Middle East
UAE-backed forces advance in Yemen as Saudi Arabia withdraws from Aden
UAE-backed forces are advancing in Yemen as Saudi Arabia withdraws from Aden. On December 7, forces of the Southern Transitional Council (STC), supported by the United Arab Emirates (UAE), secured control of the al-Aqlah oil facility in Yemen’s Shabwa province.
This move marks a period of significantly escalating tensions between UAE and Saudi Arabia-backed forces in the country.
According to military sources cited by Aden Independent TV, STC forces have taken full control of the facility. Many strategic points in the center of Shabwa have also fallen under the control of the UAE-backed group in recent days.
Riyadh administration evacuates Aden
The Sana’a-based news outlet al-Masirah reported that the Saudi army has begun evacuating personnel from Aden.
The report stated that a Saudi military cargo plane evacuated dozens of soldiers serving at the coalition command headquarters and camps. It was also noted that the Saudi-led coalition has completely closed Yemen’s airspace, halting civilian flight permits.
Analysts speaking to al-Masirah interpreted the evacuation decision as a “clear and deliberate response to the STC’s moves.” Recent actions, particularly in the eastern provinces of Hadramaut and al-Mahra, were reportedly seen by Riyadh as “crossing red lines.”
STC sources informed the Reuters news agency that some members of the Saudi-backed government have also begun to leave Aden.
Saudi Arabia has also withdrawn its troops from the presidential palace in Aden, where both the internationally recognized government and the STC have been based in recent years.
Control shifts in Hadramaut and al-Mahra
Last week, STC forces captured the strategic city of Sayun in Hadramaut, Yemen’s largest province.
Operating under the name “Promised Future,” the forces took control of the city following clashes with Ministry of Defense units loyal to the Saudi-backed Presidential Leadership Council.
Sayun is the second-largest city in the energy-rich Hadramaut province.
Continuing their advance, STC units entered some areas in the oil-rich al-Mahra province, extending their military presence to the Omani border.
Clashes have been ongoing throughout Hadramaut since the end of last month. The “Hadramaut Protection Forces,” a Saudi-backed tribal structure established at the beginning of the year, called for “resistance” against the STC’s advance and accused the group of preparing to occupy the region.
Al-Masirah reported that STC forces conducted raids across Hadramaut, engaged in looting, and created an “atmosphere of fear” among the population.
According to information from the region, numerous homes were raided, merchants were extorted, and soldiers were beaten in areas controlled by the STC. The report emphasized that the group has become the “de facto authority” in the province.
Ceasefire collapses, separatist goal nears
An assessment by the Soufan Center noted that the STC’s recent territorial gains were achieved with very little fighting. Observers have interpreted this as an indication that some areas were surrendered to the Emirati-backed group.
Although a ceasefire was reached between the parties on December 3, the agreement quickly became void as the STC continued its advance.
The latest developments on the ground mean that the STC now effectively controls most of the territory it aims to establish as an independent state in South Yemen.
The UAE was one of the main partners in the Saudi-led war launched in 2015 against the Ansarallah (Houthi) administration in Yemen.
However, in recent years, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi have been engaged in a struggle for influence and control in Yemen. Critics accuse the two countries of trying to divide Yemen to bring its natural resources and strategic ports into their respective spheres of influence.
Ansarallah forces made military progress in Ma’rib at the end of 2021, but the start of peace talks halted the attacks.
Although Saudi Arabia and the Ansarallah administration in Sana’a came close to a peace agreement in 2023, the process was not completed. The Saudi army is known to be continuing its bombardment of Sa’ada and other border regions today.
The STC is reported to have strongly opposed the negotiations conducted at that time between Riyadh and Ansarallah.
Middle East
US submits draft IAEA resolution demanding immediate Iranian cooperation on enriched uranium
The United States has approached the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to determine the fate of Iran’s highly enriched uranium.
According to a report by Reuters, which cited diplomatic sources and obtained a draft resolution prepared by the US and presented to member states, Tehran is being called upon to provide the agency with precise and clear information regarding its nuclear material accounting and monitored nuclear facilities.
The text drafted by the US demands that the Tehran administration grant all necessary access permissions required to verify this information. The draft resolution emphasizes that Iran’s cooperation is a vital and urgent necessity, stating that the process must be executed without any delay.
The current draft does not yet include a referral to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), which would typically be expected following an IAEA resolution declaring that Iran has violated its obligations under the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). That violation decision was issued on June 12, 2025, one day before a 12-day war waged by the US and Israel against Iran last year. Diplomats speaking to Reuters indicated that the option of referring the matter to the UNSC remains under evaluation.
The Al Mayadeen television channel also reported, based on a copy of the draft resolution it obtained, that Washington is lobbying member states of the IAEA Board of Governors intensively to support its position.
These diplomatic moves coincide with a call from IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi for renewed engagement with Tehran. In his statement, Grossi said, “I call on Iran to work constructively with the agency to facilitate the full and effective implementation of safeguards in Iran. Re-engaging is of utmost importance.”
Reuters had previously reported in early June that the US was preparing a draft resolution to censure Iran at the upcoming IAEA meeting.
