According to Egyptian intelligence, negotiations for a ceasefire in Gaza will continue until the US presidential election. Israel believes that the US will develop a ‘different approach’ if Trump wins the election.
Egyptian intelligence reportedly believes that the ongoing negotiations between Israel and Hamas on a prisoner swap and ceasefire agreement in Gaza could last until the US presidential election in November.
According to the Lebanese daily Al-Akhbar, Egyptian sources believe that the prisoner swap and ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel will not be finalised until after the US elections. According to the newspaper, which cited an unnamed source, Egyptian intelligence has submitted a report to the presidency on the ceasefire process in Gaza.
The report predicted that the ongoing negotiations between Israel and Hamas on a prisoner swap and ceasefire agreement in Gaza might not last until after the US presidential elections in November, and included scenarios in which attacks on Gaza would continue until the end of the year.
The source said that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu believes that with the possibility of former US President Donald Trump returning to power, a different approach will develop in the US administration regarding the attacks on Gaza.
Commitment to end the war
On the other hand, J.D. Vance, the Republican vice-presidential candidate, said he would call on Israel to end the war in Gaza “as soon as possible”.
In an interview with Fox News, Vance argued that US President Joe Biden had allowed the war to go on too long. Joe Biden has made it harder and harder to win the war,’ Vance said, arguing that the longer the war goes on, the harder it will be for Israel and the harder it will be to achieve a sustainable peace. Vance claimed that Trump would revive the process of reaching a peace deal with Saudi Arabia and that this would be an appropriate response to Iran.
In a debate with Biden at the end of June, Trump accused Biden of acting ‘like a Palestinian’ in the conflict between Israel and Hamas and said ‘Israel must be allowed to finish the job’.
If Trump wins the presidential election, Israel seems to hope that it will be able to continue its massacres and occupation of Gaza more easily and start the negotiation process with Arab countries without imposing a two-state solution.
The negotiation process
US President Joe Biden announced on 31 May that Israel had presented a new ceasefire proposal consisting of 3 phases. Although Biden said that this proposal belonged to Israel, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said that they would continue their attacks on Gaza until the “set goals” were achieved.
Netanyahu claimed in his speech to the Parliamentary Foreign Affairs and Defence Committee on 3 June that there were ‘gaps’ between Israel’s proposal and Biden’s.
