Middle East
Qatar, a small country but a big player

Qatar is a small country on the Persian Gulf – it has neither a large population nor a vast land. Despite the fact that a large population and the size of the land are traditionally considered the main criteria for measuring the power of governments, but Qatar is totally different. Qatar’s population is estimated at over 2.8 million people, and the land has a total area of 11,610 km. But it is worth mentioning that there are other small countries with less population that were able to emerge as regional and sometimes international powers. Among them are the United Arab Emirates, Israel, and Singapore which are small and sparsely populated countries but have a lot of political and economic power. Qatar is also on the same page and has been able to maintain power while having no large population and vast territory. Qatar has been considered small compared to many countries in the Middle East.
However, these small countries, including Qatar, play roles in the region and the world that large and vast governments are incapable of doing so. The roles that Qatar is taking on today and playing well should have been played by Saudi Arabia, Iran and other countries, which are considered as the great powers in the Middle East. Qatar had just hosted the World Cup and it also hosts hostile groups and countries to mediate between them to end their hostilities. Doha also hosts meetings that are launched to address major human crises. The latest example is the organization of a meeting led by the Secretary General of the United Nations regarding the Afghanistan crisis.
The question that is raised about Qatar is, what factors have caused this small country to become a big player in the region and the world? Here we try to explore some factors that caused Qatar to become a powerful country.
Qatar believes and uses soft power
One of the factors that have brought Qatar to the stage of being the most trusted partner to the world, can be found in this country’ successful use of soft power.
The big countries always want to use a carrot and stick approach to resolve an issue, and if a big country wants to force a small country to change its behavior, it either threatens it with military force or considers economic restrictions.
But soft power is the opposite of “hard” power. Soft power emphasizes more on culture, value, norm and procedure, which is what Qatar is doing today.
Soft power does not deal with coercion; That is, it can be said that it is a kind of non-coercive force that relies on persuasion and satisfaction. At the same time, the expansion of the phenomenon of globalization and the information and media revolution has made soft power more visible. The use of soft power has given small countries the opportunity not to accept every legal/illegal demands of the bigger countries.
For that cause, Qatar has resorted to the use of soft power in order to keep herself away from the danger of the influence of rival neighbors.
The power of media
Indeed, the media outlets are considered as the most important, simple and effective means of spreading soft power. Qatar has used this tool well so far. Qatar uses Al-Jazeera, a big, famous and spectacular media to benefit its country.
Al Jazeera has been able to spread Qatar’s soft influence not only in the region, but also in the world. Today, this media has become one of the biggest international media and has many branches all over the world.
Two factors have contributed to the growth of this media – one is that it had a critical view of the situation in the Arab world. Before, there was no reliable media in the Arab countries and if it existed, it would serve the rulers, not the people.
But Al Jazeera broke the tradition of the ruling media and criticized the rulers and political systems ruling the Arab countries.
Second, Al Jazeera did well in critical coverage of the war in Afghanistan, Iraq, Palestine and also the Arab Spring in 2011. It also had a critical view of the US military attack on Afghanistan and Iraq, which was able to direct public opinion in the Islamic world towards supporting this media.
Similarly, it has repeatedly reflected the killing of Palestinians by the Israeli army with a critical view and emphasis on the Arab-Islamic identity.
The establishment of Al Jazeera and its unflinching support has helped Qatar to expand its soft power while no other Arab countries owned any media outlet instead hell-bent on its suppression.
Sports, another key soft power
Sports and the latest launch of the football world cup are another means of expanding soft power that Qatar has the capacity to use. Important to mention that Qatar pays special attention to sports, especially football, as a major global game, and welcomes the launch of sports competitions in different forms.
Football cannot be called only a sport in today’s world. It is true that football is a kind of sport, but it is a sport whose value cannot be denied in the political relations of the world.
It is difficult to separate between sports and politics, especially football. This difficulty is either due to the influence of politics on sports or sports on politics.
It can be said that football has gone beyond the field of sports and has surrounded the field of politics as well. Countries try to use sports for the benefit of politics. Any country that shines in the field of sports also affects its brilliance in the field of politics. For example, consider holding the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.
Qatar proved to be a good host for launching such big tournaments. It was the first time that the World Cup was held in an Arab country and Qatar’s brilliant hosting shocked the countries of the region.
The public opinion across the world was more on Qatar as a host country rather than the winner and loser of this big tournament.
