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Azerbaijan denies US claims regarding participation in Gaza ISF

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Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev denied allegations that his country had agreed to send troops to the International Stability Force (ISF), which is intended to be established as part of US President Donald Trump’s Gaza plan.

The statement by the US Permanent Representative to the United Nations (UN), Mike Waltz, regarding Azerbaijan’s agreement to participate in the ISF was met with a backlash in Baku. Speaking on a television program, Aliyev announced that this declaration by the Washington administration did not reflect the truth and that they had conveyed their objections through diplomatic channels.

“Nature of the operation is unclear”

Aliyev confirmed receiving requests regarding participation in a stability operation in Gaza but drew attention to the fact that the process is fraught with uncertainties.

The Azerbaijani President said, “Naturally, before making a decision, we need to clearly understand what the authority of the operation will be and what kind of activities are planned.”

Recalling that his country had previously taken part in peacekeeping operations in Iraq, Kosovo, and Afghanistan, Aliyev stated that the situation in Gaza differs.

Aliyev posed the question, “As for the situation in the Gaza Strip, in our opinion, it is still unclear by whom the authority will be given and what its nature will be. Will these be ‘peacekeeping’ operations, or ‘peace enforcement’ operations?”

“We will not participate in combat operations”

Emphasizing that the Baku administration does not look favorably upon missions defined as “peace enforcement” that involve the risk of conflict, Aliyev used the following expressions:

“Naturally, we are not ready for the latter and have never considered participating. Until now, we have never engaged in combat activities, and I do not intend to participate in combat operations outside Azerbaijan.”

“We have no intention of risking the lives of Azerbaijanis”

Aliyev stated that security risks are at the forefront of the reservations they conveyed to the US side. Recalling that Azerbaijan is a country that has been attacked and suffered heavy casualties, Aliyev said that they do not want to risk the lives of their citizens.

Arguing that they had not received sufficient support from the international community in the past, Aliyev said, “We were abandoned to our fate when we were in a difficult situation. No one protected us. Furthermore, despite the respect and sympathy we hold for Palestine, Palestine did not particularly protect us either.”

Aliyev added that they are grateful for the decisions taken and the support within the framework of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), and that Azerbaijan has always supported the Palestinian state within the UN and the Non-Aligned Movement.

“Non-Arab countries should not be thrust forward”

Advocating the view that Arab countries should play a priority role in the solution of regional problems, Aliyev expressed that it would not be correct for non-Arab Muslim countries to come to the fore in this process.

Aliyev made the assessment, “I have always argued that the issues of Arab countries should be resolved by Arab countries. I deeply believe that non-Arab Muslim countries should not be thrust forward. This does not bode well.”

Stating that they follow the Arab League’s stance and OIC decisions, Aliyev said, “Displaying unnecessary activity and being thrust forward is not the best way.”

Diplomatic note to the US administration

Reacting to Mike Waltz’s statement, Aliyev announced that they had notified the US administration through diplomatic channels.

Aliyev said, “The statement by the US Permanent Representative to the UN claiming that Azerbaijan gave consent surprised us. We did not give consent, and we informed the US administration through diplomatic channels that such baseless declarations are unacceptable and create a wrong impression.”

Implying that this statement might be a tactic to draw other countries into the process, Aliyev used the following expressions: “Perhaps there was an attempt to draw others into the process by saying ‘Azerbaijan accepted’; I do not rule this out. However, if so, this is absolutely unacceptable.”

Stating that the Baku administration had presented a list consisting of more than 20 questions to Washington, Aliyev emphasized that participation in any mission is out of the question before these questions are clarified.

What did Waltz say?

The US Permanent Representative to the UN, Mike Waltz, had stated that President Trump’s peace plan envisages the creation of the ISF.

Waltz had claimed, “I do not want American soldiers to be there. Therefore, we will have international forces. Indonesia, Azerbaijan, and other countries have already agreed to participate.”

Washington knocked on the doors of 70 countries

According to a report published by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) last month, the US Department of State sent official letters to more than 70 countries requesting troops or financial support for the ISF.

The report stated that regional countries, including the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, are in contact with the US regarding the provision of financing for the deployment of troops to Gaza. A US official conveyed to the newspaper that 19 of the countries approached were willing to provide troops, logistical support, or equipment.

According to the newspaper, the countries in talks with the US are putting forward the condition of deploying their units only to regions of Gaza under Israeli occupation. However, it is reported that the Washington administration is trying to convince these countries to also operate in areas under Hamas control and defined as the “red zone.”

