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UK intelligence oversight in crisis amid budget cuts and rising threats, report finds

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The UK Parliament’s Intelligence and Security Committee (ISC) has published its comprehensive annual report, examining the country’s national security architecture and the activities of the intelligence community.

The document, the first report of its kind published since 2023, details the operational challenges and evolving threat perceptions faced by agencies such as MI5, MI6 (SIS), and GCHQ, while presenting striking data on serious shortcomings in oversight mechanisms.

The report stated that at a time when state-sponsored threats, the terror threat, and cyberattacks are simultaneously on the rise, the Committee responsible for overseeing these activities on behalf of Parliament has reached a point where it “cannot fulfill its statutory functions.”

Oversight mechanism in a resource crisis

One of the most notable sections of the report highlights that while the budget and staff numbers of the British Intelligence Community have rapidly increased, the Committee that oversees them has been forced to downsize.

According to the document, while the intelligence agencies’ budget has increased by £3 billion annually compared to 2014, the Committee’s budget has decreased by 23% in real terms over the same period.

Similarly, while MI5, GCHQ, and other security units have doubled their staff numbers, the Committee’s staff has been reduced by 40%.

Committee members emphasized that this is not merely an administrative issue but a direct blow to Parliament’s ability to scrutinize “activities conducted in secret and funded by the public purse.”

The report asserted that the Committee should have an independent office and that the Cabinet Office’s control over Committee staff is “unacceptable.”

The China threat and the “Whole-of-State” approach

The Committee described the threat posed by China to the UK’s national security as “comprehensive and complex.”

The report claimed that Chinese intelligence is “almost certainly the largest intelligence apparatus in the world” and that it targets UK interests in an “aggressive and prolific” manner.

Highlighting Beijing’s use of a “whole-of-state” approach, the report alleged that state-owned enterprises, academic institutions, and even ordinary citizens “can be co-opted into espionage and interference operations.”

The Committee found the British government’s strategy against this threat to be inadequate, stating that the pace of policy development is far too slow compared to the scale of the threat.

The report included the following statement regarding the government’s China policy:

“I welcome the Government’s attempt to respond to our Report. However, to imply, as the Government has, that our findings are out of date is misleading. We have monitored and noted all relevant developments throughout the Report, up to two months before publication. Given the glacial pace at which the Government’s China policy has evolved, this has not been difficult to do.”

The Committee criticized the government’s reluctance to include China in the “Enhanced Tier” of the Foreign Influence Registration Scheme (FIRS) under the new National Security Act.

Details on Russia and Iran

The document also claimed that threats from Russia and Iran remain at a high level, asserting that Russia has “embarked on sabotage campaigns across Europe to destabilize Western support for Ukraine.”

It was noted that in May 2024, the UK expelled the Russian military attaché and removed the diplomatic protection from several Russian-owned properties.

Iran, meanwhile, was alleged to be “continuing its plots to assassinate and kidnap dissidents on UK soil.”

Terror threat at a “serious” level

The terror threat level in the UK was stated to remain at “SUBSTANTIAL.” It was disclosed that MI5 and the police have thwarted 43 late-stage terrorist plots between March 2017 and March 2025.

According to the report, the primary threat in the country continues to be Islamist terrorism, while the threat from Extreme Right-Wing Terrorism (ERWT) also persists.

It was stated that the conflict between Israel and Hamas has had a “galvanizing effect” on extremist groups in the UK, and organizations like Al-Qaeda and ISIS are using the situation for their own propaganda.

The terror threat related to Northern Ireland has been downgraded to “SUBSTANTIAL,” but it was noted that groups like the New IRA maintain their intent to attack and that pressure from security forces must be sustained.

Crisis in meetings with the Prime Minister

The report also documented the breakdown in relations between the Committee and the Prime Minister. It was noted that from its establishment in 1994, the Committee held regular annual meetings with the Prime Minister for 20 years, but the last meeting took place in December 2014. This disconnection, lasting over a decade, was said to have weakened the oversight mechanism.

