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We did not allow what happened in Donbass to happen in Crimea, Consul General says

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The Consul General of Russia in Istanbul, Andrey Buravov, organised a press conference to mark the 10th anniversary of Crimea’s reunification with the Russian Federation. Buravov called the unification the ‘Crimean Spring’. The Russian Consul General emphasised the importance of Vladimir Putin’s re-election victory in the Russian Federation for bilateral relations between Russia and Turkey.

On the occasion of the 10th anniversary of the ‘Crimean Spring’, a photo exhibition was also presented at the Russian Consulate General in Istanbul. Consul General Andrey Buravov, who gave a detailed chronological assessment of the reunification of the historic peninsula with Russia, made the following statements to members of the press:

“The events of the ‘Crimean Spring’ cannot be seen in isolation from the general geopolitical context of relations between Russia and the West. These events became an expression of the fundamental qualitative changes that took place on the world stage after it became absolutely clear that it was increasingly impossible to establish an equal and mutually respectful dialogue between our country and the Western bloc led by the United States. Since the last years of the existence of the USSR and the first years of the existence of the new Russian state, Washington, considering our country to be significantly weakened and internally unstable, has made it a rule to impose its hegemony and approaches in all spheres.”

Andrey Buravov, commenting on the events escalating tensions between the West and Russia, said that Kiev wanted to do in Crimea what it had done in Donbass, but Russia prevented it:

“The inadmissibility of such an approach, which the Western powers had decided to adopt towards the new Russia from the very beginning, was clearly stated by V.V. Putin in his speech in Munich in 2007. A year later, a NATO summit was held in Bucharest, which paved the way for the accession of Ukraine and Georgia to NATO. In 2008, in defiance of Russia’s national interests, the West declared de facto war on us and showed that NATO would not take our country into account. The West provoked the then Georgian leadership into a military adventure in South Ossetia and continued to escalate without drawing any conclusions from our firm and resolute response. At the same time, Washington, together with its satellites, actually began to implement its plan to take Ukraine ‘in its arms’ and turn it into an instrument of deterrence and repression against Russia. This led to a coup d’état in Ukraine in February 2014, which brought openly nationalist and anti-Russian forces to power. These forces launched an open war against their own people in the Donbass and tried to do the same in Crimea. However, they were met by the determined attitude of the Crimean people, who did not want to become victims of nationalists and outcasts in their homeland.”

The Russian Consul General recalled that in the referendum held on 16 March 2014, 96.77% of the residents of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and 95.6% of the residents of Sevastopol voted in favour of reunification with Russia.

Buravov also answered journalists’ questions about the ongoing Western arms deliveries and the course of the conflict. The Russian consul general said he was aware that mercenaries and officers from some countries were serving on the Ukrainian front. Burarov, who believes that there is little chance of improving relations with the West in the short term, said that developments on this issue depend on the decisions to be taken in Western capitals.

Responding to questions about the security situation in Crimea, Buravov noted that despite certain problems, daily life was continuing and that major infrastructure investments were being made in the region.

DIPLOMACY

Argentina and the IMF: Negotiations begin for a new $44bn agreement

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Argentina is pursuing a new agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to replace its current $44 billion arrangement. The effort signals a significant shift in the country’s financial strategy under President Javier Milei’s administration.

IMF Chief Spokesperson Julie Kozack confirmed on Thursday that the Milei government is prioritizing the establishment of a new programme over completing the final reviews of the existing deal inherited from the previous administration. According to a Bloomberg report, Kozack stated, “The authorities have formally expressed their desire to move to a new programme, and negotiations are now underway.”

The discussions intensified following a visit earlier this month by officials from Economy Minister Luis Caputo’s office and the central bank to Washington, where they engaged with IMF representatives.

The central question in the negotiations revolves around whether the IMF will extend additional financing beyond the $44 billion already allocated to Argentina. Milei had previously suggested an additional $15 billion, although he has not reiterated this figure recently. However, Caputo indicated this week that new funding could be included as part of the prospective programme.

If the parties reach an agreement, it would mark Argentina’s 23rd programme with the IMF since 1958 and its third since 2018. Historically, the IMF’s interventions in Argentina have faced criticism, as many past agreements failed to stabilize the economy. Successive governments often violated programme objectives, raising doubts about the effectiveness of IMF support in the country.

President Milei and his chief negotiator, Caputo, have a history of strained relations with the IMF. Earlier this year, Milei publicly criticized Rodrigo Valdes, one of the IMF’s senior officials, leading to Valdes stepping back from negotiations. Similarly, Caputo clashed with the IMF during his tenure as finance minister in 2018, particularly over exchange rate policies, which eventually prompted his resignation after a short stint as central bank governor.

