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Iranian NGO report records 50% drop in terrorist attacks for 2025

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The Habilian Association (Families of Iranian Victims of Terrorism), an Iran-based non-governmental organization and think tank, has released its 2025 annual terrorism report documenting terrorist acts against the country and its citizens.

The findings of the report were shared during the Day of Commemoration and Respect for Victims of Terrorism ceremony, co-organized by the Habilian Association and hosted by the Institute for Political and International Studies of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

The ceremony was attended by Deputy Foreign Minister Dr Saeed Khatibzadeh, Deputy Head of the Judiciary Dr Seraj, and Habilian Secretary-General Seyed Mohammad Javad Hasheminejad, alongside the families of those who lost their lives in terrorist attacks.

First published in 2019 and now in its fifth edition, the report covers the year 2025 according to Iran’s official Solar Hijri calendar (spanning 21 March 2025 to 20 March 2026). Published in Persian and English, the document provides detailed data examining the activities of non-state terrorist organizations and state-sponsored actors.

“Attacks down by half, fatalities drop 43%”

The report highlighted a significant decline in nationwide terrorism indicators compared to the previous year. The number of recorded terrorist incidents fell by 50%, dropping from 52 in 2024 to 26 in 2025, while the death toll decreased by 43%, falling from 100 to 57.

Comparing three-year trends, the report noted that while terrorist incidents rose by 62.5% in 2024 compared to 2023, 2025 saw a decrease of 18.7% compared to 2023 and 50% compared to 2024. A steady decline in fatalities was also identified. Fatalities in 2025 fell by 64.6% compared to 2023, which included the victims of the Kerman Golzar attack. However, the average fatality rate per attack increased from 1.92 in 2024 to 2.20 in 2025.

The report stated that “Iran has been a victim of terrorist violence for nearly half a century, with 23,000 people killed by terrorism, while countries hostile to Tehran apply a clear double standard by providing terrorist organizations with offices, freedom of movement, and high-level contacts.”

“Terrorist threat almost entirely confined to southeast”

One of the most critical findings of the 2025 report was the narrowing geographic distribution of terrorist acts. While incidents in 2024 spanned six provinces and two countries, all 26 attacks in 2025 took place within Iranian borders and were concentrated in just four provinces.

Sistan and Baluchestan province remained the primary centre of terrorist incidents in the country. The report stated that 84.6% of terrorist attacks (22 operations) and 86% of casualties (49 victims) in 2025 were recorded in this province. Nevertheless, the number of attacks in Sistan and Baluchestan fell 39% year-on-year from 36 to 22, representing a 17% improvement in its share of total nationwide victims. Within the province, the highest number of attacks occurred in Iranshahr, followed by Zahedan.

Elsewhere in the country, three people were killed in two attacks in Kurdistan province, one person was killed in one attack in West Azerbaijan province, and four people died in one attack in Kerman province. Central and southern provinces targeted in previous years, including Tehran, Isfahan, Fars, and Hormozgan, recorded zero terrorist incidents in 2025.

“Security forces comprise over 75% of targets”

The report analyzed the occupational and demographic profile of the victims in detail. Of the 57 people killed, 56 were male and one was female; 49 were Iranian citizens and eight were Pakistani labourers.

Law enforcement personnel formed the largest group by occupation. In 2025, victims of terrorism included 19 police officers (33%), 11 Basij members, eight foreign Pakistani workers, six conscripted soldiers, six civilians, three border guards, three security personnel, and one member of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The report stated: “Security and law enforcement forces accounted for 75.4% of total casualties, a figure that reaches 88% when Pakistani workers are excluded.”

The drop in IRGC fatalities from 27 in 2024 to one in 2025 was attributed to the withdrawal of Iranian military advisers from Syria and Lebanon. The report emphasized that civilians were not selected as direct primary targets, though civilian casualties did occur, including seven-month-old Navid Baluch Shir Mohammadi and a 60-year-old Baluch woman killed in the Zahedan courthouse attack, as well as 16-year-old Mansour Layegh-Jami killed at the Fahraj checkpoint in Kerman.

