Diplomacy
Turkish intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalın seeks to gradually restore relations with Israel, reports say
According to the Israeli daily Yedioth Aharonoth, MİT Director Ibrahim Kalın has played a significant role in the Gaza negotiations.
The newspaper’s report states that Kalın, “known for his ties with Israeli officials,” aims to rebuild relations and even bring Israeli tourists back to Türkiye.
Pointing out that the relationship between President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Kalın dates back to the years when Erdoğan sought to include “serious” academic figures in his inner circle, the newspaper, citing Israeli officials, claims that Erdoğan “trusts him completely” and that Israelis say Kalın is the “president’s shadow.”
The newspaper wrote, “When US President Donald Trump included Türkiye in the team negotiating the Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal in Sharm el-Sheikh, Ankara sat at the table on equal footing with mediators from Egypt, Qatar, and the US for the first time. The person representing Türkiye was Kalın, who has been serving as the head of the National Intelligence Organization (MİT) for two years.”
Yedioth Aharonoth continued:
“Kalın is well-acquainted with Mossad director David Barnea, former Shin Bet director Ronen Bar, and National Security Advisor Tzachi Hanegbi. He was also in contact with Israel’s former ambassador to Türkiye, Irit Lillian, inviting her to discussions in broader diplomatic forums. An Israeli official said, ‘He genuinely listened to the assessments of the Israeli side.'”
The report emphasizes that, unlike Erdoğan, who frequently directs harsh criticism at Israel, Kalın evaluates the situation with a much more “nuanced perspective.”
The report states, “Kalın publicly echoed the president’s criticisms that Israel ’caused great suffering to the residents of Gaza,’ but according to sources, the situation of the Israeli hostages held by Hamas genuinely affected him deeply.”
The report includes the following:
“Kalın recognizes Israel as a state and, as an intelligence chief, quietly maintains professional relations with his Israeli counterparts. A small example of this occurred last week in Sharm el-Sheikh. Retired Major General Nitzan Alon, Head of the IDF [Israel Defense Forces] Hostage and Missing Persons Directorate, approached Kalın and embraced him naturally.”
A high-level intelligence source stressed that Kalın is not anti-Israel, saying, “He is a smart, principled, intellectual man with unusual hobbies.”
Noting that Kalın “frequently uploads videos of himself playing the bağlama and singing folk songs to the internet,” Yedioth Aharonoth says, “This is an unimaginable image for the heads of Israel’s Mossad or Shin Bet. Another of his passions is nature photography: landscapes and wildlife, never people.”
The newspaper writes that during the recent talks in Sharm el-Sheikh, Erdoğan’s office in Ankara called Kalın four times to ask for the latest updates on the negotiations. It reports that Erdoğan described the ceasefire as “very fragile,” while Kalın stated, “We will be in Gaza to ensure the agreement is implemented.”
The Israeli newspaper then makes the following claim:
“People close to Kalın indicate that he hopes to gradually and cautiously re-establish relations with Israel. Turkish Airlines has hinted at plans to resume flights to Israel, requesting takeoff and landing slots at Ben Gurion Airport. Until two years ago, there were 14 flights a day between the two countries, but tourism came to a halt due to tensions. A source close to Kalın said, ‘He wants to break the ice, send a Turkish ambassador to Tel Aviv, host an Israeli envoy in Ankara, restart flights, revive tourism, and strengthen trade and agricultural cooperation.'”
According to Yedioth Aharonoth, Israeli intelligence profiles describe Kalın as “intellectual, slightly eccentric, spiritually inclined, religious but tolerant, and respectful of other faiths.”
From Israel’s perspective, Kalın’s greatest advantage is his direct contact with the Hamas leadership in Qatar and certain figures in Gaza. These connections helped Israel reach those holding its hostages. However, according to the newspaper, no such direct communication existed before Trump’s decision to include Türkiye in the talks.
The report notes that Israeli officials “quietly acknowledge” that Ankara has applied significant pressure on the Hamas leadership in recent days. According to the report, in one of their recent conversations, Erdoğan insisted to Kalın, “Do not leave Sharm until an agreement is reached.” Kalın later told the president, “We will stay until white smoke rises.”
Yedioth Aharonoth recalls that Hamas official Khalil al-Hayya, seen in a video after surviving an Israeli attack in Qatar, said he “received assurances from Kalın that the war was completely over.”
People close to Kalın, whose views were included in the report, warn that Israel has a “bad reputation” for offering “unconvincing excuses” while violating agreements.
In fact, according to diplomatic sources, the Turkish delegation led by Kalın even pushed for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to be invited to the “Peace Summit” in Sharm el-Sheikh, which was to coincide with the release of the hostages.
A source explained the reason for this, saying, “Because Israel needs to be there when the official documents are signed. No excuses: Netanyahu should not be allowed to escape.”
Diplomacy
CSTO strips Armenia of voting rights over two-year budget debt
Members of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) have stripped Armenia of its voting rights and its ability to appoint representatives to official positions due to a two-year debt to the organization’s budget.
Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said, “This decision was taken based on the organization’s charter due to Armenia’s failure to fulfil its obligations for several years.”
Prior to the CSTO leaders’ summit in Moscow, Peskov had stated that member states would “react” to the Caucasus country’s non-participation in the organization’s activities.
Ahead of the Moscow summit, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said his country’s “interest has run out” regarding the CSTO. Through his press spokesperson, he announced that he would travel to Türkiye on 11 November to attend the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP31) instead of going to Russia.
The CSTO leaders’ meeting was held with the participation of Russian President Vladimir Putin alongside the leaders of Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan.
The leaders jointly took the decision to revoke Armenia’s voting rights.
At the conclusion of the meeting, the participants also signed a joint declaration.
The declaration stated: “We confirm our unconditional commitment to the goals set out in the CSTO treaty and charter towards creating favourable and stable conditions for the comprehensive development of member states.”
Pashinyan had frozen Yerevan’s de facto participation in the CSTO in February 2024, citing the organization’s failure to aid the Armenian side during the armed clashes in Nagorno-Karabakh in September 2023.
Having referred to the CSTO as a “soap-bubble alliance” since that time, Pashinyan accused the organization’s members of “planning war” together with Baku. He stated that Armenia would not return to active work within the alliance at least “over the next five years”, adding that he would welcome it if the country were expelled from membership.
Relations between Armenia and Russia grew tense once again in the spring of 2026, after Yerevan moved closer to the European Union (EU) and the Kremlin responded with a trade war.
In May, Pashinyan refused to travel to Moscow to attend the Victory Day parade and declared that he did not support Russia on the Ukraine issue.
In response, Putin called on Yerevan to determine its foreign policy course through a referendum, advising Armenian authorities not to forget the fate of Ukraine.
Diplomacy
US urges Russia to draft proposals for new European security pact
The US administration has reportedly called on Russia to submit proposals for a prospective security treaty with Europe that would include measures to ease tensions between European nations and Moscow.
According to a report by news site Axios citing sources familiar with the matter, the US side conveyed the request during trilateral negotiations held in Abu Dhabi.
During the talks, US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner suggested that the Russian delegation prepare a fresh proposal outlining its security concerns and demands.
The US delegation reportedly asked that this proposal clarify what kind of “symmetrical steps” Moscow is prepared to take to de-escalate tensions and “provide non-aggression guarantees to Europe”.
Another source familiar with the White House’s approach said the Trump administration aims to run the processes for a new European security architecture and a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine simultaneously.
Under this plan, the actual implementation of the security understandings would take effect only after the signing of an accord ending the conflict in Ukraine.
Assessing the approach to the process, the source said: “[Ukrainian President Volodymyr] Zelenskyy will not agree to any compromise without knowing what will happen next regarding security guarantees. Putin also wants to see the exact same picture clearly. This is precisely why the security portfolio is so decisive.”
The same official noted that the US will not reach a security agreement with Russia without the support of Europe and Ukraine, adding that Washington will not grant Moscow veto power over European security decisions.
Vladimir Medinsky, aide to the Russian president and head of the delegation in the Ukraine negotiations, previously stated that the fundamental objective was building a comprehensive new security system in Europe.
Medinsky noted that the structure in question must take on the character of “a fair, new, modern Yalta and Potsdam that carries the spirit of Helsinki 1975 and responds to contemporary realities”.
