Diplomacy
Xi in Paris: Our relations with France at the forefront of relations with major Western countries
Chinese President Xi Jinping arrived in Paris on Sunday afternoon local time, the first stop on a three-nation European tour. Xi, who was welcomed in Paris by French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, said in a written statement that over the past 60 years, China-France relations have long been at the forefront of China’s relations with major Western countries, setting a good example for the international community on peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation between countries with different systems.
The development of China-France relations has not only benefited the two peoples, but also “injected stability and positive energy” into the turbulent world, the Chinese leader said.
In a separate article in the French daily Le Figaro, the Chinese president said he had come to France with three messages: That Beijing is determined to open ‘new horizons’ in its relations with France, to open up to the world ‘even more’ and to safeguard world peace and stability.
Xi’s visit to France comes as this year marks the 60th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and France.
Xi will hold talks with French President Emmanuel Macron and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Paris today, 6 May.
On Tuesday, Macron will take the Chinese leader and his wife to the Pyrenees mountains, where he used to visit his grandmother as a child. The two couples are also expected to take a cable car to the top of the 2,877-metre Pic du Midi, a dark sky reserve.
After France, the Chinese leader will travel to Serbia and Hungary, two countries with close ties to Russia.
Crisis agenda
The talks will focus on international crises, in particular the war in Ukraine and the situation in the Middle East,’ the Elysee Palace said in a statement ahead of the visit last week.
Macron is expected to ask Xi to put pressure on Russian President Vladimir Putin over Ukraine. In an interview with the Economist last week, the French president argued that the war was existential for Europe.
In addition to the war in Ukraine, Europe is also concerned about China’s trade practices and has launched an investigation into Chinese subsidies to electric car makers, amid concerns that such payments undermine competition and hurt European companies.
Macron told the Economist that he would also tell Xi why Europe must protect its own manufacturers and industries.
On Sunday night, von der Leyen also signalled the EU’s continued displeasure with China, which she said was “currently producing with huge subsidies”.
Promoting strategic autonomy
In a press briefing on 29 April after China announced the visit, Chinese Ambassador to France Lu Shaye said: ‘President Xi will have a comprehensive and in-depth strategic communication with French President Emmanuel Macron on China-France and China-Europe relations. He will encourage France to maintain strategic autonomy and openness in cooperation, thus leading Europe to build a more independent, objective and friendly understanding of China and resist negative trends such as ‘de-risking’ and ‘de-dependence’ on China,’ he said.
Trade deals expected
People familiar with the negotiations said China could announce an order for around 50 Airbus planes during Xi’s visit, but it remains unclear whether this will lead to a new deal.
Pierre Picquart, an expert in geopolitics and human geography at the University of Paris-VIII, told the Global Times that Xi’s visit is important in three ways:
‘Economically, it could pave the way for trade agreements and promote mutually beneficial investment in key sectors such as technology, innovation, energy and infrastructure. Diplomatically, it provides an ideal platform to strengthen coordination and cooperation between China and France on key global issues such as climate change, international security and public health. On the cultural and educational front, this visit can open up new opportunities for cooperation in education, research and culture, thereby strengthening exchanges between our peoples and deepening our mutual understanding.
Special welcome for Xi
Chinese and French national flags were hoisted at one end of the Champs-Élysées boulevard and on the street in front of Les Invalides to welcome Xi.
On Sunday afternoon, near the Arc de Triomphe in central Paris, many Chinese and French students waved Chinese and French national flags to welcome Xi Jinping. The students carried banners saying “Long live China-France friendship” and “We wish President Xi a successful visit to France”.
In preparation for Xi’s visit and to mark the 60th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and France, various events were organised.
A symposium on “Exchange and Mutual Learning between Chinese and French Civilisations” was held on Friday. Co-organised by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) in Beijing and the National Institute of Oriental Languages and Civilisations in Paris, the symposium brought together nearly 100 scholars from the two countries to discuss China-France cross-cultural exchange practices, scientific and technological innovation, and the future of civilisation.
Antoine Broussy, director of the Charles de Gaulle Foundation, told the Global Times that many other special events have been organised in Paris.
Xi will be officially received by Macron at the Elysee Palace today. This will be followed by a state dinner to mark 60 years of relations between France and the People’s Republic of China.
Chinese support for Macron’s calls
French President Macron’s call for Europe’s ‘strategic autonomy’ is a recurring theme.
Both Xi and Foreign Minister Wang Yi have previously said that China supports Europe strengthening its strategic autonomy and taking its future into its own hands.
During his visit to China last year, French President Macron warned Europe against being drawn into a US-China confrontation over Taiwan, prompting the US magazine Foreign Policy to describe strategic autonomy as ‘a French pipe dream’.
He Zhigao, a research fellow at the CASS Institute for European Studies, told the Global Times that the US wants to keep Europe under tight control to bind it to the Washington-led Western camp.
If Europe looks at China from a global perspective that can benefit the world, China is an opportunity. But if it is on the side of the US, then China should be a challenge,’ he said, adding that China’s engagement with Europe is for common development.