“Jaish al-Adl persists under a new name”

In its group-based assessment, the report determined that Jaish al-Adl remained the most active and deadliest group in Iran in 2025. Announcing its name as the “People’s Combatants Front” in late 2025, the group carried out 14 attacks resulting in 28 deaths, accounting for 53.8% of attacks and 49.1% of fatalities nationwide. While the group’s operations declined by 48% compared to 2024, its fatality rate per incident increased. The report evaluated the group’s rebranding as “a formal maneuver aimed at evading legal restrictions, escaping terrorist watchlists, and projecting an image of organizational vitality.”

After two years of inactivity, the Kurdish separatist group PJAK carried out three attacks in Kurdistan and West Azerbaijan provinces in July and August 2025, leaving four people dead. The report noted that the group had previously been unable to operate due to the Iran-Iraq security agreement, Iranian strikes against its positions in the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government area, and its expulsion from border regions. The attacks were described either as potential retaliation for an Iranian drone strike in Penjwin or as an effort by the group to assert operational independence amid the disarmament process undertaken by the PKK in Türkiye.

Ansar al-Furqan caused five deaths across two attacks, while the Baluch Nationalist Army (BNA) killed eight Pakistani workers in a single attack in Mehrestan. Arab separatist groups in Khuzestan, numbering up to 15, carried out no armed terrorist attacks in 2025 and engaged solely in media propaganda. Unclaimed attacks totaled six incidents resulting in 12 deaths, all of which occurred in Sistan and Baluchestan.

Regarding the removal of Israel and the US from the list of direct terrorist perpetrators compared to the 2024 report, the document cited the withdrawal of military advisers from Syria and Lebanon, two conventional conflicts (the “12-Day War” and the “Ramadan War”), and the classification of assassinations of political, scientific, and military figures during the January events within the framework of conventional warfare.

“Targeted assassinations and armed assaults dominate”

The report also examined tactical shifts among terrorist organizations. In 2025, over 69% of incidents (18 cases) were direct firearm assaults, accounting for 87.7% of fatalities. Unlike 2024, no suicide bombings or “inghimasi”-style raid attacks were recorded in 2025.

Conversely, targeted assassinations of local figures resurged. The targeting of Basij commander Javad Karimkoshteh in front of a mosque in Zahedan, local IRGC member Iraj Shams Eskani in a barbershop in Rask, Shehr-e Deraz police station chief Mahmoud Haghighat in Iranshahr, and tribal leader Mohammadreza Shahouzehi’s convoy in Eshkelabad were characterized as a strategy to weaken local security personnel and community leaders in border districts. The report noted that intelligence operations, including the “Martyrs of Security” drills and the seizure of 25 kilograms of explosives in Chabahar, foiled multiple planned attacks.

Chronology of 2025-2026 terrorist incidents

The monthly breakdown of incidents and details in the report were listed as follows:

