INTERVIEW
I would not have resigned without the media campaign, Germany’s former navy chief says
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Tunç AkkoçIn January 2022, Admiral Kay-Achim Schönbach, the former Commander of the German Navy, found himself at the centre of a substantial media campaign after stating that Russian President Vladimir Putin deserves some respect.
Admiral Kay-Achim Schönbach’s statements, as they reverberated through the global media at that juncture, were as follows: “What he (Putin) really wants is respect, and my God, giving someone respect is low cost, even no cost… It is easy to give him the respect he really demands – and probably also deserves.”
About a month before Russia launched a special military operation against Ukraine, Admiral Schönbach was compelled to step down from his position. He elucidated the circumstances surrounding his speech and the sequence of events that culminated in his resignation during a confidential gathering in India.
Admiral Schönbach responded to the questions of Tunç Akkoç, the Editor-in-Chief of Harici, at his residence near Hamburg.
Mr. Kay-Achim, could you start by introducing yourself and discussing your latest position in the Navy?
My name is Kay-Achim Schönbach. I am 58 years old and retired from the Federal German Navy. My last role held the title of inspector at the Rostock garrison, a position that can be equated with the leadership of the German Navy, akin to the rank of Vice Admiral. I am presently not engaged in active duty.
Behind the Scenes of Resignation
You were asked to resign from your position as head of the German Navy in January 2023. Could you explain how this happened and the media’s role in it?
In January 2022, during a trip with the Bavarian frigate to the Far East, my first in 20 years, I visited India. Following the official program, I attended events hosted by two think tanks. I was under the impression that these were internal gatherings. The initial part of the event was, indeed, internal. However, during the latter part, someone secretly recorded my speech with a cell phone camera and later publicized my remarks. I must clarify that I would have made the same comments even if I had known about the recording. In that case, I would have provided the audience with more context, which might have lessened the perceived sensationalism of my statements.
In the media, they highlighted two of my key statements, one being that Crimea was irretrievably lost to Russia. I pointed out that it was unlikely that Russia would willingly return Crimea, a conclusion not difficult to grasp. The second statement addressed a question about Ukraine’s defence, to which I responded that mutual respect and listening could be key to resolution. This approach, taught to me by my late superior, Minister Peter Struck, emphasized respect for everyone, regardless of their opinions. I meant that acknowledging different perspectives is essential, and showing respect should be straightforward. However, my comments were sensationalized as a ‘scandal’ by the media. Upon my return, the Media called for my resignation. Reports stated that the Minister and the Chief Inspector believed I could no longer serve in my position due to the so-called scandal and that it was necessary to protect the institution and then-Minister Lambrecht. Consequently, I was expected to resign, which I did.
Could we suggest that if the media hadn’t covered the story, the situation might not have escalated to the point of resignation?
My superior made it clear that I had much to explain to the Minister, and of course, metaphorically, I had to accept a ‘slap.’ I understood this. In such situations, acceptance becomes inevitable. However, the idea of resigning had not been discussed until then. I remember returning home that afternoon, initially angry but later shocked by the turn of events, leading to my eventual resignation.
‘Media Exaggerated Ukraine’s Success’
I would like to discuss the ongoing situation regarding the conflict in Ukraine. What is your perspective on the current developments in the war?
So, this relates back to what I mentioned earlier; there was no war at that time. Back then, I had expressed my belief that a potential war would be confined to just reclaiming the remaining part of Donbas. Remember, militias had not fully captured the Donbas region. I predicted more developments, which indeed occurred. The Russian Federation, in my view, grossly underestimated Ukraine’s defensive capabilities and readiness to counter the enemy.
From my observations and insights from experts in ground operations, I believe the logistical and tactical strategies were fundamentally flawed. They underestimated the challenge, expecting an easy victory. However, Ukraine’s robust counteroffensive, especially in early autumn, and the substantial international support it received, have shown that Ukraine’s progress wasn’t as significant as believed.
The Russian defence is formidable, a fact proven in World War II. Both the Ukrainian and Russian armies have suffered significant losses, yet the impacts differ greatly. Furthermore, I’d like to address the general public and media consumers: the news coverage has been somewhat misleading. It portrayed the Ukrainian army as highly successful, implying they were nearing Moscow. However, the reality was the recapture of a relatively small area, about 350 to 360 square kilometres. This outcome is disappointing, considering the perceived success. Additionally, the Ukrainian army’s losses, though less discussed, are substantial.
‘Negotiations Are Necessary’
Is it possible for peace negotiations to gather momentum this year, and what, in your opinion, are the essential requirements for this to occur?
During that period, as I mentioned in India, I considered it a necessary step. However, I’m not the sole or most crucial advocate for this. Abandoning diplomatic efforts would be a grave error. Self-defence in war is a right and not up for debate. Nevertheless, diplomacy hasn’t accelerated or made a significant impact yet.
