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MIDDLE EAST

Qatar, a small country but a big player

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Qatar is a small country on the Persian Gulf – it has neither a large population nor a vast land. Despite the fact that a large population and the size of the land are traditionally considered the main criteria for measuring the power of governments, but Qatar is totally different. Qatar’s population is estimated at over 2.8 million people, and the land has a total area of 11,610 km. But it is worth mentioning that there are other small countries with less population that were able to emerge as regional and sometimes international powers. Among them are the United Arab Emirates, Israel, and Singapore which are small and sparsely populated countries but have a lot of political and economic power. Qatar is also on the same page and has been able to maintain power while having no large population and vast territory. Qatar has been considered small compared to many countries in the Middle East.

However, these small countries, including Qatar, play roles in the region and the world that large and vast governments are incapable of doing so. The roles that Qatar is taking on today and playing well should have been played by Saudi Arabia, Iran and other countries, which are considered as the great powers in the Middle East. Qatar had just hosted the World Cup and it also hosts hostile groups and countries to mediate between them to end their hostilities. Doha also hosts meetings that are launched to address major human crises. The latest example is the organization of a meeting led by the Secretary General of the United Nations regarding the Afghanistan crisis.

The question that is raised about Qatar is, what factors have caused this small country to become a big player in the region and the world? Here we try to explore some factors that caused Qatar to become a powerful country.

Qatar believes and uses soft power

One of the factors that have brought Qatar to the stage of being the most trusted partner to the world, can be found in this country’ successful use of soft power.

The big countries always want to use a carrot and stick approach to resolve an issue, and if a big country wants to force a small country to change its behavior, it either threatens it with military force or considers economic restrictions.

But soft power is the opposite of “hard” power. Soft power emphasizes more on culture, value, norm and procedure, which is what Qatar is doing today.

Soft power does not deal with coercion; That is, it can be said that it is a kind of non-coercive force that relies on persuasion and satisfaction. At the same time, the expansion of the phenomenon of globalization and the information and media revolution has made soft power more visible. The use of soft power has given small countries the opportunity not to accept every legal/illegal demands of the bigger countries.

For that cause, Qatar has resorted to the use of soft power in order to keep herself away from the danger of the influence of rival neighbors.

The power of media

Indeed, the media outlets are considered as the most important, simple and effective means of spreading soft power. Qatar has used this tool well so far. Qatar uses Al-Jazeera, a big, famous and spectacular media to benefit its country.

Al Jazeera has been able to spread Qatar’s soft influence not only in the region, but also in the world. Today, this media has become one of the biggest international media and has many branches all over the world.

Two factors have contributed to the growth of this media – one is that it had a critical view of the situation in the Arab world. Before, there was no reliable media in the Arab countries and if it existed, it would serve the rulers, not the people.

But Al Jazeera broke the tradition of the ruling media and criticized the rulers and political systems ruling the Arab countries.

Second, Al Jazeera did well in critical coverage of the war in Afghanistan, Iraq, Palestine and also the Arab Spring in 2011. It also had a critical view of the US military attack on Afghanistan and Iraq, which was able to direct public opinion in the Islamic world towards supporting this media.

Similarly, it has repeatedly reflected the killing of Palestinians by the Israeli army with a critical view and emphasis on the Arab-Islamic identity.

The establishment of Al Jazeera and its unflinching support has helped Qatar to expand its soft power while no other Arab countries owned any media outlet instead hell-bent on its suppression.

Sports, another key soft power

Sports and the latest launch of the football world cup are another means of expanding soft power that Qatar has the capacity to use. Important to mention that Qatar pays special attention to sports, especially football, as a major global game, and welcomes the launch of sports competitions in different forms.

Football cannot be called only a sport in today’s world. It is true that football is a kind of sport, but it is a sport whose value cannot be denied in the political relations of the world.

It is difficult to separate between sports and politics, especially football. This difficulty is either due to the influence of politics on sports or sports on politics.

It can be said that football has gone beyond the field of sports and has surrounded the field of politics as well. Countries try to use sports for the benefit of politics. Any country that shines in the field of sports also affects its brilliance in the field of politics. For example, consider holding the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.

