Asia
China’s retail sales beat expectations amid ongoing property slump
Economic data released by China indicated an improvement in consumption during May.
Retail sales exceeded expectations ahead of a major online shopping festival, even as US tariffs continued to negatively impact the country’s manufacturing and exports.
According to data released today (June 16) by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), retail sales, a key indicator of consumption, grew by 6.4% in May, compared to the 5.1% growth recorded in April.
The figure surpassed the 4.85% growth forecast by financial data provider Wind.
The increase in consumption figures came as China prepared for one of the year’s largest online shopping festivals on June 18, and as the government continued to boost consumer spending through a trade-in program for white goods and other household items.
According to the Ministry of Commerce, China’s trade-in program generated approximately 1.1 trillion yuan ($153 billion) in sales this year as of May 31. However, some regions have suspended their programs in recent weeks due to a depletion of funds.
Zhang Yuhan, chief economist at The Conference Board’s China Center, said the retail data “looked strong,” attributing this to a combination of “holiday effects and the ongoing impact of consumption-stimulating policies,” particularly in the dining and home appliance segments.
NBS data showed that sales of home appliances and audiovisual equipment increased by 53% in May, following a 38.8% rise in April.
However, Zhang noted that “China-US trade tensions, low industrial product prices, and a sluggish real estate market will be constraining factors for growth.”
Under pressure from US tariffs and fierce domestic competition, industrial production increased by 5.8% year-on-year in May, according to NBS data.
This figure was below the 6.1% growth recorded in April but exceeded Wind’s forecast of a 5.66% increase.
The NBS stated that the Chinese economy has maintained its stability while withstanding multiple pressures.
NBS spokesman Fu Linghui said, “Looking ahead, China has sufficient policies that can be dynamically adjusted according to changing conditions and will continue to provide strong support for maintaining stable and sustainable economic growth.”
The data follows last week’s announcement of the lowest quarterly export growth.
China’s national fixed-asset investment rose by 3.7% in the first five months of 2025, down from a 4% increase in the January-April period and below Wind’s forecast of 4.04%.
Real estate investment, which has long been a drag on the economy following solvency issues at several major property developers, continued to decline. It fell by 10.7% year-on-year in the January-May period, compared to a 10.3% drop in the first four months.
New home sales by floor area fell by 2.9% in the first five months, following a 2.8% decline in the first four months.
According to data from China Real Estate Information, the sales revenue of China’s top 100 real estate developers recorded a year-on-year decline of 7.1% in the January-May period. This drop was greater than the 6.7% decline recorded in the January-April period.
Zhang Zhiwei, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, warned that the outlook for the Chinese economy remains uncertain, as the May data sent “mixed messages.”
Zhiwei stated, “The concentration of export activities in the first half of the year helped the manufacturing sector stay afloat. It is uncertain how long exports can sustain this momentum in the second half of the year.”
According to Huang Zichun, a China economist at Capital Economics, export growth is likely to slow further by the end of the year, as US tariffs remain high and exporters face broader restrictions.
Huang said this year’s budget indicates that fiscal support will slow in the second half of the year, while the ongoing downturn in the real estate sector will continue to weigh on growth.
The combination of these factors points to a further slowdown in the economy, with growth projected to be around 3.5% by the end of the year.
Meanwhile, government data showed that the urban unemployment rate fell to 5% in May from 5.1% the previous month.
Asia
Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand
Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.
Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.
Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.
Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.
Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.
In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.
The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.
Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.
This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.
The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.
Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.
Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.
Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.
CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange
Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.
As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.
At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.
Asia
Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister
Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests
India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.
The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.
The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.
What triggered the protests?
Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.
Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.
According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.
Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.
The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.
How the movement unfolded
Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.
Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.
The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.
Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.
CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.
Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.
Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.
Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.
In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.
Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.
Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.
Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.
On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.
On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.
Asia
China’s DeepSeek prepares for 2027 mainland IPO, aims for $71 billion valuation in new funding round
DeepSeek, the China-based startup developing artificial intelligence models, has begun preparations for an initial public offering (IPO).
According to a Bloomberg report citing sources familiar with the matter, the company plans to file its IPO application either this year or early next year.
The sources noted that the filing timeline will depend on the readiness of the company’s financial reports, with DeepSeek projected to go public on a mainland Chinese stock exchange in 2027.
Prior to the IPO, DeepSeek also aims to conduct a new funding round. In this second investment round, the company reportedly plans to raise at least 10 billion yuan (approximately $1.48 billion), a process expected to push its market valuation to at least 480 billion yuan (approximately $71 billion).
The AI startup, which secured $7.4 billion in its first funding round, saw its market valuation exceed $50 billion, rendering DeepSeek the most valuable artificial intelligence company in China.
The company’s founder, Liang Wenfeng, personally invested $3 billion of his own capital into the DeepSeek project. According to data from the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Liang’s stake in the company fell from 90% to 78% following the latest investment round.
Despite this decline, Liang’s personal wealth more than doubled, rising from $16.7 billion to approximately $36 billion.
This surge has positioned Liang as the wealthiest founder of an AI model-developing company in the world.
According to earlier reports by Reuters, the investment round was structured under an unusual partnership model that allows founder Liang Wenfeng to maintain administrative control over the company.
Under this framework, which requires investors to provide funds to a limited liability partnership managed by the company’s general manager rather than investing directly in DeepSeek, backers are not granted voting rights. Furthermore, the provided funds are locked and cannot be withdrawn for a period of five years.
The China National Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund was the sole institution exempted from these strict rules, investing approximately $150 million directly into DeepSeek.
Based in Hangzhou, China, DeepSeek was founded by Liang Wenfeng in 2023.
The company was structured as a unit within Zhejiang High-Flyer Asset Management, a hedge fund specializing in artificial intelligence that Liang launched alongside two former university classmates.
In early 2025, DeepSeek released a new artificial intelligence model offering performance comparable to US rivals such as OpenAI, but at a significantly lower operating cost.
Following these developments, founder Liang Wenfeng stated that the company will continue to develop open-source artificial intelligence models, emphasizing that their ultimate global objective is to achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI).
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