When it becomes apparent that the situation is at a stalemate, with no real progress or only minor fluctuations, it’s crucial to reassess the objectives. We must question whether to continue a war marked by extensive bloodshed, rape, murder, manslaughter, and destruction, leaving behind devastated infrastructure, or to create an opportunity for both parties to withdraw with dignity. This outcome seems inevitable, and I understand Ukraine’s insistence on regaining its entire territory and sovereignty. Today, I reiterate, with nothing to lose, that we must also consider the Russian perspective. It’s not about accepting their demands, which may need rejection, but about listening. This approach lays the groundwork for negotiation. The world has skilled diplomats capable of finding a settlement through prudent, incremental steps for both sides.
The Nord Stream II Attack
Continuing with Germany, it’s notable from an outside perspective that the country is among those most economically impacted by the war. A key question arises: Were the energy supply issues and the halt in natural gas flow inevitable?
You bring up an important point. The Nord Stream 2 explosion, regardless of the perpetrator, was an illegal attack on German infrastructure and has undoubtedly complicated the situation. Presently, there’s a debate, both internally and externally, about who’s to blame for the disruption in gas supply. The decision to stop receiving natural gas and other resources from the Russian Federation was political. Regarding the continuation of natural gas supply, it’s evident that these resources could have still been sourced from Russia. It’s an open secret that such supplies are being redirected to the European Union and Germany through other channels and third countries.
As I have previously stated, even during the most challenging times of the Cold War, there was a connection, a form of bridge. Despite the Soviet Union’s heavy-handed approach to Eastern European states, a basic level of economic cooperation existed. That was possible even then. The critical understanding, now recognized in Berlin’s political spheres, is that sanctions should harm the targeted parties, not the imposers. This does not mean inaction is the answer. We must respond politically and economically to demonstrate our disapproval of the events occurring there and the need to penalize the violation of international law regarding Ukraine. However, sanctions or any measures taken should be designed to impact the Russian Federation as well. From what I’ve observed and believe, it appears these sanctions are currently causing us more harm than the other side.
Sanctions Against Russia
My next question concerned your perspective on the effectiveness of sanctions, although you have already touched on this to some extent.
Admittedly, my expertise in the economic sector is limited. I rely on newspapers and use logic and analytical skills to assess situations. Currently, the consensus, regardless of the source, is that the sanctions have not been effective. Therefore, a re-evaluation and application of different sanctions are necessary. Importantly, any measures taken should minimize adverse effects on our country. This consideration is crucial in our current economic struggles, including issues related to infrastructure, natural gas, and electricity. Politicians must critically assess these strategies to determine if they are on the right path.
‘Trump’s Return Could Bring Change’
A current global debate centres on the situation in Ukraine. Can the Western alliance sustain or increase its military and financial aid to Ukraine as it has thus far? Recent opinions from various countries have varied.
In essence, such support is feasible. For instance, the Federal Republic of Germany recently announced plans to double its financial commitments for 2024 from 4 billion to 8 billion euros. This demonstrates the technical and financial feasibility of increased support.
This potential for increased aid applies to other countries as well. However, it’s crucial to monitor evolving scenarios, especially in the United States, currently Ukraine’s largest supporter, with Germany following closely. The question arises: would a change in the U.S. presidency, possibly to a former president like Donald Trump, alter this support? In my view, Trump’s return could lead to significant changes.
The situation in Hungary illustrates varying national perspectives. Viktor Orban’s stance starkly contrasts with ours and this diversity of viewpoints extends to other European Union countries. The Federal Republic of Germany remains resolute, seeing no fault in its approach. Yet, how sustainable is this commitment? We must evaluate the effectiveness of our efforts: Are they yielding the intended results? Although it may sound harsh, this assessment is necessary. It could prompt intense debates in Germany, potentially leading to reduced commitments or an eventual withdrawal of support.
‘The West Has Never Faced Such Challenges’
Shifting to global issues, we find ourselves in an era of rapid movement toward multipolarity, exemplified by the growth of organizations like BRICS. Does this shift pose challenges for the West? And what might these challenges be?
A cliché yet apt thought comes to mind: The world, like nature, is always in flux and not a static museum. The West is confronting challenges of unprecedented intensity and variety. BRICS is a prime example. Previously, the group’s scope seemed limited, with China holding a distinct position.
Now, if the situation is as it appears, BRICS is indeed expanding, notably to include wealthy, resource-rich Arab states, posing extraordinary challenges. It’s too early to determine whether these states possess any form of currency control or a robust financial tool.
However, should these states unite, the West will undoubtedly face significant pressure. Although the United States aligns with us, it has its interests and is increasingly focusing on China and the Pacific. As Europeans, including Ukraine, we are under pressure, regardless of our future state. Interest in concepts like freedom, economic prosperity, and human rights is waning. Bluntness aside, this reality necessitates a hard stance. This is my personal view and doesn’t require justification from the French or the British. As Germans, we should align our policies more closely with our interests, striving to impose them. We must recognize that maintaining our prosperity as a nation and society may require cooperation with countries that do not fully share our interpretation of human rights and the Constitution. The West is under considerable pressure. BRICS is just the first step, with China already a major player. There is much more ahead for us.
‘Nations Have Interests, Not Friends’
From your statement, I gather that U.S. interests might not always align with Germany’s. Is this correct?
