Opinion
Ankara’s attention of the balance and caution
Particularly recently, in the programs I attended with international specialists and analysts, I began to hear statements that praise Turkey very frequently for the careful/balanced policy it took in the Ukraine war. A significant portion of the American press, excluding those who constantly oppose Turkey, has either ended or significantly curbed its criticism of that country. Or, they are obliged to discuss Turkey’s specific policies and the advantages these offer for both Turkey and the West in their critique.
The Grain Agreement and, more importantly, the preparation for the meeting of the American and Russian foreign intelligence chiefs in Ankara while maintaining stable relations with NATO and its Western “allies” on the one hand and refusing to participate in the sanctions imposed against Russia on the other, mark the success of Turkey’s policy. Substantially, this cautious and well-balanced approach, which Ankara developed in the weeks and months leading up to the Ukraine War, is pragmatic in nature and based on national interest. Aiming to be equally distant from both sides, this policy gives more advantages to the stronger side, Moscow. However, in a wide range, from denouncing Russia’s actions on Ukrainian soil in decisions made within the Western world and especially NATO to supplying crucial military supplies to Kyiv and enabling Ukraine to sell its grain with the Grain Agreement, Ankara’s initiatives satisfy both sides. So much so that Ankara can take the lead in the effort to bring Russia and Ukraine together, something that the US and EU countries also desire. This role, which was initially considered one of “facilitator,” may even evolve into one of “mediator,” going so far as to present peace proposals to the parties.
Like every other state, Turkey has been adversely affected by this policy to a certain extent. Still, it has also reaped some significant benefits. More gains may be forthcoming due to this practical approach. For instance, the industry in Turkey has been able to keep running thanks to the comparatively cheap energy it has been receiving from Russia up until this point. Especially in Europe, where people were trying to avoid consuming Russian oil and natural gas, industrial facilities became seriously alarming because of the extremely expensive LPG imported from America and the oil acquired from other nations. In reality, we are aware of facilities and brands that are unable to produce in specific markets in search of Turkish companies to get into contract manufacturing arrangements. It would be conceivable to attract substantial industrial investments to Turkey from European nations such as Italy, Germany, and France if this process, which could result in the liquidation of the industry in the aforementioned countries, is skillfully controlled and an engaging environment is created. Possibly, the expansion of the energy hub project agreed upon with Russia to grain issues, as well as Turkey’s taking on more comprehensive economic and commercial roles in these areas beyond being just a route and a buyer/seller, may offer exceptional new advantages. It is feasible to talk about the enormous benefits if we include the cooperation between the two nations in the defense industry to be made in the upcoming years.
It can be observed in many ways that Moscow, whose relations with Greece and Greek Cyprus, which have become a distant outpost of the United States, have radically deteriorated while getting closer to Turkey, has moved away from the one-state United Cyprus policy it has followed so far and approaches the two-state solution formula.
Turkey has made extensive strategic gains as well. For example, thanks to the improved relations with Russia and Turkey, the admission of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) to the Organization of Turkish States as an observer member with its constitutional name will be viewed as one of the turning points in the history of the struggle for Cyprus. Undoubtedly, it is vital to emphasize that even Russia has the propensity to recognize the TRNC. In many ways, it is clear that Moscow has moved away from the United Cyprus policy it had been pursuing so far in favor of the two-state solution. This is because its relations with Greece and Greek Cyprus, which have turned into a far-flung outpost of the United States, have drastically deteriorated, whereas Russia has become closer to Turkey.
Multipolarity
By all means, the growing multipolar global order is what makes all this possible. With the Ukraine War, Russia and China’s gradually growing objections to the American-led unipolar world order have ushered in an inescapable new era. On the one hand, the great powers and medium-sized states, especially China, having global power who suddenly want to change the world into a multipolarity in the wake of the conflicts in Ukraine and the great information war that broke out in the media, and those who want to maintain the US-based unipolarity on the other, the struggle is still going strong. It seems that the multipolar world system is unavoidable at this point. Given the leaked reports in the American press about the USA and Europe’s gradually shifting positions from thinking that Russia would be tamed by economic sanctions to finding a solution through negotiations and their encouragement of Zelensky to meet with Putin—most likely without preconditions—multipolarity was subtly accepted. Even though the war in Ukraine has not yet ended, and its tension will be aggravated, the crucial issue is that the military conflicts here are almost unlikely to result in the direction desired by the United States and the Collective West.
This fact also reveals that the Collective West will eventually need to assess Russia’s security concerns. On the other hand, it always appears possible for the United States and its allies to wage a proxy war against China over Taiwan but determining how and when to start is too complicated to be planned quickly. It is difficult to foresee whether the Taiwanese are inclined to join China in a particular status or rebel against Beijing for independence and how it will evolve over the years. For instance, the most recent municipal elections demonstrated that the pro-independence party and its leader suffered significant losses. Additionally, it may be claimed that the trade wars between the USA and Europe, which are already raging, will definitely intensify with the subsidies, tax breaks, and other incentives Washington is to start applying to the goods produced in the States. Therefore, struggling to keep its allies on its side, America may shift away from long-term unity with especially industrial heavyweights like Germany, France, and Italy in all things. Moreover, the Collective West cannot prevent the world from turning into a multipolar state even if it retains its unity merely.
Turkey and multipolarity
Turkey will benefit significantly from the multipolar global order, provided it is appropriately managed. On the condition that the policy taken since the Ukraine War is maintained, it appears plausible that Turkey can keep its ties with the West through NATO membership based on “normality suitable for the multipolar order” while also developing extensive economic, commercial, and even defense-industrial relations with the wider Asia, particularly with Russia and China. Particularly in the past year, Turkey’s geographic advantages and the upsides of its state mentality have demonstrated that all these are possible. Stripping the foreign policy of the ideological/emotional discourse that has caused severe problems in relations with the region’s countries and replacing it with pragmatism based on national interests since the end of 2020 undoubtedly provided Ankara with additional opportunities. After normalization with Israel, similar steps taken in Egypt and Syria made Turkey a regional powerhouse that forged close ties with Israel, Iran, Russia, and the West based on shared interests.