However, the report mentioned that the new Prime Minister, who took office after the July 2024 general election, has taken steps to change this situation and has requested a meeting with the Committee. The Committee described this initiative as “positive engagement.”

Legislative and authority debates

The Committee stated that it actively participated in the processes for the 2023 National Security Act and the 2024 Investigatory Powers (Amendment) Act. It was emphasized that during the changes to the “Triple Lock” mechanism, the Committee objected to the broad powers proposed by the government regarding the delegation of the Prime Minister’s authority, ensuring that stricter safeguards were added to the law.

Furthermore, it was criticized that the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed under the 2013 Justice and Security Act is outdated.

It was noted that intelligence activities are increasingly being shifted to policy departments (such as the Investment Security Unit), but these units fall outside the Committee’s oversight jurisdiction.

The Committee called on the government to remain committed to its promise of “oversight of the full range of intelligence and security activities.”

“Artificial intelligence has increased the volume and impact of cyberattacks”

The report also touched upon the activities of GCHQ and the National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC), warning that artificial intelligence is being used to increase the volume and impact of cyberattacks.

It was predicted that state-sponsored actors and cybercriminals could use AI tools to launch more sophisticated attacks. Ransomware attacks, in particular, were identified as the most immediate threat to the UK’s critical national infrastructure.

The report also drew attention to the cyber-espionage activities of the China-based “APT31” group targeting British MPs and the Electoral Commission, as well as the “hack-and-leak” operations of the Russia-linked “Star Blizzard” group.

Financial data in the report indicated that the total budget for the British Intelligence Community (MI5, SIS, GCHQ) was approximately £4.9 billion in the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Europe

SpaceX warns EU satellite spectrum plan could disrupt connectivity in Ukraine

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SpaceX has sharply criticised a European Union plan to restrict access to satellite spectrum, arguing that the proposal risks degrading connectivity in Ukraine and disrupting emergency communications services.

In a document shared with European officials and reviewed by the Financial Times, SpaceX warned:

“This proposal significantly increases the likelihood that Europeans will be deprived of direct-to-device satellite services, or that new European operations will create global interference issues, including for emergency services such as those operating in Ukraine.”

In a proposal unveiled in May, the EU recommended reserving part of the spectrum band used for direct satellite-to-smartphone connectivity for European operators, thereby limiting the frequencies available to US and Chinese providers.

The 2 GHz frequency band in question is currently used by two US companies, Viasat and EchoStar.

SpaceX argued that the EU plan prioritises “an operator’s country of establishment over economic, technical and regulatory realities.”

When the proposal was announced, EU technology chief Henna Virkkunen defended the move, saying the bloc wanted to “increase European capacity in this sector.” She added that other parts of the frequency band would remain open to international operators, arguing that prioritising European providers was justified.

Other participants involved in discussions over the proposal said some EU officials were specifically seeking to limit Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.

Europe’s initiative follows a warning from Washington. In March, the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) cautioned that it could take retaliatory measures if the EU chose to favour European satellite operators over alternatives such as Starlink.

At the time, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr told the Financial Times: “Some of the discussions in Europe regarding satellite sovereignty concern us. If Europe decides to move down that path, then, as you know, we will have to consider reciprocal measures.”

The European Commission’s proposal has not yet entered formal negotiations with EU member states or the European Parliament.

A source close to SpaceX said the company remained hopeful of influencing the outcome of the process, given concerns raised by both businesses and several European governments.

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Bulgaria threatens veto over EU sanctions targeting Patriarch Kirill

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Bulgaria has said it is prepared to use its veto power to block the inclusion of Patriarch Kirill, head of the Russian Orthodox Church, in the European Union’s latest sanctions package. Bulgarian Prime Minister Rumen Radev, speaking on the sidelines of an EU summit, said Sofia would not support sanctions that could harm the country’s interests.

In comments reported by Nova.bg, Radev said: “What concerns me is not what the Patriarch has done, but the entire Russian community that belongs to the same Eastern Orthodox Church as we do. We are one family. When sanctions of this kind are being discussed, the views of the Bulgarian Orthodox Church must also be taken into account.”