The Russian official argued that if such a system were established, peace lasting for decades, or even centuries, could be secured in Europe.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov also announced that Moscow possesses its own position paper on how a new security architecture in Eurasia should take shape.
Lavrov stated that Russia hopes the Washington administration will “maintain its determination to pursue dialogue aimed at achieving an honest balance of interests where nobody’s security is impaired”.
Russian authorities have repeatedly stated that the country has no intention of attacking Europe.
Pointing out that they have no reason to fight NATO countries, Russian President Vladimir Putin previously said: “We have no interest whatsoever, neither geopolitical nor economic, political nor military.”
In a statement in October, Putin said Russia has no plans to attack anyone “in 2029, in 2030, or in the year 2050”.
On the other hand, Putin claimed that “all NATO countries are fighting Russia” and stated that the Russian military is currently the most combat-ready armed force in the world.
Following the contacts in Abu Dhabi, Kushner announced that he and Witkoff would travel to Moscow.
Explaining that they plan to meet Putin during the visit to discuss European participation in negotiations aimed at resolving the conflict, Kushner argued that the parties could make “far greater progress” if the Russian leader consents to such involvement.
Yury Ushakov, aide to the Russian president, stated that the US special envoys will arrive in Moscow on 12 November, with the planned meeting with the Russian president scheduled for the first half of the day.
Diplomacy
Vance leads indirect push for US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks
US Vice-President JD Vance has been personally involved over the past two weeks in indirect talks with Iran aimed at securing a fresh ceasefire and restarting nuclear negotiations.
According to Axios, Vance’s intense engagement indicates that he has taken it upon himself to extract the US from the conflict, which he views as responsible for the Republican Party’s shocking losses in this week’s elections.
This elevates the latest round of indirect talks to the highest echelons of the administration.
US officials and regional sources state that Trump is currently willing to let diplomatic efforts run their course to see whether any agreement is achievable.
Asked by reporters on Friday what his message was to Iran, Trump said, “We are talking to them.”
According to sources with direct knowledge of the matter, Vance speaks almost daily with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff Field Marshal Asim Munir, and other mediators regarding the negotiations with Iran.
White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, President Trump’s adviser and son-in-law, are also involved in the process.
Sources say Vance and the Qatari and Pakistani mediators have been discussing the possibility of holding a working-level technical meeting between the US and Iran in the coming days, though this has not yet materialized.
Before the war began in late February, Vance was among the most sceptical voices in Trump’s inner circle on the issue, advocating instead for a diplomatic solution.
In April, he led the US negotiating delegation at the Iran summit held in Islamabad and was personally involved in the talks that yielded a memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed between the US and Iran in June.
Vance subsequently headed the US delegation during a series of direct talks with Iran in Switzerland.
Two weeks ago, Vance sent a letter to Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, proposing that direct negotiations resume.
Rezaei is one of the closest advisers to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei.
Iranian officials noted that Vance’s letter generated positive momentum toward restarting talks.
On Wednesday, Vance said the war was the primary reason for the Republicans’ repudiation at the polls.
Sources involved in mediation efforts report that while progress is being made, the process is moving very slowly.
On Friday evening, the prime minister of Qatar said, “Over the past few weeks, we worked with our colleagues in the US administration who have a sincere intention to contain the situation and de-escalate. Thanks to them and the voices of reason in Tehran, we prevented the situation from spinning out of control.”
The prime minister added that discussions with the Trump administration continued following the midterm elections, though they were not as active as in previous days “because there are other matters.”
Nevertheless, he noted that the US intention to find a diplomatic resolution “remains ongoing” and emphasized that an agreement is possible.
On Friday morning, Trump and the Emir of Qatar discussed Qatari efforts to bridge differences between the US and Iran as part of an accord.
According to a statement from his office, Sheikh Tamim emphasized the necessity of “pursuing dialogue and diplomatic channels to resolve differences, prevent the region from facing further escalation, and ensure freedom of maritime navigation as well as the security of energy supplies.”
Separately, Trump confirmed on Friday that the US military conducted a strike on an anti-aircraft missile launcher on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz after it fired a missile at a US fighter jet.
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