Middle East
Trump warns Hamas of “hell to pay” as Gaza peace plan stalls
US President Donald Trump met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at Mar-a-Lago in Florida on Monday, delivering key messages regarding the Middle East.
During the press conference, Trump threatened to launch new strikes against Iran if it is determined that the country is rebuilding its nuclear program.
The President also addressed the situation in Gaza, where a US-brokered ceasefire has largely been in effect since October. He stated that Hamas has a “very short period of time to disarm,” warning that they will otherwise face “hell to pay.”
Implementation of the US peace plan for Gaza has stalled, and tensions with Iran appear to be escalating.
Trump claimed that after the US briefly joined Israel’s 12-day war with Iran in June, Iran’s nuclear enrichment program was “destroyed,” after which he declared the conflict over.
“Now I hear that Iran is trying to regain strength, and if that is the case, we must knock them down… We will level them. Iran may be behaving badly. This has not been confirmed yet. But if it is confirmed… the consequences will be very severe,” Trump said.
Israel alleges that Iran is rapidly rebuilding its ballistic missile arsenal.
Netanyahu also suggested that the Trump administration’s efforts to implement the next phase of the Gaza plan are unrealistic, given Hamas’s refusal to disarm.
Trump’s plan has faced setbacks regarding issues such as the disarmament of Hamas, the deployment of an international security force, and the future governance of Gaza.
US yet officials insist that “Phase 2” of Trump’s 20-point plan will begin in January. This phase is expected to include the announcement of an international “Board of Peace,” an executive committee to oversee the Gaza Strip, a committee of Palestinian technocrats for daily administration, and the deployment of a multinational peacekeeping force.
Under the plan, Israeli troops, who currently hold approximately half of Gaza, would gradually withdraw as the multinational force enters the Gaza Strip to monitor the disarmament of Hamas and the transition to post-war reconstruction.
Prior to the meeting, Israeli officials were concerned that Trump might pressure Netanyahu to agree to further troop withdrawals. However, after the two leaders emerged from the meeting, Trump declined to discuss an Israeli withdrawal and stated that Hamas was not complying with the agreement.
When asked about the pace of implementation, Trump said, “I’m not concerned about anything Israel is doing. They are fulfilling the plan.”
Israeli officials have rejected the possibility of international or Palestinian security forces taking over the disarmament of Hamas. On Monday, Trump stated that other countries would “come and do it” and emphasized that dozens of governments support the 20-point peace plan; however, no country has yet committed to sending troops to Gaza.
Trump said that he and the Israeli leader spoke at length about the occupied West Bank, where the US opposes the rapid expansion of Jewish settlements.
“I wouldn’t say we agree 100% on the West Bank, but we will come to a conclusion on the West Bank,” Trump said, adding that Netanyahu would “do the right thing.”
Trump also asked Netanyahu to “get along” with Syria and its new President, Ahmed Shara, who Trump said is “working very hard to do a good job.”
“I respect Syria’s new President; he is a strong person. That is what Syria needs right now. I hope Israel gets along with him,” Trump said.
Noting that Shara has done a very good job in Syria so far and has taken significant steps in the fight against ISIS, the US leader expressed his trust in Shara during this process.
Trump noted that he would do his best to ensure Israel gets along with Syria, stating, “Bibi and I have a common understanding regarding Syria.”
When asked about a potential conflict between Israel and Türkiye, Trump spoke of President Erdoğan: “I know President Erdoğan very well and, as you all know, he is a very good friend. I respect him and Bibi respects him, and they won’t have a problem. You’ve seen me do things with Erdoğan and Türkiye that nobody else could do. We won’t have a problem.”
Reiterating the claim that Erdoğan deserves the lion’s share of credit for the fall of the Bashar al-Assad administration, Trump suggested that Netanyahu shares this view. “You know, they’ve wanted to do this in Syria for a thousand years—even if the names change, for a thousand years. President Erdoğan did it. We give him great credit; I personally give him very great credit. But I think things will work out between Syria and Israel,” he claimed.
The US President stated he was “with Erdoğan all the way and with Bibi all the way,” adding, “Nothing is going to happen.”
