Connect with us

Diplomacy

Türkiye, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia defense agreement: An attack on one will be considered an attack on all

Published

on

Türkiye, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia signed a joint defense agreement that deepens security cooperation at a time of rising military tensions and conflicts in the Middle East. The agreement stipulates that an armed attack against any one of the three states will be considered an attack against all of them.

Türkiye, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed a joint defense agreement at a trilateral summit held in Mecca on Friday, pledging to strengthen collective security, deepen defense cooperation and support peace and stability in the region and beyond.

The “Mecca Joint Defense Agreement” was signed at a summit held at Al-Safa Palace by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.

According to a statement issued by Türkiye’s Directorate of Communications, the agreement reflects the three countries’ shared determination to strengthen their collective security on the basis of their longstanding historical ties, Islamic solidarity, common strategic interests and close defense cooperation.

The agreement aims to strengthen collective deterrence against any act of aggression and provides that an armed attack against any one of the three countries will be considered an attack against all of them.

The agreement also provides for the development of defense cooperation among the three countries in all fields.

Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud hosted Erdoğan and Sharif in Saudi Arabia for the summit.

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan traveled to Saudi Arabia on Friday and met with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, meanwhile, arrived in Saudi Arabia a day earlier together with the country’s Chief of Army Staff Asim Munir and performed Umrah in Mecca.

Iran and its allies have been targeting Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries and obstructing their energy shipments since the United States and Israel launched a war against Iran on February 28, escalating tensions in the region.

According to a joint statement by the three countries, the agreement aims to strengthen collective deterrence against any act of aggression and provides that an armed attack against any one of the three countries will be considered an attack against all of them.

The joint statement did not specify the details of the obligations undertaken by the parties under the “Mecca Joint Defense Agreement.” It noted, however, that the agreement aims to strengthen collective security and promote peace, security and stability in the region and beyond.

A Turkish official told Reuters, “The pact includes a collective defense clause. It is entirely defensive and commits the parties to mutual support solely for defensive purposes.”

The official also said the agreement was not directed against any specific actor, was open to the participation of other countries in the region, and did not invalidate or replace any existing bilateral or multilateral arrangement.

At the same time, the three countries are concerned both about Israel’s increasing aggression and Iran’s expanding influence at a time when their longstanding ally, the United States, is struggling to contain regional turmoil.

Strong political symbolism

Abdulaziz Sager, chairman of the Saudi-based Gulf Research Center, said, “The political symbolism of the summit is significant. Three of the most influential countries in the Muslim world are coming together at a time of growing uncertainty. This shows the increasing willingness of regional and middle powers to coordinate more closely on security issues.”

Sager added, “If the trilateral mechanism is institutionalized and translated into concrete cooperation, it could strengthen the combined diplomatic and defense weight of the three countries while also contributing to the emergence of a security architecture that is more strongly shaped by regional dynamics.”

Türkiye has NATO’s second-largest army. Saudi Arabia, the Gulf’s most powerful country, is one of the world’s largest oil exporters. Pakistan, meanwhile, is the only Muslim country with nuclear weapons.

The Iran factor

Since the war began on February 28, Saudi Arabia has been targeted by Iran as well as its Houthi allies in Yemen and Shiite militias in Iraq because it hosts U.S. military bases.

The conflict has also brought most shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which carried around one-fifth of global energy supplies before the war, to a halt.

For Saudi Arabia, the consequences of the conflicts in the Middle East over the past three years have been more severe. While the conflicts have endangered the country’s oil exports and ambitious development plans, they have also raised serious questions about the reliability of the U.S. security umbrella on which Riyadh has relied for many years.

A senior Saudi official told Reuters on Thursday that the country expects coordinated attacks in the near future from both Iraqi militias and the Houthis under Iranian direction. This raises questions about how the new alliance would respond to such attacks.

Iran-aligned Welayat News described the agreement as a Saudi request for assistance. The report included the following assessment: “Ansarullah’s Yemen-based equation of ‘blockade for blockade, escalation for escalation’ has put the Saudis under pressure. At Saudi Arabia’s initiative, a defense alliance between Türkiye, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan is expected to be signed today.”