Let me reiterate a well-known fact: Nations have interests, not friends. The term ‘alliance’, often used in discussions, accurately describes this concept. This dynamic is evident in NATO, the European Union, and among our European partners. Indeed, the U.S. sometimes pursues interests divergent from ours, as history has shown. Even as friends and allies, it’s not imperative for us to always echo each other’s sentiments. We share fundamental common goals, despite having different areas of interest.
Consider, for instance, France’s role in North Africa, or the longstanding partnerships we’ve had with Britain and the U.S. in Africa. These relationships exemplify my point. Look at China’s expansion in Africa, where it has become the largest landowner outside the continent and wields significant influence. Unlike our approach, China does not prioritize human rights, state independence, good governance, women’s rights, or climate concerns in its collaborations. I believe our approach is both right and beneficial. However, we must recognize that China and other nations have different approaches, often willing to lend money and gain influence in regions inaccessible to us.
‘We Can Cooperate Where Our Interests Align’
Are you suggesting that a foreign policy founded on values is not sensible?
Precisely, and I believe I’ve made that quite clear. Implementing a value-based foreign policy, including in security matters, is crucial. Yet, major nations, particularly concerning security policy, must operate on a global scale, and this is self-evident.
At times, such action is necessary, as evidenced by the collaborations of the United Kingdom, France, Russia, and the U.S. with various states worldwide to protect their respective interests. When it becomes necessary to safeguard interests, the European Union, and particularly Germany, should be prepared to act independently. If needed, we should be willing to cooperate and engage with nations or unions of states, even if our fundamental values do not completely align with theirs.
‘Turkey Should Remain in NATO’
How do you view Turkey’s recent foreign policy stance?
My view is not influenced by you being my guest today; I’ve always considered myself a true friend of Turkey. I hope you’ll permit me to express this, despite not agreeing with everything. Turkey is a significant country. Recently, it has strengthened and preserved its historical ties with the East, particularly with Turkic states, more than ever before. Turkey can assert its perspective in the region. I’ve long noted and been intrigued by the impact of statements from Ankara or Istanbul. Currently, amid this resurgence, Turkey is playing a pivotal role in the Middle East conflict.
Turkey should remain in NATO. I firmly believe there is no genuine intention or commitment towards leaving. I anticipate that Turkey will once again draw closer to the European Union, either as a committed state or in some other capacity. Turkey must not turn away from the West. However, I understand its unique importance due to historical ties dating back to the Ottoman Empire. I’ve been conversing with a Turkish history professor in Istanbul for a long time. He said, “We are trying to exert our influence on these countries, almost as if reviving the Bab-ı Ali (Central government of the Ottoman Empire in Istanbul – Sublime Porte).” This is significant, particularly in light of Turkish policies aimed at peace and reconciliation. Ankara’s involvement is crucial.
A final question from afar: Do you think the South China Sea could become a future crisis region?
Frankly, it already is. Our geographical distance, speaking from the perspective of Germany or the European Union, somewhat sidelines us. For the regional states, the U.S., and countries with territorial claims there, like France and Britain, it’s a pressing issue. We act as honest mediators, valuable partners, and effective intermediaries. This ties back to my initial statement on why I left my position. I’ve been to Japan, Singapore, South Korea several times. Our role as mediators is necessary and valued there.
The undeniable factor in this region is the rise of the People’s Republic of China. The ‘nine-dash line’ claim over territorial waters in the South China Sea, based on maps dating back two to three thousand years, is particularly contentious. The states in that region require support. That’s why we dispatched the Bavarian frigate there two years ago and are sending two ships this year. This is imperative as the region is set to become the foremost crisis area in the future. China is rapidly expanding its reach there, violating international law by trying to transform the South China Sea into a Chinese-dominated sea, which contravenes international norms.
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INTERVIEW
“The current interests of German capital coincide with the CDU-SPD coalition”
Published
14 hours agoon
14/11/2024Germany’s long-swinging SPD-Greens-FDP coalition government (“traffic light”) has collapsed. The collapse seems to have started when the FDP raised the flag to its coalition partners over the budget and the constitutional debt brake. But the German economy’s problems, which began before the Ukraine war and the anti-Russian sanctions, combined with high inflation, energy costs and a declining export market in China, have once again led to Europe’s largest economy being labeled a “sick man”.
Arnold Schölzel, a member of the editorial board of Junge Welt, Germany’s daily left-wing newspaper, argues that Germany’s growth, the war in Ukraine and the simultaneous financing of social expenditures have come to an end and that the FDP’s demand for sharp social cuts is in fact the program of the next federal government.
Schölzel points out that the CDU/CSU, which seems to be opposed to loosening the constitutional debt brake, is preparing to back down in a new government. Schölzel believes that there are still nuances between the parties and that this will be one of the issues of the upcoming election campaign.
Noting that German capital has interests in Eastern Europe and Ukraine, the journalist reminds that Eastern Europe in particular is a “reserve of cheap labor” for German industry and underlines that capital supports pro-war policies. Therefore, it is highly likely that the German economy will go along with the militarization of society from now on.
Schölzel sees the Alternative for Germany (AfD) as a “continuation of the CDU/CSU” and believes that the interests of German capital lie in a CDU-SPD coalition.