Although the most common multipolarity—bipolarity and unipolarity are exceptional periods—that we observe in global political and military history appears to bring enormous benefits, it may not be possible for this process to take shape without significant tensions, even large-scale conflicts and proxy wars. Turkey will achieve substantial gains in this tumultuous period and assume its place by turning into a middle-sized powerhouse in multiple regions of the multipolar world provided that it pursues a balanced and cautious policy, just like in the Ukraine War, aimed at getting economic, military, and commercial advantages without being a direct party to tensions and conflicts.
Opinion
India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships
Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.
India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.
Today, India’s achievements extend beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.
India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.
India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.
The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.
Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.
India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.
These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.
To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.
India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.
The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.
In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.
Opinion
Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa
In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.
History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.
Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.
Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.
AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS
Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.
Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.
In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”
China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.
THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY
It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.
The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.
The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.
Opinion
The women who refuse to be erased: On Japan’s surrender anniversary, the fight over wartime sexual slavery continues
BUSAN, South Korea — On the day Japan marks the 81st anniversary of its surrender in World War Two, a conference room in Busan’s city council building has become the latest front in a battle over memory.
Allan Wilson, Journalist
Last month, on 23 July, academics, activists and lawmakers gathered here for a symposium on one of the war’s most painful legacies: the estimated tens of thousands of women — euphemistically labelled “comfort women” — forced into sexual slavery by the Imperial Japanese Army. The event was co-hosted by the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia division and the Korean Women’s Forum.
“The records of the Japanese military’s comfort women are historical assets that the international community must preserve together,” Nam Myung-sook, the Busan city councillor who co-organised the symposium, told the gathering. “Social consensus must be broadened.”
Her words were aimed at more than the audience in the room.
For three decades, survivors and their advocates have pressed Japan for a full and unequivocal accounting. They have met a familiar pattern: moments of apparent progress — the 1993 Kono statement acknowledging military involvement, the 2015 bilateral agreement with South Korea — followed by retreat. Japanese officials continue to dispute the term “sexual slavery.” Textbooks soften the language. Senior politicians visit Yasukuni Shrine, where convicted war criminals are honoured alongside the dead.
The symposium came as UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee convened in Busan, and the timing was deliberate. One of the gathering’s stated goals was to revive the push to have comfort women records inscribed on UNESCO’s Memory of the World register — an effort Japan has repeatedly blocked.
“Our aim is to reaffirm the historical facts of comfort women (受害) to the international community and explore directions that contribute to peace and human rights,” said Yu Ying-mo, senior adviser to the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia region, in remarks prepared for the event.
A statue, a warning
The symposium also addressed an incident that has become a diplomatic flashpoint: the recent removal of a comfort women memorial statue in Taiwan.
The statue, one of dozens erected across East Asia and beyond, was taken down in recent months. Organisers in Busan described the removal as “an erroneous approach that erases historical wounds and weakens collective memory,” according to the symposium’s programme.
For advocates, the Taiwan case illustrates what happens when political pressure is allowed to dictate historical memory. “Statues, memorial halls, and archives related to comfort women are important spaces of memory that testify to the victims’ suffering and history,” the Carter Human Rights Center said in its written address. “They must be respected.”
Dozens of comfort women memorials now stand in cities from Seoul to San Francisco to Berlin. Each has become a site of diplomatic friction: Japan’s government has consistently objected to them, arguing they perpetuate what it calls an inaccurate narrative.
The shrinking window
Time is running out. Of the few hundred women who came forward in the 1990s, the number of surviving registered victims in South Korea has dwindled to single digits.
This demographic reality has injected new urgency into the preservation effort. Shim Ok-ju, a research professor at George Mason University Korea, told the symposium that the focus must now shift from oral testimony — soon to be lost — to documentation and education.
Seo Kyung-soon, a professor at Pukyong National University, presented findings from the so-called “Gwanbu Trial” records — a series of postwar legal proceedings in which comfort women sought compensation through Japanese courts. The documents, she argued, contain incontrovertible evidence of state orchestration.
A designated discussant panel followed, bringing together Kim Tae-wan, a political science professor at Dong-eui University; Kim Kyung-hee, an independent researcher; and Ahn Jun-young, a journalist from the Busan Ilbo newspaper. The format was designed to bridge academia and public consciousness — to test whether scholarly findings could survive the scrutiny of working journalists and political scientists.
The international dimension
The comfort women issue has never been purely bilateral. In 1996, the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women concluded that the system constituted “military sexual slavery.” In 2022, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women urged Japan to “ensure that the issue is accurately reflected in school curricula.”
Yet the gap between international consensus and Japanese government policy remains wide. Prime ministerial statements offer “apologies and remorse” but stop short of accepting legal responsibility. Reparations have come from private funds, not the state.
For organisers of the Busan symposium, the path forward runs through multilateral institutions. UNESCO recognition, they argue, would make historical revisionism harder to sustain. But Japan has made clear it will oppose any such move, as it did when Chinese documents related to the 1937 Nanjing Massacre were inscribed in 2015.
“Facing history squarely and respecting it is a fundamental value that the international community should share,” the symposium’s organisers concluded.
This 15 August, as Japan observes its National Memorial Service for the War Dead, the women who survived — and those who did not — will be remembered in rooms like the one in Busan. Their numbers are dwindling. The question is whether their story will outlast them.
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