Qatar proved to be a good host for launching such big tournaments. It was the first time that the World Cup was held in an Arab country and Qatar’s brilliant hosting shocked the countries of the region.

The public opinion across the world was more on Qatar as a host country rather than the winner and loser of this big tournament.

Less population

Interestingly, Qatar’s small population has been more of an advantage than a disadvantage. It is true that a large population can demonstrate the “hard” power of a government, but if the proportion between large population and economic growth is not established, it becomes an “Achilles’ heel” that can lead to the downfall. But in regards to China, it is a different story with its number one population in the world. Top secret of China’s success lies in its ability to balance a large population with economic growth.

The advantage of Qatar is that it has a small population, low diversity, but high accumulation of wealth. High population is not compatible with low accumulation of wealth and if the population grows it does not fit the society and will lead to the government’s failure to provide adequate services to the people and provide economic welfare. It was difficult for Qatar to deal with a population existing in Iraq and Lebanon.

Worth mentioning that less population and low diversity have caused Qatar to effectively use its natural resources, including oil and gas.

It has been said that Qatar ranks third in gas exports after Russia and Iran and thirteenth in oil exports in the world.

Meanwhile, there is general satisfaction with the ruling political system in Qatar. This satisfaction is owed to the government’s success in providing economic welfare for the citizens.

Another important point about Qatar is that it has no internal rifts and that’s why it focuses more on world issues. As can be seen, Qatar is less concerned with domestic issues and spends most of its energy on foreign affairs.

Qatar opens office for Taliban

In 2013, Qatar established an office for the Taliban, the current ruler of Afghanistan. Taliban returned to power in15 August 2021 after the hasty withdrawal of foreign troops.

Taliban still maintains its office in Doha, and is busy carrying out political activities, including meetings with top foreign diplomats. The Taliban and the US also signed the Doha agreement under which a republic system in Afghanistan which was supported by the US and western countries in the past 20 years has collapsed and its army has been disintegrated.

Qatar, for many years, hosted talks between Taliban members and US delegation to negotiate over safe withdrawal with foreign troops from Afghanistan.

Qatar had also hosted delegations of the Taliban and the previous government of Afghanistan as part of peace talks.

Success in holding political talks as well as sports events and interaction with the countries of the region has been able to increase Qatar’s role-playing power.

Despite the fact that this country is at odds with some of its neighbors and countries in the region, it has never stopped interaction with them and didn’t let these difference become larger.

MIDDLE EAST

‘Turkey-Syria negotiations to be held in Baghdad’

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The Syrian daily al-Watan reports that the first round of talks between Syria and Turkey to normalise bilateral relations will take place in Baghdad.

Turkish and Syrian officials are expected to meet in the Iraqi capital Baghdad to restore diplomatic relations between Syria and Turkey, which were severed more than 12 years ago, after President Erdogan said there was “no reason not to meet with Syria”.

Press TV quoted an unnamed official as saying that the meeting would be the first step in a long process of negotiations leading to a political agreement, al-Watan reported.

According to the sources, Ankara has asked Moscow and Baghdad to pave the way for Turkish diplomats to sit at the negotiating table with the Syrian side without a third party. They also asked that the meetings be closed to the press.

Al-Watan noted that the Turkish-Syrian rapprochement and the initiative to restore diplomatic relations have received wide support from Arab countries, especially Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as well as Russia, China and Iran.

Mutual statements

President Erdoğan said on Friday: “There is no reason not to re-establish diplomatic relations with Syria. We can do it again as we did in the past. We have no intention of interfering in Syria’s internal affairs. As you know, there is no reason why we should not re-establish diplomatic relations with Mr Assad, as we did in the past, down to family meetings”.

During a meeting with Russia’s special envoy to Syria, Aleksander Lavrentiev, in Damascus on 26 June, Syrian leader Assad said he was open to initiatives to normalise relations with Turkey.

“Syria is open to all attempts to normalise Syrian-Turkish relations on the basis of respect for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian state and within the framework of the fight against all forms of terrorism,” SANA quoted Assad as saying.

New mediator Iraq

While Turkish-Iraqi relations are developing positively, Baghdad’s mediation role in the normalisation of Turkish-Syrian relations is attracting attention. On 31 May, during a visit to Turkey, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shiya al-Sudani said that he was working on reconciliation between Ankara and Damascus. Asked if he had spoken to Erdogan or Assad about this issue, Sudani replied: “Certainly, negotiations on this issue are continuing. And God willing, there will be some steps in this regard soon”.

In June, an Iraqi government source told Iraqi media that Baghdad would soon host officials from both countries in Baghdad as part of efforts to reconcile Syria and Turkey.

What happened?

Turkey severed all diplomatic ties with Syria in 2012 following the outbreak of war in 2011 and supported armed opposition groups in the northwest of the country.

Since 2016, Turkish forces have carried out a series of military operations and established a ‘safe zone’ in the north of the country, claiming that terrorist organisations such as PKK-ISIS threaten Turkey’s security.

The normalisation of relations between Ankara and Damascus began on 28 December 2022 with a Russian-mediated meeting between the Turkish and Syrian defence ministers in Moscow, the highest-level meeting between the two sides since 2011.

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MIDDLE EAST

Imran Khan accuses Pakistan army chief of cover-up of assassination plot against him

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Former Pakistani prime minister Imran Khan has stepped up his criticism of Pakistani army chief Asim Munir’s attempt to seize political power from his prison cell, The Intercept reports, citing several sources close to Khan.

The report also contains new allegations about Khan’s history with Munir. According to those in contact with the detained prime minister, Khan is making new allegations that he violated an agreement to remain neutral in Pakistani politics in exchange for accepting Munir’s appointment as army chief.

The deposed prime minister also claims that Munir conspired with his civilian political rivals, including former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, to work against him in exchange for dropping corruption charges that forced Sharif into exile.

According to the report, the escalating personal conflict between Khan and Munir is also an important part of the dialogue. Khan alleges that Munir ordered agents of Pakistan’s notorious Inter-Services Intelligence to kill him, and that the general covered up the assassination attempts by suppressing a police investigation and hiding CCTV footage.

While Khan’s fate remains the biggest unanswered question in the country’s politics, prison communiqués allegedly show that the situation was fuelled by animosity between Khan and Munir.

Khan’s allegations against Munir were shared with The Intercept by a number of sources close to him, who requested anonymity to protect their safety.

The correspondence allegedly includes surveillance footage and other evidence that Munir hatched a plan to have Khan killed in a raucous courtroom on 18 March 2023.

According to sources close to the former prime minister, Khan accused Munir of covering up the plot against him.

Among Khan’s supporters who believe his personal safety is at risk are Pakistani-Americans who recently lobbied Senator Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to contact the Pakistani government about his safety.

As well as accusing Munir of betraying his trust and plotting to kill him, Khan has repeatedly claimed from prison that the general is leading the country towards a repeat of the traumatic partition of 1971.

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MIDDLE EAST

Israeli, Arab generals hold secret meeting

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Israeli Chief of Staff Hayzi Halevi met with his counterparts from various Arab armies in Bahrain to discuss regional security cooperation, two sources with direct knowledge of the meeting told Axios.

The meeting, which took place under the auspices of the US Central Command (CENTCOM), was not made public due to sensitivities surrounding the war in Gaza.

The meeting, which took place in Manama on Monday, was attended by CENTCOM commander Michael Erik Kurilla and Halevi, as well as senior generals from Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt.

According to Barak Ravid’s report, the meeting was a sign that military dialogue and cooperation between Israel and the Arab countries continues under the umbrella of CENTCOM, despite harsh public criticism of Israel’s military operations in Gaza.

The IDF and CENTCOM did not comment on the meeting.

CENTCOM and the Pentagon have recently sought to increase air defence cooperation with regional militaries.

The US success in countering Iran’s unprecedented missile and drone attack on Israel on 13 April is seen as a result of this work.

US officials say that cooperation with Israel and Arab countries in the region allows them to gather intelligence and receive early warning of an attack. This cooperation includes the active involvement of Jordan and Saudi Arabia in intercepting missiles and drones that pass through their airspace after being fired at Israel from Iran, Iraq and Yemen, they said.

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