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Western countries join forces to break China’s grip on critical minerals

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Western countries are directing their development finance and export credit agencies to work with the private sector to support critical mining projects in a bid to break China’s dominance of a sector vital to high-tech industries.

The Financial Times (FT) reports that the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP), a group of 14 countries and the European Commission seeking to increase international cooperation and pledge financial support for a giant nickel project in Tanzania backed by mining monopoly BHP, will unveil a new financing network at an event in New York today (23 September).

MSP member countries are: Australia, Canada, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Norway, Sweden, the United Kingdom, the United States and the European Commission.

In a joint statement to be released during the UN General Assembly, the network will “strengthen cooperation, promote information sharing and co-financing”.

Companies such as BlackRock and Goldman will also attend the meeting

The statement lists 10 critical mining projects that have already received support from MSP partner governments.

The meeting, which will be attended by representatives from BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Rio Tinto and Anglo American, is part of an effort to encourage private investors and mining companies to invest more in the sector.

Jose Fernandez, US undersecretary of state for economic growth, said another 30 critical mineral mining projects were being evaluated by the MSP at a time when Western governments are racing to secure the raw materials needed to produce everything from electric cars to advanced weapons.

Washington accuses Beijing of ‘overproduction and predatory pricing’

What China is doing is following the monopolist’s playbook to eliminate competition,’ Fernandez claimed, accusing Beijing of ‘overproduction and predatory pricing’ to maintain its grip on the global supply of critical minerals.

We recognise that we cannot solve this problem with one country, we are stronger together,’ Fernandez said in an interview with the FT.

Chinese companies control 90 per cent of the world’s rare earth processing capacity and more than half of the processing capacity for cobalt, nickel and lithium minerals used to make batteries for electric vehicles.

The aim is to wean low-income countries off China

“They’ve had the only game in town; we’re changing that,” said Abigail Hunter, executive director of the SAFE Center for Critical Minerals Strategy, an NGO working with the US State Department to promote investment in the critical minerals supply chain.

The goal is to “provide an alternative to China in terms of financing, especially for low-income countries,” says Hunter.

The US Development Finance Corporation (DFC) will issue a letter of intent to provide debt financing for a mining project in Tanzania that will loosen China’s and Indonesia’s control over the supply of nickel, a key battery component.

The Kabanga nickel project is being developed by Lifezone Metals, an Isle of Man-based company 17 per cent owned by BHP.

The project is a challenge to the Chinese-backed investment that has reshaped the nickel market in Indonesia, giving the country a virtual monopoly and increasing its share of global production to 55 per cent from 16 per cent in 2017.

Call for more space for public-private partnerships

“The DFC declined to say how much it would lend to the project. Our main focus is to ensure that the private sector gets its fair share and has the necessary tools to provide the financing and investment to stimulate growth in this sector,” said DFC chief executive Scott Nathan.

Private investors believe that increased demand for the commodities needed to drive the energy transition will create a profitable and more stable market.

But they say more support and public-private collaboration is needed to attract more capital. Dominic Raab, former UK deputy prime minister and head of global affairs at Appian Capital Advisory, a major investor in critical minerals, said: “Investors wouldn’t look at these businesses if it weren’t for the potential returns, but that’s difficult. The question is whether we can put the needle in ourselves. I think we are starting to put the bones of a plan together, but we don’t have the scale yet and we need to show staying power,” he said.

Diplomacy

Trump administration resumes weapon shipments to Ukraine after pause

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The administration of US President Donald Trump has resumed shipments of certain types of weapons to Ukraine after a one-week pause.

According to reports from Reuters and the Associated Press (AP), citing sources familiar with the matter, Kyiv has once again begun receiving 155mm artillery shells and high-precision Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) missiles.

The exact timing of the shipment resumption and the quantity of ammunition sent are unknown.

Previously, the US had frozen the transfer of 8,400 155mm artillery shells, 142 Hellfire missiles, 252 missiles for HIMARS multiple launch rocket systems, and 30 interceptor missiles for Patriot air defense systems.

