Diplomacy
US prepared to suspend Iran oil sanctions during peace talks, Tasnim reports
The United States is prepared to temporarily suspend sanctions on Iranian oil exports during ongoing peace negotiations, Iran’s Tasnim news agency reported, citing a source close to the negotiating team.
According to the report, Tehran is demanding binding guarantees from Washington that all sanctions will ultimately be lifted, while the US side has proposed removing sanctions only after a final agreement is signed.
A senior Iranian source told Reuters that the United States had shown flexibility on allowing Iran to continue limited peaceful nuclear activities under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
The same source, cited by The Times of Israel, said Tehran’s latest proposal focuses on ending the war, restoring maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, and lifting shipping-related sanctions.
The source added that the most contentious issues — Iran’s nuclear programme and uranium enrichment — had been postponed to later rounds of negotiations.
Al Arabiya television also reported, citing leaked information, that Tehran was revising its proposals in the negotiations with Washington.
According to the report, Iran dropped its earlier demand for compensation over damages caused by military activities and instead requested “economic incentives” along with multiple international guarantees.
Iran also reportedly wants to separate the maritime routes issue from the nuclear file and insists that enriched uranium be transferred to Russia rather than the United States.
The Kremlin had previously said that President Vladimir Putin proposed transferring Iranian uranium to Russia before military conflict erupted between Washington and Tehran. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described the proposal as “a fairly good solution”.
Peskov said Iran had accepted Russia’s proposal but that the United States rejected it. He also said Putin could return to the initiative again “if necessary for the country”.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on May 15 that Tehran was prepared to discuss the option with Moscow, although he indicated it would be addressed at a later stage.
At the same time, Tasnim’s source close to the negotiating team said major disagreements between the Iranian and US peace proposals remained unresolved.
“Although some changes have been made in the new American text, the core disagreements stemming from the Americans’ greed and unrealistic approach remain,” the source said.
The source also said Iran would not retreat from its core positions regarding an end to the war and the return of frozen assets. According to the source, those assets must be returned “not on paper, but transparently and definitively”.
Describing Washington’s nuclear demands as “political pretexts”, the source called linking an end to the war with the nuclear issue “illogical” and said Iran would not accept such a framework.
Reuters had earlier reported, citing a source familiar with the matter, that Iran conveyed its latest proposal to the United States through a Pakistani mediator.
The Pakistani source did not disclose details of the proposal. Asked whether resolving the disputes between the parties would take time, the source replied that the sides were “constantly changing their objectives” and added: “We do not have much time.”
Iran’s Fars news agency also reported on May 17 that the United States had presented five conditions that Tehran must meet before negotiations could proceed.
According to the report, the conditions were:
No compensation or damages to be paid by the United States;
The transfer and handover of 400 kilograms of Iranian uranium to the United States;
The continued operation of only one of Iran’s nuclear facilities;
No release of even 25% of Iranian assets;
The linkage of negotiations and their progress to the cessation of hostilities on all fronts.
Tehran had previously outlined its own demands. Iran’s conditions included:
An end to hostilities on all fronts, particularly in Lebanon;
The removal of anti-Iran sanctions;
The unfreezing of Iranian assets;
Compensation for damages caused by military activities;
Recognition of Iran’s sovereign rights over the Strait of Hormuz.
US President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social on May 17: “Time is running out for Iran, and they better hurry, otherwise there won’t be anything left. TIME IS OF THE ESSENCE!”
Trump had earlier warned that Iran would face “difficult times” if Tehran refused to accept a peace agreement with Washington.
Diplomacy
Ex-BND head Hanning tied to former Mossad chief amid spy inquiry
August Hanning, who led Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) between 1998 and 2005, was arrested on 6 October on allegations that he obtained roughly 2,000 classified agency documents and used them during contacts with intelligence officers from a foreign state.
Accused of high treason and espionage on behalf of a foreign intelligence agency, the former spy chief is alleged to have procured the documents from former BND employee Manfred D.
Prosecutors stated that the leaked records included internal briefing notes presented to senior German officials, though the Berlin government has not yet publicly disclosed which country received the classified data.
According to an exclusive report by Jake Green for The Cradle, seized email exchanges revealed extensive ties between the arrested Hanning and former Mossad director Danny Yatom.
The correspondence shows that the two former intelligence directors built an ongoing network of contacts following their public service, combining commercial ventures, efforts to secure political influence, and intelligence links.
This dynamic has triggered debate that using personal connections and official access for private gain has left Germany’s intelligence apparatus vulnerable.
Intelligence notes for 10,000 euros and campaign proposals
According to the reviewed emails, Hanning told Yatom in a 2018 message that he could prepare an “overall assessment based on information obtained from senior German officials and intelligence agencies” concerning an unidentified candidate.
The former BND head committed to completing the report by 13 July in exchange for 10,000 euros.
Contacts between the two men subsequently expanded to cover domestic political processes in Germany. Ahead of the September 2021 federal election, Yatom asked Hanning to approach leading candidates.
Describing CIY Global as a “political campaign company”, the former Mossad chief noted that he aimed to introduce its capabilities to German politicians, and he mentioned his intention in the same exchange to transfer documents concerning a cybersecurity firm.
Cybersecurity partnership and surveillance operations across Europe
The partnership between Yatom and Hanning reached beyond political lobbying initiatives into the cybersecurity sector.
Hanning reportedly served as a consultant for World Health Energy Holdings, a cybersecurity company linked to Yatom.