Peace Council announcement postponed

On the other hand, the expected announcement regarding the “Peace Council” planned to be created for Gaza in the first days of 2026 has been postponed.

US President Trump announced that he had postponed the said announcement following the operation against Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro. The Israeli press wrote that the announcement is foreseen to be made in mid-January.

The Maariv newspaper reported that the postponement was based on “technical” reasons and that the decision to establish the Peace Council has not changed. However, as with the Stability Force, it is stated that disagreements regarding the authority, duties, and participants of the Peace Council continue.

Diplomacy

Vance leads indirect push for US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks

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US Vice-President JD Vance has been personally involved over the past two weeks in indirect talks with Iran aimed at securing a fresh ceasefire and restarting nuclear negotiations.

According to Axios, Vance’s intense engagement indicates that he has taken it upon himself to extract the US from the conflict, which he views as responsible for the Republican Party’s shocking losses in this week’s elections.

This elevates the latest round of indirect talks to the highest echelons of the administration.

US officials and regional sources state that Trump is currently willing to let diplomatic efforts run their course to see whether any agreement is achievable.

Asked by reporters on Friday what his message was to Iran, Trump said, “We are talking to them.”

According to sources with direct knowledge of the matter, Vance speaks almost daily with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff Field Marshal Asim Munir, and other mediators regarding the negotiations with Iran.

White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, President Trump’s adviser and son-in-law, are also involved in the process.

Sources say Vance and the Qatari and Pakistani mediators have been discussing the possibility of holding a working-level technical meeting between the US and Iran in the coming days, though this has not yet materialized.

Before the war began in late February, Vance was among the most sceptical voices in Trump’s inner circle on the issue, advocating instead for a diplomatic solution.

In April, he led the US negotiating delegation at the Iran summit held in Islamabad and was personally involved in the talks that yielded a memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed between the US and Iran in June.

Vance subsequently headed the US delegation during a series of direct talks with Iran in Switzerland.

Two weeks ago, Vance sent a letter to Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, proposing that direct negotiations resume.

Rezaei is one of the closest advisers to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei.

Iranian officials noted that Vance’s letter generated positive momentum toward restarting talks.

On Wednesday, Vance said the war was the primary reason for the Republicans’ repudiation at the polls.

Sources involved in mediation efforts report that while progress is being made, the process is moving very slowly.

On Friday evening, the prime minister of Qatar said, “Over the past few weeks, we worked with our colleagues in the US administration who have a sincere intention to contain the situation and de-escalate. Thanks to them and the voices of reason in Tehran, we prevented the situation from spinning out of control.”

The prime minister added that discussions with the Trump administration continued following the midterm elections, though they were not as active as in previous days “because there are other matters.”

Nevertheless, he noted that the US intention to find a diplomatic resolution “remains ongoing” and emphasized that an agreement is possible.

On Friday morning, Trump and the Emir of Qatar discussed Qatari efforts to bridge differences between the US and Iran as part of an accord.

According to a statement from his office, Sheikh Tamim emphasized the necessity of “pursuing dialogue and diplomatic channels to resolve differences, prevent the region from facing further escalation, and ensure freedom of maritime navigation as well as the security of energy supplies.”

Separately, Trump confirmed on Friday that the US military conducted a strike on an anti-aircraft missile launcher on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz after it fired a missile at a US fighter jet.

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Ukraine faces demographic collapse as fertility rates slide

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British magazine The Economist reported that mobilization, conflict casualties, and pervasive uncertainty have left Ukraine confronting the threat of demographic collapse.

According to data cited by the magazine, Ukraine’s fertility rate has declined from 1.2 children per woman in 2020 to between 0.8 and 0.9.

This rate marks a lower level than that of any major nation except South Korea.

In the first half of 2026, the number of deaths in Ukraine surpassed the number of newborn babies threefold.

The report noted that ever since independence was gained in 1991, the number of births in the country has lagged behind the number of deaths every year.

The Economist emphasized that the demographic collapse driven by the ongoing fighting constitutes an “existential threat.”

The magazine identified mass refugee migration as the principal driver of the population loss.

More than 5 million Ukrainians reside abroad, predominantly in Europe.

The proportion of those wishing to return among those who left the country is also steadily shrinking.

According to data from the Centre for Economic Strategy (CES), the share of those seeking to return dropped from 74% in 2022 to 43%.

The fact that the majority of refugees consist of Ukrainian children and women under the age of 44 further aggravates the demographic picture.

