Opinion
Could tensions in Kosovo lead to war?
Tensions in Kosovo are never-ending. The root of the problem is the refusal of the majority Serbian population in Kosovo to submit to the rule of the Kosovo state and government in the territory stretching from the north side of Mitrovica, divided by the Ibar river, towards Serbia. After NATO’s air campaign against Serbia in 1999, some of the Serbs living in Kosovo fled to the northern part of Mitrovica and settled there when the Serbian government withdrew in June. There was already a Serb-dominated population in that area. Some of the Serbs who fled from other areas feared that they might be next in line due to the previous policies of oppression and massacres against Albanians. Others fled out of fear of being attacked simply because they were Serbs. The UN Security Council-mandated administration in Kosovo (UNMIK) and KFOR, made up of NATO forces, including the United States, did not take effective action in time to prevent the region from becoming independent.
The civil society efforts to split Mitrovica, which has the richest mineral deposits in northern Kosovo, almost in two, with the river Ibar as the border, and to bring the area stretching north towards Serbia under the control of the Kosovo administration, predominantly Albanian, over time, did not yield much result. There have been frequent tensions between Serbs who want to establish a kind of ‘parallel’ administration there with the support of Serbia and Kosovan government forces trying to bring the region under Kosovo’s sovereignty. This time it started when Serbs in the region boycotted the general local elections in Kosovo. Serbs did that since they do not consider them part of Kosovo. In fact, they think that the whole of Kosovo is a province that was forcibly taken away from them and should belong to Serbia. On the other hand, it is very important for the Kosovo government not to create a ‘parallel’ administration in this region. After Serbia abolished Kosovo’s autonomy in the 1990s, contrary to the spirit of the Yugoslav constitution, and directly annexed the region to Belgrade, constituting ninety percent of the population, Albanians established a ‘parallel administration’, started to run their own affairs despite the difficulties, and boycotted all elections, especially in Serbia, on the grounds that Kosovo was not Serbia.
Former Yugoslavia: Six Founding Republics and Two Fully Autonomous Regions
Kosovo was not an ordinary province/state of Serbia, as it is portrayed in the Western media and occasionally in Turkey. After the withdrawal of the Nazi troops in 1944, learning from the experience of Royal Yugoslavia, Tito established a socialist federation based on six founding republics (Serbia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia and Slovenia) and five nationalities (Serbs, Macedonians, Montenegrins, Croats and Slovenes). In this way, he thought he had solved the ethnic problems; however, the tensions that erupted in Kosovo in the 1950s due to the policies pursued by the Serbian interior minister and the problems that arose since the Bosnian identity was not recognized showed that this issue was not yet resolved.
As a result, Tito amended the constitution of Yugoslavia in 1974 as if it were being rewritten. In addition to the six founding republics, Kosovo, where Albanians constituted ninety percent, and Vojvodina in the north, where Hungarians constituted a strong minority (around 46%) were turned into fully autonomous regions and Bosnian national identity was recognized. There was little constitutional and administrative difference between the fully autonomous regions and the republics. For example, both regions had their own constitutions, their own parliaments, their own governments and their own internal administration (including police and judiciary). They also had the constitutional right to conclude and implement economic, commercial, educational, training and exchange agreements with other states, and the Kosovo administration, for example, exercised this right in 1975 and 1976 through agreements with the World Bank and the former East German Republic.
