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Diplomacy

More than half of Ukrainians oppose another term for Zelenskyy, poll finds

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A new public opinion poll in Ukraine indicates that a majority of citizens oppose President Volodymyr Zelenskyy running for re-election.

According to the poll published yesterday by the SOCIS Center, 51.3% of participants stated they do not support Zelenskyy’s candidacy. The proportion of those who want Zelenskyy to participate in the election was 35.5%, while 13.3% were undecided.

Of those polled, 60.5% support holding a presidential election in Ukraine, while 29.1% are opposed.

The research found that 30.1% of respondents would vote for Zelenskyy in a potential election.

The proportion preferring the former commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, was 28.9%. Former President Petro Poroshenko ranked third with 7.2%.

The poll was conducted through face-to-face interviews with 2,000 people between October 10-16 and has a margin of error of 2.6%.

Zelenskyy’s presidential term ended on May 20, 2024. However, new elections were postponed due to the ongoing martial law and general mobilization in the country.

Trump’s peace plan is losing support among his own supporters

As political debates continue in Ukraine, the Ukraine policies of former President Donald Trump are being publicly discussed in the US, one of the war’s most important international allies.

A poll conducted by The Economist/YouGov between November 28 and December 1 revealed that a large portion of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the Russia-Ukraine war. This disapproval is even stronger among those who learn the details of Trump’s peace plan.

According to the poll, most Americans either know very little (28%) or nothing at all (43%) about Donald Trump’s proposed Russia-Ukraine peace plan.

As part of the research, a randomly selected group of participants was informed of several elements of the plan. These included limiting the Ukrainian army to 600,000 soldiers, preventing Ukraine from joining NATO, investing $100 billion from frozen Russian assets into Ukraine, and requiring Ukraine to withdraw from Donetsk and accept the region as part of the Russian Federation.

Among participants who were shown the plan’s content, approval of Trump’s performance on the Russia-Ukraine issue was lower compared to those who were not.

Support for Trump dropped significantly among Republicans who learned the details of the plan. The net approval rating for Trump’s policies among Republicans who did not see the plan was +57, whereas it fell to +38 for those who were informed of its contents.

The difference was even more striking among Republicans who were previously unaware of the plan. In this group, the net approval rating plummeted from +29 to +1 after learning about the plan.

Majority of Americans consider the war important for “national security”

In the poll, 42% of Americans said they believe Trump supports Russia more in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Another 12% believe he supports Ukraine, while 22% stated he is neutral.

Nevertheless, 56% of Americans view the Russia-Ukraine war as either “very important” (29%) or “somewhat important” (27%) for US national security.

On this issue, Democrats (67%) consider the war more important than Republicans (54%) and independents (51%).

Diplomacy

Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour

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Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.

Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.

As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.

The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.

Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.

In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.

Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”

US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”

On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.

According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.

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Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions

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Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.

According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.

Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.

The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.

Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.

He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.

Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.

Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.

The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.

On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.

In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.

In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.

The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.

Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.

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Diplomacy

Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.

In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.

“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”

Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.

He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.

Washington pledges to maintain defence support

Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.

“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.

Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.

“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.

Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks

In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.

He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.

Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”

Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.

The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.

In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.

The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.

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