Trump further stated, “You know, Erdoğan is a good friend of mine. I respect him. Bibi also respects him, and there won’t be a problem between them. There won’t be a problem.”
Regarding the sale of F-35 fighter jets to Türkiye, Trump said, “We are thinking about that very seriously,” and added that Ankara had “promised” not to use the aircraft against Tel Aviv.
Middle East
Israel opposition seeks Netanyahu probe over 7 October call logs
Avi Gil, the former military secretary to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has claimed that attempts were made within the Prime Minister’s Office to alter the timestamps of official call logs from the morning of 7 October 2023.
Following these disclosures, the Israeli opposition petitioned Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara, demanding the opening of a criminal investigation into Netanyahu and his staff.
Gil, who served as military secretary at the time of the attack, said in an interview with the Israel Hayom newspaper and Channel 12 television that Netanyahu’s chief of staff, Tzachi Braverman, attempted to alter the timing of a critical conversation held that morning.
Arguing that the initiative formed part of a “criminal pattern of behaviour”, Gil stated that he had remained silent until now in anticipation of a state commission of inquiry, but noted that what had been conveyed to the public did not reflect the truth.
Braverman is known to have been questioned and investigated by police over fraud and forgery allegations on suspicion of illegally tampering with official protocols.
Claim that official call time was shifted back
Gil recounted that on the morning of 7 October 2023, he received a call from the office of Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar at 06:12, and during a conversation with Bar over a secure line at 06:17, he was informed that SIM cards had been activated in Gaza and that Hamas operatives had moved underground.
Stating that he first telephoned Netanyahu at 06:29 to wake him, Gil noted that he informed the Prime Minister that Hamas had launched a surprise attack and that he was continuing to gather information.
Gil stated that during a second telephone call at 06:40, he conveyed to Netanyahu the message: “We are at war.”
The former military secretary said that months later, in January, a stenographer approached him and disclosed that Braverman had asked her to alter the time of the second conversation in the official records from 06:40 to 06:29.
Gil noted that this step may have been intended to create the impression that Netanyahu had been issuing instructions from the very first moment of the attack, or to lay the groundwork for the thesis that intelligence had been withheld from the Prime Minister by fostering the perception that the information conveyed in the second call was already known during the first.
Stating that he noticed Netanyahu’s team collecting documents in an unusual manner two weeks after the events began, Gil said that, suspecting minutes were being falsified, he approached Attorney General Baharav-Miara and requested clarification of the rules. Gil pointed out that any prospective commission of inquiry should not content itself with written records alone and must examine the original audio recordings.
Responding to a question regarding allegations that Egypt had issued a warning prior to the attack, Gil stated that he had no knowledge of such a message, but noted that an Egyptian intelligence aircraft had landed in Israel in late September and remained for more than an hour.
Remarking that no aircraft arrives without reason, Gil suggested that the officials who met the delegation or received the message were continuing to conceal it.
Gil also asserted that the security documentation Netanyahu submitted to the state comptroller was incomplete, noting that the document did not reflect the whole truth.
Likud rejects claims: “Gil did not wake PM in time”
The ruling Likud Party rejected the allegations, stating that the claims were politically motivated propaganda targeting Netanyahu and the party.
In a post on his social media account, Netanyahu argued that the opposition’s campaign of lies could not alter the truth.
Likud’s statement alleged that Gil was attempting to cover up his own negligence, claiming that despite an alert message received from the military secretariat’s intelligence officer at 03:55 on the morning of 7 October, Gil took no action and failed to wake the Prime Minister in time.
The party maintained that had Netanyahu been informed in time, developments would have unfolded differently.
Opposition levels treason accusations
Opposition parties, meanwhile, called for legal steps against Netanyahu and his team to be accelerated following the statements.
The Yashar Party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, cited Ronen Bergman’s investigation in Yedioth Ahronoth alongside Gil’s statements to call on the Attorney General to open a criminal probe. The party accused Netanyahu of concealing critical assessments regarding the strengthening of Hamas and its ties to the Iranian axis from the state comptroller.