  • 27 March 2025: Master Sergeant Hossein Teymourpour was killed and two police officers were injured in an attack on a Police Station 12 patrol vehicle in Iranshahr. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 12 April 2025: Eight Pakistani workers had their hands and feet bound and were shot dead at close range during a raid on an auto repair shop in the village of Hizabad-e Pain, Mehrestan county, Sistan and Baluchestan province. Five victims were identified as Delshad, Naeem, Jafar, Danish, and Nasser. The Baluch Nationalist Army (BNA) claimed responsibility.
  • 18 April 2025: Jaish al-Adl team leader Vali Mohammad Shahbakhsh was killed during the “Martyrs of Security” operation in the Qurin district of Zahedan; Quds Base Basij member Eshagh Mokhtari was killed during the operation.
  • 4 May 2025: Gunfire targeted Police Station 11 patrol vehicles in Iranshahr, wounding four police officers; three attackers were captured. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 17 May 2025: An explosive device planted along a police patrol route in Saravan was defused. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 11 July 2025: Police officers Hossein Jafarniya and Hamidreza Mirshahi, along with conscript Abbas Beyraghifard, were killed in an attack on a police patrol in Chabahar; one attacker was killed. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 21 July 2025: Border Guard Senior Master Sergeant Sina Sattarvand was killed in a clash in the Baneh border area of Kurdistan province. PJAK operatives reportedly carried out the attack.
  • 22 July 2025: Captain Mahmoud Motahhari died after gunfire was opened on a patrol vehicle from another car in Saravan. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 25 July 2025: Basij member Meysam Kabiri was killed and one person was injured when PJAK members opened fire on a military outpost in Aglan village, Sardasht county, West Azerbaijan province.
  • 26 July 2025: Armed assailants attempting to storm the Zahedan Courthouse using grenades and firearms killed six people: seven-month-old infant Navid Baluch Shir Mohammadi, a 60-year-old Baluch woman, courthouse protection unit Lieutenants Hossein Rafienasab and Hosseinali Nouri, and conscripts Nima Karami and Ahmad Abdollahi; 22 people were injured. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 27 July 2025: Basij commander Javad Karimkoshteh was shot dead while on guard duty at the entrance of a mosque in the Shirabad district of Zahedan. Ansar al-Furqan claimed the assassination.
  • 15 August 2025: Sergeant Ramin Sadeghi was killed and one security officer was wounded in an attack on a patrol vehicle in Iranshahr. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 22 August 2025: Five police officers were killed when gunfire targeted two Daman Police Station vehicles on the Iranshahr-Khash road: Master Sergeants Mohammadreza Rahimi and Mohammad Nowrouzi, Sergeant Hasan Tavakkoli, conscript Hadi Rouyaei, and Captain Gholamreza Vahdani. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 6 September 2025: Local IRGC member Iraj Shams Eskani was shot dead in a barbershop in Pishin, Rask county. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 16 September 2025: Younes Sayyad Arbabi and Ebrahim Piri were killed in an attack on a Sib and Suran county police vehicle on the Khash-Zahedan road; critically injured Sib and Suran Police Chief Colonel Ebrahim Fazilati died on 18 September. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility.
  • 18 September 2025: Local Basij member and community figure Reza Azerkish (Shahlibor) was shot dead in Iranshahr. The attack was unclaimed.
  • 2 October 2025: Gunfire targeting a motorcycle police patrol in Qasr-e Qand county wounded one officer and killed a passing civilian. The perpetrators were not identified.
  • 1 November 2025: In an ambush on Shahouzehi tribal leader Mohammadreza Shahouzehi’s vehicle at the Eskelabad area along the Khash-Zahedan road, local Sunni Basij members Esmail Shaverzi and Mokhtar Shahouzehi died the same day, while Yaghoub Fard Salarzehi died on 12 November. The attack was unclaimed.
  • 1 November 2025: Security officer Mohammad (Javad) Siahani was killed by gunfire from an unplated vehicle on the Iranshahr Bampur-Delgan road.
  • 30 November 2025: An attack on an IRGC Quds Base patrol vehicle in the Lar border area of Zahedan killed IRGC serviceman Sajjad Marashi and Basij members Mohammad Bezzi, Alireza Nasirabadi, and Alireza Piri. The attack was claimed by Jaish al-Adl’s new structure, the “People’s Combatants Front.”
  • 16 December 2025: A night attack on the Fahraj checkpoint in Kerman province killed police officer Saeed Pourhadi, security personnel Morad Salehi and Isa Barsam, and 16-year-old civilian Mansour Layegh-Jami. Ansar al-Furqan claimed responsibility.
  • 16 December 2025: Gunfire was directed at police from two vehicles in Iranshahr; the attackers fled without causing security casualties.
  • 7 January 2026: Shehr-e Deraz police station chief Mahmoud Haghighat was shot dead in Iranshahr. The assassination was claimed by the People’s Combatants Front (Jaish al-Adl).
  • 9 February 2026: Twenty-year-old Basij member Iman Shahnavazi was wounded in a shooting targeting a vehicle in front of the special forces building on Imam Khomeini Street in Khash county and died several days later. The People’s Combatants Front claimed responsibility.
  • 3 March 2026: Conscript Amir Mohammad Karimi was killed and three people were wounded when gunfire struck a patrol vehicle in Zahedan. The People’s Combatants Front claimed responsibility.
  • 16 March 2026: Six people were killed when a police patrol vehicle was attacked in Taftan county: police officers Sajjad Batakva, Mohammad Javad Ensaf, Hamidreza Shahraki, and Alireza Pourbagher, conscript Alireza Sergezi, and an unidentified civilian. No group claimed responsibility.