Firms of this type, established or managed by former intelligence personnel, provide commercial platforms on the international market for Israeli-origin surveillance, cyber intelligence, and political influence capabilities.
The operational presence of private Israeli-based surveillance technologies across Europe has recently entered judicial records through scandals in Poland, Spain, and Greece.
Polish prosecutors announced on 12 October that data collected under the previous government via Pegasus spyware against political opponents had been transferred out of the country, adding that manufacturer NSO Group maintained access to the technical infrastructure.
In Spain, the 2022 CatalanGate investigation established that at least 65 people, including politicians, lawyers, and civil society representatives, were targeted using Pegasus or Candiru software, with Citizen Lab researchers publishing strong evidence linking the operation to Spanish authorities.
In Greece, the surveillance operation targeting journalist Thanasis Koukakis and Member of the European Parliament Nikos Androulakis was determined to have used Predator software, linked to Intellexa, a company founded by former Israeli intelligence officer Tal Dilian.
In the German espionage investigation, the traffic between Hanning and Yatom involving paid reporting, contacts with electoral candidates, and commercial partnerships does not yet provide conclusive legal evidence regarding the final destination of the roughly 2,000 classified documents.
Nevertheless, the disclosed correspondence gives German investigators a concrete line of inquiry to assess whether classified state secrets reached commercial networks tied to Israeli intelligence.
Diplomacy
Trump dismisses US envoy to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle
US President Donald Trump has dismissed Kimberly Guilfoyle, the US ambassador in Athens, following serious press reports concerning her conduct.
White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia told reporters during her first briefing that Guilfoyle had been asked to resign.
“She was doing a good job, but we didn’t like what we read in the press,” Trump said. “She was not a member of my family. I think she dated my son a long time ago.”
In a social media post, Guilfoyle stated: “These claims are unfounded, and I will resolutely defend my name, reputation, and integrity.” She added that she was particularly proud of the embassy’s work.
According to Kathimerini, her removal came as no surprise in Washington. Days of successive disclosures and vigorous exploitation of the matter by Democrats had been inflicting political damage on the White House ahead of the sensitive midterm elections.
The US State Department was instructed not to comment, with crisis management transferred entirely to the White House.
Reports indicate that most of the president’s team swiftly favoured Guilfoyle’s dismissal, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio was reportedly uneasy with the demonstratively warm public welcome she had staged for him.
Democrats on the House Foreign Affairs Committee have called for an investigation.
“Her resignation does not absolve her of responsibility,” the lawmakers wrote, adding: “While American families struggled to make ends meet, she used her position as a Trump administration official to enrich herself.”
Chargé d’Affaires Josh Huck will assume ambassadorial duties until a successor is chosen.
Meanwhile, Guilfoyle’s departure is expected to cause delays in agreements between Greece and the US.
These include the so-called “Rubio package”, comprising approximately $4 billion in arms deals finalised only days before the secretary of state’s arrival.
Several procedural steps still remain before the contracts can be signed.
In Athens, opposition parties are demanding answers. Dimitris Mantzos of PASOK called for a detailed briefing on the agreements reached during Rubio’s visit.
Diplomacy
IMF warns global economy is nearing the limits of its resilience
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that the global economy’s capacity to withstand fresh shocks is coming under strain.
Worldwide growth has exceeded expectations and maintained stability despite the war in the Middle East and surging oil prices.
However, some policymakers worry that dwindling energy reserves, rising debt burdens, and a growing reliance on the artificial intelligence boom will leave the world increasingly vulnerable.
In a blog post, IMF economic counsellor Silvana Tenreyro wrote: “Without strengthening supply capacity and rebuilding policy buffers, the global economy may soon test the limits of its resilience.”
Tenreyro added:
“While tech-related investments are an important advantage against the energy shock, they concentrate risks, making global growth excessively dependent on a small number of companies, sectors, and economies.”
The artificial intelligence (AI) boom has helped offset the economic fallout of the war.
Yet a sharp reversal could leave global GDP 1.1% below the IMF’s baseline forecast by 2028.
US GDP could take an even larger hit of 1.8%.
This scenario assumes that the productivity gains promised by AI fail to materialise, triggering a pullback in investment and a correction in financial markets.
Continued investment in artificial intelligence could also fuel inflation, leading to renewed interest rate increases.
Conversely, a stronger AI investment boom coupled with faster productivity gains could lift global GDP 0.6% above the baseline forecast by 2029.
The IMF largely maintained its global growth projections despite prolonged energy disruptions stemming from the Middle East war.
However, it now expects higher inflation both this year and next year.
The IMF projects global growth of 3.1% in 2026, unchanged from its April forecast, and anticipates 3.4% in 2027, representing a 0.2 percentage point upward revision.
The fund projects that the US economy will expand by 2.3% in both years, marking the fastest growth among G7 economies. The 2027 forecast was revised upwards by 0.2 percentage points.
Global inflation is expected to reach 4.7% in 2026 before easing to 4.1% in 2027.
Driven by the adverse impact of surging energy and food prices, both inflation projections were revised upwards compared with April.
The world had managed the energy shock partly by drawing down oil reserves and rerouting supply sources.
According to the IMF, global oil inventories are declining by approximately 2.7 million barrels per day, elevating the risk of a sharp price spike.
These projections provide the backdrop for global finance officials and central bankers gathering in Bangkok this week for the annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank.
The IMF underestimated global growth projections for three consecutive years, raising questions over whether economies have become better at weathering shocks.
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