‘FDP ANNOUNCES PROGRAM FOR THE NEXT GOVERNMENT’
As it turns out, the collapse of the traffic light coalition in Germany was in fact long overdue. An economic crisis “invented” by the Ukraine war and anti-Russian sanctions, and defeats in this year’s European Parliament and East German state elections, had shown that the government’s time had come. Does the collapse lie simply in the difference in economic programs between the FDP and the SPD-Greens? How far do the parliamentary parties differ in their proposed solutions to the economic and political crisis in Germany?
This government was a wartime government from the start. It entered the USA’s proxy war in Ukraine with considerable financial resources and waged an economic war against Russia – with devastating consequences not for Russia, but for German industry. She accepted the blowing up of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline, presumably by the US-government. As a result, the German economy has been in recession for two years and is at the bottom of the list in terms of growth among the industrialized countries. This pushed the state budget to its limits. The simultaneous financing of growth impulses, war and social benefits is no longer possible. The FDP wanted sharp social cuts. In doing so, it announces the policies of the next federal government.
‘EASTERN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES A RESERVE OF CHEAP LABOR FOR GERMAN INDUSTRY’
The reactions to Chancellor Scholz and his government from the German business community are also striking. All the spokespeople of capital, especially the industrialists, align themselves with the CDU/CSU and demand immediate elections, citing the return of Donald Trump and the Ukrainian War as justification. But when it comes to the debate on the constitutional debt brake, there seems to be no unity. Is the debt brake really that important? Is it possible to support Ukraine, fight against Trump’s potential tariffs and at the same time reduce the German national debt?
The German capital was and is in agreement with Scholz’s war course. It has sharply reduced economic ties with Russia and also supports a hostile policy towards China, albeit more cautiously. Both industry and the CDU/CSU have now declared their willingness to reform the debt brake. They demand subsidies for industry and arms deliveries to Ukraine. The German economy has long-term interests there – as in all of Eastern Europe. The Eastern European countries serve as a workbench for German industry and as a reservoir for cheap labor. German industry sees it as Germany’s backyard. There are still differences on the question of how deep the social cuts should be. This will probably be the focus of the election campaign.
Does the German state see the economic restructuring program and the militarization of the state, the economy and society as one and the same? The new conscription law, the debate on conscription and the modernization of the Bundeswehr seem to be propagandized as a way out of the crisis. Parliamentary Commissioner for the Armed Forces Eva Högl said last summer that young people learn “structure, comradeship, a sense of duty” in the Bundeswehr, “all qualities from which the economy also benefits”. Are we facing a plan to militarize the economy?
Yes, those in power are concerned with the militarization of society as a whole. They say this quite openly: The Bundeswehr should advertise in schools – there is a new law for this in Bavaria. The healthcare system is gearing up to treat large numbers of injured people. The German War Minister Boris Pistorius (SPD) summarized this in the term “war capability”. It would have to be produced in four to five years because Russia would then probably attack NATO. Overall, it is a reactionary-militaristic restructuring of the state in which, above all, civil rights are restricted.
‘FASCISM IN GERMANY WAS REHABILITATED BY THE UKRAINE WAR’
When it comes to the Israeli aggression in Gaza, the AfD and the Greens support the same parliamentary bill. Similarly, when it comes to the “fight against irregular migration”, the CDU/CSU almost matches the AfD. Although all parties refuse to cooperate with the AfD, is it possible to say that AfD policies have already become “mainstream” in German politics? In any case, the AfD is likely to play a role in Germany’s future.
The AfD is a continuation of the politics of the CDU/CSU. The difference: It allows open fascists in the party. The CDU and CSU have been fighting racist incitement against migrants and asylum seekers for 40 years. The AfD has taken this over and expanded it: it has increased racism and consciously encourages violence. The AfD has always been on Israel’s side because of the oppression and murder of Muslims. This has increased further with the current genocide in Gaza. The Greens are the most bellicose German party today. They use racist clichés against Russia in the Ukraine war and completely agree with the racist position of the Netanyahu government. The Greens denounce any criticism of Israel’s policies as anti-Semitism and are successful in doing so. Because of the fascists in the AfD, there are still reservations among other parties at the federal level about working with the AfD. Things are different at the state level; cooperation works in the municipalities. Since fascism there was rehabilitated in Germany, particularly with the war in Ukraine, it may well be that the AfD will also be accepted at the federal level in a few years. As long as it still pretends to strive for peace with Russia, this is unlikely.
‘CONDITIONS ARE BEING CREATED FOR GREATER INDEPENDENCE FOR GERMAN IMPERIALISM’
It can also be linked to the question above: The cry for a “strong and decisive government” has an important place among the voices rising from within the ruling class. The polls indicate that the CDU/CSU would be the winning party in a possible federal snap election. Can the CDU/CSU alone meet this demand for a “strong and stable government”? Will German politics be forced to turn to “non-political” actors or institutions?
