Diplomacy
Global reaction to the joint US-Israel offensive against Iran
The joint military campaign, designated “Operation Epic Fury” by the US and “Operation Roaring Lion” by Israel, commenced on February 28, 2026.
The intervention aims to dismantle Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, neutralize its ballistic missile capabilities, and effect political transformation by overthrowing the regime in Tehran.
This act of aggression was executed citing the civil unrest that erupted in Iran on December 28, 2025, alongside the collapse of nuclear negotiations in early February.
Concurrently with a 02:00 statement from President Donald Trump on February 28, strikes targeted strategic nuclear facilities, missile manufacturing plants, and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps command centers in Tehran, Isfahan, Qom, and Kermanshah. The “decapitation” strikes resulted in the destruction of the residence of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who was killed alongside more than 40 senior civilian and military officials.
Constitutional authority crisis deepens in Washington
The Trump administration has characterized the operation as an exercise of national self-defense, asserting that Iran’s pursuit of nuclear weaponry constitutes an existential threat to the US homeland. President Trump has explicitly declared the goal of regime change, calling upon the Iranian populace to seize control of their government.
Republican Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Speaker of the House Mike Johnson have defended the operation, maintaining that the authority to execute such actions rests squarely with the commander-in-chief.
Republican Senator Lindsey Graham emphasized the necessity of carrying the operation to its conclusion, alleging that Arab allies would also participate in the effort. Senator Markwayne Mullin criticized Congressional oversight, arguing that the President must be the sole decision-maker during times of war.
Conversely, Democrats have challenged the legal basis for the operation. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer noted that the administration lacks an exit strategy and warned of the dangers of mission creep.
Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia and Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky introduced a War Powers Resolution that would mandate the withdrawal of US forces absent Congressional approval. However, the probability of the bill’s passage has diminished due to support for the operation from Democrats such as Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania. California Governor Gavin Newsom and Representative Ro Khanna characterized the situation as a “manufactured crisis.”
American public opinion remains deeply divided
Surveys conducted by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs and Ipsos have illuminated the profound anxieties within American society.
While 49% of respondents support air strikes against nuclear facilities, 40% approved the deployment of ground troops. The proportion of the public asserting that Congressional approval is mandatory reached 56%.
Concerns regarding the risk of the intervention precipitating a regional war have risen to 71%. Furthermore, 79% of the public indicated a preference for continued diplomatic efforts.
Spain bans use of military bases
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez adopted the most stringent stance against the operation, declaring “No to war.” Sanchez described the campaign as playing Russian roulette with the fate of millions and prohibited the US from utilizing the Rota and Moron military bases.
President Trump labeled Spain a “terrible partner” and announced that he had instructed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to suspend trade relations with the nation. Secretary Bessent confirmed that this embargo would be implemented as a unified effort.
European Union (EU) Internal Market Commissioner Stéphane Séjourné noted that a threat against one member state would be considered a threat against the entire bloc. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz informed the US administration that EU trade policies are managed centrally and that no separate agreement excluding Spain could be negotiated.
European allies pivot to defensive measures
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that British forces are not directly participating in offensive operations, noting that Royal Air Force aircraft are engaged exclusively in coordinated regional defensive duties.
The London government authorized the use of the Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford bases for limited defensive purposes. In the UK Parliament, Conservative members expressed full support for the operation, while the Liberal Democrats demanded a parliamentary vote regarding the use of the bases.
Chancellor Merz explained that while Germany shares Israel’s security concerns, the nation would not provide active participation.
Merz emphasized that his priority is ensuring the safety of German military personnel stationed in Jordan and Iraq. German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul noted that German personnel would exercise their right to self-defense should they come under attack.
UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned of the risk of a chain reaction and condemned the actions of all parties involved. During an emergency session of the UN Security Council, US representative Mike Waltz stated that the attacks were legal, while Iranian representative Saeid Iravani questioned the legitimacy of forced political appointment.
Russia and China condemned the intervention as a premeditated act. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte expressed support for the degradation of nuclear capabilities but clarified that the alliance would not collectively enter the war. EU official Kaja Kallas has intensified diplomatic engagement with Gulf nations.
Energy supplies jeopardized in Strait of Hormuz
Iran’s de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz has destabilized the global economy. Maritime traffic has decreased by 70%, with vessels rerouted via the Cape of Good Hope. Natural gas prices increased by 50% following drone strikes on facilities in Qatar.
