Middle East
How will Israel occupy Gaza City?
The Israeli Security Cabinet has approved a plan for a large-scale operation targeting Hamas’s last remaining positions in Gaza City. The operation will involve intense urban combat, mass evacuations, and widespread destruction.
Following Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s description of Gaza City and its central camps as “Hamas’s last strongholds,” the Security Cabinet convened yesterday evening. In a statement today, Defense Minister Israel Katz said:
“Yesterday, we approved the plans prepared by the Israeli army to defeat Hamas in Gaza. This will involve intense combat, civilian evacuations, and military operations. Very soon, the gates of hell will open for Hamas’s murderers and rapists in Gaza. They will either accept Israel’s terms and end the war, or Gaza City, Hamas’s capital, will become like Rafah and Beit Hanoun.”
Tunnel threat and demolition plan
According to a report in Ynet News based on military intelligence, Hamas is rebuilding its tunnel networks even in areas where operations have previously occurred. It is reported that large and critical underground networks exist in Gaza City, some of which were not detected during the initial operation 18 months ago.
The new operation is expected to be conducted similarly to “Gideon’s Chariots.” New military routes will be opened around the city, advances will be made along main roads, and numerous buildings will be demolished. As in Rafah and Khan Younis, thousands of structures will be razed. It was noted that east of Khan Younis, the Paratrooper Brigade demolished more than two thousand three-to-four-story buildings on the grounds that they “belonged to terrorists or were connected to tunnel entrances.”
An Israeli army commander told Ynet:
“The buildings give terrorists the ability to exit tunnels and dig new ones. Demolishing them is not just about inflicting damage; it holds great operational value.”
High-rise buildings as a new front
The urban landscape of Gaza City differs from that of Khan Younis or Beit Hanoun. In the western neighborhoods, heavily damaged 10-15 story buildings are still standing. It is assessed that these structures could house Hamas’s anti-tank teams, snipers, or lookouts and conceal extensive tunnel networks. Therefore, it is stated that large quantities of explosives and heavy engineering vehicles will be used to demolish such buildings. However, according to the report, some of the equipment has been worn down by the 22-month war that has been ongoing since October 7, 2023.
Evacuation of one million civilians planned
The ground operation is expected to be postponed until September. The primary reason for this is the necessity of evacuating approximately one million Gazans to the south. According to the report, this complex process requires the cooperation of the United Nations. In the next phase of the plan, the Southern Command intends to encircle Gaza City from all directions and advance toward the high-rise buildings in the west.
This will be followed by plans for the course of the fighting, timing, potential scenarios, logistics, exercises, and the concentration of forces along the Netzarim Corridor and the border. Air strikes are expected to be carried out before the operation.
Fatigue among reserve soldiers
Tens of thousands of reserve soldiers have received call-up notices. Some will be summoned for duty starting in early September. Reserve Lieutenant Colonel Itamar Harel from the Armored Corps told the Ynet studio that this was the fifth time he had been called to duty since the war began:
“On one hand, we are doing everything we can to bring the hostages back. But on the other hand, there is both physical and psychological fatigue. Our family and work lives are deteriorating. The state keeps calling us back, but it is not conscripting other sectors, including the ultra-Orthodox.”
Harel also emphasized that conflicting statements from politicians were causing confusion among the soldiers: “When Katz and Zamir argue in the media, it doesn’t help us. It’s still unclear how our mission will conclude this story.”
It was also noted that the active-duty brigades have been instructed to prepare for a new ground operation after the last major operation in northern Gaza 20 months ago, but for now, they will continue with their regular duties. The training schedule is expected to change as preparations advance.
Middle East
US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt
The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.
The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.
Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.
A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.
Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.
A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”
This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.
An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”
The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.
The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.
The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.
A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.
In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.
The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.
Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.
Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.
In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.
Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.
This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.
Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.
Middle East
Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks
Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.
This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.
United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.
Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.
The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.
Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.
Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.
“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.
Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.
The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.
Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.
Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.
Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.
Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.
The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.
Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.
Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.
Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”
Middle East
Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.
Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.
Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.
The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.
The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”
Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.
Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.
Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.
Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”
Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.
According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:
“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”
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