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The debate over Biden’s fitness for the presidency: The circle narrows

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Calls are growing in the US for Vice President Joe Biden to withdraw from the presidential race.

Democratic donors have warned that Biden’s refusal to step aside has “drained” funds for the November election and threatens to undermine the party’s efforts to defeat Donald Trump.

According to a report in the Financial Times (FT), donors have become a key audience in the battle over Biden’s future, with some aggressively pushing for his withdrawal even as Democratic members of Congress waver on his candidacy.

Their growing willingness to withdraw from the campaign, expressed in interviews with donors from Wall Street to Hollywood, poses a new risk to Biden’s re-election if he remains in the race for the White House, which is expected to be the most expensive in US history.

Donors say ‘money is drying up’

“As of today, it’s going to be very difficult for the president to raise money from big donors. It’s drying up so fast that it’s going to be extraordinarily difficult for him to stay in the race.”

Another donor, who has been in the party for decades, said the money was “drying up” and added: “When I talk to other donors, nine to one, they don’t plan to contribute … because they’re worried about losing.

Biden has sought to allay donors’ concerns in recent days, and on Monday he addressed them by participating in a conference call moderated by campaign manager Jennifer O’Malley Dillon.

While critical Democrats, including the Congressional Black Caucus and the Hispanic Caucus, have offered support for Biden, the effort has given Biden some breathing room as no member of the official party leadership has openly called for him to step aside.

But several high-profile Biden supporters, including Netflix co-founder Reed Hastings, hotel magnate Stewart Bainum Jr. and actor George Clooney, have explicitly cited the president’s mental instability in their calls for him to step aside.

Some ‘fat wallets’ continue to pour in money

One Democratic donor said a long-time donor had refused to even hear an offer of more money. “It’s really hard to raise money in any way. Since the debate, [donors] have gone from not enthusiastic to just angry,” the fundraiser said.

Biden’s campaign said the president’s poor debate performance against Trump late last month had not hurt fundraising, pointing to $38 million raised shortly after the event.

Roger Hochschild, former chairman of Discover and one of Biden’s biggest donors, suggested in an email on Wednesday that Democrats were “coalescing” around their presumptive presidential nominee after the “initial wave of concern”.

Another major Biden donor, Peter Lowy, former CEO of the Westfield Group and an investor in the English soccer team Leeds United, donated $929,600 to the president’s joint fundraising group on Monday, the largest amount.

“I’m a businessman and I make decisions based on results,” Lowy said, pointing to the strong US economy under Biden as one of the reasons for his support.

In the 2020 race, Biden became the first candidate in US history to raise more than $1 billion, beating Trump, who raised $774 million, according to OpenSecrets. Including outside groups, the 2020 election cost more than $2.7 billion.

Clooney’s call for Biden to ‘step aside’ could be effective

On the other hand, Clooney’s call for Biden to drop out of the race could encourage others to take a similar stance. Last month, the actor spearheaded a $28 million fundraising drive in Hollywood.

Some Wall Street donors are now preparing to put more pressure on Biden to withdraw, but he said he was disappointed by his intransigence.

“I never thought I’d say this, but I’m hoping he makes a big gaffe,” said one Democratic donor in New York, adding that it would force Democratic elders like Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer or South Carolina Congressman Jim Clyburn to give a “time’s up” speech.

Some donors warned that if Biden did not withdraw, the party risked losing both houses of Congress as well as the White House.

Pelosi joins the chorus

On the other hand, Nancy Pelosi also gave a strong indication that she expects Biden to withdraw.

Pelosi, a former speaker of the House of Representatives and one of the party’s most influential members of Congress, said in an interview with MSNBC: “It’s up to the president to decide whether or not to run. We’re all encouraging him to make that decision because time is running out,” Pelosi said in an interview with MSNBC.

Clooney, on the other hand, wrote in an op-ed for the New York Times that he likes Biden, but that “the only battle he cannot win is the battle against time”.

Clooney said: “None of us can win. It’s devastating to say this, but the Joe Biden I was with at the fundraiser three weeks ago was not the Joe ‘big f-ing deal’ Biden of 2010. He wasn’t even the Joe Biden of 2020. He was the man we all saw in the debate,” he said.

AMERICA

US Treasury threat to countries hosting branches of Russian banks

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The US Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has threatened other countries that the opening of branches or subsidiaries of Russian banks abroad could be an attempt by Russia to evade sanctions imposed over the war in Ukraine.

OFAC warned foreign banks to exercise caution when dealing with newly opened foreign branches or subsidiaries of Russian financial institutions.

This warning includes entities not subject to US sanctions.

Foreign financial institutions dealing with such branches or affiliates should consider that they present significant sanctions risks, including account services, funds transfers or payments, trade finance, and other services such as insurance,’ the statement said.

However, it noted that transactions related to food, agriculture, medicine, energy, and telecommunications are still permitted activities.

OFAC stressed that the Treasury Department ‘has a number of tools at its disposal to thwart Russia’s attempts to finance its defence industry’. One such tool is the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA).

In 2021, the US amended the BSA to empower US regulators to request information from foreign banks with correspondent accounts in the US about any account, including information stored overseas, as part of investigations.