The date of the next federal election was negotiated between the CDU/CSU and SPD. This is symptomatic: they communicate despite all the rhetoric. As things currently stand, only a coalition of both parties can form the next government. In my opinion, this also corresponds to the current interests of the German capital. The ruling class is not yet committed to an authoritarian regime domestically, but is preparing the conditions for it. In terms of foreign policy, it cannot yet break away from the USA, but is striving for a stronger leadership role in the EU and perhaps in NATO. This also creates the conditions for greater independence for German imperialism in the future.
The Turkic Investment Fund, the first international financial institution of the Turkic world, is preparing to announce its policy document on January 1, 2025. Ambassador Baghdad Amreyev, President of the Turkic Investment Fund answered our questions.
You are quite new to the financial international cooperation institution. And you had your first Board of Directors meeting in May. Could you tell us what the outcomes of that meeting were, and what is the roadmap for implementing the strategies and resolutions that were discussed there?
As you know, the decision to establish the Turkic Investment Fund was made by the leaders of the Turkic world at their summit in Samarkand in 2022. In November 2022, they signed a special agreement for the establishment of the Turkic Investment Fund, which is the first financial mechanism and institution of the Turkic world. I was appointed as the founding president there.
We then began preparing the establishment agreement, and in a very short period of time, we finalized the agreement. On March 16, 2023, during an extraordinary summit of Turkic leaders in Ankara, the finance and economy ministers of our countries signed this establishment agreement in the presence of our leaders. It was a truly historic moment.
By the end of 2023, the ratification process was completed in our parliament, and as per the agreement, the Fund officially came into force on February 24, 2024. This is what we consider the “birthday” of the Fund.
A lot of organizational work has been completed since then. On May 18, as the President of the Turkic Investment Fund, I convened the inaugural meeting of the Board of Governors, which is the highest governing body of the Fund.
Cevdet Yılmaz, The Vice President of Türkiye also participated in that meeting, right?
Yes, The Vice President of Türkiye, His Excellency Mr. Cevdet Yılmaz, also participated in and chaired this meeting. It was a great honor for us.
The meeting was highly successful, and the Governors made several key decisions, including the completion of the institutionalization of the Fund. They also established the Board of Directors and gave them instructions to prepare key procedural documents and other necessary actions.
Since then, in June and August, I convened two meetings with the Board of Directors, during which we made crucial decisions for the commencement of the Fund’s operational activities. Establishing the operational structure and preparing the investment policy are ongoing tasks.
Our investment policy, in particular, is still being drafted.
The investment policy is still underway, then.
Yes, it is still underway. This is an essential document, as it will outline the priorities of the Fund, specify which projects we will focus on, and what our role will be.
During the first meeting of the Board of Governors, Mr. Ramil Babayev from Azerbaijan was appointed as Director General of the Turkic Investment Fund, responsible for managing the Fund’s operations.
Once the investment policy is finalized and the management structure is fully in place, we will be ready to commence operational activities.
I understand that your policy preparations are still in progress, but can you give us a sense of which key sectors or industries the Turkic Investment Fund will support?
Yes, our priorities are quite clear, and I have spoken about them on many occasions. First of all, it’s important to note that the Turkic Investment Fund serves multiple purposes. If we only needed to finance projects within our own countries, there would have been no need to establish a new fund. We already have numerous funds and banks for that.
However, the Turkic Investment Fund was established not only for financing projects within our countries but also to contribute to the economic integration of our nations. The Fund’s main focus will be to finance joint projects that promote integration and cooperation among our countries. This is vital for the unity and economic strength of the Turkic world.
Could you elaborate on the concept of economic integration for the Turkic world?
Any political or economic block has its final causes. Our goal is to bring together our economies to unite the potential to serve the Turkic world. Economic integration means working together to strengthen our economies and unite our economic potential. We are seven countries. By encouraging trade, facilitating investments, and supporting joint ventures in areas such as infrastructure, energy, and transportation, we aim to build a stronger and more united Turkic world.
What do you mean by “economic integration”? Are you talking about a common Turkic currency or infrastructure as part of this integration?
Economic integration doesn’t necessarily mean having a single currency or unified infrastructure, at least not initially. It’s more about deeper engagement in each other’s economies through joint projects, especially in key sectors such as energy, transportation, and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).
Our goal is to create an economic and political bloc that can work towards common objectives, much like the European Union or other regional groups. We need to support each other’s economies and collaborate on joint projects that benefit all our countries. This is a key condition for the unity of the Turkic world.
I understand the Fund was the missing part in the Turkic world. Now, you believe that you filled this gap.
The Turkic unity has been very fresh. The Organization of Turkic States and other related cooperation organizations were established 10-15 years ago only. It is very short period. Of course, we need time. I am sure the Turkic Investment Fund will accelerate this process.
We need to work together to make our economies more competitive and resilient. Over time, the Turkic Investment Fund aims to become the primary financial tool for promoting economic integration within the Turkic world.
One of the Fund’s key priorities is to attract foreign investments into our countries. There are two ways to do this: First, by supporting national projects and encouraging foreign partners to participate, and second, by collaborating with other international financial institutions, such as the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Asian Development Bank, and Islamic Development Bank, among others.
Of course, we are not able to finance ourselves for huge projects but those financial institutions are so eager to contribute to our projects.