The Tehran administration continues to accuse the IAEA of systematically leaking sensitive and confidential information to Israel. At the end of the 12-day war last year, the US targeted Iran’s critical nuclear facilities and claimed to have destroyed Tehran’s entire nuclear program. However, intelligence assessments at the time revealed that Washington’s claims did not reflect reality.
Since those attacks, the IAEA has been requesting access to the struck nuclear facilities for inspection purposes. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi characterized the agency’s request last year as malicious.
In early April, Washington announced it had launched a rescue operation for a pilot downed in Iranian airspace. However, during the operation, US forces encountered stiff resistance from Iranian soldiers and, according to reports in the press, lost numerous aerial assets.
Following these developments, the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement suggesting that the military move conducted by the US under the guise of a pilot rescue operation may have been part of a deceptive and covert mission with the actual objective of stealing enriched uranium.
Middle East
IAEA reports no major change in Iran nuclear assessment despite three months of conflict
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported no major changes in its assessments of Iran’s nuclear program since clashes between the US, Israel, and Iran began approximately three months ago, according to a report sent to United Nations (UN) member states on Thursday.
The confidential report, reviewed by the Reuters news agency ahead of next week’s meeting of the IAEA’s 35-nation Board of Governors, revealed very few differences compared to previous reports prepared before the conflict began.
In the report, the agency reiterated its call for Iranian officials to provide updated information on the status of their enriched uranium stockpiles.
According to Reuters, the report stated: “The Director General has stressed that the effective implementation of Iran’s Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) Safeguards Agreement is mandatory and urgent, and that this implementation cannot be suspended by Iran under any circumstances.”
Since Israel and the US bombed the nuclear installations for the first time last June, the UN nuclear watchdog has been unable to return to these sites, and Iran has not shared updated data regarding the status of its stockpiles.
“The issue of the Agency losing continuity of knowledge regarding all previously declared nuclear material at the affected facilities in Iran needs to be addressed with extreme urgency,” the confidential report warned, referring to the sites affected by the US and Israeli bombardments.
Iran’s nuclear program became one of the primary triggers of the conflict, with the Trump administration asserting that Iran posed an “imminent nuclear threat.”
The issue also represents one of the greatest impasses in the recent round of negotiations aimed at ending the conflict.
Nevertheless, both sides have reached a tentative agreement to extend the delicate ceasefire in the three-month conflict for an additional 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to transit, and establish a framework mechanism for comprehensive talks on the future of Iran’s nuclear program and stockpiles.
However, this emerging memorandum of understanding still awaits approval from President Donald Trump and Iranian leaders.
According to a report by The Associated Press, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio painted an optimistic picture of the talks between the US and Iran during his testimony on Tuesday before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the House Appropriations Subcommittee.
“Just a month ago, they agreed to negotiate certain aspects of their nuclear program that a year ago they refused to even mention,” Rubio told senators, later adding that instability within the Iranian leadership has complicated the talks.
Meanwhile, US Vice President JD Vance noted last Thursday that negotiators continue to exchange proposals on certain terms of the agreement, including Iran’s nuclear capacity.
Middle East
Qatar and UAE LNG tankers go dark in Strait of Hormuz to evade security risks
Qatar and United Arab Emirates liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers are turning off their transponders in the Strait of Hormuz, shifting their logistical strategies in response to ongoing military conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the strategic waterway.
According to a Bloomberg report citing industry sources and vessel-tracking data, as time and patience run thin for both nations, tankers have begun operating under radio silence to conceal their movements and secure their LNG shipments.
The report noted that neither Qatar nor Abu Dhabi, the federal emirate of the UAE, is subject to international sanctions. Despite this, state-owned QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC) are employing these “going dark” tactics to minimize security risks for their vessels and crews transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Vessel-tracking data revealed that in May, at least four Qatari LNG vessels and four tankers linked to Abu Dhabi-based ADNOC transited the Strait of Hormuz without transmitting tracking signals. Sources speaking to Bloomberg stated that Qatari authorities requested captains of state-owned and chartered tankers to turn off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders when navigating around the Ras Laffan port—the world’s largest LNG export terminal—as well as when transiting or exiting the Persian Gulf.
The implemented security measures extend beyond turning off transponders. Sources reported that vessels have been instructed to transit the gulf in pairs to enhance security, and tanker captains who refused to comply with the “shadow” navigation protocols have been replaced.
Industry sources speaking to Bloomberg warned that the increase in covert transits undermines the fundamental rules of international maritime trade and transforms these shipping routes into high-risk areas.
They emphasized that until recently, every cargo in the LNG sector could be tracked in real time, but these newly adopted tactics have eliminated that transparency.
Saul Kavonic, a senior energy analyst at energy consultancy MST Marquee, commented on the situation, saying: “It is entirely natural for Persian Gulf LNG producers to try to avoid Iranian attacks and consequently adopt shadow fleet methods. This could persist as long as Iran continues to control and threaten transits through the Strait of Hormuz. This practice may continue for a long time even after a peace agreement is signed.”
Following the start of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the Tehran government closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for approximately 20% of global oil shipments and 30% of global liquefied natural gas.
After negotiations in Islamabad failed, US President Donald Trump announced on April 13 that he would impose a blockade on Iranian ports. In late May, he announced that the blockade was lifted as part of the planned peace treaty process with Tehran.
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