“OFAC’s new warning will lead to an expansion of the practice of closing accounts and suspending other related financial services,” said investment banker Yevgeny Kogan on his Telegram channel.

“The US Treasury has scared everyone so much that it now resembles racial discrimination. There are cases of reluctance to do business with people who do not live or work in Russia, but who also have a Russian passport or whose place of birth is listed in foreign citizenship as the Russian Federation/USSR,” Kogan added.

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US seizes Maduro’s plane

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The United States has seized Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro’s plane after determining that its purchase violated US sanctions, among other “criminal matters”. The plane, seized in the Dominican Republic, was flown to Florida on Monday, two US officials said.

This sends a message all the way to the top,’ one of the US officials told CNN. The seizure of a foreign head of state’s plane is unheard of in criminal cases. We are sending a clear message here that no one is above the law, no one is above the reach of US sanctions,’ a US official told CNN.

The plane, described by officials as Venezuela’s equivalent of Air Force One, has also been seen during Maduro’s previous state visits around the world.

Dominican Republic President Luis Abinader said the plane seized by the US on Monday was registered ‘in the name of an individual’ and not the Venezuelan government.

Dominican Foreign Minister Roberto Álvarez said the country’s attorney general’s office had received an order from a national court last May to ‘immobilise’ the plane.

The minister said the US had requested the aircraft’s immobilisation in order to search for ‘evidence and objects related to fraudulent activities, smuggling of goods for illegal activities and money laundering’.

The Department of Justice has seized an aircraft that we allege was illegally purchased for $13 million through a shell company and smuggled out of the US for use by Nicolás Maduro and his cronies,’ US Attorney General Merrick Garland said in a statement.

The Department of Justice alleged that the aircraft, a Dassault Falcon 900EX, was purchased from a company in Florida and illegally exported from the US to Venezuela via the Caribbean in April 2023.

According to the Justice Department, the plane was used for Maduro’s international travel and “flew almost exclusively to and from a military base in Venezuela”.

The aircraft was seized for violations of U.S. sanctions against Venezuela and other criminal matters related to this aircraft that we are still investigating,’ Anthony Salisbury, special agent in charge of Homeland Security Investigations, told CNN.

A senior official in the Dominican Republic told CNN that Maduro’s plane was undergoing maintenance on Dominican territory at the time it was seized by US authorities.

The source added that the government had no record of Maduro’s private plane being in the country until it was seized.

According to one of the US officials, US authorities worked closely with the Dominican Republic, which notified Venezuela that the plane had been seized.

According to US officials, several federal agencies were involved in the seizure of the plane, including Homeland Security Investigations, Commerce agents, the Bureau of Industry and Security, and the Department of Justice.

Records show that the plane’s last registered flight was from Caracas to the Dominican capital, Santo Domingo, in March.

In a statement on Monday, the Venezuelan government described the seizure as ‘piracy’ and accused Washington of stepping up its ‘aggression’ against Maduro’s government following July’s presidential election.

Once again, in a recurring criminal practice that can only be described as piracy, the US authorities have illegally seized an aircraft used by the President of the Republic, justifying their action with the coercive measures they have illegally and unilaterally imposed around the world,’ the statement said.

The US has shown that it uses its economic and military power to intimidate and pressure states like the Dominican Republic to serve as ‘accomplices in criminal acts’, Venezuela said, adding that what had happened was ‘an example of the so-called ‘rules-based order’, which seeks to establish the law of the strongest in defiance of international law’.

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Fed’s ‘leading inflation’ expectations unchanged; eurozone inflation down to 2.2 per cent

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The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation held steady at 2.5 per cent in the 12 months to July, according to data released on Friday that could pave the way for the Fed to start cutting interest rates next month.

The Fed’s target for the headline personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index is 2 per cent annually. Core PCE, which strips out volatile food and energy costs, came in at 2.6 per cent, below expectations of 2.7 per cent.

The figures from the Commerce Department came after Fed chairman Jay Powell said last week that it was “time” to start cutting interest rates as inflation fell and the labour market slowed.

The core PCE data, which is expected after yesterday’s strong US growth data, plays an important role in the Fed’s assessment of inflation.

In the US, personal spending rose by 0.5% in July, in line with expectations, and personal income rose by 0.3%, slightly above expectations of 0.2%.

Core PCE measures the rate of inflation faced by consumers when purchasing goods and services, excluding food and energy prices.

US government bond prices fell slightly following the release of the data. The yield on the two-year Treasury note, which rises when prices fall, rose 0.03 percentage point during the day to 3.92%. The S&P 500 was up 0.7% shortly after the opening bell on Wall Street.

Eurozone inflation fell sharply in August to 2.2 per cent, the lowest level in three years.

The rate reinforced expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates next month.

Friday’s preliminary figure was in line with the 2.2 per cent forecast in a Reuters poll and below last month’s rate of 2.6 per cent.

The Eurostat data came after Germany and Spain this week reported sharper-than-expected declines in August.

France also reported on Friday that inflation fell to 2.2 per cent, but the figure was higher than expected and some economists attributed the drop to price pressures from the Paris Olympics.

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