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MIDDLE EAST

Gaza ceasefire talks enter dangerous phase

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As Ramadan approaches, negotiations between Israel and Hamas have reached an impasse over whether Palestinian men can return to northern Gaza.

Weeks of ceasefire talks have entered their most dangerous phase as US and Arab mediators rush to reach an agreement to halt fighting in Gaza and free some hostages held there until the last day of Ramadan.

The Wall Street Journal reported that Egyptian officials with knowledge of the talks said Egypt’s intelligence chief, Abbas Kamel, stepped in to prevent Hamas from walking out of the talks late on Tuesday and persuaded it to stay at the table for another day even though the two sides appeared deadlocked.

Hamas said in a statement early yesterday that it had shown ‘the necessary flexibility’ to reach an agreement and would continue negotiations ‘to reach an agreement that meets the demands and interests of the people’.

Israel and Hamas are at loggerheads over whether men of fighting age should be allowed to return to the northern part of Gaza, which Israel has closed to entry during the ceasefire, Egyptian officials said. An Israeli official familiar with the matter denied that the issue was currently part of the negotiations.

According to the Israeli official, Israel is not negotiating directly with Hamas in the ceasefire talks brokered by the US, Egypt and Qatar, and is still waiting for Hamas to respond. The main questions Israel wants answered are how many and which Palestinian prisoners Hamas is demanding for each hostage it releases, and how many of the sick, elderly and female hostages it is holding are still alive. Israel has put the number at around 40 and says it will not send a negotiating team to Cairo until it receives the answers. Hamas, for its part, says it needs several days without fighting to calculate the number.

Israeli officials say Hamas’s leader in Gaza, Yahya Sinwar, is not interested in a deal, hoping instead that continued fighting will lead to an escalation of tensions in the West Bank and Jerusalem during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, which begins on Sunday.

“We got nothing. Nothing has changed. Sinwar wants tensions to escalate in the Middle East and especially in Israel, and he wants his own people to suffer,” the Israeli official said.

If negotiations fail, Israel has threatened to launch a military operation against Rafah, a city of more than a million Palestinians, during Ramadan, which begins around March 10. The US has warned that such an operation, which Israel sees as crucial to ousting Hamas from the area, should not be undertaken without a plan to limit civilian casualties. Israeli leaders have also said they will not carry out such an operation without civilian casualties.

Politically, the consequences of a deal or failure are enormous. The occupation of Rafah, which Israel ordered the Palestinians to leave at the start of the war, could inflame tensions in the region and trigger a wider conflict on Israel’s northern border with Lebanon. Hezbollah and the Israeli army have exchanged fire on the border since Hamas attacks on Israel on 7 October.

Global shipping routes have also been disrupted by attacks in the Red Sea, which Yemen’s Houthis say are aimed at forcing an end to the war in Gaza. On Wednesday, a Barbados-flagged bulk carrier was hit in an attack claimed by the Houthis, killing three people on board – the first known casualties since the Iran-backed group began attacking merchant ships in late November, according to the US military.

The Biden administration, under electoral pressure over the scale of the humanitarian tragedy in Gaza, has stepped up talks in the hope of securing a six-week pause in hostilities to facilitate the delivery of more humanitarian aid.

Egyptian officials said Hamas wanted a commitment to a permanent ceasefire, followed by a six-week break in hostilities, in return for Israel’s full withdrawal from Gaza, allowing hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians to return to their homes in the north, and the release of living Israeli hostages.

MIDDLE EAST

ICJ to hold hearings over Israel’s Rafah attacks

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On Thursday and Friday, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) will consider new urgent measures requested by South Africa in response to the Israeli offensive in Rafah.

On 10 May, the Republic of South Africa asked the ICJ to grant new measures on the grounds that the Israeli offensive in Rafah has caused irreparable harm to the rights of the people of Gaza.

The ICJ announced that hearings on 16 and 17 May will consider South Africa’s request to the Court for further urgent measures against Israel for its attacks on Rafah, as part of the ongoing case accusing Israel of genocide against Palestinians.

