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Possible US-Russia talks on Ukraine to be held in Riyadh

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Russian and American delegations may meet in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, on February 18 to discuss the Ukraine issue.

Sources informed Kommersant that talks between the US and Russian official delegations on Ukraine could take place in Riyadh.

According to Axios, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will attend the talks, while the US delegation will be headed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

The US delegation is also expected to include the President’s National Security Adviser Mike Waltz and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff.

Bloomberg had previously reported that Russia could be represented at the talks by Vice President Yuri Ushakov, Foreign Intelligence Service Director Sergei Naryshkin, and Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) Chairman Kirill Dmitriev.

US President Donald Trump announced last week that talks between the US and Russia would begin in Saudi Arabia.

Trump stated that these talks would take place before his personal meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, with whom he held a one-and-a-half-hour meeting on February 12 and agreed to work to resolve the military conflict in Ukraine.

Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky is also expected to visit Saudi Arabia in the coming days.

“I will not only meet with Russians,” Zelensky said. “As I said, we see the order of the talks as follows: first the United States, then Europe, and then the Russians.”

US Secretary of State Rubio stated that Ukrainian and European leaders will take part in the decisive stage of the peace talks, while the bilateral meeting between representatives of the United States and Russia is aimed at starting the negotiation process.

According to Bloomberg, Trump expects a cessation of hostilities in Ukraine by Easter, which falls on April 20 this year.

Senior Ukrainian and Western officials told the Financial Times that Trump is trying to reach an agreement with Putin by that date.

Another possible date for a deal is May 9, when Russia will celebrate the 80th anniversary of the end of the Great Patriotic War.

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US proposes Black Sea truce to Russia in Saudi Arabia talks

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The US proposed a truce in the Black Sea to Russia during discussions held in Saudi Arabia. White House National Security Advisor Mike Waltz stated that this step aims to re-establish safe navigation in the Black Sea and could pave the way for a broader peace agreement. The talks also addressed Ukraine’s successes against the Russian navy and Russia’s attacks on energy facilities.

Talks between Russian and US delegations began today in Saudi Arabia, which Washington views as a step toward a more comprehensive peace agreement.

Following Russian President Vladimir Putin’s agreement last week to refrain from attacks on energy facilities for 30 days, the US side hopes to reach an agreement on establishing a truce in the Black Sea.

In a statement to CBS television yesterday, White House National Security Advisor Mike Waltz said that the main topic of the talks, to be held a day after the meeting between Ukrainian and American delegations, would be the declaration of a truce in the Black Sea to re-establish safe navigation.

Waltz suggested that this would lead to a discussion about the “line of control, which is the de facto front line.”

Waltz noted that “technical teams” would conduct Monday’s talks.

According to a source familiar with the preparation process, as reported by Reuters, the US delegation will include Andrew Peak, Senior Director of the National Security Council, and Michael Anton, a senior official from the State Department.

The Russian side is represented by Grigory Karasin, a former diplomat who currently chairs the Federation Council Committee on International Affairs, and the Head of the Operational Information and International Relations Department of the Federal Security Service (FSB).

Last week, following a phone call between Donald Trump and Putin, Putin agreed to support a 30-day halt to attacks on energy facilities, which the US and Ukraine had previously agreed upon.

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Market turbulence continues after arrest of Istanbul mayor

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The uncertainty remains whether the turbulence that began in the markets following the arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu will continue.

According to Bloomberg, the costs of borrowing Turkish lira in the offshore market and insuring the country’s debt against default are hovering near the levels they set last week, a sign that traders remain nervous after a turbulent period for the market.

The offshore rate was at 187% as of 8:18 AM in Istanbul, close to its highest level since June 2023. Turkey’s five-year credit default swap stood at 327 basis points, little changed from Friday’s level, reaching a one-year high.

These movements indicate that investors are preparing for more volatility in Turkish assets on Monday, according to Bloomberg.

The lira weakened by 0.1%, trading at 38.0086 per dollar at 8:21 AM in Istanbul, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

İmamoğlu’s detention last week caused panic in the markets, leading to a fall in the Turkish lira and the stock market, and a rise in bond yields.

The country’s leading economic and financial institutions quickly began working to limit this impact.

According to Bloomberg‘s report, citing people familiar with the matter, the Central Bank held a meeting with bank executives on Sunday to discuss potential market fluctuations and steps to be taken. The Banks Association later said that monetary authorities and lenders had held a “technical meeting.”

According to BloombergHT, citing unnamed sources, Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek also held a meeting with regulatory agencies on measures to be taken against market turbulence.

Turkey’s market regulator, the Capital Markets Board (CMB), also announced a wide range of measures on Sunday night to boost the market. These steps included a ban on short selling, looser conditions for share buybacks, and a reduction in the minimum equity protection requirement for margin trading.

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Pashinyan announces 2027 referendum for Armenia’s new constitution

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In an interview on state television, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan announced plans to hold a referendum in 2027 to adopt a new constitution for the country.

According to News.am, Pashinyan stated, “We will proceed with the adoption of a new constitution. We are planning to hold a referendum in 2027.”

Last September, Pashinyan indicated Armenia’s readiness to amend the constitution to sign a peace agreement with Azerbaijan.

He noted that this could occur if the Armenian Constitutional Court ruled that the document was inconsistent with the country’s constitution, in which case the constitution would need to be amended.

The changes to the Armenian constitution, aimed at achieving peace with Azerbaijan, may stem from the constitution’s preamble.

The preamble refers to the decision on the reunification of Soviet Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh, referencing the 1990 Declaration of Independence of Armenia regarding the right of nations to self-determination.

Since September 2023, this region has been under Baku’s control following a military operation, and ethnic Armenians, who constituted the majority of the region’s inhabitants, have left Karabakh.

In the interview, Pashinyan also addressed the issue of a resolution with Baku. According to Pashinyan, there is currently an acceptable version of an agreement for both parties.

Azerbaijan and Armenia have recognized each other’s territorial integrity within the borders of the Soviet republics. The Prime Minister stated that he is ready to sign this document.

The agreement will be made public once signed.

Pashinyan said, “The harmonized text of the peace agreement does not contain unilateral obligations for either Azerbaijan or us.”

Pashinyan mentioned that the peace agreement between Baku and Yerevan consists of 17 articles in total.

The agreement includes the recognition of the countries’ sovereignty, as well as the determination and demarcation of borders (a process that began approximately a year ago), the establishment of bilateral diplomatic relations, the abandonment of the deployment of third-country forces along the border, and the mutual withdrawal of lawsuits from international courts.

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