Parliamentary elections will be held next year in Poland, a country which currently serves as a logistics center for the arms and equipment flow to Ukraine in Russia’s ongoing military operation.
Despite all its sympathy for NATO over Ukraine, Poland is now under a heavy pressure from its staunchest allies.
The United States is now trying to develop various instruments for a change of government, by supporting the main opposition in the Polish Parliament. Likewise, Germany is coming up with ultimatums of receding the European Union (EU) funds, in its efforts to elect out the Law and Justice (PiS) government, and to replace it with the former European Council President Donald Tusk.
New ambassadors of these countries mentioned above have just got in office in Poland; The new US ambassador to Warsaw was appointed last year to be Mark Brzezinski, son of the former US National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski, who is also known as the architect of the Afghanistan trap for the US. Germany has also appointed Thomas Bagger as its new ambassador to Warsaw in July.
Mark Brzezinski gave a presentation to the US Senate on December 1st 2021, about the diplomatic course he is planned to take in Poland, and stated that in his bilateral contacts with the Warsaw officials he will “emphasize the importance of the independent judiciary and media, and recognition of human rights, especially those of LGBTQI+ and other minorities.”
Brzezinski’s first month in office was marked by the official visits to his office in Warsaw by the US President Joe Biden, Vice-President Kamala Harris and other Washington top officials. On March 29th Brzezinski met with Jaroslaw Gowin, who served as the Minister of Justice in Donald Tusk’s cabinet and discussed about “the current visions of the US-Polish relations, especially in economic areas”.
On April 3rd, Brzezinski invited the regional chair of Google in Poland to his residence, and was also attended by Szymon Holownia, an opposition party leader. There is no doubt that the US government requested Google to run its algorithms in favor of the opposition parties amidst the elections.
And on April 11th, Brzezinski traveled to the Polish cities of Szczecin and Poznan with the former German ambassador Arndt Freytag von Loringhoven, who is the son of Adolf Hitler’s personal staff officer.
On April 13th, Brzezinski met with Aleksander Kwasniewski, the former Polish president who was known for his close ties to the Russian and Ukrainian oligarchs.
Brzezinski, who invited Waldemar Pawlak and Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz, who were the signatories of the gas transfer agreements signed with the Russian Gazprom on April 27th, has recently met with Donald Tusk on July 5th.
The new German ambassador to Warsaw Thomas Bagger, is a professional in his diplomatic career and is the son of the former Inspector General of the Bundeswehr. His father was born Braniewo (formerly Braunsberg, East Prussia) in 1938 and was deported along with his mother and brother in 1945. Prior to arriving in Warsaw, Ambassador Bagger worked with the German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier for five years.
Only a few months after Crimea was annexed by Russia, Bagger came to Poland at the invitation of the Bertelsmann Foundation and declared that “the EU will not start a Cold War against Russia.”
Bagger’s remarks during his visit to Warsaw, were basically a re-phasing of Berlin’s stance on relations with Moscow until the Ukrainian conflict began. Bagger stressed that “the German government continues to support the bilateral relations and trade that is ongoing between Russia and the EU”.
The chances of winning another election for the PiS government, which has so far adequately fulfilled its duties as an American vassal even though coming against the Biden administration’s agendas in most cases and being at odds with Germany, the driving locomotive of the EU, look very slim right now.
The enormous public expenditures caused by the millions of refugees and the missions taken on behalf of NATO has greatly weakened the power grip of the government.
Germany is currently pressuring Poland to loyally act as a buffer zone, on the issue of refugees.
On the other hand, holding the record in arms supply to Ukraine means that, Poland is either pouring more and more money into the US arms industry or is in an enormous debt. Warsaw, which will pay 14.1 billion USD on standard prices for the new F-35 fighters and Abrams main battle tanks and Patriot missile systems, keeps buying more and newer weapons from the US, but will have a much larger debt, during the payment period than it had during the entire year.
Although Washington owes a lot to President Andrzej Duda and PiS for these purchases, they still desire a more loyal ally. Ambassador Brzezinski’s close friendship with Rafal Trzaskowski, who si the leader of main rival party to the PiS, which even Brzezinski does not hide, is basically a proof to this.
Trzaskowski, who has been mayor of Warsaw since 2018, was the Civic Platform’s (PO) presidential candidate in the 2020 elections, which Duda defeated with a very narrow win.
The processes in Slovenia and Bulgaria and the defeat of the right-wing parties that have been a loyal pawn for NATO in these countries, gave a lesson to Warsaw and the PiS. Clearly, Washington is looking for more loyal and colorful allies at all aspects, and also looking for allies who do not undermine NATO, which has now re-consolidated with the Ukrainian crisis, and not going at odds with Brussels.