South Africa’s application stated that new measures should be ordered against Israel on the grounds that the ICJ’s orders of 26 January and 28 March did not reflect the deteriorating conditions and new facts in Gaza and Rafah. The application said Israel had persistently failed to comply with the Court’s orders and continued its “egregious violations” in Gaza.

“Israel’s military operations in Rafah and elsewhere in Gaza are themselves genocidal,” the application said, stressing that the Court should do more than order Israel to comply with the injunctions and its obligations under the Genocide Convention. The application asked the Court to order Israel to cease its military operations.

In January, the Court did not order Israel to stop its attacks as a precautionary measure.

The request stated that Israel had seized the Kerem Abu Salim (Shalom) crossing, the last place of refuge for civilians in Gaza, and had taken de facto control of entry and exit to and from Gaza, and that Israel had prevented humanitarian aid from reaching 1.5 million Gazans.

The new measures demanded were as follows:

1- Israel will cease its military attacks at Rafah and withdraw immediately.

2 – Israel will immediately take all effective measures to ensure and facilitate unhindered access to Gaza for non-governmental organisations, including United Nations agencies, researchers and journalists, to assess the situation in Gaza and to ensure the preservation and collection of evidence, and to ensure that its army does not act in a manner that prevents access.

3- Within one week of the announcement of the new measures, Israel shall provide the Court with an accessible report describing the measures it has taken to implement both the previous measures and the new measures requested.

Israel has previously dismissed South Africa’s genocide case as unfounded, claiming that it is acting in accordance with international law in Gaza, with Tel Aviv accusing Pretoria of acting as the “legal arm of Hamas”.

Will Egypt intervene?

Egypt announced its intention to intervene in the case after Israel seized the Rafah border crossing.

In a statement posted on the Facebook page of the Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, it was stated that the decision to intervene came as a result of the escalation in the severity and scope of Israeli attacks against Palestinian civilians in the Gaza Strip, the continuation of systematic practices, including direct attacks against the Palestinian people, the destruction of infrastructure, the displacement of Palestinians from their lands, and the unprecedented humanitarian crisis that has made the Gaza Strip uninhabitable.

Egypt urged Israel to fulfil its obligations as an occupying power, to implement the interim measures issued by the ICJ, and to refrain from any violations against the Palestinian people, a protected people under the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, the statement said.

The statement also called on the United Nations Security Council and international parties to take immediate action to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza, halt military operations at Rafah and provide the necessary protection to Palestinian civilians.

It was previously announced that Nicaragua, Colombia and Libya had requested intervention under Articles 62 and 63 of the Court’s Charter.

Under Article 83 of its Rules of Procedure, the Court had invited South Africa and Israel to submit written observations on Colombia’s application for intervention.

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MIDDLE EAST

Floods in Afghanistan leave over 300 dead and survivors with no home

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At least 315 people have lost their lives, thousands of homes were damaged and livestock wiped out during the recent flash floods caused by heavy rain in northern Afghanistan.

Taliban authorities announced that over 1,600 people were wounded and the villagers buried their dead and aid agencies scrambling to help the survivors. “The death toll has exceeded 300, and sadly, we expect this number to rise. The flood has also destroyed more than 2,000 homes,” the UN’s International Organization for Migration (IOM) said on X.

Most of the casualties were reported in the northern Baghlan province where the floods destroyed 3,000 homes, damaged farmland, and washed away livestock. People are in desperate need as the deadly flood also damaged health centers.

Taliban’s Deputy Prime Minister for Economic Affairs, Abdul Ghani Baradar had visited Baghlan and met with the victims. He called on the aid organizations and the traders to help the affected people and the residents are in a deep shock as they buried dozens of bodies. The most of the victims are from Nahrin district

We have not food and no drinking water 

“We have no food, no drinking water and no shelter or blankets,” said Najibullah, who has lost nine members of his family. Three children are among the casualties.

The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) said that heavy rainfall and flash floods affected 21 districts across Badakhshan, Baghlan, and Takhar provinces.