Gulf nations have closed their airspace; thousands of flights originating from Dubai, Doha, and Kuwait have been canceled. The Canadian Centre for Cyber Security has warned that Iranian entities, including Unit 42, APT42, and MuddyWater, are preparing cyberattacks against critical Western infrastructure.
International human rights organizations have highlighted the humanitarian dimension of the operation. According to data from HRANA, approximately 1,100 Iranian civilians had lost their lives as of March 4. Reports of a missile strike hitting a school in Tehran, resulting in the deaths of 150 children, have received extensive international coverage.
Diplomacy
South Korea pulls part of embassy staff from Ukraine amid POW dispute
The South Korean government has decided to withdraw part of its embassy staff from Ukraine.
According to the Yonhap news agency, Foreign Ministry spokesman Park Doo-sun cited the Kyiv administration’s failure to take “positive steps” in the dispute that began with the leak of information concerning the handover of North Korean prisoners of war as the justification for the move.
The spokesman also listed the ongoing threat of air strikes, which complicates the safety of diplomats, among the reasons.
Following the withdrawal of part of the personnel, essential diplomatic contacts will continue under the leadership of the charge d’affaires ad interim to Ukraine. All consular staff tasked with protecting South Korean citizens will remain in Ukraine.
Prior to this move, the Seoul administration decided on 8 October to withdraw its ambassador. The Foreign Ministry stated at the time that it was ready to continue consultations with Kyiv to resolve the emerging issues constructively.
Tensions between the two countries began with a speech delivered by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the United Nations General Assembly in September.
Zelenskyy announced that two captured soldiers from the North Korean army had been handed over to South Korea.
South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, meanwhile, accused Kyiv of breaching a confidentiality agreement.
Lee said the disclosure of this information endangered the prisoners’ families and stability on the Korean Peninsula.
Seoul expects a public apology
Dmytro Lytvyn, an adviser to the Ukrainian president, denied the existence of a confidentiality agreement.
The South Korean Foreign Ministry summoned Ukrainian Charge d’Affaires Andriy Veshkin on 28 September and issued a note of protest against Lytvyn’s remarks.
President Lee Jae-myung warned in a statement on 2 October that they would take additional measures against Kyiv if Ukrainian authorities did not acknowledge the agreement and make a public apology. Lee stated that Ukraine itself had initially requested that the transfer of the prisoners be kept confidential.
Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Heorhii Tykhyi said the dispute stemmed from differing interpretations of the confidentiality regime.
Tykhyi noted that Seoul, based on its constitution which recognises the entire Korean Peninsula as its own territory, requested that the prisoners be handed over “like its own citizens”.
Describing the handover as a “gesture of goodwill”, Tykhyi stated that they were conducting closed-door negotiations to resolve differences of opinion.
Ambassador Park Ki-chang returned to Seoul on 10 October. According to a report by The Korea Times newspaper citing the ministry, recalling the ambassador served as a diplomatic protest against the leak of information regarding the prisoners.
The newspaper wrote that South Korea had last taken a similar step in 2008 by withdrawing its ambassador to Japan.
Moscow warned foreign diplomats
On 3 October, the Russian Foreign Ministry reiterated its warning to foreign nationals, including diplomatic mission staff, against remaining in Ukraine.
The ministry recalled its advice to leave Kyiv, citing ongoing strikes against military targets.
The ministry noted that those who failed to heed the warnings would bear responsibility for the potential consequences.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a statement on 24 September that they had no information regarding Kyiv handing over two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul.
Peskov, noting that prisoner matters fall under the authority of the Defence Ministry and intelligence services, said, “Contacts through the special services are continuing.”
Diplomacy
Ex-BND head Hanning tied to former Mossad chief amid spy inquiry
August Hanning, who led Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) between 1998 and 2005, was arrested on 6 October on allegations that he obtained roughly 2,000 classified agency documents and used them during contacts with intelligence officers from a foreign state.
Accused of high treason and espionage on behalf of a foreign intelligence agency, the former spy chief is alleged to have procured the documents from former BND employee Manfred D.
Prosecutors stated that the leaked records included internal briefing notes presented to senior German officials, though the Berlin government has not yet publicly disclosed which country received the classified data.
According to an exclusive report by Jake Green for The Cradle, seized email exchanges revealed extensive ties between the arrested Hanning and former Mossad director Danny Yatom.