The Kyiv government decided to exempt men under the age of 25 from mobilization to alleviate the demographic decline.

The magazine reported, however, that many young people have fled the country, while those who remain do not plan to start families.

Projections cited in the report indicate that even if hostilities cease in the coming years, Ukraine can, at best, expect merely a deceleration of depopulation.

Olga Duhnich, an expert at the Ukraine-based think tank Frontier Institute, stated that the generation born in the 1990s and 2000s is the least populous in Ukraine’s modern history, meaning the country cannot expect a post-conflict baby boom.

The United Nations (UN) projects that Ukraine’s population will decline by 0.7% to 0.9% each year over the next two decades.

Under this projection, Ukraine’s population will fall to approximately 25 million by 2040.

If hostilities drag on, people are expected to abandon plans to have children, deepening the crisis even further.

Beyond exempting men under 25 from mobilization, the Kyiv government is rolling out various support packages to boost birth rates.

Under legislation enacted in the country, parents who have children receive a direct payment of 50,000 hryvnias (around $1,100).

Parents are also paid 7,000 hryvnias each month during the first year.

Other state programmes subsidize childcare costs, while Ukrainian soldiers are granted free freezing of egg and sperm cells.

Ukrainian Minister of Social Policy Denis Ulyutin said in May to the Livyi Bereh media outlet that roughly 22 to 25 million people lived in government-controlled territories.

Ulyutin characterized the prevailing picture by saying: “This is a catastrophe.”

Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute for Demography and Quality of Life Research, estimated the population at 29 million during the same period.

Libanova attributed the steep fall from a population of 30 million in 2025 to high death rates and the demographic crisis.

In a statement in October, Libanova announced that Ukraine’s population had slipped to 28.5 million.

Institute Director Libanova said: “The population is already at 28.5 million; we lost half a million people. We lost them, but thankfully this was still caused by migration rather than casualties.”

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Armenian opposition urged to form joint front against constitution

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Narek Karapetyan, a lawmaker and head of the Strong Armenia faction in the Armenian parliament, has urged opposition parties to unite around four core principles set out in a joint declaration.

The key points of the declaration include resisting territorial concessions and blocking the adoption of a new constitution, which the opposition has termed the “Aliyev constitution”.

According to a report by Aysor.am, Narek Karapetyan stated that the opposition meeting was originally planned to be led by his uncle, businessman and Strong Armenia movement leader Samvel Karapetyan.

“We initiated the meeting, but the authorities took preemptive steps to prevent Samvel Karapetyan from launching the national unification process,” Narek Karapetyan said.

Noting that, despite these events, opposition representatives convened and signed a joint declaration based on four agreed articles, Narek Karapetyan invited other opposition forces and members of the public to join the alliance.

“We will not allow them to implement the Aliyev constitution in Armenia. We must unite,” Karapetyan said.

Ahead of these developments, Armenian National Security Service personnel detained Strong Armenia Party leader Samvel Karapetyan following a search of his home.

The party’s press secretary, Agavni Sukiasyan, announced that on the morning of the same day, the Investigative Committee of Armenia searched the homes of both Samvel Karapetyan and Narek Karapetyan.

In a report citing the Investigative Committee, Armenpress stated that Samvel Karapetyan was detained as part of a case involving allegations of causing large-scale financial damage to the Electric Networks of Armenia (ENA) company, embezzling entrusted property, and money laundering.

According to committee figures, the total damage inflicted on the company exceeds $179 million.

Narek Karapetyan’s home was also searched at the end of July as part of a criminal case.

On 22 July, Armenia’s Central Electoral Commission approved the Prosecutor General’s request to strip Narek Karapetyan of his parliamentary immunity, and Karapetyan was charged with large-scale money laundering.

According to information reported by Sputnik Armenia, the investigation is linked to charges brought against Strong Armenia supporter Aleksan Aleksanyan.

Investigative authorities allege that Aleksanyan received approximately $4.4 million and €230,000 from the Karapetyan-owned Tashir Foundation under the guise of gifts and loans.

Several criminal cases had previously been opened against Samvel Karapetyan.

In 2025, Karapetyan was charged with publicly calling for the violent seizure of power after backing the Armenian Apostolic Church, which had been criticized by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.

In January, legal proceedings were also launched against Karapetyan on charges of large-scale tax evasion and money laundering.

Separately, in early July 2025, the Armenian parliament approved a bill enabling the nationalization of the Electric Networks of Armenia company.

In March, Armenia’s Constitutional Court ruled that the nationalization process in question complied with the law.

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