Yisrael Beiteinu leader Avigdor Liberman said Attorney General Baharav-Miara must immediately launch an investigation into Netanyahu and his aides on allegations of treason and conspiracy.
Liberman also called on the Chief of the General Staff to block attempts to use the military for political ends.
The Democrats Party leader, Yair Golan, described Gil’s testimony as historic, noting that responsibility for the events in which 1,200 people were killed and 251 taken hostage could not be concealed.
Golan demanded that all original audio recordings and documents within the Prime Minister’s Office be placed under immediate protective custody.
The leadership of the October 7 Council also stated that Gil’s remarks refuted the government’s arguments that it was unaware of the situation prior to the attack.
Middle East
Eisenkot ties Syria pact to withdrawal of Russian and Turkish forces
Gadi Eisenkot, Benjamin Netanyahu’s fiercest challenger in this month’s elections, has conditioned any agreement with Syria on the complete withdrawal of Turkish and Russian forces.
In an extensive interview with The Times of Israel (ToI), the leader of the Yashar Party and former chief of staff said it was necessary to take advantage of the “fluid situation” in Syria.
Contending that Syria’s transitional leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, is “originally a very extreme person, an ISIS member,” Eisenkot remarked: “I have no illusions about him; together with the Americans operating in Syria, I killed many people from his organisation.”
Nevertheless, the opposition leader emphasised that a crucial question must be posed:
“Is there an opportunity to take the 1974 Kissinger interim agreements and significantly upgrade them, with tight security arrangements that will ultimately bring about the withdrawal of foreign forces from Syria?”
Asked by the reporter whether this included Israel withdrawing from Mount Hermon and key strategic positions in Syria, Eisenkot replied:
“The fundamental condition is the complete expulsion of the Turks and the Russians from the area. As for Mount Hermon and the relevant security arrangements, these must be negotiated.”
Arguing that Israel must speak from a “position of strength” backed by “unshakeable American guarantees,” Eisenkot added: “There must be an American protective umbrella, oversight, and commitment that will enable Israel to take calculated risks.”
Pointing to the “extremely problematic situation” created by Netanyahu over the past three years, the Yashar leader described it as an “ever-widening and dangerous gap between American interests in the Middle East and Israel’s interests.”
Noting that Israel shares “deep common interests” with the US, Eisenkot listed them as: “maintaining stability in the Middle East, strengthening the moderate Sunni camp, weakening the radical Shiite axis, weakening the fundamentalist Sunni axis, and subsequently achieving economic prosperity in the region.”
Stating that a “strong Israel as a strategic asset” for the Middle East is also an asset for the US, the Israeli politician emphasised his support for moving towards the establishment of a “NATO of Sunni states.” He stressed that Israel could make major contributions in early-warning intelligence and defence systems, adding:
“We have proven this capability. Today, there are Arab countries in the Gulf that quietly receive Israeli protection. I also connect this to the broader peace effort that Israeli leaders have unfortunately stopped talking about. We want peace.”
Within this framework, Eisenkot noted the necessity of strengthening already signed peace treaties: “These must never be taken for granted, as there is also deep concern that these agreements could slide backwards. Therefore, we must strengthen our relations with Egypt, Jordan, and the signatory countries of the Abraham Accords, and actively involve other countries in the process. I believe there may also be an opportunity regarding Lebanon.”
Contending that Netanyahu’s “blatant foolishness and dreadful political-strategic judgment” had dragged Israel to rock bottom, the opposition leader pointed out that 12 countries are currently waiting to impose sanctions on Israel.
“Even the Americans have begun considering the possibility of imposing sanctions on official Israeli actors in Judea and Samaria [the West Bank],” Eisenkot said.
Noting that the steps he would take in the West Bank would not be a political gesture aimed at bringing Saudi Arabia into the Abraham Accords, but would be done “entirely in Israel’s interests,” Eisenkot said he would improve security conditions in the region, prevent the burning of Palestinian homes and villages by extremist Jewish settlers, and intervene with an “iron fist” against anyone acting outside the law.
“That is exactly how I acted throughout my military service. [Those attacks] did not happen when I was Chief of Staff,” Eisenkot said, referring to assaults by illegal Jewish settlers on Palestinian villages in the West Bank.