Less population
Interestingly, Qatar’s small population has been more of an advantage than a disadvantage. It is true that a large population can demonstrate the “hard” power of a government, but if the proportion between large population and economic growth is not established, it becomes an “Achilles’ heel” that can lead to the downfall. But in regards to China, it is a different story with its number one population in the world. Top secret of China’s success lies in its ability to balance a large population with economic growth.
The advantage of Qatar is that it has a small population, low diversity, but high accumulation of wealth. High population is not compatible with low accumulation of wealth and if the population grows it does not fit the society and will lead to the government’s failure to provide adequate services to the people and provide economic welfare. It was difficult for Qatar to deal with a population existing in Iraq and Lebanon.
Worth mentioning that less population and low diversity have caused Qatar to effectively use its natural resources, including oil and gas.
It has been said that Qatar ranks third in gas exports after Russia and Iran and thirteenth in oil exports in the world.
Meanwhile, there is general satisfaction with the ruling political system in Qatar. This satisfaction is owed to the government’s success in providing economic welfare for the citizens.
Another important point about Qatar is that it has no internal rifts and that’s why it focuses more on world issues. As can be seen, Qatar is less concerned with domestic issues and spends most of its energy on foreign affairs.
Qatar opens office for Taliban
In 2013, Qatar established an office for the Taliban, the current ruler of Afghanistan. Taliban returned to power in15 August 2021 after the hasty withdrawal of foreign troops.
Taliban still maintains its office in Doha, and is busy carrying out political activities, including meetings with top foreign diplomats. The Taliban and the US also signed the Doha agreement under which a republic system in Afghanistan which was supported by the US and western countries in the past 20 years has collapsed and its army has been disintegrated.
Qatar, for many years, hosted talks between Taliban members and US delegation to negotiate over safe withdrawal with foreign troops from Afghanistan.
Qatar had also hosted delegations of the Taliban and the previous government of Afghanistan as part of peace talks.
Success in holding political talks as well as sports events and interaction with the countries of the region has been able to increase Qatar’s role-playing power.
Despite the fact that this country is at odds with some of its neighbors and countries in the region, it has never stopped interaction with them and didn’t let these difference become larger.
Middle East
Plight of refugees in Iran

As the process of deporting Afghan migrants from Iran intensifies, Iranian officials say that in the past week, more than 120,000 people have entered Afghanistan from Iran, both forcibly and voluntarily.
The district governor of Taybad in Iran says that nearly 8,000 undocumented Afghan citizens enter Afghanistan daily through the Dogharun border alone.
Meanwhile, some deported immigrants say they left all their assets in Iran and were forced to return home empty-handed.
Hossein Jamshidi, the district governor of Taybad, told Iranian media that in the past week alone, more than 95,000 undocumented citizens and about 25,000 documented migrants from all over Iran have been identified and returned to Afghanistan from this border.
Dogharoon border is the largest crossing point for the deportation of Afghan migrants from Iran. Every day, thousands of migrants, most of whom were living in Iran without documents, are now transported in large convoys, in dozens of passenger buses from all over Iran, to this border point zero.
But in this side of the border!
But on this side of the border, at the Islam Qala crossing, thousands of people, including women and children, are standing in long lines in the scorching sun, wearing only a few layers of clothing, waiting to cross the border and enter Afghan territory.
Many of these migrants say they have nowhere to go and have been forced to leave all their belongings on the other side of the border, on Iranian soil, and return empty-handed.
The Taliban have called for the establishment of a “coordinated mechanism” with the Iranian government for the return of refugees.
UN agencies have called for increased financial assistance following the significant expulsion of Afghan refugees from neighboring countries.
The Norwegian government has expressed concern about the deportation of migrants in recent days and has allocated nearly $1 million to support them.
Middle East
US proposes $30 billion deal to Iran for halting uranium enrichment

The administration of US President Donald Trump is reportedly discussing the possibility of providing Iran with up to $30 billion in financial access to develop its peaceful nuclear program as part of efforts to return to negotiations with Tehran.
According to a CNN report citing sources familiar with the matter, this offer requires Tehran to completely halt uranium enrichment, a condition emphasized as “non-negotiable.”
Under the proposed plan, the funds would not be provided by the US but by Arab nations. An administration official stated, “The US is ready to lead these negotiations. Someone will have to pay for the implementation of the nuclear program, but we will not make such a commitment.”
Other proposals on the table
American officials have indicated that other offers are also being considered. These include the potential lifting of some sanctions against Iran and granting Tehran access to $6 billion of its frozen assets in foreign banks.
Another idea involves US allies in the Persian Gulf covering the cost of building new infrastructure to replace the Fordow nuclear facility, which was damaged in US attacks. This new facility would also lack uranium enrichment capabilities.
Washington’s “comprehensive peace” initiative
Steve Witkoff, Trump’s Special Representative for the Middle East, told CNBC that the US aims to achieve a “comprehensive peace agreement.”
A White House statement emphasized that all proposals are designed to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.
Following the events of the past two weeks, which include mutual attacks with Israel and a US strike on Iran’s nuclear sites, the White House hopes Tehran will accept Washington’s terms.
Experts are skeptical, fearing the offer could backfire
Conversely, Iran experts cited by CNN believe these events will further convince the country’s leadership of the necessity of possessing nuclear weapons.
Earlier this week, the Iranian parliament approved the suspension of cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Even before the US attack on the night of June 22, the Iranian government had already significantly restricted agency officials’ access to its facilities.
According to IAEA data from mid-May, Iran possessed approximately 409 kilograms of highly enriched uranium.
Bloomberg reported that this amount is theoretically sufficient to produce ten nuclear warheads. The agency’s Director General, Rafael Grossi, stated that the location of this material is unknown.
While Tehran claims it moved its uranium stockpiles from the attacked facilities beforehand, the IAEA assesses that a significant portion of the stocks may have survived the strike.
Middle East
US intelligence contradicts Trump’s claim of destroying Iran’s nuclear program

According to a classified military intelligence report obtained by CNN and the New York Times (NYT), US attacks on Iran’s three major uranium enrichment facilities did not eliminate the main components of Tehran’s nuclear program but only set it back by several months.
American officials who reviewed the report stated that the document, which includes a preliminary assessment of the 12-day war between Israel and Iran and the subsequent American attack, contradicts President Donald Trump’s declaration that the program was “completely destroyed.”
The report, prepared by the Pentagon, emphasized that the damage to Iran’s nuclear facilities was largely limited to the destruction of above-ground structures. It was determined that while the entrances to two underground facilities were filled with debris, the bunkers themselves remained intact.
Furthermore, it was reported that enriched uranium stockpiles might have been moved from the facilities before the attacks and that the centrifuges were “largely undamaged.” The report also noted that the US managed to damage the power grid of the nuclear facility built into a mountain at Fordo, but the facility itself did not sustain serious damage.
Timeline for a nuclear bomb extended
Before the military operation, US intelligence agencies estimated it would take Tehran at least three months to hastily produce a low-yield, primitive nuclear weapon. According to the NYT, military intelligence now predicts this timeline will extend to about six months.
The Times of Israel reported that Israeli intelligence also believes the US and Israeli attacks did not completely destroy Iran’s nuclear program, only setting it back “several years.”
Professor Jeffrey Lewis, an arms expert from the Middlebury Institute of International Studies, concurred with the US military intelligence assessment. According to Lewis, Iran could quickly rebuild its nuclear program using uranium stockpiles in the intact underground bunkers. The expert suggested that, in this scenario, it could take Iran five months to produce a nuclear bomb.
White House reacts strongly to leak
President Donald Trump had previously announced that the American attacks had resulted in the complete destruction of Iran’s nuclear facilities.
White House Spokesperson Karoline Leavitt, however, described the intelligence assessment cited by CNN and the NYT as “false.” Leavitt stated the document was classified and had been leaked to the press by a “low-ranking, unidentified loser.”
In a statement on the social media platform X, Leavitt remarked, “The leak of this so-called assessment is a blatant attempt to humiliate President Trump and discredit the brave fighter pilots who carried out a flawless mission to destroy Iran’s nuclear program. Everyone knows what happens when fourteen 30,000-pound bombs are precisely dropped on their targets: Total destruction.”
Trump also accused CNN and the NYT of collaborating to downplay one of the most successful military attacks in history. On his social media platform, Truth Social, Trump wrote, “The nuclear facilities in Iran have been completely destroyed!”
According to the NYT, the publication of the intelligence findings overshadowed President Trump’s victory at the NATO summit. The fact that the report was prepared by the Pentagon, which personally carried out the attacks, further underscored the situation’s significance.
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