According to a report by Business France, China has been the largest Asian country in terms of investment and job creation in France for three consecutive years. While Sino-French development in core sectors such as aviation, nuclear energy and trade is flourishing, emerging areas such as renewable energy and the digital economy are likely to become new engines of growth.
Xin Hua, Director and Chair Professor of the Centre for European Union Studies at the Shanghai Graduate School of International Studies, believes that China-France relations are the cornerstone of China-Europe relations: France is one of the most important core members of the EU, and its strategic orientations play a decisive role in the EU’s integration process and the strategic and security model of the European continent. As long as China and France maintain positive interaction, China-Europe relations will remain stable.
Divisive discussions
The 27 members of the EU, particularly France and Germany, are divided over their stance on China.
According to The Guardian, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz will not join Macron and Xi in Paris because of prior commitments.
There is no consensus in Europe on this issue because some actors still see China mainly as a market of opportunities,’ Macron said, without naming any countries.
France will also seek progress on opening up the Chinese market to its agricultural exports and address the concerns of the French cosmetics industry over intellectual property rights, officials said.
Ahead of Xi’s visit, Western media described the Chinese leader’s tour as ‘an attempt to divide Europe’. According to the Financial Times, Xi is trying to increase his influence in the region by playing on Europe’s ‘fissures’.
According to Matt Geracim, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Global China Centre, the Chinese president went to Europe with three objectives: ‘to repair relations in Europe damaged by China’s support for Russia’s war in Ukraine, to blunt the EU’s economic security agenda against China, and to showcase Beijing’s strong ties with its loyal partners Serbia and Hungary’.
Chinese experts told the Global Times that these claims are ‘paranoid’ and that Xi’s visit is aimed at boosting exchanges with Europe in all areas, especially trade.
Diplomacy
Vance leads indirect push for US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks
US Vice-President JD Vance has been personally involved over the past two weeks in indirect talks with Iran aimed at securing a fresh ceasefire and restarting nuclear negotiations.
According to Axios, Vance’s intense engagement indicates that he has taken it upon himself to extract the US from the conflict, which he views as responsible for the Republican Party’s shocking losses in this week’s elections.
This elevates the latest round of indirect talks to the highest echelons of the administration.
US officials and regional sources state that Trump is currently willing to let diplomatic efforts run their course to see whether any agreement is achievable.
Asked by reporters on Friday what his message was to Iran, Trump said, “We are talking to them.”
According to sources with direct knowledge of the matter, Vance speaks almost daily with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff Field Marshal Asim Munir, and other mediators regarding the negotiations with Iran.
White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, President Trump’s adviser and son-in-law, are also involved in the process.
Sources say Vance and the Qatari and Pakistani mediators have been discussing the possibility of holding a working-level technical meeting between the US and Iran in the coming days, though this has not yet materialized.
Before the war began in late February, Vance was among the most sceptical voices in Trump’s inner circle on the issue, advocating instead for a diplomatic solution.
In April, he led the US negotiating delegation at the Iran summit held in Islamabad and was personally involved in the talks that yielded a memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed between the US and Iran in June.
Vance subsequently headed the US delegation during a series of direct talks with Iran in Switzerland.
Two weeks ago, Vance sent a letter to Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, proposing that direct negotiations resume.
Rezaei is one of the closest advisers to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei.
Iranian officials noted that Vance’s letter generated positive momentum toward restarting talks.
On Wednesday, Vance said the war was the primary reason for the Republicans’ repudiation at the polls.
Sources involved in mediation efforts report that while progress is being made, the process is moving very slowly.
On Friday evening, the prime minister of Qatar said, “Over the past few weeks, we worked with our colleagues in the US administration who have a sincere intention to contain the situation and de-escalate. Thanks to them and the voices of reason in Tehran, we prevented the situation from spinning out of control.”
The prime minister added that discussions with the Trump administration continued following the midterm elections, though they were not as active as in previous days “because there are other matters.”
Nevertheless, he noted that the US intention to find a diplomatic resolution “remains ongoing” and emphasized that an agreement is possible.
On Friday morning, Trump and the Emir of Qatar discussed Qatari efforts to bridge differences between the US and Iran as part of an accord.
According to a statement from his office, Sheikh Tamim emphasized the necessity of “pursuing dialogue and diplomatic channels to resolve differences, prevent the region from facing further escalation, and ensure freedom of maritime navigation as well as the security of energy supplies.”
Separately, Trump confirmed on Friday that the US military conducted a strike on an anti-aircraft missile launcher on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz after it fired a missile at a US fighter jet.
Diplomacy
Ukraine faces demographic collapse as fertility rates slide
British magazine The Economist reported that mobilization, conflict casualties, and pervasive uncertainty have left Ukraine confronting the threat of demographic collapse.
According to data cited by the magazine, Ukraine’s fertility rate has declined from 1.2 children per woman in 2020 to between 0.8 and 0.9.
This rate marks a lower level than that of any major nation except South Korea.
In the first half of 2026, the number of deaths in Ukraine surpassed the number of newborn babies threefold.
The report noted that ever since independence was gained in 1991, the number of births in the country has lagged behind the number of deaths every year.
