Opinion
Are we falling out with Russia?
The news that came one after another this week seemed to indicate that there was/would be a dangerous drift in the foreign policy that we established before the Ukraine war started and I have repeatedly described as careful/balanced. The news agencies first reported Zelensky’s visit to Turkey and President Erdoğan’s remarks that Ukraine deserved NATO membership. Then came the news that Zelensky took five neo-Nazi Azov commanders back home with him. Meanwhile, appeared photos of the new Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan having a meeting with Mustafa Cemiloğlu (Kırımoğlu), the symbol of the Crimean Turks’ struggle during the Soviet Union and currently on the side of Kiev in the struggle between Russia and Ukraine, with the flag of the ‘Republic of Crimea’. While the Kremlin declared that the release of the neo-Nazi Azov commanders by Turkey was a violation of the previous agreement between Ankara and Moscow, the first reports that Putin’s planned visit to Turkey had been canceled hit the news, but subsequent updates did not seem to confirm this negative scenario. It was understood that the two leaders were likely to meet in the coming days, but the timing had yet to be determined.
The first question that came to mind was whether all this would end the rapprochement between Ankara and Moscow with a sudden swerve. Considering the huge commercial-economic relations, the construction of nuclear reactors, regional political cooperation, and the vast potential in the military and defense industry, it can be said that the rapprochement between the two capitals, which has been built with great care and caution, cannot be easily terminated, and even the issues that caused problems, where the initial tension was caused by misunderstandings, can be overcome. However, in bilateral and multilateral relations, care must be taken to be predictable. Sudden decisions can lead to swings and loss of trust in bilateral relations.
UKRAINE’S NATO MEMBERSHIP AND NEO-NAZI AZOV COMMANDERS
President Erdoğan’s remarks on Ukraine’s NATO membership may not be interpreted as Turkey’s desire and full support for Ukraine to join the Western military alliance. They could be interpreted as Turkey’s indirect use of the veto card on Sweden’s NATO membership, in the sense that Ukraine was once promised, but it did not materialize. Or, it could be interpreted as underlining that there are many differences between deserving to be a NATO member and joining the alliance. Moreover, it should be underlined that Biden himself said that there was no consensus among the allied countries regarding Ukraine’s entry into NATO; therefore, Ukraine could first fulfill the criteria by ‘democratizing’ and then this issue could be addressed and even the US could take Ukraine under its protection as it does in its relations with Israel.
In short, while Ukraine’s NATO membership seems unlikely in the short and medium term, talking about Ukraine’s deserving membership of the alliance may not cause a strategic development that would shake relations with Russia. Indeed, NATO responded positively to not only Ukraine’s but also Georgia’s applications for NATO membership at the Bucharest summit in 2008, and on August 8 of the same year, Russia launched a five-day military campaign against Saakashvili-led Georgia, signaling what might happen in Ukraine in the next phase. In short, while this statement may have caused some confusion in Moscow, it does not necessarily mean a rupture of ties with Moscow, because it may have been used as a way of expressing some ambivalence within NATO and criticizing Turkey for being unfairly singled out over Sweden, and this seems to be the initial reaction from the Russian side.
But the release of the commanders of the neo-Nazi Azov battalion seems to have made it very difficult even for diplomats to justify what was said and done. It is understood that they were released under the condition that they would remain in Turkey until the end of the war within the framework of the prisoner of war exchange between Russia and Ukraine mediated by Ankara, but allowing them to return to Ukraine would mean that they would start fighting against Russia again, which could create a somewhat troubling situation in bilateral relations. For Moscow, it could also cause some damage to trust in Ankara, and in particular in President Erdogan, but it would not be irreparable, because the set of common interests between Ankara and Moscow is too broad to be sacrificed to such an event. The Kremlin spokesperson’s statement that the Erdogan-Putin summit may take place in the coming days, but that it has not yet been scheduled, i.e. that the meeting has not been canceled, can be taken as an indication that Turkey-Russia relations will continue to gain momentum despite everything.
