Diplomacy
The UK nearing £1.6 billion trade agreement with Gulf states
The United Kingdom is on the verge of signing a £1.6 billion trade deal with Gulf states.
This agreement with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)—comprising Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates—will mark Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s fourth major trade pact, following accords with the US, India, and the EU.
The UK government has announced its hope that the agreement will contribute an additional £8.6 billion annually to trade with GCC countries by 2035. Sources close to the negotiations in the oil-rich region stated that the deal is currently in its final stages, with an expectation that the UK will approve it shortly.
The deal appears particularly advantageous for the automotive industry and financial services. However, projections indicate the free trade agreement will likely contribute less than 0.1% to GDP over the next decade.
Nevertheless, a backlash is anticipated concerning a chicken import component of the deal, which could significantly harm British farmers due to potentially lower animal welfare standards in imported products.
According to information obtained by The Guardian, the Trades Union Congress (TUC) is among those urging caution regarding the agreement and has communicated its concerns to ministers.
Human rights organizations have previously contended that the UK should not enter into the free trade agreement without legally binding commitments to enhance human rights, particularly for migrant workers. They have emphasized that both the UK and the GCC should integrate robust human rights clauses into all future agreements, and that the UK government should transparently present an independent impact assessment on the potential consequences of deepening trade relations.
Another source familiar with the negotiations suggested that while some language addressing human rights is likely to be included as part of the commitments, there will be no legal obligation.
A spokesperson for the Department for Business and Trade confirmed that negotiations for a trade deal with the GCC are ongoing, with no deadline set. Ministry sources noted the possibility of a pause in negotiations due to Eid al-Adha, which commences on June 6.
The UK-GCC trade agreement will also affect the UK’s net-zero emission targets, as all six GCC nations rank among the top 10 globally for per capita carbon emissions.
TUC General Secretary Paul Nowak remarked, “The TUC has directly conveyed its concerns to ministers about the trade deal with Gulf countries, and we will continue to do so. Our view on trade deals is consistent: the government should not make deals with countries that violate human rights and workers’ rights and flout international law. It was the right decision for the government to suspend trade talks with Israel.”
Ministers are also expected to face opposition from the National Farmers’ Union concerning the agricultural aspects of the agreement. Industry representatives informed The Guardian that the deal might grant unrestricted access for chicken imports, provided they meet hygiene standards.
Trade Secretary Douglas Alexander is leading the negotiations and is reportedly prepared to finalize the work initiated by the Conservative government. This deal is viewed as a more concrete prospect than the agreement with India, which was signed two weeks prior. Alexander is anticipated to meet with his counterpart for final approval.
Former Trade Secretary Anne-Marie Trevelyan had previously assured Parliament that the deal “would not come at the expense of human rights.”
Members of Parliament had noted precedents for including rights issues in trade agreements, citing the New Zealand deal, which features a chapter with commitments ensuring indigenous peoples play a role in their country’s future development.
Nick Thomas-Symonds, who was the shadow trade secretary at the time, stated while in opposition, “It is crucial that human rights, women’s rights, and workers’ rights are incorporated into the UK’s trade negotiations.”
However, during recent discussions under the Labour government, House of Lords Trade Minister Baroness Jones asserted that while the UK is a “leading advocate for human rights globally,” this advocacy is pursued separately from free trade agreement negotiations. Speaking in the House of Lords last year, she commented, “While some aspects of trade policy can provide opportunities to address other issues in bilateral relationships, free trade agreements are generally not the most effective or targeted tool for advancing human rights issues.”
UAE Trade Minister Dr. Thani bin Ahmed al-Zeyoudi told Politico in 2023 that if the UK and other Western countries “want more market access and more business opportunities,” they should “soften” standard human and worker rights provisions in trade deals.
Government estimates indicate that trade with this bloc, the UK’s seventh-largest export market, is valued at approximately £59 billion annually. The trade agreement is projected to increase this trade by about 16%.
Sovereign wealth funds in Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are among the largest foreign investors in the United Kingdom.
Diplomacy
South Korea pulls part of embassy staff from Ukraine amid POW dispute
The South Korean government has decided to withdraw part of its embassy staff from Ukraine.
According to the Yonhap news agency, Foreign Ministry spokesman Park Doo-sun cited the Kyiv administration’s failure to take “positive steps” in the dispute that began with the leak of information concerning the handover of North Korean prisoners of war as the justification for the move.
The spokesman also listed the ongoing threat of air strikes, which complicates the safety of diplomats, among the reasons.
Following the withdrawal of part of the personnel, essential diplomatic contacts will continue under the leadership of the charge d’affaires ad interim to Ukraine. All consular staff tasked with protecting South Korean citizens will remain in Ukraine.
Prior to this move, the Seoul administration decided on 8 October to withdraw its ambassador. The Foreign Ministry stated at the time that it was ready to continue consultations with Kyiv to resolve the emerging issues constructively.
Tensions between the two countries began with a speech delivered by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the United Nations General Assembly in September.
Zelenskyy announced that two captured soldiers from the North Korean army had been handed over to South Korea.
South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, meanwhile, accused Kyiv of breaching a confidentiality agreement.
Lee said the disclosure of this information endangered the prisoners’ families and stability on the Korean Peninsula.
Seoul expects a public apology
Dmytro Lytvyn, an adviser to the Ukrainian president, denied the existence of a confidentiality agreement.
The South Korean Foreign Ministry summoned Ukrainian Charge d’Affaires Andriy Veshkin on 28 September and issued a note of protest against Lytvyn’s remarks.
President Lee Jae-myung warned in a statement on 2 October that they would take additional measures against Kyiv if Ukrainian authorities did not acknowledge the agreement and make a public apology. Lee stated that Ukraine itself had initially requested that the transfer of the prisoners be kept confidential.
Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Heorhii Tykhyi said the dispute stemmed from differing interpretations of the confidentiality regime.
Tykhyi noted that Seoul, based on its constitution which recognises the entire Korean Peninsula as its own territory, requested that the prisoners be handed over “like its own citizens”.
Describing the handover as a “gesture of goodwill”, Tykhyi stated that they were conducting closed-door negotiations to resolve differences of opinion.
Ambassador Park Ki-chang returned to Seoul on 10 October. According to a report by The Korea Times newspaper citing the ministry, recalling the ambassador served as a diplomatic protest against the leak of information regarding the prisoners.
The newspaper wrote that South Korea had last taken a similar step in 2008 by withdrawing its ambassador to Japan.
Moscow warned foreign diplomats
On 3 October, the Russian Foreign Ministry reiterated its warning to foreign nationals, including diplomatic mission staff, against remaining in Ukraine.
The ministry recalled its advice to leave Kyiv, citing ongoing strikes against military targets.
The ministry noted that those who failed to heed the warnings would bear responsibility for the potential consequences.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a statement on 24 September that they had no information regarding Kyiv handing over two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul.
Peskov, noting that prisoner matters fall under the authority of the Defence Ministry and intelligence services, said, “Contacts through the special services are continuing.”
Diplomacy
Ex-BND head Hanning tied to former Mossad chief amid spy inquiry
August Hanning, who led Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) between 1998 and 2005, was arrested on 6 October on allegations that he obtained roughly 2,000 classified agency documents and used them during contacts with intelligence officers from a foreign state.
Accused of high treason and espionage on behalf of a foreign intelligence agency, the former spy chief is alleged to have procured the documents from former BND employee Manfred D.
Prosecutors stated that the leaked records included internal briefing notes presented to senior German officials, though the Berlin government has not yet publicly disclosed which country received the classified data.
According to an exclusive report by Jake Green for The Cradle, seized email exchanges revealed extensive ties between the arrested Hanning and former Mossad director Danny Yatom.
The correspondence shows that the two former intelligence directors built an ongoing network of contacts following their public service, combining commercial ventures, efforts to secure political influence, and intelligence links.
This dynamic has triggered debate that using personal connections and official access for private gain has left Germany’s intelligence apparatus vulnerable.
Intelligence notes for 10,000 euros and campaign proposals
According to the reviewed emails, Hanning told Yatom in a 2018 message that he could prepare an “overall assessment based on information obtained from senior German officials and intelligence agencies” concerning an unidentified candidate.
The former BND head committed to completing the report by 13 July in exchange for 10,000 euros.
Contacts between the two men subsequently expanded to cover domestic political processes in Germany. Ahead of the September 2021 federal election, Yatom asked Hanning to approach leading candidates.
Describing CIY Global as a “political campaign company”, the former Mossad chief noted that he aimed to introduce its capabilities to German politicians, and he mentioned his intention in the same exchange to transfer documents concerning a cybersecurity firm.
Cybersecurity partnership and surveillance operations across Europe
The partnership between Yatom and Hanning reached beyond political lobbying initiatives into the cybersecurity sector.
Hanning reportedly served as a consultant for World Health Energy Holdings, a cybersecurity company linked to Yatom.
Firms of this type, established or managed by former intelligence personnel, provide commercial platforms on the international market for Israeli-origin surveillance, cyber intelligence, and political influence capabilities.
The operational presence of private Israeli-based surveillance technologies across Europe has recently entered judicial records through scandals in Poland, Spain, and Greece.
Polish prosecutors announced on 12 October that data collected under the previous government via Pegasus spyware against political opponents had been transferred out of the country, adding that manufacturer NSO Group maintained access to the technical infrastructure.
In Spain, the 2022 CatalanGate investigation established that at least 65 people, including politicians, lawyers, and civil society representatives, were targeted using Pegasus or Candiru software, with Citizen Lab researchers publishing strong evidence linking the operation to Spanish authorities.
In Greece, the surveillance operation targeting journalist Thanasis Koukakis and Member of the European Parliament Nikos Androulakis was determined to have used Predator software, linked to Intellexa, a company founded by former Israeli intelligence officer Tal Dilian.
In the German espionage investigation, the traffic between Hanning and Yatom involving paid reporting, contacts with electoral candidates, and commercial partnerships does not yet provide conclusive legal evidence regarding the final destination of the roughly 2,000 classified documents.
Nevertheless, the disclosed correspondence gives German investigators a concrete line of inquiry to assess whether classified state secrets reached commercial networks tied to Israeli intelligence.
Diplomacy
Trump dismisses US envoy to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle
US President Donald Trump has dismissed Kimberly Guilfoyle, the US ambassador in Athens, following serious press reports concerning her conduct.
White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia told reporters during her first briefing that Guilfoyle had been asked to resign.
“She was doing a good job, but we didn’t like what we read in the press,” Trump said. “She was not a member of my family. I think she dated my son a long time ago.”
In a social media post, Guilfoyle stated: “These claims are unfounded, and I will resolutely defend my name, reputation, and integrity.” She added that she was particularly proud of the embassy’s work.
According to Kathimerini, her removal came as no surprise in Washington. Days of successive disclosures and vigorous exploitation of the matter by Democrats had been inflicting political damage on the White House ahead of the sensitive midterm elections.
The US State Department was instructed not to comment, with crisis management transferred entirely to the White House.
Reports indicate that most of the president’s team swiftly favoured Guilfoyle’s dismissal, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio was reportedly uneasy with the demonstratively warm public welcome she had staged for him.
Democrats on the House Foreign Affairs Committee have called for an investigation.
“Her resignation does not absolve her of responsibility,” the lawmakers wrote, adding: “While American families struggled to make ends meet, she used her position as a Trump administration official to enrich herself.”
Chargé d’Affaires Josh Huck will assume ambassadorial duties until a successor is chosen.
Meanwhile, Guilfoyle’s departure is expected to cause delays in agreements between Greece and the US.
These include the so-called “Rubio package”, comprising approximately $4 billion in arms deals finalised only days before the secretary of state’s arrival.
Several procedural steps still remain before the contracts can be signed.
In Athens, opposition parties are demanding answers. Dimitris Mantzos of PASOK called for a detailed briefing on the agreements reached during Rubio’s visit.
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