Despite these tensions, the IMF has commended the Milei administration for implementing measures to cut spending, reduce inflation, and narrow gaps between the country’s various exchange rates.

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Trump threatens tariffs on the EU over energy purchases

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U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has issued a warning to the European Union (EU), stating that the bloc may face tariffs if it does not increase its purchases of U.S. oil and gas on a “large scale.”

“I told the European Union that they must close the enormous gap with the United States by buying our oil and gas on a large scale. Otherwise, TARIFFS!!! in every way!!!” Trump declared in a post on the Truth Social platform on Friday.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen previously suggested that the EU could explore the possibility of importing more liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the U.S. “We still buy a lot of LNG from Russia, and why not replace it with American LNG, which is cheaper for us and lowers our energy prices?” von der Leyen remarked to reporters in November.

An EU official, speaking to the Financial Times (FT), noted the peculiarity of Trump’s threat, given von der Leyen’s earlier openness to the idea of increasing LNG imports from the U.S.

Currently, the United States is Europe’s largest supplier of LNG, though Russia remains the EU’s second-largest source. The possibility of replacing Russian LNG with U.S. imports aligns with the EU’s efforts to diversify its energy sources.

Trump has also floated the possibility of a general tariff of up to 20% on all non-Chinese imports, which could have significant implications for EU-U.S. trade relations.

In November, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde urged European leaders to engage with the U.S. on trade matters, including tariffs, and to consider purchasing more U.S.-manufactured goods. This call for cooperation echoes measures taken during Trump’s first term, when then-European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker pledged to buy more U.S. gas to avert the risk of a trade war.

Global oil prices have shown sensitivity to these developments. On Friday, international oil benchmark Brent crude prices dropped 0.4% to $72.61 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures also fell 0.4%, trading at $69.14 per barrel.

The U.S., currently the world’s largest producer of crude oil and exporter of LNG, has been strengthening its energy trade partnerships. Buyers, including the EU and Vietnam, are reportedly considering increased fuel purchases from the U.S., partly to mitigate the risk of potential tariffs.

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London pushes for continued U.S. support to Ukraine amid leadership transition

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UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer urged Donald Trump on Wednesday to ensure that Western allies “stand together” in supporting Ukraine against Russian aggression.

During a phone call with the U.S. president-elect, their second conversation since Trump’s electoral victory in November, Starmer emphasized the importance of unified support for Ukraine, stating that “allies must stand with Ukraine… and ensure that Ukraine is in the strongest possible position.”

A spokesperson for the British Prime Minister’s Office described the discussion as highlighting a “shared desire to strengthen the close and historic relationship between the United Kingdom and the United States.”

Starmer began the call by congratulating Trump on his recent team appointments. Trump responded by “warmly recounting” his recent meeting with Prince William, Prince of Wales, in Paris earlier this month, according to the Prime Minister’s Office.

As Trump prepares to take office next month, he has expressed intentions to seek a deal to end the war in Ukraine, though he has also publicly criticized certain Western policies, including the approval of missile supplies to Ukraine for use on Russian soil.

In an interview with The Sun on Tuesday, Starmer expressed hope to revive trade talks with the incoming U.S. administration. These negotiations had stalled two years ago under President Joe Biden. The leaders also expressed mutual anticipation of meeting in person “at the first opportunity.” According to the i newspaper, Starmer may visit the U.S. in early February.

Meanwhile, The Telegraph reported that Starmer’s chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney, conducted private meetings with senior members of Trump’s team earlier this month. McSweeney traveled to Florida to meet Susie Wiles, Trump’s chief of staff-designate, who played a pivotal role in managing his re-election campaign. He also held discussions in Washington with Congressman Mike Waltz, Trump’s incoming National Security Adviser.

A senior source in the Prime Minister’s Office described the interactions as “very warm,” adding that “President Trump has a warm approach to the UK. As the year draws to a close, the Starmer team is confident that the UK is well-placed for a strong bilateral relationship with the new president.”

Starmer’s delegation to the U.S., which began on December 2, included Jonathan Powell, former chief of staff to Tony Blair and now Starmer’s national security adviser. Together with McSweeney, Powell engaged in policy discussions on Ukraine, China, and the Middle East, identifying areas of alignment and divergence between the two leaders.

According to The Telegraph, those close to Starmer believe Trump is currently in “listening mode” on Ukraine, carefully evaluating strategies to fulfill his campaign promise of resolving the conflict “on day one” of his presidency.

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