Although Türkiye and Pakistan have avoided major direct attacks, both countries want the conflicts that threaten their own security and economic conditions to be de-escalated.

According to a Reuters report in May, Pakistan deployed around 8,000 troops, fighter aircraft, drones and an air defense system to Saudi Arabia and moved toward developing broader security ties across the Gulf.

Reuters reported in July that Pakistan had also begun negotiations with Kuwait on an expanded security agreement in exchange for energy cooperation and investment.

The AP news agency also noted that the agreement was announced at a time when Türkiye’s relations with Israel have become strained over the conflicts in Iran, Lebanon and Gaza.

Former Israeli official: Türkiye will not fight the Houthis simply because Saudi Arabia asks

Commenting on the defense agreement between Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan, former head of Israel’s National Security Council Prof. Jacob Nagel said Saudi Arabia is not as powerful as it appears and described the country as a “paper tiger.”

Speaking to The Jerusalem Post, Nagel said, “You have to understand this: despite all its wealth and weapons, Saudi Arabia is to a large extent a paper tiger. It has a great deal of weaponry and a great deal of money, but militarily it cannot even manage to get through the day.”

On whether Türkiye would defend Saudi Arabia under the agreement, Nagel said, “I do not think the Turks will send their navy and attack the Houthis simply because the Houthis attacked the Saudis. That certainly does not align with my realistic view of the region.”

According to Nagel, Saudi Arabia is therefore looking for alternatives.

“Saudi Arabia understands that it is in serious trouble, both financially and in terms of security. Even before the recent wars, we saw them take the surprising step of signing an agreement with Iran. They did this because they were afraid and felt exposed to the concrete Iranian threat, as well as to Iran’s militias across the Middle East.”

Nagel continued:

“The Saudis’ problem is that despite having the most advanced equipment, aircraft and intelligence capabilities, they do not know how to use this power effectively on the ground. For that reason, all this talk of new alliances with Pakistan or Türkiye should be approached with considerable caution.”

Nagel also said, “This is more of a diplomatic maneuver aimed at putting pressure on the U.S. administration.”

“The Saudis are disappointed with the U.S. position. Particularly in light of the shortcomings they have identified in missile and interceptor ammunition stockpiles in the West, they are trying to send the message that they will not be left alone in the struggle against the Shiite axis.”

Diplomacy

Global dockers strike against war and arms transit to Palestine

Published

on

Dockers at 111 ports across 22 countries and territories will down tools on Friday as part of a coordinated anti-war strike.

So far, more than 25 dockers’ unions, spanning from Marseille to Mumbai, Hamburg to Montevideo, and Melbourne to Oakland, have announced their participation in the walkout.

Just days ago, the figure stood at approximately 100 ports in 17 countries, a tally that excluded dozens of unions from other sectors that had pledged their support.

The striking workers’ primary demand is that no weapons or military cargo pass through their ports.

In France, the main dockers’ union states that 95% of the country’s ports will be shut down.

Twenty-four-hour strikes will take place in Italy, India, Greece, and Türkiye, while work stoppages of up to two hours are scheduled in Morocco and Cyprus, alongside rallies planned in port cities across the globe.

In Greece, metalworkers, ship repair workers, and youth are joining the dockers, while in the US, International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) Local 10 is striking in Oakland and San Francisco.

The unions are taking the Istanbul Declaration, signed in May, as their basis, with each determining its own form of participation.

They are also fighting for their own jobs, resisting layoffs driven by automation, and campaigning for contracts, pay increases, shorter working hours, and job security.

The unions draw attention to escalating wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, pointing to the risk of a wider, general war.

They also condemn new crimes committed by Israel in Hebron, carried out with the support of the US, NATO, and the EU. According to the UN, Israel’s blockade of the city has entered its sixth day, and more than 3,000 Palestinians have been displaced. Palestinian trade unions are backing Friday’s action.

In Italy, the struggle has spilled beyond the docks. The USB union has called a nationwide general strike.

Last night, the Italian government ordered transport workers to return to work. The USB declared that it will not comply with the order, choosing to risk heavy penalties instead.