Well, Ambassador Amreyev, I understand that you have a positive cooperative perspective regarding other powers in Asia in terms of both institutions and countries. But at the same time, they bring some kind of geopolitical challenges. China, Russia, some other neighbouring European countries… How would Turkic Investment Fund navigate these geopolitical challenges? Following this, another question could be that: If the Turkic block rising as a global power and Turkic Investment Fund wants to be an active player in finance sector, how would you sustain your strategies given those facts?
The investment fund is a financial institution, not a political organization. This is why the Turkic Investment Fund is not involved in the geopolitical competition or challenges of today’s troubled world. Yes, we recognize the dramatic challenges facing the global community, but addressing those is the job of politicians. As financiers, our role is to contribute to cooperation rather than competition. By focusing on cooperation, we can help mitigate some of these global challenges and reduce the intensity of international competition.
Our role, therefore, is a positive one, working with other economic and financial institutions. Through constructive cooperation and joint projects, we aim to support and promote collaborative efforts in our complex world.
On the other hand, we also recognize that globalization has significantly increased competition worldwide. Consequently, our countries face challenges in attracting investments. This competition is real, and our goal is to help our countries navigate these challenges and become more competitive. By successfully supporting the growth of our economies, we can play a crucial role in enhancing the competitiveness of our nations.
Currently, six countries are full members of the Turkic Investment Fund—Türkiye, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, and Hungary. We also expect that Turkmenistan will join as the seventh full member soon. Additionally, the Turkic Investment Fund is open to cooperation with non-member institutions. Our establishment agreement allows other countries to join if they meet the required conditions and agree to the terms. This allows for constructive cooperation with external partners as well.
Regarding international financial institutions, we are open to working with all of them. We are already in negotiations and have observed a growing interest from various financial institutions in collaborating with us. By working with large financial funds, banks, and institutions, we can participate in significant development and infrastructure projects within our member countries.
These large financial institutions recognize the need for cooperation, and this implies substantial investments in major infrastructure projects. For example, there is growing interest in expanding energy infrastructure in Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, particularly in light of the Russia-Ukraine war, which has increased the importance of the Turkic world for Europe. We know that the European Union plans to invest billions of euros in energy projects within the Turkic region. Can you give more information about the projects?
Large infrastructure projects are costly and require the participation of multiple financial institutions. As I mentioned, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, as well as several Asian banks, are keen on establishing such cooperation. We already have several projects in the pipeline, particularly in the energy sector to be financed. While Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Azerbaijan are oil and gas producers, what we need now is more cross-border energy infrastructure such as pipelines and powerlines to transport these resources efficiently.
Building the transportation network is important, not just for production but also for consumers. That’s why we see growing interest from other international financial institutions. Our national governments have plans, and I know Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Azerbaijan are involved in initiatives to build gas pipelines from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan, Türkiye, and Europe. Our countries and our European partners are paying great attention to these projects.
There are also other energy projects in the Turkic world. For example, there are major plans to build an energy plant in Kyrgyzstan that will serve Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. These huge infrastructure projects are already being studied by various financial institutions, and there are numerous areas for cooperation. Of course, we are closely working with our governments, monitoring their priorities, plans, and programs. We also consider the decisions made by national governments and at our summits and intergovernmental commissions, ensuring that we align with the priorities of our member states, which are our shareholders.
We know that Hungary, for example, has been highly appreciated by the Organization of Turkic States (OTS) for its contributions, especially during its EU presidency. Hungary’s role in connecting Europe and the Turkic world is considered very important. At the same time, Hungary has officially stated that it is contributing a significant amount of money to the Turkic Investment Fund. Can you give more information on this?
Yes, this is not a secret. The fund was initially established by five member states, and then Hungary joined with an equal share. Each country contributed $100 million, making the initial capital of the fund $600 million. As I’ve mentioned, this starting capital will be significantly increased in the coming years to make the fund more competitive and attractive for cooperation with other international financial institutions.
Will the shares always remain equal?
Not necessarily. The initial capital was contributed in equal shares, but additional capital may be decided later and won’t necessarily follow the same distribution. As for Hungary, it has joined as a full member with the same share as other members. I must say that Hungary has played a very constructive role in Turkic cooperation since they joined the Organization of Turkic States in 2018. Hungary actively participates in all cooperation mechanisms alongside other OTS member states. Recently, I was in Budapest, where we finalized Hungary’s accession to the fund, making them a full member. Hungary truly plays an indispensable role in connecting the Turkic world to Europe, and between the European Union and the Organization of Turkic States. We appreciate Hungary’s role, and I believe it will continue to grow in the future, contributing not only to the integration of the Turkic world but also to its global integration into the world economy through closer cooperation with the EU.
Just to clarify about the contributions to the fund—how much will be each country paying? For instance, in Türkiye, there is discussion about whether Türkiye is contributing state funds for projects like energy infrastructure and pipelines in Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. People are curious about the exact figures to be transferred from treasury to the investments in other countries.
As with any international financial institution, all decisions regarding project financing and prioritization will be made by the Board of Directors. The interests and contributions of each country will be considered, and there won’t be any “losers”—only winners.