Middle East

Israel military weighs legal steps against Gaza documentary makers

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Israel’s Chief of General Staff, Eyal Zamir, has instructed officials to examine criminal and legal steps against the production team of the documentary “NAZA”, which focuses on testimonies from soldiers and intelligence personnel who served in Gaza operations.

While Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu targeted the production, describing it as “unacceptable”, more than 200 Israeli filmmakers published a joint statement backing the directors.

Maintaining that the documentary slandered the military, Chief of General Staff Zamir asserted that the work had no intention of uncovering the truth.

“In light of the available data, this production is not a work that constructively criticises the military,” Zamir said. “On the contrary, it relies on blood libels, a deliberate distortion of the reality on the ground, and baseless accusations directed at our soldiers and commanders.”

Zamir further claimed that the military was presented as an entity acting unlawfully and that the arguments of anti-Israel circles were adapted for the film.

The Israeli military is establishing a new multidisciplinary, inter-agency working group involving domestic and international experts to counter such allegations.

Meanwhile, the military’s most senior legal official, Itai Ofir, is reviewing the legal procedures that could be initiated against the documentary’s producers.

The military leadership contends that the testimonies lack credibility because the identities, ranks, and operational details of the personnel interviewed in the film were concealed.

Rejecting the assertion that targets were selected by artificial intelligence, military officials stated that all strikes and target approvals were decided by human hands within the framework of military directives.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reacted to the production in a video message shared on Telegram.

“This situation is appalling,” Netanyahu said, voicing his reaction. “While resisting antisemitic incitement conducted globally, it is unacceptable for a similar approach to arise from within ourselves. Two Israeli directors presenting the Israeli military as war criminals are being applauded at the Venice Film Festival.”

The 80-minute production was awarded the Special Jury Prize at the 83rd Venice International Film Festival and received a 25-minute standing ovation in the auditorium at the end of the screening.

In reactions emerging from the cabinet, Minister of Culture and Sports Miki Zohar accused directors Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor of “high treason”.

“The self-hatred displayed by these producers, who risk harming their own country to win the praise of antisemitic circles worldwide, is beyond comprehension,” Zohar said. Announcing that he would launch an initiative to revoke the directors’ citizenship, Zohar stated that direct accusations of treason could be brought against the individuals.

Far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir also addressed the directors, stating: “You are a source of shame for the entire people of Israel. Get out of here.” Under current Israeli legislation, the culture minister does not have the authority to unilaterally revoke citizenship; decisions in this direction can be made only as a result of legal processes involving the Ministry of Interior and judicial bodies.

Following the mounting backlash, more than 200 Israeli filmmakers, including Ari Folman, Shlomi Elkabetz, Ran Tal, and Michal Aviad, signed a joint declaration of solidarity. The text emphasised that “the primary duty of art and the profession of journalism is to hold up a mirror to the society from which it arises.”

Produced in partnership with The Guardian and JW Films, “NAZA” conveys testimonies from 24 military and intelligence personnel whose identities were kept concealed and who took part in surveillance, targeting, and air strike decisions in Gaza.

Deriving its name from a Hebrew military acronym that designates the number of civilians expected to lose their lives during an operation and corresponds to the concept of “collateral damage”, the film documents that targets were determined using artificial intelligence and mass surveillance networks.

Describing high-tech weaponry and AI-assisted targeting mechanisms, one interviewed soldier made the comparison: “Because everything runs on remote control, the process resembles a video game.”

Another soldier described the deaths on the ground as “unbelievably fun”.

Director Yuval Abraham said: “The intelligence personnel we interviewed stated that the mass deaths were not an accident, but on the contrary rested upon a designed and systematic choice.”

Abraham and Szor stated that the production did not scrutinise individual soldier violations, but directly examined the institutional chain of command and operational doctrines.

The two directors had previously made the Oscar-winning documentary “No Other Land”, which addressed the displacement of Palestinians and settler violence in the occupied West Bank, alongside Palestinian filmmakers Basel Adra and Hamdan Ballal.

While the Ministry of Health in Gaza announced that the number of Palestinians who have lost their lives in the attacks exceeded 73,700, the actual death toll is projected to be far above this figure due to destroyed healthcare infrastructure and casualties lost beneath the rubble.