On the other hand, although it is not easy to understand why Erdoğan gave the commanders of the neo-Nazi Azov battalion to Zelensky, it seems possible to make some speculations. For instance, Erdogan may have wanted to focus the discussions within NATO on Ukraine instead of Sweden, both by saying that Ukraine deserves to be a member of the alliance and by giving these neo-Nazis to Zelensky, Erdogan may have tried to show the Western world that Turkey is not anti-Ukrainian. Considering the impact of the previous sale of Bayraktar UCAVs to Ukraine on Western public opinion, he may have focused on a similar outcome. While the thesis that Russia and Putin fully supported Erdoğan during the election campaign is true, it could also be a move to show how independent he can act in determining and implementing his own policy despite the good bilateral relations. And despite all this, he may have preferred to act with a sense of confidence that he can reach an agreement/reconciliation by personally discussing this issue with Putin, relying on the close friendship and friendship he has developed. Moreover, the fact that Putin will come to Ankara after Zelensky may also be related to a new mediation initiative of Turkey between the parties that has not been made public. And Erdogan may have acted in such a way in order to lure Zelensky towards a peace initiative, both because of his reputation in Putin’s eyes and because of the trust relationship he has built with the Russian leader by calling the Kremlin and openly supporting Putin during the critical hours of the recent Wagner Rebellion.
ANKARA-MOSCOW RELATIONS CAN SURVIVE THESE EVENTS WITHOUT A CRISIS
It would not be wrong to think that behind closed doors, diplomats are making these and similar explanations and trying not to radically disrupt bilateral relations, which are very important for both countries, and that they are trying to prepare the summit between Erdogan and Putin. We have to think that Russia, which is quite skillful in distinguishing between the important and the unimportant, will endeavor not to spoil relations with Turkey, which is perhaps the most important state after China and India these days. In other words, the well-established bilateral relations between Ankara and Moscow can survive these events without turning into a crisis, and these relations can even be made even more deep-rooted with some new steps to be taken.
After all, Moscow seems to appreciate the extensive relations Turkey has managed to establish with Russia despite being a NATO member. These nuances can be seen in every Kremlin step that directly concerns Turkey. There is almost no reason why the meeting between Erdogan and Putin after the Vilnius NATO summit should not be followed by steps that will further solidify relations between the two countries. For example, in addition to economic initiatives that will make the two countries inseparable, such as the renewal of the Grain Corridor agreement in the first place, then accelerating Turkey’s efforts to become an energy and even grain hub, it would be more logical to focus on solving the refugee problem and eliminating the PKK/PYD/YPG terrorist threat by concluding the Turkey-Syria reconciliation with the help of Russia. In the meeting between the two leaders, Russia’s recognition of the TRNC could even be discussed, a step Moscow could take that would not only bring back the years of the War of Independence in Turkey-Russia relations but also deepen the Turkey-Greece rift within NATO, which would mean huge strategic gains for the Kremlin.
We can get a lot from Russia, which is engaged in a life-and-death struggle with the West, and for us, a Russia at odds with the West may even seem like the ideal Russia. The same can be said for the West, i.e. a West at odds with Russia may be the ideal West for Turkey. However, it is important to remember that in this struggle between the two sides, Russia should not lose and probably will not lose, because a Russian loss, even if it is a slim possibility, means the end of multipolarity and the return of the rampant American/Western hegemony. The prevention of PKK/PYD statehood in Syria, the protection of Turkey’s territorial integrity, the realization of a two-state solution in Cyprus, the protection of our rights and interests in the Aegean against Greece – everything that comes to mind first and foremost will only be possible through multipolarity. It is also important to remember that in this struggle with the West, Russia is actually fighting for the whole world, which wants multipolarity and is completely fed up with the unipolar American/Western hegemony. It is in the interest of both sides that our policies of caution and balance, which have so far been built on all these sensitive elements, be maintained with the same subtleties. In February-March 2011, we experienced our Syria policy in February-March 2011, and we all saw the catastrophe that it caused, as a result of sudden swings and drifting to the other extreme overnight, leaving aside a foreign policy built on years of accumulation and gains. It is clear as day that we do not need new swings and disasters…
Opinion
India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships
Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.
India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.
Today, India’s achievements extend beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.
India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.
India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.
The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.
Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.
India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.
These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.
To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.
India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.
The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.
In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.
Opinion
Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa
In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.
History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.
Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.
Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.
AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS
Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.
Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.
In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”
China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.
THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY
It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.
The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.
The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.
Opinion
The women who refuse to be erased: On Japan’s surrender anniversary, the fight over wartime sexual slavery continues
BUSAN, South Korea — On the day Japan marks the 81st anniversary of its surrender in World War Two, a conference room in Busan’s city council building has become the latest front in a battle over memory.