Thank you very much for this great interview, Ambassador. It sounds like many things are still in progress, but can you give us one headline for now? Which region of the world is most likely to cooperate with you on large-scale projects in the near future? Will it be Europe, Asia, Russia, or the Gulf countries? What will be the biggest surprise regarding Turkic Investment Fund cooperation?
First of all, the Turkic Investment Fund is a newly established financial institution, and we will commence our operational activities on January 1, 2025. We are in close contact and negotiations with financial institutions in Europe, Asia, the Islamic world, and the Arab world. We see strong interest from their side, and we are equally eager to develop relationships with them.
I think the biggest surprise will be our success in the Turkic region, within our member states. We are seriously committed to contributing to the economic development of our countries and supporting entrepreneurs who are working together on joint projects. We are here to support them and encourage more joint ventures among the Turkic countries and their companies.
As I mentioned, the ultimate goal is to contribute to greater economic integration among the Turkic countries, which will serve as the foundation for a more united Turkic world. This is our main purpose.
Thank you, Ambassador Baghdad Amreyev, for this diplomatic interview. We look forward to hearing more after January 1, when the policies, investments, and projects of the Turkic Investment Fund are officially launched.
INTERVIEW
We asked experts about BRICS – 3: What are the challenges facing the member countries?
Published
2 weeks agoon
28/10/2024As the fallout from the BRICS Summit in Kazan, the capital of the Republic of Tatarstan in the Russian Federation, continues, we put questions about the agenda to Dr. Nina Ladygina-Glazounova, the General director of the BRICS & SCO Innovative Diplomacy Centre.
Ilber Vasfi Sel: Mrs Nina, you also attended the summit in Kazan. You are already continuing your work as a “professional “bricsologist” in the institution of which you are the General director and co-founder. For Vladimir Putin, the President of the Russian Federation, the summit is seen as both symbolic and practical. What do you think? How do you assess the significance of this summit for Russia? How will this summit affect Russia’s global agenda? There are also competing countries within BRICS. Given the rivalries and conflicts among the member countries, how do you see the BRICS goal of deepening cooperation in various fields?
Nina Ladygina-Glazounova: The significance of the BRICS Summit in Kazan for Russia lies primarily in the complete failure of the West’s policy of isolating Russia, demonstrating recognition of Russia’s long-term importance on the world stage, despite the general tensions. The BRICS Summit in Kazan has become the event of the century, bringing together heads of delegation’s from Azerbaijan, Armenia, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belarus, Bolivia, Congo, Cuba, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Malaysia, Mauritania, Mongolia, Nicaragua, Palestine, Serbia, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Thailand, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Vietnam and Republika Srpska (an entity of Bosnia and Herzegovina).23 of them were at the level of Heads of State and Government not only from the BRICS member countries (Russia, Brazil, United Arab Emirates, China, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Iran, South Africa and Saudi Arabia as an invited country), but also from the countries of the Global South, which showed great interest in the Summit, as well as the heads of five international organisation’s: the United Nations (Secretary-General – Antonio Guterres), the Eurasian Economic Commission (Chairman – Bakytjan Abdiruli Sagittayev), the Commonwealth of Independent States (Secretary General – Sergei Lebedev), the State of the Union of Russia and Belarus (State Secretary – Dmitry Mezentsev), the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (Secretary General – Zhang Ming) and the BRICS New Development Bank (Bank President – Dilma Rousseff).
We asked experts about BRICS – 1: Can the independent BRICS payment system succeed?
The declaration issued on the 23 of October, after the meetings of the Sherpas and heads of delegations of the BRICS countries, the way to promote the institutional development of BRICS adopted by consensus, and for the first time in history of BRICS, the countries included in the union are not specified in the first paragraph of the declaration.
What could this mean?
It can be assumed that the main reason is primarily due to the expansion and uncertain status of Saudi Arabia, which is still in the process of accepting its status as a full member, although it participated as an equal in most BRICS formats and meetings.
Particular attention was also paid to the media, ICT and the dangers of fake news and the dissemination of unverified information about our countries.
Thanks to the summit and the whole range of horizontal formats of this year, Russia was able to expand its opportunities to enter new markets during its year of its Chairmanship in the BRICS, which is certainly a positive moment, and the country should have followed this direction from the very beginning, from the moment of its formation, and not look only at Western countries as the main direction. Now, if we look at it as a “puzzle”, the process of diversifying the economy and moving away from production focused exclusively on components from abroad has begun, and the influence of foreign component manufacturers on us has gradually diminished. Russia has agreed to sign a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement with Iran.
Also, thanks to the summit, Russia was able to once again to discuss the main points and reach an agreement with Iran on signing a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement.
Today we can confidently say that the most powerful BRICS countries are Russia, China, India and Iran. In other words, countries that have become the antipode of the unipolar Western world… We can talk about a global union of BRICS countries that surpasses the G7 in its parameters, and this is about the economic future of our planet.
Despite their common objectives and their focus on a multipolar world, and despite the preservation of their own identities, the BRICS countries face various forms of competition and territorial challenges, especially with their neighbours.