Calling on workers and young people everywhere to show solidarity with dockers, the unions declared: “Ports should be for peace and for peoples, not launch pads for war.”

Continue Reading

Diplomacy

Steinmeier seeks to de-escalate German-Chinese tensions on visit

Published

on

German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier is seeking to prevent further escalation in tensions during his latest official visit to China.

China remains exceptionally important for key sectors of the German economy. The Asian giant is the second most critical foreign location for German companies.

As reported by German Foreign Policy, investments by these companies in China total over 110 billion euros. By comparison, German investment volumes are higher only in the US and Luxembourg, with investments in Luxembourg largely driven by tax advantages.

German companies also continue to invest in China. In the first half of 2026, they carried out investments of around 5.6 billion euros, surpassing even the 4.3 billion euros invested in the US.

In addition, automotive groups, among others, are increasingly conducting research and development activities in the People’s Republic of China.

According to a recent assessment by an expert from the Cologne Institute for Economic Research (IW), some companies are using this fast-developing country as a “fitness centre”.

At the same time, however, China’s importance as a sales market is declining sharply: German exports to China fell from 107 billion euros in 2022 to just 81 billion euros in 2025.

Above all, China’s exports to Europe and particularly to Germany are surging, threatening to erode the market share of the flagship sectors of German industry on their domestic market, especially automotive, mechanical engineering, and the chemical industry.

EU prepares moves against China

The EU is responding with defensive measures, but this remains a sensitive issue.

Should China retaliate, it could cause severe damage, particularly to German industry, given its substantial presence in the country.

In October 2024, Brussels imposed high tariffs on electric car imports. As Chinese manufacturers subsequently began exporting hybrid models to Europe on a large scale, debate quickly emerged over introducing high tariffs on these vehicles as well.

Meanwhile, measures targeting machinery and chemical imports are also being prepared, as European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced at the latest EU summit held in Brussels in mid-October.

The EU is additionally working on a package known as the “second-strike instrument”. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron recently called for the deployment of this mechanism in a joint letter to the Commission.

The objective of this tool is to enable robust measures in situations of intense economic power struggles, including the partial or even total exclusion of third-country companies from the EU single market within just a few days.

Under the proposal, the European Commission would be able to decide on such measures on its own initiative. In that scenario, member states insisting on the adoption of the measures would reportedly be less easily identifiable, allowing them to hope to avoid Chinese retaliation.

Hybrid vehicle compromise

According to German Foreign Policy, doubts about whether the EU could survive an open economic war against China rest on solid ground.

In mid-June, the Financial Times reported that experts from think tanks and academia had simulated escalating economic clashes between the two sides in a tabletop exercise.

In that simulation, Brussels failed to bring Beijing to its knees; on the contrary, it would probably have lost an open economic war.

Against this backdrop, the EU agreed to settle the dispute over Chinese hybrid car imports through negotiations.

A few days before the mid-October EU summit, EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič managed to outline such a resolution during talks in Beijing with Commerce Minister Wang Wentao.

Under the agreement, the volume of hybrid cars exported from China to the EU, which stood at around 302,000 units in 2025, will be capped from December at an annual 350,000 units; more precisely, 350,000 units plus 6% per year.

This arrangement is envisaged to remain in effect for four years, granting EU carmakers some breathing space to catch up with their Chinese rivals.

Similar arrangements are being discussed in mechanical engineering and the chemical industry, as well as potentially in pharmaceuticals.

China counter-moves: Export controls

While the EU pursues this track and prepares its economic “second-strike instrument”, the People’s Republic of China is taking steps to secure leverage in current economic power struggles.

These measures are directed primarily at a potential escalation of the economic war with the US, which is currently more or less frozen, but in a worst-case scenario they could also be deployed against the EU.

Specifically, Beijing is preparing new export controls that go beyond the restrictions on rare earth elements with which China succeeded in blunting an unprecedented US tariff and sanctions offensive.

As reported early last week, the People’s Republic of China plans to subject exports of roughly 40 technologies, spanning artificial intelligence (AI), biotechnology, and photovoltaics, to strict licensing conditions, or even prohibit them outright.

