Middle East
Türkiye mediates sensitive talks between Hezbollah and Syria’s new government
A Hezbollah delegation was in Türkiye, where Ankara is mediating between Damascus and the resistance.
Ammar al-Moussawi, a Hezbollah parliamentarian and the official responsible for the Lebanese resistance’s international relations, participated in a conference in Türkiye over the weekend.
The visit coincided with diplomatic traffic conducted by Ankara between Hezbollah and Syria’s new administration.
According to Arabi21, Türkiye conveyed messages aimed at de-escalating tensions and ensuring that the parties do not take steps against each other.
Sensitive contact between Damascus and Hezbollah
According to the newspaper El-Modon, Türkiye has positioned itself as a key mediator between Syria, Iran, and Hezbollah. Ankara’s priority at the table is to assure Hezbollah that the Damascus administration will not target it.
In return, Hezbollah and Iran are being asked not to support elements opposed to Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa.
Among the guarantees Ankara seeks is that no activities will be carried out against the new administration in sensitive areas, particularly Syria’s coastal strip.
Conference participants described the meeting as a reconstruction of a common regional will against the Israeli occupation.
It was emphasized that the meeting was part of an effort to strengthen coordination among resistance movements against fragmentation in the region.
Positive atmosphere in talks and a single mediator
The newspaper Nidaa al-Watan reported that Ankara recently brought together a high-level Hezbollah official and a senior figure from the Syrian government.
A source familiar with the matter told the newspaper that the parties addressed extremely sensitive issues, but the outcome of the meeting appeared positive.
The source shared the following details about the content of the negotiations:
“The talks focused on restructuring Damascus’s relations with both Tehran and Hezbollah and readjusting these relationships to serve the interests of all three parties without disrupting the understandings currently being established.”
Stating that Türkiye is well-versed in the details and has taken facilitating steps for the talks to occur, the source noted that other Arab countries were not involved in the process.
SSNP’s participation creates a crisis within the party
During his visit to Türkiye, Moussawi was accompanied by Maher al-Danna, the media officer for the Syrian Social Nationalist Party (SSNP).
The party, which advocates for the idea of a “Greater Syria” that includes Lebanon and is based in Lebanon, is known for its proximity to Hezbollah. The party’s founder, Antoun Saadeh, was executed by the Lebanese government in 1949.
A source from the SSNP told The Cradle that the participation of a party member in the “Jerusalem Adherence” conference held in Türkiye caused shock and anger among them.
The source said, “Our leader Antoun Saadeh was one of the first to draw attention to the threat Türkiye poses to our region.”
The party’s base describes Ankara’s policies in Syria and the region as expansionist and opposes its relations with Israel.
Hezbollah has been actively involved on the ground alongside the former Syrian government since the early years of the Syrian war. The organization was instrumental in retaking some areas from groups like the Al-Qaeda-affiliated Nusra Front and Ahrar al-Sham.
The Nusra Front later changed its name to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS).
HTS stands out as the entity that overthrew the administration of former Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad in 2024 and still holds influence over the Syrian Ministry of Defense.
This Al-Qaeda-affiliated group controlled Lebanon’s northern and eastern border regions in the early stages of the war but was expelled from the area in 2017 by Hezbollah and the Lebanese army.
The Nusra Front, led by Ahmed al-Sharaa, has been held responsible for numerous bombings and assassinations in Lebanon, including in Beirut.
The negotiation table with Israel
Diplomatic traffic has accelerated amid Israel’s ongoing attacks on Lebanon. The Tel Aviv administration is threatening to launch a large-scale war against Lebanon if Hezbollah does not disarm immediately.
The US Special Representative for Syria, Tom Barrack, recently announced that the Syrian government would join Washington’s efforts to neutralize Hezbollah.
Israel claims that despite the weakening of its supply lines following the fall of the Assad government, the Lebanese resistance is still trying to smuggle weapons through Syria.
While the Damascus administration frequently announces that it is preventing arms shipments to Hezbollah, Lebanese officials deny the smuggling allegations.
In recent months, direct negotiations are reported to have been held between the Ahmed al-Sharaa government and Israel. Barrack announced in September that a Syrian-Israeli security agreement was nearly complete.
It is suggested that one of the key elements of a potential agreement in the now-stalled talks is intelligence sharing.
According to the Israeli press, this cooperation includes joint action against the “Axis of Resistance,” targeting Iran and Hezbollah.
Middle East
US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt
The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.
The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.
Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.
A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.
Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.
A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”
This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.
An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”
The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.
The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.
The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.
A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.
In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.
The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.
Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.
Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.
In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.
Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.
This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.
Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.
Middle East
Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks
Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.
This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.
United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.
Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.
The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.
Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.
Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.
“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.
Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.
The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.
Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.
Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.
Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.
Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.
The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.
Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.
Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.
Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”
Middle East
Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.
Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.
Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.
The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.
The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”
Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.
Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.
Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.
Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”
Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.
According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:
“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”
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