Pentagon’s decision caught Trump by surprise

The Pentagon suspended military aid to Ukraine in early July. According to sources speaking to CNN, Trump had instructed Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to conduct an audit of weapon stockpiles, and Hegseth, without informing the White House, halted all arms shipments to Ukraine during the audit.

Hegseth’s decision caught Trump by surprise. The White House announced that it had not issued an order to stop military aid to Kyiv.

Following a phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Trump promised to provide more weapons to Kyiv and instructed the Pentagon to consider sending an additional Patriot air defense system.

The US President stated, “They are being hit very hard, very hard. So we will look into this matter.”

As noted by The Wall Street Journal, if the US sends a new air defense system to Kyiv, it would be the first time Trump has approved a new shipment of heavy weaponry to Ukraine. Until now, Washington had only continued shipments approved during the tenure of former President Joe Biden.

US quadruples Patriot procurement

Meanwhile, according to Bloomberg, the US military plans to allocate more than $1.3 billion for the procurement of missiles for Patriot air defense systems in the new fiscal year starting October 1.

The report stated that the Pentagon has “quietly” quadrupled the total planned procurement volume of these air defense missiles.

According to the report, a group of senior military officials responsible for determining defense needs revised the procurement parameters in April, increasing the planned number of interceptor missiles from 3,376 to 13,773.

Bloomberg emphasized that this sharp increase in procurement volume highlights the US military’s growing reliance on PAC-3 MSE missiles in particular.

This situation also aligns with the efforts of the US and its allies to strengthen their air and missile defense systems.

For example, Ukraine relies heavily on Patriot batteries and the missiles supplied for these systems to repel intense Russian attacks on its cities.

According to budget records, the US had purchased 2,047 of these missiles by the start of the 2024 fiscal year. An additional 230 were acquired in 2024, and 214 in 2025.

For the year 2026, $945.9 million has been requested for the procurement of 224 new interceptor missiles. Of this amount, $549.6 million will come from the base budget, and $396.3 million will be covered under the “Atlantic Resolve” program, which aims to strengthen NATO’s defense in Europe.

Kremlin: Military aid will not end the war

The Kremlin has stated that the continuation of military aid to Ukraine will not contribute to ending the war.

Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said, “It will take time to definitively clarify which specific shipments, and in what quantities, will continue to arrive in Ukraine from the US.”

However, according to sources close to the Kremlin speaking to The New York Times, Russian President Vladimir Putin believes that Ukraine’s defense could collapse in the coming months and refuses to halt the conflict without significant concessions from Kyiv.

The news site Axios reported that during his phone call with Zelenskyy, Trump promised to urgently send ten interceptor missiles for Patriot systems to Kyiv.

Before this call, Trump had met with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. Merz had called for the resumption of missile shipments and expressed readiness to purchase additional Patriot batteries from the US to transfer to Ukraine.

According to sources, although no concrete agreement was reached, the matter continues to be discussed.

In a statement to the press at the White House, Trump also confirmed his intention to increase arms shipments to Kyiv, stating, “They must be able to defend themselves. They are taking very heavy blows right now.”

The Pentagon also confirmed that, on Trump’s instructions, additional “defensive weapons” will be sent so that Ukraine can maintain its positions until a lasting peace is achieved.

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Diplomacy

US buyers bypass China’s critical mineral ban via Thailand and Mexico

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According to customs and shipping records, an extraordinary flow of antimony—a metal used in batteries, chips, and flame retardants—began entering the US from Thailand and Mexico after China banned shipments to the US last year. Records obtained by Reuters indicate that at least one Chinese company is involved in this trade, revealing how US buyers of critical minerals are circumventing China’s export ban.

China dominates the supply of antimony, as well as gallium and germanium, which are crucial for telecommunications, semiconductors, and military technology. On December 3, Beijing banned the export of these minerals to the US following pressure from Washington on China’s chip sector.

Trade data suggests that US shipments are being rerouted through third countries, a situation that Chinese officials have acknowledged. This assessment was confirmed by executives from two US companies, who told Reuters they have sourced restricted minerals from China in recent months.

