Europe
Scenes from Europe as it prepares for war

As NATO countries in Europe prepare for a possible war with Russia, the armament dimension and ‘civil defence’ proposals go hand in hand.
There seems to be a continent-wide expectation. Germany, for example, is developing an app to help people find the nearest shelter in the event of an attack.
But when it comes to preparing for war, the Baltic and Scandinavian countries, which are supposed to be the ‘frontline’, are leading the way.
They are already stockpiling grain, testing payment systems and making sure households can store emergency rations.
Finland asks its citizens: Can you survive 72 hours?
At 9am on 18 November, Finland launched a new website to show people how to survive for 72 hours in the event of a crisis or conflict.
A comprehensive online guide called “Preparing for Incidents and Crises” offers residents information and advice on everything from water cuts to forest fires, internet outages or “long-term crises … such as military conflicts”.
A separate website, 72tuntia.fi, asks Finns ‘Can you survive 72 hours in a series of crisis situations?’ and invites citizens to put their skills and equipment to the test.
According to The Guardian, the website urges people to “strengthen psychological resilience, increase personal cyber security and protect themselves indoors” (“Close doors and windows. Turn on the radio. Wait calmly for instructions”).
Emergency supplies: Power bank, flashlight, iodine tablets
According to Bloomberg, Finland’s ’emergency kit’ includes the following Bottled water, non-perishable food, clean buckets, pet food, toilet paper, power bank, battery-powered radio, flashlight, battery, cash, fire blanket, camping stove and fuel, plastic bag, tape, matches, hand sanitiser, wet wipes, first aid kit, medicine, iodine tablets.
On the same Monday, Sweden also began mailing updated leaflets to 5.2 million households, calling for ‘increased attention to war preparedness’.
The foreword to the Swedish leaflet reads: ‘We live in uncertain times. Armed conflicts are taking place in our part of the world. Terrorism, cyber-attacks and disinformation campaigns are used to weaken and influence us.
The leaflet, which is also available in English, adds that collective resistance is essential and that if Sweden is attacked, ‘everyone must do their part to defend Sweden’s independence and our democracy… you are part of Sweden’s general emergency preparedness’.
Poor and rich in separate neighbourhoods, even in war preparation
But ‘war preparedness’ is not the same in every neighbourhood. Fatuma Mohamed, a health communicator in Stockholm, told the Guardian that many families in poorer areas don’t have food for the day, let alone a stockpile, while others are trying to find out where local shelters are.
Mohamed said she would like to see more face-to-face information given to people, rather than just leaflets.
Norway’s Civil Defence Directorate, DSB, has distributed a similar booklet to 2.6 million households in the country. We live in an increasingly turbulent world” affected by climate change, digital threats and “in the worst case, acts of war”, the leaflet says.
The Norwegian leaflet, for example, advises people to stock up on at least a week’s worth of non-perishable food, such as ‘crispbread, tinned pulses and beans, tinned sandwich spreads, energy bars, dried fruit, chocolate, honey, biscuits and nuts’.
Call to stock up on essentials
The DSB is also advising its citizens to stock up on essential medicines, including iodine tablets, in case of a nuclear accident and, like Sweden, to have multiple bank cards and cash at home.
Governments, central banks and businesses in the region are taking the lead in stockpiling emergency grain and medical supplies, making the financial system more resilient and encouraging households to store canned food and iodine tablets.
There’s also a lot of coverage of this 72-hour preparedness in Finland, on TV, on social media, in newspapers; I’ve even heard that they’re teaching children about it in schools. I mean, it’s getting a lot of media coverage right now, and it’s definitely changed my mindset,’ Lotta-Sofia Saahko, a 31-year-old writer from the southern Finnish town of Valkeakoski, told Bloomberg.
Saahko, who lives with his grandfather, said they have two five-litre water canisters and have started shopping to make sure they have enough canned pea soup and crispbread.
Scandinavian countries start hoarding grain
The scenarios include not only war, but also natural disasters due to climate change, energy disruptions and international cyber-attacks.
The Swedish authorities also give advice on how to evacuate, how to stop bleeding and how to talk to children about war.
Norway is reactivating its grain reserves and increasing its storage capacity.
Norway said in June that the country was stockpiling grain in preparation for the ‘unthinkable’, while Sweden plans to rebuild its reserves with seeds and fertiliser.
Miika Ilomaki, chief preparedness expert at the National Emergency Supply Agency, said officials and researchers had travelled to Finland for know-how.
Lithuania’s largest retailer, Maxima, has a plan to keep its supermarkets open in the event of a communications blackout, while its warehouses also have a list of essential goods to stockpile.
The country is also actively seeking to receive emergency medical supplies. Last year, it received the green light from the European Commission for a warehouse as part of a plan to have 22 stockpiles in 16 EU member states.
The Polish parliament this month passed a law requiring local authorities to have enough food and water to last 72 hours. Other measures include building an evacuation system and shelters.
In Denmark, the government set up a crisis ministry this year and began advising people to stockpile food and water for 72 hours.