Allan Wilson, Journalist
Last month, on 23 July, academics, activists and lawmakers gathered here for a symposium on one of the war’s most painful legacies: the estimated tens of thousands of women — euphemistically labelled “comfort women” — forced into sexual slavery by the Imperial Japanese Army. The event was co-hosted by the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia division and the Korean Women’s Forum.
“The records of the Japanese military’s comfort women are historical assets that the international community must preserve together,” Nam Myung-sook, the Busan city councillor who co-organised the symposium, told the gathering. “Social consensus must be broadened.”
Her words were aimed at more than the audience in the room.
For three decades, survivors and their advocates have pressed Japan for a full and unequivocal accounting. They have met a familiar pattern: moments of apparent progress — the 1993 Kono statement acknowledging military involvement, the 2015 bilateral agreement with South Korea — followed by retreat. Japanese officials continue to dispute the term “sexual slavery.” Textbooks soften the language. Senior politicians visit Yasukuni Shrine, where convicted war criminals are honoured alongside the dead.
The symposium came as UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee convened in Busan, and the timing was deliberate. One of the gathering’s stated goals was to revive the push to have comfort women records inscribed on UNESCO’s Memory of the World register — an effort Japan has repeatedly blocked.
“Our aim is to reaffirm the historical facts of comfort women (受害) to the international community and explore directions that contribute to peace and human rights,” said Yu Ying-mo, senior adviser to the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia region, in remarks prepared for the event.
A statue, a warning
The symposium also addressed an incident that has become a diplomatic flashpoint: the recent removal of a comfort women memorial statue in Taiwan.
The statue, one of dozens erected across East Asia and beyond, was taken down in recent months. Organisers in Busan described the removal as “an erroneous approach that erases historical wounds and weakens collective memory,” according to the symposium’s programme.
For advocates, the Taiwan case illustrates what happens when political pressure is allowed to dictate historical memory. “Statues, memorial halls, and archives related to comfort women are important spaces of memory that testify to the victims’ suffering and history,” the Carter Human Rights Center said in its written address. “They must be respected.”
Dozens of comfort women memorials now stand in cities from Seoul to San Francisco to Berlin. Each has become a site of diplomatic friction: Japan’s government has consistently objected to them, arguing they perpetuate what it calls an inaccurate narrative.
The shrinking window
Time is running out. Of the few hundred women who came forward in the 1990s, the number of surviving registered victims in South Korea has dwindled to single digits.
This demographic reality has injected new urgency into the preservation effort. Shim Ok-ju, a research professor at George Mason University Korea, told the symposium that the focus must now shift from oral testimony — soon to be lost — to documentation and education.
Seo Kyung-soon, a professor at Pukyong National University, presented findings from the so-called “Gwanbu Trial” records — a series of postwar legal proceedings in which comfort women sought compensation through Japanese courts. The documents, she argued, contain incontrovertible evidence of state orchestration.
A designated discussant panel followed, bringing together Kim Tae-wan, a political science professor at Dong-eui University; Kim Kyung-hee, an independent researcher; and Ahn Jun-young, a journalist from the Busan Ilbo newspaper. The format was designed to bridge academia and public consciousness — to test whether scholarly findings could survive the scrutiny of working journalists and political scientists.
The international dimension
The comfort women issue has never been purely bilateral. In 1996, the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women concluded that the system constituted “military sexual slavery.” In 2022, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women urged Japan to “ensure that the issue is accurately reflected in school curricula.”
Yet the gap between international consensus and Japanese government policy remains wide. Prime ministerial statements offer “apologies and remorse” but stop short of accepting legal responsibility. Reparations have come from private funds, not the state.
For organisers of the Busan symposium, the path forward runs through multilateral institutions. UNESCO recognition, they argue, would make historical revisionism harder to sustain. But Japan has made clear it will oppose any such move, as it did when Chinese documents related to the 1937 Nanjing Massacre were inscribed in 2015.
“Facing history squarely and respecting it is a fundamental value that the international community should share,” the symposium’s organisers concluded.
This 15 August, as Japan observes its National Memorial Service for the War Dead, the women who survived — and those who did not — will be remembered in rooms like the one in Busan. Their numbers are dwindling. The question is whether their story will outlast them.
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