He added that Bulgaria was prepared to veto the draft decision.

The Bulgarian prime minister also said the government opposed sanctions that threatened the country’s economy. As examples, Radev cited potential risks to the operations of Lukoil, the supply of spare parts for the Sofia metro system and fertiliser imports.

“We will discuss this later, but if a serious risk emerges to the operation of Lukoil Neftohim Burgas, we will also demand that the facility be removed from the sanctions list,” Radev said.

Continuing his criticism of the proposed measures, he added: “What message are we sending by extending sanctions and waging a war against religion? Do we understand where this could lead? I have said it before: the era of the Crusades is over.”

Opposition to symbolic measures with limited economic impact

Bulgarian Foreign Minister Velislava Petrova-Chamova also said Sofia opposed sanctions that carried no meaningful economic impact and could ultimately prove counterproductive.

Arguing that sanctions should function primarily as an instrument of economic pressure, Petrova-Chamova said restrictions targeting the leader of the Russian Orthodox Church were largely symbolic in nature. She added that freezing the patriarch’s assets could trigger accusations that Europe was interfering in church affairs.

Earlier, Politico reported, citing diplomatic sources, that Bulgaria had blocked part of the new sanctions package, although no details were provided.

Euronews subsequently reported that the proposed measures included restrictions targeting Patriarch Kirill. A similar sanctions proposal failed in 2022 after being vetoed by Hungary.

According to EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kaja Kallas, the bloc’s 21st sanctions package envisages restrictions against 170 individuals and entities.

Politico reported that the new measures could target Russian banks, the so-called shadow fleet and organisations linked to the Russian Orthodox Church.

The Russian government maintains that Western sanctions are illegitimate and ineffective. Vladimir Legoyda, head of the Russian Orthodox Church’s Synodal Department for Relations with Society and the Media, described the possible inclusion of Patriarch Kirill on the sanctions list as a meaningless step.

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Business leaders warn EU regulation is undermining investment and competitiveness

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A steel industry giant and the head of a Gulf sovereign wealth fund have warned that excessive European Union regulation is constraining business activity and undermining investment.

Lakshmi Mittal, chairman of steelmaker ArcelorMittal, which was acquired by India-based Mittal Steel in 2006, wrote in the Financial Times that emissions trading rules were harming energy-intensive industries.

Mittal argued that low-cost, low-emission energy sources remain out of reach for the steel sector and other energy-intensive industries.

“Competitive electricity prices, low-cost green hydrogen, carbon contracts for difference, ‘green premiums’ for steel and decarbonisation enablers such as carbon capture and storage have yet to materialise,” Mittal said, adding that no company has the luxury of investing without a credible pathway to competitiveness.

Yasir al-Rumayyan, governor of Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, said the regulatory environment was discouraging international investors from allocating more capital to the bloc.

Speaking at a summit in Rome on Thursday, al-Rumayyan said regulatory challenges and certain laws expected to enter into force had seriously affected investors such as the Public Investment Fund, Saudi Aramco and chemicals group SABIC, not only in terms of making additional investments but also in maintaining their existing investments in Europe.

A new EU regulation gives Brussels the authority to block companies subsidised by foreign governments from participating in public procurement contracts, mergers and acquisitions, and even from selling goods and services within the single market.

Using that instrument, the European Commission launched an in-depth investigation into the acquisition of German chemicals group Covestro by Abu Dhabi’s state oil company. The transaction was ultimately approved.

Al-Rumayyan said he remained hopeful that European governments could find solutions to the challenges that were discouraging investors.

However, EU officials quoted by the Financial Times privately dismissed the complaints as lobbying efforts and argued there was no clear evidence that investment from the Middle East was slowing.

“If investors from the region are behaving more cautiously, it is probably related to the [Iran] war rather than our regulations,” one EU official said.

According to analysis by EY, foreign direct investment into the EU fell 7% in 2025, while a growing number of companies identified excessive regulation as a risk to doing business.

Rather than dismantling regulations, Brussels appears to be adding new layers. In March, it tightened its screening of foreign direct investment.

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