The Yashar leader argued that anyone seeking to establish full sovereignty over the West Bank and incorporate another 2.8 million Palestinians into Israel is “endangering the Zionist project and the Jewish demographic majority.”
Addressing Netanyahu’s judicial overhaul, Eisenkot said: “Anyone who seeks to weaken the Supreme Court and crush the judiciary is endangering democracy.”
Accusing Netanyahu of desiring “endless wars,” the opposition leader said: “We will change this through a rational government. Netanyahu’s government is pursuing an entirely irrational policy: it incites conflict solely to consolidate its domestic political base. For this single purpose, it clashes with everyone.”
Middle East
CIA report warns Israel faces growing risk of civil conflict
Deepening political fractures, economic strains, and societal fault lines in Israel are confronting the country with the potential for civil conflict and the breakdown of state mechanisms.
According to a report by Drop Site News citing two US sources, these findings are detailed in a classified Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) assessment drafted in August.
The report by Aída Chávez notes that the assessment, titled “Fracturing from Within”, was authored by experts within the CIA’s Red Cell unit, which is tasked with examining alternative and contrarian scenarios.
The CIA declined to answer questions regarding the assessment, which was compiled by combining open-source data with US intelligence holdings.
The report emphasises that the assessment focuses solely on Israel’s Jewish population, excluding from its analysis the country’s Palestinian citizens, who make up approximately 20% of the population.
It notes that Amnesty International and various human rights organisations characterise the practices endured by this segment of the population as part of a broad apartheid system.
The report outlines multilayered risks accumulating across the country ahead of the 27 October elections.
These factors include economic bottlenecks fuelled by surging military expenditures, heavily armed soldiers returning from protracted combat with severe psychological trauma, escalating settler violence in the occupied West Bank, and a constitutional crisis sparked by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s efforts to retain power.
Speaking to Drop Site News, an intelligence source pointed out that the team responsible for the report comprises experts deeply familiar with the Israeli landscape, stating: “This is not an imaginary ‘what if’ scenario. Considering the upcoming elections and divisions in Israel, we must take seriously its findings that the country is only one spark away from real civil conflict.”
One of the sharpest points of tension in Israeli domestic politics involves mandatory military service exemptions granted to ultra-Orthodox men. The divide is widening between the ultra-Orthodox community, which continues to receive state subsidies while enjoying sweeping draft exemptions, and reservists being repeatedly mobilised to the front lines.
The rationale cited by religious leaders for rejecting military service is not opposition to war, but the argument that Torah study and religious life would be threatened.
A deteriorating economic landscape is also aggravating pressure on households. According to data, basic food prices, including fresh fruits and vegetables, have surged by 9.5% over the past two years, reaching record highs.
The report states that the majority of domestic opposition to Netanyahu focuses not on violence directed against Palestinians, but on how these policies are executed and on the security failures of 7 October.
Major Zionist parties remain divided over coalition strategies, while opinion polls indicate that neither the governing nor the opposition blocs can attain the 61-seat majority required to form a government.
Recalling historical eras in which traumatised, armed veterans coincided with intense political division, one consulted source cited the Freikorps units in post-First World War Germany.
The source remarked that while modern Israel is not identical to interwar Germany, certain parallels can be observed.
The CIA assessment also considers Israel’s mounting international isolation and the erosion of US support as factors that could accelerate collapse dynamics.
Israeli officials are reported to be concerned that reliance on billions of dollars in direct US military aid may prove unsustainable amid weakening political consensus.
Spring data from the Pew Research Center indicates that 60% of Americans view Israel unfavourably, up from 53% a year earlier.
The report projects that foreign technology and artificial intelligence investments could be withdrawn if the domestic crisis deepens. It underscores that such an outcome would further destabilise under-pressure economic fundamentals.
Additionally, regional countries could question the strategic value of normalisation processes, while Hamas or Hezbollah might exploit internal vulnerabilities within the country.
Intelligence sources emphasise that the assessment deliberately adopted the term “civil conflict”, warning that the compounding array of domestic pressures may ultimately prove impossible to contain through military means.
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