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Saudi Arabia asks UK for military aid to counter Houthis in Yemen

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British Prime Minister Andy Burnham is considering responding to requests for military assistance directed at Yemen from the Saudi Arabian government.

According to sources speaking to Bloomberg, the prime minister has received various requests for diplomatic and military support from Saudi Arabia.

The sources stated that Saudi Arabia’s requests include providing operational support to its military to repel the advance of Ansarullah (the Houthis) along Yemen’s Red Sea coast towards the strategically vital Bab el-Mandeb Strait, as well as assistance in defending against attacks on oil infrastructure.

Under pressure to take action because of the economic difficulties generated by the war with Iran, Burnham is also concerned about creating the impression that he supports Donald Trump’s war against Iran, given that the UK public overwhelmingly opposes the war.

Reports had emerged that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman asked Donald Trump to conduct air strikes against the Yemeni resistance.

At present, the UK has approved the deployment of only British military advisers to Saudi Arabia.

This comes despite Saudi Arabia’s request for operational support to halt operations carried out by Yemeni forces along the coastline.

Former UK prime ministers Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer had provided more comprehensive support to Saudi Arabia against the Yemeni resistance.

The prime minister was also warned by UK officials that the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is of vital importance to global maritime transport and the economy, and that the capture of this strait by the Houthis must be prevented.

Earlier on Monday, Bloomberg reported that Saudi Arabia was seeking to increase the volume of oil shipments transiting the Strait of Hormuz after shutting down its East-West crude pipeline.

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Saudi exportable crude stocks risk depletion within a week

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Saudi Arabia risks exhausting its exportable crude stockpiles if the East-West pipeline to the Red Sea fails to resume operations, according to reports.

Citing companies purchasing Saudi crude as well as market traders, the Reuters news agency reported that such an outcome could trigger a severe contraction in global oil supply.

Oil flows through the pipeline were halted following drone strikes. The government in Riyadh has not yet issued an official statement regarding the extent of the damage or the expected duration of repair works.

Sources familiar with the matter have offered differing estimates regarding the repair timetable.

One source speaking to Reuters noted that works could take five to six weeks, while another source stated that the damage could be repaired more quickly and that partial oil flows could be restored before repairs are entirely completed.

Stocks at Yanbu port reach critical threshold

Traversing the Arabian Peninsula to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, the pipeline carries approximately 4 million barrels of oil per day. This volume represents roughly 4% of global oil supply.

The line previously provided Saudi Arabia with an alternative export route, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz where maritime traffic has faced disruptions due to regional conflict in the Middle East.

Three sources closely tracking shipment schedules indicated that, following the stoppage, oil reserves at Yanbu port would suffice to sustain exports for only five to seven days.

A fourth source stated that additional reserves held in Egypt at the Red Sea port of Ain Sokhna and the Mediterranean terminal of Sidi Kerir afford buyers shipments for several more days.

Storage capacities stand at approximately 35 million barrels at Yanbu, 18 million barrels at Ain Sokhna, and 20 million barrels at Sidi Kerir.

However, sources stressed that these facilities are not currently filled to maximum capacity and warned that these inventories will be entirely depleted if the pipeline is not brought back online.

Output at lowest level in 30 years

According to International Energy Agency data, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea transit corridors pushed Saudi oil supply in August to its lowest level in 30 years.

Data submitted by the Riyadh government to OPEC show that the kingdom’s crude production fell from 10.9 million barrels per day in February to 6.2 million barrels per day in August.

In July, the Houthis in Yemen announced the launch of a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia. On 8 September, the Saudi Ministry of Energy announced that operations had been suspended at several energy facilities in the southern part of the country.

On the same day, the Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued an official statement condemning Houthi strikes targeting facilities in the cities of Abha, Khamis Mushait, Jizan, and Najran.

Riyadh authorities reported that 73 civilians, including women and children, were injured in the attacks. US President Donald Trump stated that Iran might be behind this attack on Saudi Arabia.

In oil markets, Brent crude futures recorded their sharpest single-day gain since late July on Thursday, 10 September.

The price of November Brent crude contracts rose by 6.3% to reach $107.6 per barrel. Prices retreated below the $105 mark the following day.

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