Financial institutions working on war-proof payment systems
But time is running out for the financial system. The central bank is pioneering a system that, from next year, will allow Danes to continue using cards to buy food and medicine for a week in the event of a power cut or internet crash.
Ulrik Nordgaard, deputy governor of the central bank, said they were working with retailers, banks and payment companies to extend the time people can make offline card transactions from three to seven days.
“Retailers and banks have agreed to share equally the costs of any fraudulent activity, and other countries have shown interest in using this as a model,” Nordgaard said.
In an interview in Copenhagen last week, Nordgaard said the idea was to “prepare for the worst-case scenario”.
EU steps up defence efforts with UK
European officials say the continent is entering a new reality. More than three decades after the end of the Cold War and the threat of nuclear attack, the European Union is returning to its roots as an organisation born out of conflict to promote peace and security, Bloomberg reports.
The EU is trying to speed up talks with the UK on a new defence and security treaty as U.S. support for Ukraine wanes with the re-election of Donald Trump and the prospect of a peace deal that could “embolden Russia”.
Roberta Metsola, President of the European Parliament, said on 14 November: “We are facing geopolitical tensions that show no signs of abating and we must be ready for any eventuality. All this makes it more important than ever that our Union is prepared for this new and more uncertain future.”
Europe
Ramstein format delivers massive military packages to Ukraine

The 28th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, held in the Ramstein format, concluded with unprecedented military support for Ukraine from its allies.
According to a statement from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, the security assistance to be provided this year is expected to exceed the figures from all previous years of the full-scale war.
Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov stated after the meeting, “The 28th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group in the Ramstein format was another confirmation that partners remain reliable and determined in supporting Ukraine.”
Umerov emphasized that Ukraine achieved significant results, adding, “According to the outcomes of the meeting, our partners announced new aid packages and significant support measures.”
Record drone aid from Britain
Britain announced a record £350 million in aid for drone procurement. According to Minister Umerov, this will enable the delivery of 100,000 drones to Ukraine in 2025.
Overall, Britain’s military support in 2025 will amount to £4.5 billion, with £247 million of this sum allocated for the training of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Germany’s massive €5 billion package
Germany approved a new military aid package totaling €5 billion.
Umerov shared the information, stating, “The Federal Parliament (Bundestag) has already approved this decision.” The package will specifically include funding for long-range weapons to be produced in Ukraine, as well as the delivery of air defense systems, weapons, and ammunition.
Netherlands’ contribution to naval power
The Netherlands is providing an aid package worth €400 million. This package includes a mine countermeasures vessel, boats, and naval drones.
Belgium’s long-term commitment
Belgium announced a long-term initiative. Within this framework, €1 billion in annual aid will be provided to Ukraine until 2029, and a mine countermeasures vessel will be delivered.
Norway allocated $700 million for drones, focusing on Ukraine’s defense industry, and $50 million to the NSATU Trust Fund.
Canada allocated $45 million for drones, electronic warfare systems, IT solutions, and Coyote and Bison armored vehicles.
Sweden will contribute €440 million to international programs for the procurement of artillery ammunition, drones, and other weapons for Ukraine.
Europe
‘Force with force’: DGAP calls for aggressive EU strategy in US trade dispute

Officials from the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) state in their public announcements that the EU should respond to the US government “force with force” to stop it.
Brussels’ measures against the Trump administration’s tariffs have so far been extremely timid. In April, the EU prepared a list of US goods threatened with retaliatory tariffs in response to US steel and aluminum tariffs; this list includes goods such as soybeans and Harley Davidson motorcycles, valued at 21 billion euros.
Additionally, it prepared another list of US goods worth 95 billion euros, planned to be finalized next week; this list includes cars and auto parts, aircraft, medical devices, and chemicals.
‘The only way to fight Trump is to risk instability’
The EU’s cautious approach is causing growing dissatisfaction among economic experts and political advisors. For example, DGAP expert Markus Jaeger argues in his new article that the EU should adopt a more aggressive policy.
Jaeger states that attacking US states where Trump has a broad voter base with tariffs is pointless, as these measures “rebound without hitting Trump.” Instead, he suggests that directly addressing “the president’s cost-benefit calculations” would be a better approach.
The German expert points out that past experiences have shown Trump avoids a “comprehensive financial instability risk” and withdraws tariffs when such a risk emerges. He recalls, for instance, that a significant stock market decline prompted Trump to freeze the tariff war against China.
Therefore, Jaeger calls for the EU to switch to a strategy involving a “credible and effective retaliatory threat,” stressing that, if necessary, an escalation of the conflict against “hostile protectionist measures” should not be avoided.
According to Jaeger, a former employee of Deutsche Bank Research, “risking comprehensive instability” if necessary is the only tactical way to defend against Trump.
‘China did what the EU couldn’t do against the US’
A more fundamental critique came from another DGAP expert, Shahin Vallée.
Vallée previously served as an economic advisor to EU Council President Herman Van Rompuy, then-Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron, and finally George Soros.
Vallée argues that the EU’s efforts to understand and deal with US President Donald Trump after his re-election have been a “complete failure.”