The stated rationale is that the country merely wishes to take steps to “safeguard national security”, in an overt mirror of the primary justification invoked by the US for a wide array of embargo measures.

With critical technologies subject to restricted export or barred entirely, relocating the production of certain goods such as photovoltaic cells away from China to foreign locations will become harder, a shift that could also affect European firms.

Steinmeier visits China: Can he defuse tensions?

Against this background, German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier arrived in China on Monday for his latest official visit.

On the first day of his trip, Steinmeier visited the Volkswagen Group facility in the metropolis of Hefei.

Volkswagen operates a research centre there employing around 3,000 engineers, designed to keep pace with the rapid development of electric mobility in the People’s Republic of China.

Innovations developed in Hefei are transferred at times to facilities in Germany, helping prevent them from falling further behind internationally.

Hefei has transformed into a high-tech hub on the back of heavy investment in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and new energy vehicles.

VW plans to supply Central Asian and particularly South-East Asian markets from its Chinese facilities to preserve competitiveness across these regions.

Marking the Federal President’s trip, the Office of the Federal President stated that the goal was not “decoupling from China”, but rather sustaining “close and resilient economic relations”.

According to reports, Steinmeier coordinated not only with Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who is currently visiting Japan, but also with EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič, who is pursuing robust trade policy alignment with the People’s Republic of China in line with German industrial interests.

Steinmeier is eager to support this effort and is accompanied notably by Peter Leibinger, president of the Federation of German Industries (BDI).

The president will then travel to Beijing to hold talks with top leaders, including his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping and Premier Li Qiang, before concluding his visit.

His office noted that the visit seeks to “address Germany’s multifaceted and complex relations with China and the challenges confronting them”, while his time in Anhui will highlight “China at the turn of the century around 1900 and the significance of this era in the history of German-Chinese relations”.

According to the South China Morning Post, the selection of Anhui underscores Berlin’s emphasis on dialogue despite deteriorating bilateral ties amid rising trade tensions, driven by German concerns that fierce Chinese competition could erode Germany’s manufacturing core.

German leader’s packed China itinerary

Before heading to Beijing, Steinmeier will also visit the historic village of Hongcun and Mount Huangshan, sites that the German presidency noted bring together “nature, architecture, and philosophy”.

In the capital, Steinmeier will tour the Institute of Atmospheric Physics under the Chinese Academy of Sciences to evaluate climate cooperation, followed by an address at Peking University. Xi is subsequently expected to receive him with full military honours.

Visiting leaders’ regional engagements extend well beyond Anhui, with China’s financial capital, Shanghai, remaining one of the most sought-after stops.

In January alone, the city hosted South Korean President Lee Jae Myung and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, while a visit in August by King Abdullah II of Jordan further cemented Shanghai’s standing as a gateway to Chinese technology and consumer markets.

Just south of Shanghai, Hangzhou has emerged as a similarly vital diplomatic destination. Once renowned primarily for the classical scenery of West Lake, the capital of Zhejiang province has evolved into an innovation hub drawing foreign heads of state with itineraries centred on robotics, e-commerce, and advanced manufacturing.

Continue Reading

Diplomacy

Ukraine plans new business model to end street recruitment drives

Published

on

The Ukrainian government is preparing a new mobilization model that fundamentally alters military deferrals, requiring businesses to systematically supply personnel to the armed forces in exchange for shielding other employees from service.

Prime Minister Serhiy Koretskiy announced that under the draft framework, which is scheduled for completion by 1 December, enterprises will pledge to send a designated quota of staff into the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to secure exemptions for remaining workers.

Speaking at the Kyiv International Economic Forum, as reported by the Interfax-Ukraine news agency, Prime Minister Koretskiy said the objective is to end the practice of drafting men off the streets.

Describing the projected structure as an idealistic social contract, Koretskiy said: “Let us establish a social model where employees are safeguarded, but businesses also commit to providing a predictable flow of mobilization for the military. If we can devise such a formula, the necessity of searching for people on the streets will also be eliminated.”