According to US customs data, the US imported 3,834 metric tons of antimony oxide from Thailand and Mexico between December and April. This volume is nearly greater than the total from the previous three years combined. Meanwhile, Chinese customs data shows that Thailand and Mexico have become top-three destinations for China’s antimony exports this year. Neither country ranked in the top 10 in 2023, the last full year before Beijing imposed the restrictions.

According to the consulting firm RFC Ambrian, there is only one antimony smelter across both Thailand and Mexico, with the Mexican facility having reopened in April. Neither country mines significant quantities of the metal. Despite higher prices, US imports of antimony, gallium, and germanium this year are on pace to meet or exceed pre-ban levels.

Ram Ben Tzion, co-founder and CEO of the digital shipment inspection platform Publican, stated that while there is clear evidence of transshipment, the trade data does not allow for the identification of the specific companies involved. “This is a pattern we’ve seen, and it’s consistent,” he told Reuters, adding that Chinese companies are “extremely creative in circumventing regulations.”

In May, China’s Ministry of Commerce stated that some unspecified foreign entities were “collaborating with domestic smugglers” to bypass export restrictions, declaring that halting such activities was essential for national security. The ministry did not respond to Reuters‘ questions regarding the shift in trade flows since December. The US Department of Commerce, Thailand’s Ministry of Commerce, and Mexico’s Ministry of Economy also did not respond to similar inquiries.

US law does not prohibit American buyers from purchasing antimony, gallium, or germanium of Chinese origin. Chinese firms are permitted to ship these minerals to countries other than the US if they possess the necessary licenses.

Levi Parker, CEO and founder of the US-based company Gallant Metals, told Reuters that he sources approximately 200 kg of gallium from China each month. He declined to identify the parties involved, citing potential repercussions. The process begins with purchasing agents in China who procure the materials from manufacturers. A shipping company then relabels the packages as iron, zinc, or art supplies and routes them through another Asian country.

Parker noted that these workarounds are neither perfect nor cheap. He explained that he would like to import 500 kg regularly, but larger shipments risk scrutiny, prompting Chinese logistics firms to be “very careful” due to the associated risks.

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BlackRock halts work on Ukraine reconstruction fund amid Trump uncertainty

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US-based BlackRock, the world’s largest investment company, has reportedly halted its efforts to find investors for a planned reconstruction fund for Ukraine.

According to a report by Bloomberg that cited sources familiar with the matter, the decision is driven by uncertainties surrounding US President Donald Trump’s position on Ukraine.

The fund was scheduled to be unveiled at a conference on Ukraine’s reconstruction on July 10-11, an event attended by Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Sources indicated that the initiative was close to securing initial support from entities linked to the governments of Germany, Italy, and Poland.

However, with the possibility of Trump returning to the White House in January, BlackRock has decided to temporarily suspend its discussions with institutional investors, citing uncertainty about future support for Ukraine.

Alternative plan from France

Bloomberg has also learned that France is now developing an alternative plan, which includes creating a new fund to replace the initiative that BlackRock has suspended. The effectiveness of this new plan without US participation, however, remains a significant question.

A BlackRock representative stated that the company completed its pro bono advisory work for the Ukraine project in 2024 and currently has “no active commitments” to the Ukrainian government.

“The only discussions that influence BlackRock’s decisions are those the firm has with its clients,” the representative emphasized.

The fund’s $15 billion target

BlackRock Vice Chairman Philipp Hildebrand, who was previously involved in the negotiations, had announced plans to attract at least $500 million from governments, international development banks, and other public donors, along with approximately $2 billion from private investors.

According to Hildebrand, uniting investors under a single consortium would have enabled the direction of at least $15 billion in equity and debt investments toward Ukraine’s reconstruction.

The World Bank estimates that the total cost for Ukraine’s post-war reconstruction exceeds €500 billion. Rebuilding the country’s port infrastructure alone is projected to require at least €1 billion.

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