China and India are both large emerging economies competing for the influence in global markets and the developing world, and have territorial disputes with each other. At the same time, India and China announced progress in resolving long-standing border issues with the help of Russia’s diplomatic efforts, and this was a significant achievement at the summit. We see geopolitical tensions between Russia and South Africa have emerged since the start of the special military operation. Russia and China are close partners in all areas, but there are areas in the individual political agendas of both countries where they may clash, such as in Central Asian countries like Kazakhstan.
During the summit, BRICS countries and their future partners drew attention to Palestine and the Middle East region as a whole, while nearly two billion Muslims around the world watched the events in Kazan. Many heads of delegation’s declared their position in support of Palestine, a very sensitive and fragile region that requires rapid peaceful coexistence and compliance with UN conventions. Accordingly, the Summit adopted a strong final declaration that underlined the importance of the Palestinian issue for the world Muslim community.
We see how Brazil is not very happy with Venezuela’s rapprochement with the BRICS and this is one of the main reasons why we do not see it in the list of partner countries (13 countries have been granted BRICS partner country status: Turkey, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Algeria, Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Indonesia, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda and Vietnam), like Pakistan is not on the list because of the position of India. But BRICS will not be a platform for confrontation in relation to the G7 due to different ideas about the world order in different states and civilizations. We have Narendra Modi, who builds his policy on resolving all conflicts in the world peacefully and through negotiations, but he very rarely touches on issues related to Pakistan… Because there has been a conflict between them for many years and at the same time we see how China and Russia are promoting Pakistan as a BRICS partner now.
Therefore, I believe that BRICS should promote mutually beneficial areas of cooperation, such as increasing trade turnover, mutual investment to avoid conflicts, it is necessary to resolve issues of demarcation of spheres of influence in certain regions “on the shore”, socio-humanitarian exchanges to allow us to get to know each other better and perhaps “bury the hatche” in the case of some countries, as well as regulate possible interventions in cultural expansion, like the Republic of Turkey is doing through “soft power”.
On the other hand, we have South America, that is very unstable in every sense, socially, politically, economically, and under the strong influence of the United States. But it is important to remember that when you come to the BRICS as a platform, you have to forget all this (competition and territorial challenges), because you have to think about the big picture and the global agenda. And the Kazan Summit, which can be called truly peaceful, was the event that brought together some of the participants in the BRICS+ format, for example, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, to discuss advancing the bilateral peace agenda, including a peace treaty, border demarcation and other issues of mutual interest, and encouraged them to negotiate to resolve mutual issues that had previously stalled.
Summit declaration also describes the mechanisms already in place for foreign exchange reserves in national currencies. Although they are not yet as large and comprehensive as existing institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank, but they already pose a serious threat to them. The BRICS Pay mechanism has also been launched – a payment system project similar to the Chinese CIPS system and the international SWIFT system, to which you can link international payment cards Visa and Mastercard or national bank cards such as MIR, RuPay, China UnionPay and use it in the BRICS+ countries. A direct, clear and effective way to find collective solutions with the participation of developing countries is de-dollarization through the ever-wider use of national currencies and it is time for us to have what we call a new reserve currency.
The convergence of representatives of numerous civilisations and cultures, who unconsciously want to promote their own agendas for the good of their own countries, makes it difficult to take decisions towards something united on issues that are only open to the countries of the Global South, such as the reform of the UN Security Council or climate change (recall that Vladimir Putin also carefully hinted at this in his statement about using the green agenda to harm society).
It is clear that the role of the BRICS will increase, and the BRICS countries are already driving global economic growth, shifting the geopolitical landscape towards Eurasia and the South as a whole. According to the results of the current year, the average economic growth rate of the BRICS is estimated at 4 per cent. This is higher than the G7’s rate of just 1.7 per cent. With such a difference in economic growth rates, most of the increase in global GDP in the foreseeable future will be generated in the BRICS. OPEC Plus is actually part of the BRICS, and Russia and Saudi Arabia are actually the leaders there. They set global oil prices. But it is worth remembering that most of the trading platforms are owned by Western companies that lobby their interests to fight this, and it is necessary to unite for a common and prosperous future.
BRICS is different from the UN in that everyone sits at the same table and has an equal voice with a more equitable representation of member states. Perhaps BRICS can be an alternative to the UN in the future, the reform of which is advocated by all BRICS countries. But it will be a long process.
Aware of their problems and territorial disputes, the BRICS countries want to focus on a common agenda of global cooperation. From 1 January 2024, with the accession of new countries to the Union, strong ties and dialogue should be established in the name of a common goal, not just “a priori”, since such a format should not be based as an association on the Anglo-Saxon ideology with the primacy of the United States and European colonial powers. The Union has enormous potential to promote common interests and to foster multipolar global governance based on equality and respect.
BRICS as an association has enormous potential to advance common interests and promote multipolar global governance based on equality and respect. Consensus is also, on the one hand, a guarantee that the national interests of any participant are guaranteed, but also a factor that does not simplify the introduction of negotiations.
Ilber Vasfi Sel: Dr. Ladygina-Glazounova, Harici thank you for your comprehensive and insightful responses.
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