Koretskiy noted that deferrals will be renewed for over 90% to 95% of staff in critical sectors such as fuel, energy, and the defence industry. He emphasized that the criteria defining an enterprise as critical will be decoupled from economic exemption standards.

The prime minister stated that this regulatory change will curb unjustified deferrals, prevent an economic collapse, and bring certainty to the rotation expectations of soldiers serving on the front lines.

In separate remarks delivered the previous week, Koretskiy noted that the government intends to preserve exemption rights for companies that sustain national defence capacity and vital everyday services, while simultaneously increasing criminal penalties for unauthorized absence from military units and draft evasion.

Immediately following these statements, the official resolution overhauling the mobilization deferral system was published on the Ukrainian government website.

According to details reported by the UNIAN news agency, state institutions and regional administrations will review existing criteria and audit every business previously granted “critical” status within 10 days of the regulation entering into force.

Enterprises that no longer satisfy exemption conditions or whose justifications have lapsed may have the status rescinded prematurely.

A new coordination centre is being established to administer the process. This body will issue advisory decisions regarding the granting or revoking of critical enterprise status, as well as requests to raise exemption quotas.

The bureaucratic procedure limits the initial review to a maximum of 7 working days, after which the coordination centre will have up to one month to assess the file. A final decision must then be rendered within 3 working days of the recommendation reaching the commission.

For select enterprises operating in the energy and defence sectors, the ceiling for staff exemptions has been capped at 95%. However, this entitlement will apply strictly to personnel directly engaged in production processes.

Authority to raise the exemption quota above the 95% threshold will depend entirely on special approval issued by either the Ukrainian Defence Ministry or the Energy Ministry.

The compliance history of company leadership will directly influence the procedure; quota increase requests may be rejected outright if executives have violated military registration requirements two or more times in the preceding 12 months, or if they have received administrative fines on those grounds.

Companies granted quota increases will have 10 working days to conclude the required formalities.

If an enterprise fails to formalize worker deferrals through Diia, Ukraine’s digital public services portal, within this timeframe, the supplemental quota allocation will be revoked entirely. All approved exemption quotas will remain valid for a maximum duration of one year.

Martial law and general mobilization, which were declared in Ukraine on 24 February 2022, have been extended at regular intervals ever since.

On 26 October, the Ukrainian parliament renewed these measures for the 21st time, approving a 90-day extension that runs until 29 January 2027.

Under current legislation, men aged between 25 and 60 who are deemed fit for military service are directly subject to mobilization.

Men under the age of 25 are classified under conscription call-up status and are not dispatched to the front line through general mobilization.

Individuals in this age bracket retain the right to travel abroad between the ages of 18 and 22 via an age-based exception, but they lose this entitlement upon turning 23.

Front-line manpower deficits have long prompted authorities in Kyiv to pursue reforms to the military recruitment framework and to tighten deferral requirements.

The Defence Ministry announced in February that extensive measures were planned, including the automation of deferral procedures and adjustments to the operations of Territorial Recruitment and Social Support Centres (TZK), which function as enlistment offices.

In April, Member of Parliament Roman Kostenko stated that the ministry planned to separate the recruitment duties of draft centres from their social assistance responsibilities, while the possibility of transferring certain mobilization enforcement checks to the police was also raised.

By August, Kostenko reported that the Defence Ministry was examining radical measures, including potential alterations to the mobilization age.

Shortly before that, Minister of Digital Transformation Oksana Ferchuk announced that oversight over exemptions, particularly in the information technology sector, would be significantly restricted.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian military’s requirement for front-line reinforcements grows on a daily basis.

In an assessment delivered on 31 August, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Kyrylo Budanov stressed that the military must enlist at least 30,000 individuals each month to sustain its combat effectiveness.

As forced mobilization for the front lines accelerates, objections to heavy-handed practices by recruitment centre personnel have multiplied.

Official complaints concerning draft office personnel stood at just 18 in 2022, before surging to 514 in 2023 and 3,312 in 2024. The influx of grievances continued unabated, peaking at 6,127 official complaints according to 2025 figures.

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey