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What does Iran wants from the Taliban?

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The Islamic Republic of Iran is one of Afghanistan’s neighboring countries, which shares a common language, culture and religion with the people of Afghanistan. Iran, especially after the “Islamic Revolution” in that country, has had close relations with the governments and people of Afghanistan. But in most cases, Tehran has intervened in Afghanistan’s internal affairs to secure his own interests.

Iran’s government, which is more ideological, has always been afraid of the functioning of democratic governments based on modern values ​​in Afghanistan. With the coming to power of the People’s Democratic Party, which had the support of the former Soviet Union, the Islamic Revolution took place in Iran under the leadership of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini and the “monarchy regime” fell. Iran’s Mullahs’ government was worried about the implementation of such a regime in Afghanistan.

Although the Democratic Party of Afghanistan was also a regime with leftist ideas and influenced by “communism”, it was not like Iran. This issue forced Iran to start supporting Shiite Islamist groups to create obstacles for the current government of Afghanistan.

Of course, he also achieved some successes in this regard. The groups that had the support of the Iranian government played a large role in the civil wars. But despite the new order in Afghanistan and the presence of NATO forces led by the United States of America, Iran did not play a significant role in Afghanistan’s internal relations.

At first, Iran tried to raise its position in Afghan relations by financially supporting the office of the previous president of Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai. However, the US played a key role in major national decisions and Iran’s efforts failed. Iran changed its approach and returned to the trick of the seventies and provided financial and arms support to the Taliban group against the Afghan government and American forces. In some cases, it also provided shelter for Taliban leaders.

Although the Taliban and Iran did not have a good relationship after the killing of the diplomats of this country in Mazar-e-Sharif by the Taliban, but with regard to the “enemy of an enemy is a friend” category, Iran established relations with the Taliban to secure its interests and supported them in this way.

Iran lobbied for the Taliban group and dragged Russia’s foot into the issue in order to be able to ground the US in Afghanistan. The government of Iran, with the support of the Taliban, was hindering the progress in dam construction and containment of Afghanistan’s waters.

After the Taliban came to power

With the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan in 2014, Iran has openly supported the Taliban. With the signing of the Doha agreement between the Taliban and the United States, Iran increased its support to the Taliban against the forces of the previous Afghan government. But the question that arises is what did Iran want from the Taliban and what does it still want?

Although the main reasons why Iran supported the Taliban have not been made public, it is most likely that Iran supports the Taliban for several reasons and wants to be closer to them;

Lack of water: Iran is currently facing a shortage of water resources. If the dam construction project expands on the waters that flow to Iran, the problem of water shortage in the neighboring provinces of Afghanistan will double, which is a big challenge for the government of that country. Although the Taliban have stated from time to time that they control the waters of Afghanistan, in practice they have left a lot of water for Iran.

Expansion of ISIS activities: Iran is worried about the expansion of Islamic State (IS) militants in Iran due to its common land border with Afghanistan. The IS group, whose scope of activities has expanded from Iraq and the Middle East to some parts of Afghanistan, has deep opposition to the Shiites Muslims and Iran government is mostly controlled by the Shittes. Therefore, the only suitable option to prevent IS from entering Iran is the Taliban.

Drug trafficking: Afghanistan has played a major role in the production of drugs in the world and in the region. With the return to power of the Taliban regime, the production and smuggling of drugs to neighboring countries has increased. Iran is worried about drug production and smuggling to that country. Proximity to the Taliban is a mechanism used by Iran to smuggle drugs.

Durability of the Taliban government: Currently, the strengthening and stability of the Taliban government is in the interest of Iran. Because the level of dissatisfaction with Iran’s government has increased within that country, and any development along with human freedoms in Afghanistan will increase the concerns of Iran’s government. On the other hand, Iran and the Taliban, two ideological systems, Sunni and Shia, seek their survival in close relations.

Finally, Iran wants the Taliban to support its interests in Afghanistan as a proxy group. The Iranian government knows very well that it has no way out without having relations with the Taliban group.

In order to have support at the regional level and not be marginalized, the Taliban prefer to maintain relations with Iran. In order to expand its relations with the Taliban, and especially with Donald Trump’s inauguration as United States president, Iran sent its foreign minister to the Taliban so that the Taliban would stand by Iran in future events that will take place between the United States and Iran. Even though the Taliban do not have such ability, for Iran, even the weakest friend is better than none at the moment.

Asia

Chinese navy chief and top nuclear scientist expelled from legislature

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The chief of staff for the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy, Vice Admiral Li Hanjun, and Liu Shipeng, the deputy chief engineer of the state-owned China National Nuclear Corporation, were removed from their positions in the country’s legislative body.

Li is the latest in a series of PLA generals and a handful of defense industry executives implicated in a widespread investigation within the military.

In a statement on Friday, the NPC Standing Committee announced, “The Navy Soldiers’ Congress has decided to remove Li Hanjun from his post as a representative to the 14th National People’s Congress.”

The Gansu People’s Congress also dismissed Liu Shipeng from his role as an NPC deputy.

Additionally, the Standing Committee revealed it had voted to remove Miao Hua, a former top general who previously oversaw the PLA’s ideological work, from the Central Military Commission (CMC), China’s highest military command body led by President Xi Jinping.

The removal of Li and Liu from their NPC memberships suggests they are facing serious disciplinary action.

China typically remains silent about purges within the military, and announcements from the NPC are one of the few indicators of such campaigns.

There is little public information available about Li and Liu, as both have worked in sensitive positions.

Before becoming the navy’s chief of staff, Li, 60, was the deputy director of the CMC’s Training and Administration Department. He was appointed to this role after serving for a year in the CMC’s Office for Reform and Organisational Structure.

In 2014, he was promoted to vice admiral upon his appointment as commander of the naval base in Fujian province, where Miao also spent a significant part of his career. At that time, he was the director of training at the China Naval Command College and was soon promoted to president of the school.

According to official media reports, nuclear scientist Liu was born into a family that “served China’s nuclear dream for three generations.”

As the deputy chief engineer at CNNC, which oversees all aspects of China’s civil and military nuclear programs, Liu also served as the Communist Party secretary and president of CNNC’s “404 base” in Gansu.

Covering an area of over 1,000 square kilometers, the base was established in 1958 and is the country’s first and largest nuclear research center. It played a crucial role in the development of China’s first atomic bomb in 1964 and its first hydrogen bomb three years later.

This secretive base is still considered a key hub for China’s nuclear deterrence and nuclear industry.

According to statements from provincial authorities, Liu was named “Gansu’s outstanding entrepreneur” in 2023.

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China, US reach agreement on export controls

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The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced on Friday afternoon that Beijing and Washington have remained in close contact since the two-day trade talks in London earlier this month, confirming the details of a framework agreement.

“China will review and approve export applications for controlled items in accordance with its laws and regulations, and the US side will, in turn, lift a series of restrictive measures against China,” the ministry stated.

“We hope the US side will cooperate with China in line with the important consensus and conditions established during the conversation between the two presidents on June 5,” the statement continued.

On Thursday, US President Donald Trump said the US had “signed” a trade deal with China the previous day, without providing details.

“We signed the deal with China yesterday, right? We signed the deal with China,” Trump said at a White House event introducing a budget law. “With the China deal, we are starting to open up China,” he added.

He also mentioned that a “very big” deal, likely with India, would be signed soon.

Rare earth elements

Following the event, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told reporters that the US and China had signed an agreement codifying the terms decided upon in previous trade negotiations.

“They will deliver rare earth elements to us,” Lutnick said in a televised interview with Bloomberg, adding that if this commitment is fulfilled, Washington will lift its “countermeasures.”

Rare earth elements, essential for producing high-tech products, including those for the defense industry, were a major point of contention in the trade talks. China holds a near-monopoly on the supply of these minerals due to its massive share of global refining capacity.

Responding to a question on Thursday about rare earth exports, ministry spokesman He Yadong said China had approved a “certain number” of applications and would “continue to strengthen” the review and approval process for eligible applications.

He added that Beijing is willing to “strengthen communication and dialogue” with other countries on export controls and actively promote appropriate trade.

Lutnick also stated that the US plans to reach agreements with 10 major trading partners in the coming weeks. The deadline for countries to negotiate trade terms before higher tariffs are reinstated was July 9, following a 90-day suspension of import tariff hikes announced on April 2.

The two negotiating teams concluded the London talks by announcing they had agreed “in principle” on a “framework” that both sides would take home for their respective leaders to review, as they sought to get their uneasy truce, signed last month in Geneva, back on track.

The negotiations began after a highly anticipated phone call between Xi Jinping and Trump, which seemingly ended an intractable stalemate.

In the weeks following the initial agreement in Switzerland, Washington claimed China was restricting exports of critical minerals, while Beijing reacted to US restrictions on semiconductors and threats to impose visa barriers on Chinese students.

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China hosts SCO defense ministers on warship amid regional tensions

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Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun hosted his Iranian counterpart and other high-level defense officials from Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) member states aboard an advanced Chinese warship, just days after the US bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities.

Iranian Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh was among the defense officials welcomed by Dong on a military vessel in the coastal city of Qingdao, China, as part of a two-day SCO defense ministers’ meeting that concluded on Thursday.

According to Chinese state television CCTV, Nasirzadeh and other defense officials toured the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy’s Type 052D destroyer, the Kaifeng, and later attended a reception on the ship’s deck.

Aboard the ship, Nasirzadeh thanked Beijing for “supporting Iran’s legitimate position following the recent attacks” by Israel and the US.

“We hope that China will continue to stand on the side of justice, help maintain the current ceasefire, and play a greater role in de-escalating regional tensions,” Nasirzadeh said, according to Xinhua.

In his address to the assembled ministers, Dong reportedly stated that “unilateralism, protectionism, and hegemonic and bullying acts are on the rise, seriously disrupting the international order and becoming the greatest source of chaos and conflict.”

Dong called for closer cooperation within the United Nations, the SCO, and other multilateral frameworks, urging members to unite with “more like-minded forces” to defend international justice and maintain global stability.

“SCO countries must remain true to the organization’s founding ideals, uphold the ‘Shanghai Spirit,’ and deepen practical cooperation in all areas,” Dong said. “With stronger actions, we can jointly safeguard a peaceful environment for development,” he added.

The event followed the US attacks on three of Iran’s key nuclear facilities on Saturday, which Beijing strongly condemned.

The Chinese Foreign Ministry stated that the attacks on nuclear facilities under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency seriously violated the UN Charter and its principles.

Additionally, the SCO meeting coincided with a NATO leaders’ summit in The Hague. In a statement from The Hague, US President Donald Trump announced that the US would hold talks with Iran about a possible nuclear deal “in the coming week.”

Bilateral Talks

According to Xinhua, the Chinese defense minister later held separate bilateral meetings with the defense ministers of Belarus, Pakistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia. The state news agency reported that all parties appreciated Beijing’s efforts and significant contributions to developing SCO operational mechanisms and deepening inter-sectoral cooperation during its rotating presidency. They also expressed a strong will to further consolidate and expand military ties.

Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif praised Beijing’s role in de-escalating tensions. “Pakistan highly values its robust friendship with China and is ready to work together to implement its three global initiatives, deepen military cooperation, and help maintain regional peace and stability,” he said.

For Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov, this year—the 80th anniversary of the victory in World War II, the Chinese people’s war of resistance against Japanese aggression, and the world’s anti-fascist war—presents an opportunity to deepen bilateral military relations. “In line with the consensus of our leaders, we will intensify strategic communication and cooperation and contribute to global strategic stability,” he said.

Meanwhile, Indian Defense Minister Rajnath Singh also attended the Qingdao meeting. This marked the first visit by an Indian defense minister to China since the deadly border clash between the two countries in 2020.

Military trust

According to the Chinese Ministry of Defense, the SCO defense ministers’ meeting is one of the key events held during China’s rotating presidency of the SCO this year. The ministers, along with representatives from the SCO and regional anti-terrorism bodies, gathered to further strengthen military trust and deepen practical cooperation among member states.

The SCO, a 10-nation bloc comprising China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Pakistan, India, Iran, and Belarus, currently covers approximately three-fifths of the Eurasian continent and about 43% of the world’s population.

The Beijing meeting, held under the rotating presidency of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, highlighted China’s role as a significant international actor and the importance Tehran places on its relationship with Beijing, even as China has largely remained on the sidelines of the Israel-Iran conflict.

During a regular press conference at the Chinese Ministry of Defense on Thursday, when asked if Beijing was considering providing military support to Iran as an SCO member, ministry spokesman Zhang Xiaogang told CNN, “China is ready to cooperate with all parties to play a constructive role in maintaining peace and stability in the Middle East.”

Kaifeng destroyer

The Kaifeng destroyer, where the meeting’s reception was held, is the sixth vessel of the extended Type 052D variant and serves in the North Sea Fleet. Commissioned in April 2021, the ship is approximately 159 meters (521 feet) long, weighs 7,500 tons, and is equipped with 517C anti-stealth radar. Its expanded deck allows for the landing of the PLA Navy’s Z-20 helicopters.

The warship has conducted numerous long-range exercises, including a passage through the Tsushima Strait in April, as part of Beijing’s growing operational presence in the western Pacific.

It was publicly displayed during the 74th-anniversary celebrations of the Chinese navy in Qingdao in 2023.

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