At least 73 people have lost their lives and 76 others were wounded in Baghlani Jadid district where 1,500 houses have been damaged or destroyed. “In Burka district, 70 deaths and 150 injuries have been confirmed, along with damage to 5,000 homes. Elsewhere, 13 deaths were reported across Dahnai Ghori,  Guzargah Noor, Jelga, Narin and Puli Khumri districts where 1,612 homes were reportedly destroyed or damaged. A further 603 homes were reported as such in Khost and Tala wa Barfak  districts,” it said in a statement.

Afghan relatives offer prayers during a burial ceremony, near the graves of victims who lost their lives following flash floods after heavy rainfall at a village in Baghlan-e-Markazi district of Baghlan province.

At least 24 people were reportedly killed across Chall, Ishkamish, Farkhar and Namak Ab districts in Takhar province, with 14 injured and a further seven missing. More than one hundred homes were also reportedly destroyed or damaged – the vast majority in Chall and Ishkamish districts.

Baghlan, Badakhshan and Takhar provinces are affected the most

In Badakhshan province, Teshkan district has been the most affected with 200 homes, 50 bridges and 30 electricity dams destroyed or damaged and 2,000 animals killed.

“With every beat of our hearts, we feel the deep sorrow that’s befallen Baghlan and all of Afghanistan. In this tragic time, our spirits reach out to embrace the families in mourning,” the International Labour Organization (ILIO) covering Afghanistan said in X.

UN Special Rapporteur Richard Bennett, said that “recent floods in Afghanistan including Baghlan which claimed many lives, are a stark reminder of Afghanistan’s vulnerability to the climate crisis and both immediate aid and long term planning by the Taliban and international actors are needed”.

Recent floods are stark reminder of Afghanistan’s vulnerability to the climate crisis 

Indrika Ratwatte, deputy special representative of UNAMA for Afghanistan said that the country has remained amongst the world’s top 10 climate impacted countries while having no significant carbon footprint. “Climate shocks continue to ravage vulnerable communities. Urgent support for climate adaptation and mitigation for the people of Afghanistan is a critical need,” he added.

He furthered that Afghanistan Humanitarian Fund (AHF) will remain the main funding platform for providing life saving humanitarian assistance to millions. The international community needs to step up and support this critical lifeline for the people of Afghanistan, he added.

At the same time the World Health Organization’s Director-General, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said that WHO and its partners have deployed 17 mobile health teams to assist flood victims in Afghanistan.

In a post on X, Tedros emphasized that the recent floods resulted in more than 300 deaths and caused extensive damage to homes and health facilities.

“We are providing essential medicines and medical supplies to the affected communities,” he added.

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MIDDLE EAST

‘Israel sends its diplomats back to Turkey’

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According to a report by Ragıp Soylu of the British news agency Middle East Eye, citing Israeli sources, Israel has started to gradually send its diplomats back to Turkey as of this month.

After 7 October, Israel, which began attacks in Gaza and faced fierce protests in the countries of the region as the intensity of its attacks increased, withdrew all its diplomats in the region, including Turkey, for security reasons.

Israeli sources told Middle East Eye that Israel began returning its diplomats from Turkey earlier this month, six months after withdrawing them. According to the report, a Turkish official confirmed that Israeli diplomats had returned to their posts.

The report noted that Israel’s move to repatriate the diplomats came after Ankara completely cut off trade with Israel.

Turkey and Israel had downgraded their diplomatic relations to the level of charge d’affaires, reducing diplomatic and political contacts to zero, due to tensions that began in 2018 when the US recognised Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and moved its embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

However, last year, in line with the main trend in the region, steps were taken to normalise relations and reciprocal ambassadors were appointed. 7 October and the subsequent Israeli attacks on Gaza interrupted this trend.

In the first days after 7 October, Turkey adopted a more balanced discourse, but after Israel’s attack on the Al-Ahli hospital, Turkey began to harden its tone. Erdoğan accused Israel, which he blamed for the attack, of carrying out attacks ‘bordering on genocide’.

Israeli diplomats serving in Turkey, including Israeli Ambassador to Ankara Irit Lillian, decided to leave Turkey for “security reasons” after protests outside the embassy and consulate intensified on 19 October.

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