The Economist emphasized that the demographic collapse driven by the ongoing fighting constitutes an “existential threat.”
The magazine identified mass refugee migration as the principal driver of the population loss.
More than 5 million Ukrainians reside abroad, predominantly in Europe.
The proportion of those wishing to return among those who left the country is also steadily shrinking.
According to data from the Centre for Economic Strategy (CES), the share of those seeking to return dropped from 74% in 2022 to 43%.
The fact that the majority of refugees consist of Ukrainian children and women under the age of 44 further aggravates the demographic picture.
The Kyiv government decided to exempt men under the age of 25 from mobilization to alleviate the demographic decline.
The magazine reported, however, that many young people have fled the country, while those who remain do not plan to start families.
Projections cited in the report indicate that even if hostilities cease in the coming years, Ukraine can, at best, expect merely a deceleration of depopulation.
Olga Duhnich, an expert at the Ukraine-based think tank Frontier Institute, stated that the generation born in the 1990s and 2000s is the least populous in Ukraine’s modern history, meaning the country cannot expect a post-conflict baby boom.
The United Nations (UN) projects that Ukraine’s population will decline by 0.7% to 0.9% each year over the next two decades.
Under this projection, Ukraine’s population will fall to approximately 25 million by 2040.
If hostilities drag on, people are expected to abandon plans to have children, deepening the crisis even further.
Beyond exempting men under 25 from mobilization, the Kyiv government is rolling out various support packages to boost birth rates.
Under legislation enacted in the country, parents who have children receive a direct payment of 50,000 hryvnias (around $1,100).
Parents are also paid 7,000 hryvnias each month during the first year.
Other state programmes subsidize childcare costs, while Ukrainian soldiers are granted free freezing of egg and sperm cells.
Ukrainian Minister of Social Policy Denis Ulyutin said in May to the Livyi Bereh media outlet that roughly 22 to 25 million people lived in government-controlled territories.
Ulyutin characterized the prevailing picture by saying: “This is a catastrophe.”
Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute for Demography and Quality of Life Research, estimated the population at 29 million during the same period.
Libanova attributed the steep fall from a population of 30 million in 2025 to high death rates and the demographic crisis.
In a statement in October, Libanova announced that Ukraine’s population had slipped to 28.5 million.
Institute Director Libanova said: “The population is already at 28.5 million; we lost half a million people. We lost them, but thankfully this was still caused by migration rather than casualties.”
Diplomacy
Armenian opposition urged to form joint front against constitution
Narek Karapetyan, a lawmaker and head of the Strong Armenia faction in the Armenian parliament, has urged opposition parties to unite around four core principles set out in a joint declaration.
The key points of the declaration include resisting territorial concessions and blocking the adoption of a new constitution, which the opposition has termed the “Aliyev constitution”.
According to a report by Aysor.am, Narek Karapetyan stated that the opposition meeting was originally planned to be led by his uncle, businessman and Strong Armenia movement leader Samvel Karapetyan.
“We initiated the meeting, but the authorities took preemptive steps to prevent Samvel Karapetyan from launching the national unification process,” Narek Karapetyan said.
Noting that, despite these events, opposition representatives convened and signed a joint declaration based on four agreed articles, Narek Karapetyan invited other opposition forces and members of the public to join the alliance.
“We will not allow them to implement the Aliyev constitution in Armenia. We must unite,” Karapetyan said.
Ahead of these developments, Armenian National Security Service personnel detained Strong Armenia Party leader Samvel Karapetyan following a search of his home.
The party’s press secretary, Agavni Sukiasyan, announced that on the morning of the same day, the Investigative Committee of Armenia searched the homes of both Samvel Karapetyan and Narek Karapetyan.
In a report citing the Investigative Committee, Armenpress stated that Samvel Karapetyan was detained as part of a case involving allegations of causing large-scale financial damage to the Electric Networks of Armenia (ENA) company, embezzling entrusted property, and money laundering.
According to committee figures, the total damage inflicted on the company exceeds $179 million.
Narek Karapetyan’s home was also searched at the end of July as part of a criminal case.
On 22 July, Armenia’s Central Electoral Commission approved the Prosecutor General’s request to strip Narek Karapetyan of his parliamentary immunity, and Karapetyan was charged with large-scale money laundering.
According to information reported by Sputnik Armenia, the investigation is linked to charges brought against Strong Armenia supporter Aleksan Aleksanyan.
Investigative authorities allege that Aleksanyan received approximately $4.4 million and €230,000 from the Karapetyan-owned Tashir Foundation under the guise of gifts and loans.
Several criminal cases had previously been opened against Samvel Karapetyan.
In 2025, Karapetyan was charged with publicly calling for the violent seizure of power after backing the Armenian Apostolic Church, which had been criticized by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.
In January, legal proceedings were also launched against Karapetyan on charges of large-scale tax evasion and money laundering.
Separately, in early July 2025, the Armenian parliament approved a bill enabling the nationalization of the Electric Networks of Armenia company.
In March, Armenia’s Constitutional Court ruled that the nationalization process in question complied with the law.
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