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Iran ready to resume nuclear talks, outcome hinges on US decision

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Iran has seriously expressed readiness to conclude the Vienna talks aimed at reviving the nuclear deal, stressing the need for the other involved parties to return with good faith.

Its chief nuclear negotiator, Ali Bagheri Kani said that Tehran will provide the US, which withdrew from Iran’s 2015 deal “unilaterally and unlawfully”, an opportunity to demonstrate “good faith and act responsibly” to reach a reasonable deal in Vienna talks.

Apparently, Iran is in a hurry for an agreement to pave the way for a swift conclusion of Vienna negotiations which has been stalled since March this year due to differences between Tehran and Washington.

Kani assurance and readiness to conclude the negotiations in a short order, is just coming forward after a few days when EU’s foreign policy chief Josep Borrell presented the United States and Iran with a new proposal to salvage the tattered 2015 nuclear deal, also known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

Iran under the landmark JCPOA agreement between UK, China, France, Germany, Russia, and the US, had agreed to limit its nuclear activities as well as allowing the most extensive monitoring and inspection implemented by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). In return, Iran expected relief from severe economic sanctions from the world.

Now it’s time to test US resolve on the process after Iran has instantly appeared to be ready to resume talks. However, the development came days after US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced new sanctions on entities trading in Iranian petroleum and petrochemicals, saying that “US will keep using its authorities to target Iran’s exports of these products until Iran is ready to return to full implementation of its commitments under a mutual return to the JCPOA.”

Tehran does not trust, wants guarantee

It would be naïve for the US to think that Iran will continue to be flexible and creative at the negotiating table through pressures. It’s not because Iran is not willing to revitalize the deal, but it is about trust-deficit.

Iran has repeatedly called for a guarantee that the US should not once again abandon the deal. Former US President Donald Trump withdrew the deal in 2018 and imposed biting sanctions on Iran, a move sparked anger among Tehran politicians, prompting it to accelerate its nuclear activities. Iran has since not been willing to trust the US in nutshell, but wants a guarantee.

His successor, Joe Biden has embarked upon the process of rolling back on his former’s withdrawal, but so far failed to restore the agreement.

Despite carrying talks for nearly one year among JCPOA members, including the US, no breakthrough was achieved to revive the 2015 nuclear accord and both sides Iran and US accused each other of being unserious to reach a deal.

At the same time, Iran’s Atomic Agency Chief, Mohammad Eslami said that his country is now able to produce an atomic bomb, but said they have no intention to do so.

Eslami’s retreated comments made by Kamal Kharazi, a close adviser to the country’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, which said Iran is not interesting in building a bomb because it contradicts with country’s principles and national security needs.

After 11 months of unsuccessful talks in Vienna, with clear intention of Iran to resume the talks and almost zero-intention to building bomb, now the ball is on the table of Biden’s administration whether to reach a logical deal or remain in hostility with Iran.

Middle East

Israel military weighs legal steps against Gaza documentary makers

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Israel’s Chief of General Staff, Eyal Zamir, has instructed officials to examine criminal and legal steps against the production team of the documentary “NAZA”, which focuses on testimonies from soldiers and intelligence personnel who served in Gaza operations.

While Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu targeted the production, describing it as “unacceptable”, more than 200 Israeli filmmakers published a joint statement backing the directors.

Maintaining that the documentary slandered the military, Chief of General Staff Zamir asserted that the work had no intention of uncovering the truth.

“In light of the available data, this production is not a work that constructively criticises the military,” Zamir said. “On the contrary, it relies on blood libels, a deliberate distortion of the reality on the ground, and baseless accusations directed at our soldiers and commanders.”

Zamir further claimed that the military was presented as an entity acting unlawfully and that the arguments of anti-Israel circles were adapted for the film.

The Israeli military is establishing a new multidisciplinary, inter-agency working group involving domestic and international experts to counter such allegations.

Meanwhile, the military’s most senior legal official, Itai Ofir, is reviewing the legal procedures that could be initiated against the documentary’s producers.

The military leadership contends that the testimonies lack credibility because the identities, ranks, and operational details of the personnel interviewed in the film were concealed.

Rejecting the assertion that targets were selected by artificial intelligence, military officials stated that all strikes and target approvals were decided by human hands within the framework of military directives.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reacted to the production in a video message shared on Telegram.

“This situation is appalling,” Netanyahu said, voicing his reaction. “While resisting antisemitic incitement conducted globally, it is unacceptable for a similar approach to arise from within ourselves. Two Israeli directors presenting the Israeli military as war criminals are being applauded at the Venice Film Festival.”

The 80-minute production was awarded the Special Jury Prize at the 83rd Venice International Film Festival and received a 25-minute standing ovation in the auditorium at the end of the screening.

In reactions emerging from the cabinet, Minister of Culture and Sports Miki Zohar accused directors Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor of “high treason”.

“The self-hatred displayed by these producers, who risk harming their own country to win the praise of antisemitic circles worldwide, is beyond comprehension,” Zohar said. Announcing that he would launch an initiative to revoke the directors’ citizenship, Zohar stated that direct accusations of treason could be brought against the individuals.

Far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir also addressed the directors, stating: “You are a source of shame for the entire people of Israel. Get out of here.” Under current Israeli legislation, the culture minister does not have the authority to unilaterally revoke citizenship; decisions in this direction can be made only as a result of legal processes involving the Ministry of Interior and judicial bodies.

Following the mounting backlash, more than 200 Israeli filmmakers, including Ari Folman, Shlomi Elkabetz, Ran Tal, and Michal Aviad, signed a joint declaration of solidarity. The text emphasised that “the primary duty of art and the profession of journalism is to hold up a mirror to the society from which it arises.”

Produced in partnership with The Guardian and JW Films, “NAZA” conveys testimonies from 24 military and intelligence personnel whose identities were kept concealed and who took part in surveillance, targeting, and air strike decisions in Gaza.

Deriving its name from a Hebrew military acronym that designates the number of civilians expected to lose their lives during an operation and corresponds to the concept of “collateral damage”, the film documents that targets were determined using artificial intelligence and mass surveillance networks.

Describing high-tech weaponry and AI-assisted targeting mechanisms, one interviewed soldier made the comparison: “Because everything runs on remote control, the process resembles a video game.”

Another soldier described the deaths on the ground as “unbelievably fun”.

Director Yuval Abraham said: “The intelligence personnel we interviewed stated that the mass deaths were not an accident, but on the contrary rested upon a designed and systematic choice.”

Abraham and Szor stated that the production did not scrutinise individual soldier violations, but directly examined the institutional chain of command and operational doctrines.

The two directors had previously made the Oscar-winning documentary “No Other Land”, which addressed the displacement of Palestinians and settler violence in the occupied West Bank, alongside Palestinian filmmakers Basel Adra and Hamdan Ballal.

While the Ministry of Health in Gaza announced that the number of Palestinians who have lost their lives in the attacks exceeded 73,700, the actual death toll is projected to be far above this figure due to destroyed healthcare infrastructure and casualties lost beneath the rubble.

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Saudi Arabia asks UK for military aid to counter Houthis in Yemen

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British Prime Minister Andy Burnham is considering responding to requests for military assistance directed at Yemen from the Saudi Arabian government.

According to sources speaking to Bloomberg, the prime minister has received various requests for diplomatic and military support from Saudi Arabia.

The sources stated that Saudi Arabia’s requests include providing operational support to its military to repel the advance of Ansarullah (the Houthis) along Yemen’s Red Sea coast towards the strategically vital Bab el-Mandeb Strait, as well as assistance in defending against attacks on oil infrastructure.

Under pressure to take action because of the economic difficulties generated by the war with Iran, Burnham is also concerned about creating the impression that he supports Donald Trump’s war against Iran, given that the UK public overwhelmingly opposes the war.

Reports had emerged that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman asked Donald Trump to conduct air strikes against the Yemeni resistance.

At present, the UK has approved the deployment of only British military advisers to Saudi Arabia.

This comes despite Saudi Arabia’s request for operational support to halt operations carried out by Yemeni forces along the coastline.

Former UK prime ministers Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer had provided more comprehensive support to Saudi Arabia against the Yemeni resistance.

The prime minister was also warned by UK officials that the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is of vital importance to global maritime transport and the economy, and that the capture of this strait by the Houthis must be prevented.

Earlier on Monday, Bloomberg reported that Saudi Arabia was seeking to increase the volume of oil shipments transiting the Strait of Hormuz after shutting down its East-West crude pipeline.

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Saudi exportable crude stocks risk depletion within a week

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Saudi Arabia risks exhausting its exportable crude stockpiles if the East-West pipeline to the Red Sea fails to resume operations, according to reports.

Citing companies purchasing Saudi crude as well as market traders, the Reuters news agency reported that such an outcome could trigger a severe contraction in global oil supply.

Oil flows through the pipeline were halted following drone strikes. The government in Riyadh has not yet issued an official statement regarding the extent of the damage or the expected duration of repair works.

Sources familiar with the matter have offered differing estimates regarding the repair timetable.

One source speaking to Reuters noted that works could take five to six weeks, while another source stated that the damage could be repaired more quickly and that partial oil flows could be restored before repairs are entirely completed.

Stocks at Yanbu port reach critical threshold

Traversing the Arabian Peninsula to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, the pipeline carries approximately 4 million barrels of oil per day. This volume represents roughly 4% of global oil supply.

The line previously provided Saudi Arabia with an alternative export route, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz where maritime traffic has faced disruptions due to regional conflict in the Middle East.

Three sources closely tracking shipment schedules indicated that, following the stoppage, oil reserves at Yanbu port would suffice to sustain exports for only five to seven days.

A fourth source stated that additional reserves held in Egypt at the Red Sea port of Ain Sokhna and the Mediterranean terminal of Sidi Kerir afford buyers shipments for several more days.

Storage capacities stand at approximately 35 million barrels at Yanbu, 18 million barrels at Ain Sokhna, and 20 million barrels at Sidi Kerir.

However, sources stressed that these facilities are not currently filled to maximum capacity and warned that these inventories will be entirely depleted if the pipeline is not brought back online.

Output at lowest level in 30 years

According to International Energy Agency data, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea transit corridors pushed Saudi oil supply in August to its lowest level in 30 years.

Data submitted by the Riyadh government to OPEC show that the kingdom’s crude production fell from 10.9 million barrels per day in February to 6.2 million barrels per day in August.

In July, the Houthis in Yemen announced the launch of a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia. On 8 September, the Saudi Ministry of Energy announced that operations had been suspended at several energy facilities in the southern part of the country.

On the same day, the Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued an official statement condemning Houthi strikes targeting facilities in the cities of Abha, Khamis Mushait, Jizan, and Najran.

Riyadh authorities reported that 73 civilians, including women and children, were injured in the attacks. US President Donald Trump stated that Iran might be behind this attack on Saudi Arabia.

In oil markets, Brent crude futures recorded their sharpest single-day gain since late July on Thursday, 10 September.

The price of November Brent crude contracts rose by 6.3% to reach $107.6 per barrel. Prices retreated below the $105 mark the following day.

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