The correspondence shows that the two former intelligence directors built an ongoing network of contacts following their public service, combining commercial ventures, efforts to secure political influence, and intelligence links.
This dynamic has triggered debate that using personal connections and official access for private gain has left Germany’s intelligence apparatus vulnerable.
Intelligence notes for 10,000 euros and campaign proposals
According to the reviewed emails, Hanning told Yatom in a 2018 message that he could prepare an “overall assessment based on information obtained from senior German officials and intelligence agencies” concerning an unidentified candidate.
The former BND head committed to completing the report by 13 July in exchange for 10,000 euros.
Contacts between the two men subsequently expanded to cover domestic political processes in Germany. Ahead of the September 2021 federal election, Yatom asked Hanning to approach leading candidates.
Describing CIY Global as a “political campaign company”, the former Mossad chief noted that he aimed to introduce its capabilities to German politicians, and he mentioned his intention in the same exchange to transfer documents concerning a cybersecurity firm.
Cybersecurity partnership and surveillance operations across Europe
The partnership between Yatom and Hanning reached beyond political lobbying initiatives into the cybersecurity sector.
Hanning reportedly served as a consultant for World Health Energy Holdings, a cybersecurity company linked to Yatom.
Firms of this type, established or managed by former intelligence personnel, provide commercial platforms on the international market for Israeli-origin surveillance, cyber intelligence, and political influence capabilities.
The operational presence of private Israeli-based surveillance technologies across Europe has recently entered judicial records through scandals in Poland, Spain, and Greece.
Polish prosecutors announced on 12 October that data collected under the previous government via Pegasus spyware against political opponents had been transferred out of the country, adding that manufacturer NSO Group maintained access to the technical infrastructure.
In Spain, the 2022 CatalanGate investigation established that at least 65 people, including politicians, lawyers, and civil society representatives, were targeted using Pegasus or Candiru software, with Citizen Lab researchers publishing strong evidence linking the operation to Spanish authorities.
In Greece, the surveillance operation targeting journalist Thanasis Koukakis and Member of the European Parliament Nikos Androulakis was determined to have used Predator software, linked to Intellexa, a company founded by former Israeli intelligence officer Tal Dilian.
In the German espionage investigation, the traffic between Hanning and Yatom involving paid reporting, contacts with electoral candidates, and commercial partnerships does not yet provide conclusive legal evidence regarding the final destination of the roughly 2,000 classified documents.
Nevertheless, the disclosed correspondence gives German investigators a concrete line of inquiry to assess whether classified state secrets reached commercial networks tied to Israeli intelligence.
Diplomacy
Trump dismisses US envoy to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle
US President Donald Trump has dismissed Kimberly Guilfoyle, the US ambassador in Athens, following serious press reports concerning her conduct.
White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia told reporters during her first briefing that Guilfoyle had been asked to resign.
“She was doing a good job, but we didn’t like what we read in the press,” Trump said. “She was not a member of my family. I think she dated my son a long time ago.”
In a social media post, Guilfoyle stated: “These claims are unfounded, and I will resolutely defend my name, reputation, and integrity.” She added that she was particularly proud of the embassy’s work.
According to Kathimerini, her removal came as no surprise in Washington. Days of successive disclosures and vigorous exploitation of the matter by Democrats had been inflicting political damage on the White House ahead of the sensitive midterm elections.
The US State Department was instructed not to comment, with crisis management transferred entirely to the White House.
Reports indicate that most of the president’s team swiftly favoured Guilfoyle’s dismissal, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio was reportedly uneasy with the demonstratively warm public welcome she had staged for him.
Democrats on the House Foreign Affairs Committee have called for an investigation.
“Her resignation does not absolve her of responsibility,” the lawmakers wrote, adding: “While American families struggled to make ends meet, she used her position as a Trump administration official to enrich herself.”
Chargé d’Affaires Josh Huck will assume ambassadorial duties until a successor is chosen.
Meanwhile, Guilfoyle’s departure is expected to cause delays in agreements between Greece and the US.
These include the so-called “Rubio package”, comprising approximately $4 billion in arms deals finalised only days before the secretary of state’s arrival.
Several procedural steps still remain before the contracts can be signed.
In Athens, opposition parties are demanding answers. Dimitris Mantzos of PASOK called for a detailed briefing on the agreements reached during Rubio’s visit.
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