The DGAP expert argues that the EU failed to recognize the need to respond to Trump “force with force,” “openly and visibly.” He believes Brussels missed the “extraordinary opportunity” that arose when Trump was “colliding head-on with the entire world simultaneously.”
According to Vallée, it would have been possible to make Trump yield if action had been taken to isolate the US by immediately forming alliances with countries like China or Canada.
Vallée asserts that China achieved this success by “resisting and leveraging its power in critical areas,” compelling the US to “completely surrender.” He further claims China managed this without needing EU cooperation in a future economic war with the US.
According to the expert, the EU is currently stuck in the next round of tariff threats and will face even stronger pressure in the future.
‘Respond to force with force’
In this context, Vallée insistently calls for the EU to make a “complete U-turn” in its economic policy towards the Trump administration.
According to the author, as a first step, Brussels should immediately implement retaliatory tariffs against US steel and aluminum tariffs. Simultaneously, it should announce new counter-tariffs against automotive tariffs and suspended “reciprocal” tariffs; this should cover imports from the US exceeding 150 billion euros.
Secondly, the EU should restrict exports of goods that the US cannot substitute. Vallée gives the example of lithography technology used in semiconductor manufacturing, likely referring to equipment produced by the Dutch company ASML, which is used in manufacturing the most advanced chips and currently has largely no alternative, at least in the West.
Thirdly, the DGAP expert advocates for measures against US service sector imports. These measures include imposing digital taxes on the profits of large US internet companies on one hand, and restricting the activities of US financial service providers benefiting from European assets on the other.
Vallée advises being prepared for a “sharp escalation” of the conflict in this regard.
Europe
Vatican under Pope Leo XIV warns against AI ‘playing God,’ urges ethical development

The new leader of the Catholic world, Pope Leo XIV, has made reducing the risks of “uncontrolled artificial intelligence” the defining mission of his papacy.
In his first official address to the cardinals, the new Pope warned against the dangers artificial intelligence poses to “human dignity, justice, and labor.” Two days later, speaking to journalists, he praised the technology’s “immense potential” while also emphasizing the responsibility to “ensure it is used for the benefit of all people.”
Like Pope Leo XIII, whose name he took and who called for “restructuring” relations between workers and capital during the industrial revolution in the last quarter of the 19th century, Leo XIV positions himself as a “guardian of the social fabric” against uncontrolled modern technologies.
Indeed, the new Pope had said he took this name pointing to the role of his predecessor, who published the famous papal encyclical Rerum Novarum, in “social matters.”
Franciscan friar Paolo Benanti, a Vatican advisor on artificial intelligence ethics, told POLITICO, “The Church asks us to look to the heavens, but also to walk on earth as the times require,” adding that it is not unusual for the church to offer expertise in such a futuristic field.
Maria Savona, an AI expert and professor of innovation economics at Luiss University in Rome and the University of Sussex, stated, “The Vatican wants to avoid certain AI developments that could harm human rights and dignity and disproportionately affect low-skilled workers.”
The Vatican’s efforts to secure a place for itself in artificial intelligence regulation began with Leo’s predecessor. In 2020, Pope Francis brought together technology companies like IBM and Cisco, as well as religious and political leaders, to sign the Rome Call for AI Ethics, a commitment to developing artificial intelligence technologies that are “accountable and benefit society.”
In January, the Vatican issued an official statement warning that artificial intelligence could lead humanity to become a “slave to its own work.”
Leo, the first pope from the US—the homeland of Silicon Valley and the tech revolution—and a mathematics graduate, is in a “unique position” to carry this banner, according to POLITICO.
Meanwhile, Washington is spearheading a deregulation move in the AI field. President Donald Trump rolled back the security rules set by his predecessor, Joe Biden, and announced a half-trillion-dollar AI plan with leading company OpenAI.
According to Benanti, the church’s role as an “expert in humanity” can encourage leaders, especially in Catholic countries, to “create AI that values people and aligns with social justice.”
In Leo’s first meeting with Italian leader Giorgia Meloni, the two pledged to continue working for “ethical and human-centered artificial intelligence development.” Last year, at Meloni’s invitation, Francis had addressed G7 leaders on artificial intelligence ethics.
Savona commented, “The Vatican’s interest in artificial intelligence is not strange. Francis also showed great interest in climate change, one of today’s significant problems. The Church’s mission is to adapt to the world while remaining true to its fundamental principles.”
Savona argued that as power concentrates in the hands of tech giants and wealthy nations, the Vatican could use its network in the “Global South” to ensure “more democratic access” to artificial intelligence and push for European-dominated regulations to be adapted to global standards.
On the other hand, Leo himself has fallen victim to AI-generated content. In the first week of his papacy, a YouTube video was published allegedly showing Leo praising Burkina Faso’s President Ibrahim Traoré for contrasting the Vatican’s wealth with poverty in Africa.
The Vatican stated that the video was a “deepfake” and part of a recent wave of AI-generated content on African platforms glorifying Traoré as an example of pan-African leadership.
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