On the other hand, the constitution of Yugoslavia, while referring to the six republics and the two fully autonomous regions, counted them as ‘the six constitutional units that constitute Yugoslavia’, which implies that there are no hierarchical differences between them, and already in Yugoslavia’s main constitutional institutions (e.g. the Constitutional Court of Yugoslavia, the Presidential Council of Yugoslavia, whose importance increased after Tito’s death), the founding republics and the fully autonomous regions are on an equal footing. However, there was still the strange constitutional problem that republics theoretically had the right to declare independence, while fully autonomous regions did not. Indeed, in the events that erupted in Kosovo after Tito’s death, the people of Kosovo initially fought to become a founding republic. The problem became complicated following escalating tensions and clashes all over Yugoslavia; Kosovo’s autonomy was abolished by Milošević and his clique in 1989-1990 in violation of the constitution of Yugoslavia; and after increasing tensions and the forced closure of the Kosovo Parliament, the MPs were forced to declare an independent state called the Republic of Kosovo. The process of becoming an independent state, which seemed very difficult at the beginning, was followed by the disintegration of Yugoslavia in bloody conflicts and the massacres and genocides led by Milošević and his Bosnian cohorts Karadžić/Mladić, and the failure of Serbia to take steps to reduce tensions in Kosovo despite the Dayton Accords. For example, Serbia’s refusal to form a new and smaller Yugoslavia by transforming the Republic of Montenegro into a trilateral entity (Serbia, Kosovo and Montenegro), and its insistence on creating an almost racist administration in Kosovo made things even more complicated and paved the way for the chain of events leading to NATO’s intervention. Meanwhile, the dissolution of Yugoslavia took place largely according to the constitution of the former Yugoslavia, with the exception of Vojvodina. Six republics became independent, while Kosovo, after Serbia was forced to withdraw from the region, gradually became independent in 2008, recognized by more than a hundred states, but not (yet) a member of the UN due to Russia’s veto.
Is a New Balkan War Imminent?
For these reasons, Albanians do not want to allow a ‘parallel’ administration to emerge north of Mitrovica. On the other hand, from time to time, Serbian governments, like the current Vucic administration, raise this issue as if they can take back Kosovo and then backtrack. Vucic himself did the same after the previous car license plate crisis and will probably backtrack after the municipal crisis subsides. The truth of the matter is that the return/return of Kosovo, whose population is more than ninety percent Albanian, to Serbian sovereignty would upset the status quo in the Balkans like a tectonic earthquake, but such a possibility is almost non-existent.
In a multipolar world, the media, which often perceives Serbia’s domestic political outbursts as Russia on one side and the West/NATO on the other, may think that Moscow is provoking the Belgrade authorities based on the criticism of NATO’s actions in the Balkans in the previous years; but such criticism does not mean open arms and ammunition aid, nor can it be interpreted as Russia encouraging Serbia to start a war. After all, Russia cannot provide military aid to Serbia these days, even if it wanted to, because the states surrounding the country blocked Lavrov’s official visit to Serbia last year by closing their airspace to the plane carrying the Russian foreign minister, let alone allowing aid to pass through. After that crisis over license plates was overcome, Vucic made statements that they did not intend to take steps together with Russia.
But would NATO drive the Albanians against Serbia? This is also very unlikely, because then, in any case, the Republika Srpska (Republica Srpska) that makes up Bosnia-Herzegovina might try to secede, Croatian forces and Croatia and Bosniaks might mobilize against the Serbs, and the fragmented structure in Bosnia-Herzegovina might be broken. On the other hand, if the Albanians become too strong, it could disturb Greece and even Macedonia, since Greece, acting as a natural ally of the Serbs, would not want the Albanians, who are natural allies of Turkey, to become stronger. If the Albanians, who make up more than a third of its population, gain power and ground, it would also make Macedonia vulnerable. In short, the scenario of NATO having Serbia beaten by the Albanians is not very plausible, if not impossible. It is also important to keep in mind that the US and the EU want to integrate Serbia into NATO and the EU rather than exclude it. In short, until Serbia recognizes Kosovo within its current borders, there will continue to be increasing and decreasing reports of tensions and street protests in the region, but the dynamics that would turn this into a chessboard between Russia and the West do not exist, at least for now. Turkey’s attempts to de-escalate crises are always appropriate, but it is important to be aware that there will be no definite results. In addition, it is absolutely beneficial to work intensively on alternative solutions even for partial results.
Opinion
India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships
Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.
India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.
Today, India’s achievements extend beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.
India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.
India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.
The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.
Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.
India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.
These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.
To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.
India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.
The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.
In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.
Opinion
Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa
In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.
History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.
Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.
Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.
AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS
Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.
Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.
In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”
China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.
THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY
It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.
The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.
The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.
Opinion
The women who refuse to be erased: On Japan’s surrender anniversary, the fight over wartime sexual slavery continues
BUSAN, South Korea — On the day Japan marks the 81st anniversary of its surrender in World War Two, a conference room in Busan’s city council building has become the latest front in a battle over memory.
Allan Wilson, Journalist
Last month, on 23 July, academics, activists and lawmakers gathered here for a symposium on one of the war’s most painful legacies: the estimated tens of thousands of women — euphemistically labelled “comfort women” — forced into sexual slavery by the Imperial Japanese Army. The event was co-hosted by the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia division and the Korean Women’s Forum.
“The records of the Japanese military’s comfort women are historical assets that the international community must preserve together,” Nam Myung-sook, the Busan city councillor who co-organised the symposium, told the gathering. “Social consensus must be broadened.”
Her words were aimed at more than the audience in the room.
For three decades, survivors and their advocates have pressed Japan for a full and unequivocal accounting. They have met a familiar pattern: moments of apparent progress — the 1993 Kono statement acknowledging military involvement, the 2015 bilateral agreement with South Korea — followed by retreat. Japanese officials continue to dispute the term “sexual slavery.” Textbooks soften the language. Senior politicians visit Yasukuni Shrine, where convicted war criminals are honoured alongside the dead.
The symposium came as UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee convened in Busan, and the timing was deliberate. One of the gathering’s stated goals was to revive the push to have comfort women records inscribed on UNESCO’s Memory of the World register — an effort Japan has repeatedly blocked.
“Our aim is to reaffirm the historical facts of comfort women (受害) to the international community and explore directions that contribute to peace and human rights,” said Yu Ying-mo, senior adviser to the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia region, in remarks prepared for the event.
A statue, a warning
The symposium also addressed an incident that has become a diplomatic flashpoint: the recent removal of a comfort women memorial statue in Taiwan.
The statue, one of dozens erected across East Asia and beyond, was taken down in recent months. Organisers in Busan described the removal as “an erroneous approach that erases historical wounds and weakens collective memory,” according to the symposium’s programme.
For advocates, the Taiwan case illustrates what happens when political pressure is allowed to dictate historical memory. “Statues, memorial halls, and archives related to comfort women are important spaces of memory that testify to the victims’ suffering and history,” the Carter Human Rights Center said in its written address. “They must be respected.”
Dozens of comfort women memorials now stand in cities from Seoul to San Francisco to Berlin. Each has become a site of diplomatic friction: Japan’s government has consistently objected to them, arguing they perpetuate what it calls an inaccurate narrative.
The shrinking window
Time is running out. Of the few hundred women who came forward in the 1990s, the number of surviving registered victims in South Korea has dwindled to single digits.
This demographic reality has injected new urgency into the preservation effort. Shim Ok-ju, a research professor at George Mason University Korea, told the symposium that the focus must now shift from oral testimony — soon to be lost — to documentation and education.
Seo Kyung-soon, a professor at Pukyong National University, presented findings from the so-called “Gwanbu Trial” records — a series of postwar legal proceedings in which comfort women sought compensation through Japanese courts. The documents, she argued, contain incontrovertible evidence of state orchestration.
A designated discussant panel followed, bringing together Kim Tae-wan, a political science professor at Dong-eui University; Kim Kyung-hee, an independent researcher; and Ahn Jun-young, a journalist from the Busan Ilbo newspaper. The format was designed to bridge academia and public consciousness — to test whether scholarly findings could survive the scrutiny of working journalists and political scientists.
The international dimension
The comfort women issue has never been purely bilateral. In 1996, the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women concluded that the system constituted “military sexual slavery.” In 2022, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women urged Japan to “ensure that the issue is accurately reflected in school curricula.”
Yet the gap between international consensus and Japanese government policy remains wide. Prime ministerial statements offer “apologies and remorse” but stop short of accepting legal responsibility. Reparations have come from private funds, not the state.
For organisers of the Busan symposium, the path forward runs through multilateral institutions. UNESCO recognition, they argue, would make historical revisionism harder to sustain. But Japan has made clear it will oppose any such move, as it did when Chinese documents related to the 1937 Nanjing Massacre were inscribed in 2015.
“Facing history squarely and respecting it is a fundamental value that the international community should share,” the symposium’s organisers concluded.
This 15 August, as Japan observes its National Memorial Service for the War Dead, the women who survived — and those who did not — will be remembered in rooms like the one in Busan. Their numbers are dwindling. The question is whether their story will outlast them.
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