Middle East
The PKK and the West worried about Turkiye-Syria normalization
Explanations by the president Erdogan were interesting as we are in a period in which the agenda is Turkiye-Syria relations and foreign affairs. Erdogan spoke at Graduation Ceremony of Officers and Non-Commissioned Officers: “ We have no problem with any country. We want the best of best relations with all. Our goal is to provide a peaceful environment via cooperation, we started with our nearest neighbor.”
Çavuşoğlu: We need to start the work for a permanent peace
Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu, Minister of Foreign Affairs was formerly on the agenda for stating that the discussion with Syrian government should be settled, mentioned that intelligence services of Damascus and Ankara are communicating in his speech and said: “We should not condition communication, we need to have permanent peace.”
“No triple meeting will take place.”
On the other hand, it has been discussed for some time in the media that President Erdogan, Russia President Putin and Syria President Assad will meet all together at the Shanghai Cooperation Foundation Presidents Summit.
Çavuşoğlu made statements for this trio meeting, and rejected the validity of the news by saying: “Assad is not invited to the Summit.”
Kremlin also did not give specific information about the parties joining the summit in their explanations till today.
Syrian and Russian Foreign Affairs Ministers met
The issue of another level of dialogue and ‘normalization’ of relations with Syria, which has been frequently spoken by Turkish officials recently, remained on the agenda in both countries, it is also closely followed by the rest of the world.
Syrian Foreign Affairs Minister Faisal Mikdad met with his Russian counterpart, Lavrov, in Moscow today. One of the most important agendas of the meeting was the dialogue process with Turkey.
Having been asked about the mediating role Moscow plays in the relations between Damascus and Ankara, Lavrov stated that Russia has been working for years, since the establishment of the Astana format, for the normalization of Turkey-Syria relations.
Syrian Foreign Minister Faisal Mikdad also stressed that Damascus appreciates Russia and Iran’s efforts to reform relations between Syria and Turkey, but stressed that Ankara still has issues to address.
Mikdad said that Turkey should “abandon the role it played in previous years” and called for “Turkey to withdraw from Syria”.
After the Tehran summit, Turkey’s dialogue with Syria increased. After Erdogan and Putin’s Sochi summit, which took place three weeks after the Tehran summit, it was announced that Putin offered Erdogan to meet with Assad, but Erdogan preferred this to be done through intelligence circles.
It is stated that Russia is carrying out active diplomacy to re-establish relations between Syria and Turkey.
Syrian expert: The safety of the two countries depends on each other
Although there is no official statement from Damascus on the statements from Ankara, the Syrian public is following the developments closely.
Syrian political analyst Talib Ibrahim, who is known for his closeness to Assad, stated that Damascus welcomed the positive statements from Ankara with cautious optimism in the program he participated in Sky News Arabia. Saying that there are dozens of reasons for the Ankara-Damascus reconnection that unites the two countries, Talib Ibrahim listed the most urgent reasons as follows: “The possibility of a Kurdish presence in northeast Syria near the Turkish border, terrorism, food, security and migration problems. The safety of the two countries depends on each other.”
Member of the Syrian Parliament, Halit Abbut, made evaluations on the subject on his Facebook account and said, “Erdogan understands that there is no other way out than to go to the normalization process in relations with Syria.”
Guardian: Terrorist organizations are triggered
A British newspaper, The Guardian, took the issue on its agenda and wrote that Erdogan no longer wants to overthrow Assad, and that this situation alarmed the Syrian opposition and the YPG members in the north of the country.
Emphasizing that President Erdogan has markedly changed his rhetoric towards Assad and that the ‘chorus’ defending diplomacy in the country is gradually expanding, The Guardian article states that, after being one of the main regional advocates of Assad’s overthrow for more than a decade, Erdogan now supports Assad embarking on a new policy aimed at stabilizing.
The article also includes the statements of a senior Lebanese official who spoke anonymously about the dialogue process of the two countries: “The dialogue process will be gradual. The Turkish message is very clear. They want to solve the PKK problem and Assad has a trump card for the first time. But since all this happened thanks to Putin, Assad should not push his current position too much.”
YPG: Damascus-Ankara relations will increase the crisis
The statement confirming the news of The Guardian that terrorist organizations were on the alert came from Ilham Ahmed, Chairman of the Executive Board of the Democratic Syrian Assembly affiliated to the YPG. “The normalization of relations between Damascus and Ankara will increase the current crisis,” Ahmed stated about Turkey’s efforts to get closer with the Syrian government.
Turk normalising with Syr regime will never bring peace, but deepen crisis.
Turk has never supported Syr revolution, but used it to serve its expansionist agendas based on colonialism, demographical changes & using Syr refugees.
Democ-Nat-opposition have to unify & play its role.— Elham Ahmad (@ElhamAhmadSDC) August 22, 2022
Middle East
US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt
The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.
The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.
Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.
A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.
Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.
A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”
This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.
An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”
The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.
The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.
The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.
A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.
In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.
The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.
Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.
Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.
In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.
Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.
This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.
Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.
Middle East
Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks
Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.
This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.
United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.
Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.
The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.
Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.
Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.
“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.
Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.
The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.
Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.
Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.
Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.
Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.
The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.
Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.
Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.
Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”
Middle East
Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.
Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.
Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.
The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.
The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”
Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.
Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.
Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.
Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”
Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.
According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:
“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”
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