scheduled for Thursday at a summit in Paris.

In the speech, Von der Leyen is expected to warn against mounting hostilities and emphasise the necessity of strengthening Europe’s presence in space.

“It’s very hard to do everything by yourself,” Maman told Politico, adding that the militarization of space is “already happening, it’s just we are not aware of the extent,” and noting that allies are showing growing interest in “dual-use” technologies intended for both civilian and defence purposes:

“One thing we’re working on is early-warning systems. For example, during the last wave [of missile attacks] with Iran, we saw this very clearly. How we were getting the alerts to all the civilians in Israel, and that made the casualties so low. This is part of the system. We’re working on a very holistic view, where you can alert in advance, the system alerts the citizens.”

Following several years of effective disengagement caused by political tensions surrounding the invasion of Gaza, the EU has recently begun forging closer military and technological ties with Israel through a series of agreements.

Competition from Washington and strategic rivalry with Moscow and Beijing have nevertheless underlined the requirement for allies possessing sophisticated industrial capacity.

In 2024, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen backed calls by Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis to create an EU-funded air defence shield.

Three senior officials involved in the discussions said, however, that the plans stalled after officials in the Commission and several national capitals concluded that the project would require reliance on Israeli air defence technology, which was considered too sensitive one year into the Gaza conflict.

Yet Israel’s Rafael, which is expanding its European operations significantly, has now confirmed that it will open a factory to manufacture the Iron Dome air defence system at a former Volkswagen plant in Germany.

One week ago, Greece signed a 3 billion euro agreement with the Israel Ministry of Defense.

The deal provides for the establishment of a new multi-layered air defence network designed to shoot down drones, hostile jets, and rockets.

“We see everything integrating into this multi-layer defence approach,” Maman said, highlighting satellite imagery and artificial intelligence modelling as primary focal points for joint development efforts:

“I’m not only seeing defence as ballistic missiles from Iran… think about a fire, a flash flood or even a long drought… we have a proven track record, and we’re getting really good results.”

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey