Connect with us

INTERVIEW

We asked experts about BRICS – 2: Can Türkiye join BRICS?

Published

on

With President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s participation in the 16th BRICS Summit in Kazan, Russia, and the discussions about Türkiye’s potential membership in the group gaining attention, we spoke with one of Russia’s leading experts on Türkiye, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Maria Kolesnikova. She is an Associate Professor in the Department of Regional Studies at the Institute of International Relations and the Faculty of Social and Political Sciences at Moscow State Linguistic University.

Ilber Vasfi Sel: Ms. Kolesnikova, thank you for agreeing to this interview. We have some questions regarding the developments at the BRICS Summit. How do you assess Türkiye’s application for BRICS membership? There has been considerable discussion about this in Türkiye. Some view this move as a balancing act or a quest for “strategic independence” by a NATO member with close ties to the West, while others are concerned it could distance Türkiye from its Western allies. What is your perspective?

Maria Kolesnikova: The current phase in the evolution of international relations, marked by the acceleration of global processes and the emergence of new formats for integrated cooperation, is expanding the scope of Türkiye’s diplomatic activities. Framing Ankara’s foreign policy as a choice between the West and the East is misleading. In reality, Türkiye is not ideologically aligning itself with either side. Instead, it employs a broad array of “local” strategies to capitalize on opportunities wherever it can achieve a favorable balance of power.

Ankara aims to secure its long-term interests in the non-Western world through bilateral contacts and participation in influential regional structures. In this context, BRICS serves as a significant platform for Türkiye to present its initiatives and strengthen dialogue with non-Western countries. Additionally, BRICS aligns with Türkiye’s vision of a new world order, where it seeks to position itself as an independent global player, not bound to any particular power bloc, while avoiding isolation from global affairs.

At the same time, Türkiye remains economically and militarily connected to the Western bloc due to binding agreements and elements of trade and financial dependence. It is also evident that Ankara uses its association with BRICS strategically to enhance its negotiating leverage in discussions with Western partners. It is important to recognize that for Türkiye, these two foreign policy directions are not mutually exclusive; in fact, the country is deeply invested in pursuing both simultaneously. Therefore, Turkish leaders’ statements about BRICS membership do not signal an ideological quest for a “third way” but rather a pursuit of greater autonomy in foreign relations.

Another advantage of BRICS for Türkiye is the group’s flexible framework, which aligns well with Türkiye’s diplomatic style and can be adapted to suit the political climate.

Ilber Vasfi Sel: Considering these points and the recent summit, how would you assess the current state of Turkish-Russian relations?

Maria Kolesnikova: Türkiye’s flexible foreign policy approach creates a degree of uncertainty in bilateral relations, but it also allows for finding common ground. The ongoing format of leaders meeting on the sidelines of major events highlights the complexities in filling the bilateral agenda. Several issues remain unresolved, such as difficulties in banking transactions that hinder trade, increased military cooperation between Türkiye and Ukraine, and supply challenges for the Akkuyu nuclear power plant. Nonetheless, we expect Moscow and Ankara to continue working toward harmonizing their positions and efforts to avoid a major crisis, as neither side has an interest in escalating tensions, as was demonstrated during the recent BRICS Summit.

Ilber Vasfi Sel: Thank you for sharing your insights and for taking the time to speak with us. Your comments provide valuable perspective on Turkish public opinion.

Our interviews will continue. Stay tuned to Harici for more updates on BRICS.

We asked experts about BRICS – 1: Can the independent BRICS payment system succeed?

INTERVIEW

We asked experts about BRICS – 1: Can the independent BRICS payment system succeed?

Published

on

For several days, global attention has been focused on the BRICS Summit in Kazan, the capital of the Republic of Tatarstan, Russian Federation. BRICS, one of the leading umbrella organizations in the movement toward a multipolar world order, has begun to outline to the global public how it plans to balance its geopolitical influence with its core economic objectives. To gain more insight, we asked Russian experts about BRICS and the summit.

Prof. Dr. Stanislav Tkachenko of the Department of European Studies, Faculty of International Relations, at St. Petersburg State University—and a member of the Valdai Club—shared his views on the economic goals and future of BRICS, especially in light of developments at the summit.

Ilber Vasfi Sel: Dr. Tkachenko, first of all, on behalf of Harici, we would like to thank you for your time. In light of the recent BRICS Summit, we have some questions for you. Russia has proposed an independent payment system for the BRICS countries as an alternative to the US-dominated global financial system. What are the main features of this plan, and how likely is it to succeed?

Stanislav Tkachenko: Due to the sanctions imposed on Russia by the West, Russia has been compelled to establish financial institutions parallel to those in the global economy. The requirements for a new payment system, intended to function similarly to SWIFT, are straightforward:

  1. It must be free from control by any single state.

  2. It should not be subject to political use.

  3. It should provide non-discriminatory access with clear rules for use.

The United States and its allies, who have been actively pressuring Russia economically under Washington’s directive, should not have a role in developing or managing this system.

Beyond excluding the US and its allies, the new system must also meet a set of technical and organizational requirements for its success. Here are some of the essential conditions for the BRICS independent payment system:

  1. Since BRICS countries are not discussing a single currency, the new system will operate through payments in national currencies. It will be genuinely multipolar, with the major BRICS currencies, such as the Chinese yuan, Indian rupee, Russian ruble, and UAE dirham, serving as central currencies.

  2. The monetary policies of participating countries will need to ensure transparent, fair access for all external parties, allowing for cross-border transfers, currency exchange rate stability, and moderate inflation, with minimal budget deficits.

  3. The payment system will leverage digital currencies, which offer the security needed for transactions and will limit Western countries’ capacity to impose sanctions on these payments.

The chances of success for this project are nearly 100%. Russia, India, and China, the three largest BRICS nations, have shown clear support for its implementation. The failure of the US sanctions war against Russia has demonstrated that the economies of the ‘global majority’ are resilient enough to withstand external pressures. The establishment of a “collective financial and economic defense system” under BRICS is key to supporting multipolarity in political and military-strategic spheres. Building a fair and effective multipolar system will be a task for future generations, and the independent BRICS payment system is a significant step in that direction.

Ilber Vasfi Sel: We have a follow-up question. Recently, it was announced that BRICS plans to create an independent payment system based on digital currencies and blockchain. Could this address the payment issues faced by countries under sanctions?

Stanislav Tkachenko: Yes, blockchain and digital national currencies are currently recognized as the most reliable methods for safeguarding cross-border financial transactions from foreign interference. The previous system, which relied on the dollar as a universal currency, allowed Washington to control global transactions through correspondent dollar accounts held in US banks.

With the introduction of a system enabling BRICS member countries—and public and private organizations—to make direct payments without relying on American intermediary banks, several goals can be achieved:

  1. Financial settlements not tied to Western currencies can be shielded from external control.

  2. The duration of such settlements can be significantly shortened. Currently, currency conversions involving the US dollar can take several days, whereas the new system could reduce transaction time to just minutes.

  3. BRICS countries using this system will be able to protect themselves from potential crises in the US dollar due to the United States’ considerable debt and an interventionist foreign policy that fuels instability in regions such as Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and the South China Sea.

Ilber Vasfi Sel: Thank you for your insightful answers, which will certainly help the Turkish public better understand BRICS and its agenda. We appreciate your valuable time.

Stay tuned to Harici for continued coverage and expert insights on BRICS.

Continue Reading

DIPLOMACY

Indian academician: ‘BRICS is a platform to defuse India-China tensions’

Published

on

Dr. Rajiv Ranjan, Associate Professor, East Asian Studies at the University of Delhi, commented on India’s expectations regarding the BRICS Summit to Harici: “I think it is wrong to think that India-China rivalry or disagreements are weakening BRICS. From the Xiamen Summit in 2017 to the Kazan Summit in 2024, BRICS has emerged as one of the international platforms to defuse tensions between India and China. The India-China tension has not affected BRICS in any way.”

While the West is eyeing the points of ‘disagreement’ at the 16th BRICS Summit that started in Kazan, hosted by Russia, an important step came from China and India, two rival countries in the grouping that have been at the forefront of disagreement and conflict between them.

Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar said the agreement on military patrols in certain areas brings the situation back to where it was before the deadly border clash in 2020, adding that the “distancing process” with China has been completed. Beijing confirmed that the two sides had “reached a settlement” as a result of “close communication on relevant border issues through diplomatic and military channels”.

This was seen as a development that would pave the way for a meeting between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Kazan. It is expected to be the first official meeting between Xi and Modi since the 2020 conflict, which created a lasting strain in relations between the two countries.

Prior to the summit, Western experts had said that it would be difficult for BRICS to develop a common position and adopt a common stance, especially in light of the conflict between the two countries. However, this development shows that BRICS is playing a positive role in resolving conflicts between member countries.

We discussed the meaning and importance of BRICS for India and New Delhi’s expectations from the Kazan Summit with Assoc. Prof. Rajiv Ranjan from East Asian Studies at the University of Delhi.

What do BRICS mean for India? What are India’s expectations from this summit?

BRICS for India is a grouping of countries which reflects their aspiration to build better world, which is equitable and just. BRICS also represents new reality of these new emerging countries in the world. BRICS is united to help and assist countries of Global South to develop, both economically and politically.

From this summit , which is after recent expansion of BRICS, India hopes to get better voice for countries of Global South. Prime Minister is expected to meet both Russian President Putin and Chinese president Xi Jinping on sidelines of the summit too. This is essential for India to usher the multipolar Asia and world order. India promote trade and economic development, protect interests of global south in climate change negotiations and fight against terrorism.

For Putin, this summit is considered important both symbolically and practically. What do you think? How do you evaluate the importance of this summit for Russia?

Since Russia -Ukraine war, Russia is under sanctions both political and economically by united West. Russia may like to garner support to counter these pressures.

The dispute and competition between China and India is seen as one of the weaknesses of BRICS. Do you agree? On what issues might the two countries clash at this BRICS summit? Is the expansion agenda one of them?

I think this is the wrong way to project and infer that India – China competition or disputes any way weakens BRICS. In fact, BRICS has emerged as one of the international platforms which defuses the tension between India and China, from Xiamen Summit 2017 to Kazan Summit 2024. In no way India China tension has impacted BRICS.

BRICS expansion had enabled India to reach to greater audiences in Global South. As we know that expansion of BRICS is not decided by one member but all so it wrong to say that any one can have more influences or dictate the terms to other.

China had called for BRICS to “transform into a new type of multilateral cooperation mechanism”. China is said to see BRICS as a tool for its political and strategic goals towards the international system. Do you agree?

Ans. Every member countries has its own agenda and objectives. But remember that BRICS is a collective identity and not foreign policy of one country. BRICS is formed to enlarge and protect the interests of its member countries. As PRIME Minister Modi had remarked earlier BRICS is not against any other country. We have to see BRICS as a positive voice in international system and not anti west grouping.

So don’t you agree with the approach that BRICS is an alternative to Western-centered institutions and functioning?

BRICS is an alternative but not necessarily against the west. It is designed to protect and create more equitable and just order. It is not designed to oppose but create complementary to the existing institutions and structures.

BRICS has an important place in the world economy. De-dollarization in trade and alternative payment systems between member countries are on the agenda of this summit. How do you evaluate this? Do you see it realistic?

BRICS, if it can come up with its own currency, then it will provide alternative to existing payment system. Domination of one currency is not good for global south. The world is moving towards multipolar order and thereby it’s natural that there are payment systems which is not controlled and exploited by few institutions or countries. Thereby having more payment alternatives in fact, usher economic multipolarity.

Well, it looks little complicated given the very nature of BRICS and above all of would be united efforts of a group of countries leading to a payment system not dominated by one but true multilateral payment system.

Continue Reading

INTERVIEW

What awaits Georgia after the elections?

Published

on

As an independent state more than 30 years after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Georgia faces a number of domestic and international challenges. On the one hand, the small Caucasian country is seeking rapprochement with the European Union and NATO, while on the other it is struggling with geopolitical pressures such as Russia’s occupation of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.

In this turbulent period, the Georgian people are once again going to the polls to decide their fate. The parliamentary elections on 26 October have the potential to affect not only the domestic political balance, but also Georgia’s relations with the West and its regional security strategy.

The country’s current political power, the Georgian Dream party, is at the centre of criticism for its tensions with the European Union (EU) and the United States, as well as its close ties with Russia. Georgia’s EU membership process and its struggle for territorial integrity could take a new direction depending on the outcome of these critical elections. It has been reported that Georgia’s EU accession process has been halted following the adoption of the controversial ‘Transparency of Foreign Influence’ law.

Director and founder of News Day Georgia news agency, have been doing journalism for 35 years since the fall of Soviet Union. 

Can you summarize the transformation of Georgia and Georgian politics before and after the Soviet Union? Now, Georgia is at the gate of the European Union. What can you say about today?

These 30 years have been really difficult regarding economic problems. Today we have a really interesting and important moment. We will have Parliamentary elections on October 26. This election is very important but the ruler of today Georgian Dream which was established by billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili has won three parliamentary election until now.

Do you trust the elections in Georgia regarding security?

This is difficult to answer but we have not facts proving that the elections are won illegally. We only have the rumors that there is not election safety. At the pre-election stage, so far, everything is taking place in a more or less normal environment. Before those three elections, things were also same. 

You said that 26 October elections are very important. Georgian Dream has still running the country. What is the scenario for post-election period? Do you think Georgian Dream is going to win the elections once more or what happens if they lose? What are the expected outcomes of the election?

Georgian Dream wants to win the election once more and rule the country until 2030 at least. They say that “We are normal government which gives Georgian people peace but not war.” “If we win, we guarantee our people peace.” This is their campaign discourse: “No war.” They are telling people “you will choose whether you want war or peace by your vote”. But we also have political opposition which will participate in the elections. In general, it’s Georgian people’s choice. People will decide who will win. In my opinion, the majority will vote for the opposition. This is very important that today Georgian Dream has very bad relations with the United States, the EU and NATO. They have good relations only with Russian Federation. The majority of the population is not happy with this situation. Russia has occupied South Ossetia and Abkhazia and this is no good for our country. 

Russia’s strategy is to create a buffer zone in the regions where there is possibility of NATO’s rapprochement. In case there will be a clash between NATO and Russia, those buffer zones will be used. Russia applies the same strategy in Donbass region, in South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Do you presume that Georgian Dream is highly aware of this strategy and they believe that if they sustain good relations with Russia, they are preventing more occupation by Russia?

I think this idea will not save the country. Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs Sergey Lavrov said that they will not cancel the recognition of independence in Georgian territory. They recognized the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia and now he says that they will not reconsider this situation. There is no question about it. There is not a possibility that if we have close relations with Russia, they will give us our land back. They have already recognized the independence of those regions. In South Ossetia and Abkhazia, there are Russian troops and military bases. 

Majority of Georgian people want South Ossetia and Abkhazia to be returned to Georgia. They want Russian troops to step back. And in this case, the US and the EU do not want to have relations with Georgian government while Georgian Dream is ruling. In the previous week, Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhizde was in the US for the United Nations General Assembly. He received an invitation from the US President Joe Biden for the Gala dinner of the event. Just before one hour of the Gala dinner, the US side cancelled the invitation of Kobakhidze because the US thinks that Kobakhidze is not a friend of the West. Georgian government also declares negative statement regarding the US and the EU.

Then, why did the US invite Georgian Prime Minister in the first if they think that Kobakhidze is not a friend of Washington? And done hour before the event, they decided to cancel. Was it a kind of revenge? Maybe the US wanted to damage the image of Georgia in front of international community.

This is very good question. I don’t know why they invite and then cancel. If they did not invite at all, it would be better. First inviting and then cancelling it is worse. The US might want to damage the image of not Georgia but the government. The US put 60 Georgian politicians from the government in the sanction list, cancelled their visa and also applied financial sanctions. This is because of LGBT and foreign agency law. Yes, I agree that the US did it in purpose. Because, for example, some official delegations come to Georgia from the US or NATO and Georgian government does not meet with them and they ignore them. Georgian government always criticize the US. If you behave in this way and they can do the same or even the worse.

Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Role in Georgian Politics: Despite announcing his retirement, Bidzina Ivanishvili is widely believed to still have a strong influence over Georgian Dream and politics in Georgia. How do you view his continued involvement in politics, and what impact does it have on Georgian democracy?

He is very rich person and he rules all politics in Georgia including government, parliament, justice system and more. He controls everything. That’s why he wanted to stay, so that he could continue to govern not openly. He doesn’t occupy, but he sits there. He is like for democracy in Georgia, this is very bad. And that’s why we can’t develop. If he controls everything, that’s why Americans and Europeans say that this is not democracy and while he is ruling everything we cannot contribute to the democracy of Georgia. For Georgian democracy, 20 years rule of the same party is not good. It is like dictatorship. 

There is another important point. Ivanishvili was also presenting the pre-election program. Now he is emphasizing that we will win, and this time they will remain after this, they will condemn here all the opposition parties, judge them and close the parties. They accuse opposition parties that they started the war with Russia in 2008 and cause the occupation of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. 

Do you think that opposition parties can challenge Georgian Dream in the elections? What do the public polls say? Is there any powerful opposition party which can win against Georgian Dream?

Georgian people will decide whom to win. I cannot say that Georgian Dream has no support. They also have their strong supporters. It is, in this case, hard to tell who is going to win. According to public polls, if there will be election tomorrow, Georgian Dream will get 35% of the votes. Opposition parties’ votes range from 15% to 20%. There are four opposition parties which are united to join elections under the name of “National Movement”. We will see whether the elections will be safe. There will be also international observers to ensure election security. 

We want four or five political parties’ coalition in the Georgian Parliament. Opposition wants coalition but Georgian Dream wants to 60% of the votes so that they can change constitutional law with the majority threshold. They really want to achieve this. But opposition parties want to take place in the parliament to represent different wishes of the people by establishing a coalition.

Georgia recently achieved EU candidate status, an important milestone. However, concerns about de-oligarchizing and democratic backsliding remain. What reforms do you believe are critical for Georgia to move forward with EU integration?

Georgian people want protection of their rights. But Georgian Dream has already passed the law on foreign agents and banning LGBT propaganda. The EU has suspended the cooperation with the government. If there will not be the protection human rights, we will never be a member to the EU. The problem is that Georgian Dream thinks that those are normal laws and they are good. But the majority of people want to join the EU. That’s why we cannot forecast the future about the EU. 

Russia continues to occupy 20% of Georgian territory, including Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Given the complex geopolitical situation, how does Georgia balance its European aspirations with its ongoing relationship with Russia?

This is a difficult question. There is a risk moment now. In my opinion, we need a balance between the Russia and Europe. Until elections, the situation will go the same. But after the elections, the results will show us which direction Georgia is going. Now, Georgian Dream has very close relations with Russia but if opposition wins, things will change. Maybe the relationship with Moscow will not be cancelled totally, but things can change. Now, Russian citizens can enter Georgia and stay without visa up to 3 months. Maybe, after the elections, if opposition wins, there can be visa applied to Russian citizens. 

It looks like with Georgian Dream, it is actually that European Union is a dream. Is that what you mean?

Yes, as long as Georgian Dream governs our country, there will not be relations with the EU and the US. This is what the EU’s special representative of Georgia told publicly short time ago. 

There have been reports of internal conflicts within Georgian Dream, including leadership reshuffles. Do you foresee any significant changes in the party’s structure or leadership ahead of the next elections?

In the backstage of Georgian Dream, there is only Bidzina Ivanishvili. The leader will be the person who he decides to be. There is not much discussion about it.

With Georgia’s strategic location and ongoing territorial disputes, how do you assess the country’s current security strategy, especially in light of regional instability?

Georgia tries to have a strategy but it is very difficult, because Georgia is a small country with three and a half million people. Against whom can we now have this strategy? What can be the only strategy? Here, if you do not want war from Russia you must receive security, as it is in the case of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Or you should take guarantee from even the US or the EU. From the region from whom can we get protection? From Azerbaijan or from Armenia or from Türkiye? Of course, we must think about protecting ourselves looking at the situation of Ukraine. Russia can cause danger in our country. If Georgia will change its direction and be part of NATO and join the EU, then it can receive protection from the West against Russians. 

Media freedom in Georgia has been a topic of concern. How do you view the current state of journalism and media independence in Georgia, particularly in the face of political pressure as a journalist working in media field for 35 years?

I can say that we have press freedom. There are private television channels including Formula TV supporting opposition. But a very rich businessman bought one tv news channel for opposition and he is not involved in the journalism and administration. There is also pro-government tv channel and newspaper which support Georgian Dream. Still, I cannot say that everything is independent. Media is about money and freedom depends on from where the money is coming because income from ads do not enough all the time. There are two options to finance media; either ads or external financing. 

What do you personally think about the laws on foreign agents and banning LGBT propaganda?

In my opinion, they are very bad laws. The law for foreign agents is not about transparency as it is stated to public. They claim that the aim of the law is to reveal the source of the money but we already have the different laws requiring the transparency of the budgets of civil society organizations and regulating the flow of the money. Similarly, LGBT law is also negative. I am not interested in who is sleeping with whom. Everybody is human and they have right to choose their partners. 

But the law is not about involving in the personal or sexual lives of the people but banning to do propaganda about LGBT.

What does propaganda mean? I do not agree with this. They gather as fifty people. They go to city center and make demonstration in Rustaveli Avenue. Cannot they do it? It is their right. According to the law, they must sit at home and do not go out. What is the problem with propaganda? I am not LGBT. Am I going to change because of their propaganda? There is not any problem. It’s nonsense. Today, on internet you can see all type of pornography. I do not see any problem with those demonstrations. Those people are born with LGBT orientation. I have the constitutional right to demonstrate on anything I want. Why do not they have the same right? I do not say that I approve LGBT or I agree with them. I say that they also have their constitutional right to demonstrate or propaganda. 

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey