Europe
Germany initiates diplomatic contact with France’s National Rally ahead of presidential election
Germany has begun exploring avenues for cooperation with the right-wing French party National Rally (RN) in the event of an RN victory in the upcoming French presidential election scheduled for next April.
As reported by German Foreign Policy, RN President Jordan Bardella met with Germany’s Ambassador to France in February.
This marks the first time an RN politician has held such a meeting.
In an interview with a prominent German newspaper last week, Bardella announced that following an electoral victory, he plans to cooperate closely with the German government in every possible area, such as refugee control, and praised Germany’s border controls.
Bardella, who is currently leading in presidential election polls, enjoys the backing of far-right billionaire Vincent Bolloré’s media empire and receives economic counsel from Pierre-Édouard Stérin, a close associate of the billionaire.
The RN leadership is currently holding discussions with prominent French business figures, including the heads of Airbus, TotalEnergies, and Renault, as well as Bernard Arnault, the chairman of luxury goods giant LVMH and the wealthiest person outside the United States.
However, Bardella intends to challenge German dominance within the EU.
RN begins securing billionaire support
Polls for the April 2027 presidential election have shown for some time that Bardella, the likely candidate for the RN, would win the first round by a clear margin with more than a third of the vote, and is highly likely to secure victory in the second round.
Nonetheless, doubts persist regarding this outcome should he face Édouard Philippe—who served as President Emmanuel Macron’s first prime minister between 2017 and 2020—in the second round.
In the upcoming election campaign, Bardella is relying on the media empire of billionaire Vincent Bolloré.
Bolloré has used the profits from his conglomerate, Groupe Bolloré, to acquire various newspapers, magazines, radio stations, and TV channels, steering media outlets such as the popular TV channel CNews and the long-established Journal du dimanche toward his own right-wing politics.
Bardella also has the support of billionaire Pierre-Édouard Stérin, who owes his wealth in part to the investment fund Otium Capital.
François Durvye, the former CEO of the fund, stepped down from his position in April to advise Bardella on economic matters with a view to the presidential election.
This situation provides the prospective RN candidate with a significant advantage and private connections.
The RN’s opening to neoliberalism: “The party that best represents my interests as a CEO!”
Bardella and long-time RN leader Marine Le Pen have met repeatedly with leading representatives of the French business community in recent months.
Éric Trappier, the CEO of fighter jet manufacturer Dassault Aviation, had already met with Le Pen and Bardella in May 2024.
This was followed by a meeting with the chairman of the technology and defense group Safran in December 2025, and another meeting with the CEO of Airbus Group, Guillaume Faury, in January 2026.
In April, Le Pen met for the first time with an exclusive group of top executives, including the heads of TotalEnergies, Renault, Engie, Accor, and Bolloré, as well as Bernard Arnault, the head of the luxury goods group LVMH.
With a fortune of approximately $150 billion, Arnault is currently the eleventh-richest person in the world and the wealthiest non-American.
On April 20, Bardella was received by the executive board of the employers’ organization MEDEF and other representatives of French business associations.
In this context, an anonymous billionaire stated that Macron had failed in economic policy, whereas the RN had “become neoliberal,” adding: “Today, as a CEO, the party that best represents my interests is the RN!”
Bardella seeks tax cuts and deregulation for corporates: Potential for clash with Germany
Following two meetings with the leadership of MEDEF and some of the country’s most powerful CEOs, Bardella outlined the core objectives of his economic policy in an interview with the Journal du dimanche.
Accordingly, an RN government would significantly reduce taxes and all forms of regulation for French companies.
On the other hand, Bardella intends to make his first foreign trip as president to Brussels. In his view, the EU—through initiatives such as the Green Deal—is the source of an excessive regulatory framework that threatens to suffocate French companies, and is therefore responsible for the crisis in the French economy.
Furthermore, he believes that the EU, “specifically to serve Germany’s interests,” has reduced France to “a variable in trade policy.”
According to Bardella, a prospective RN government would represent French interests in Brussels with the aim of “reclaiming competitive advantages” that other states have long enjoyed.
Within this framework, Bardella announces his intention to create a “different Europe”: a Europe built on “intergovernmental cooperation” and “national sovereignty.”
This directly contradicts the traditional interests of German industry, which has maintained its hegemony in Europe to this day and favors the closest possible integration within the EU.
German state contacts with the RN underway
Bardella has since taken the first steps to coordinate the policies of a potential RN government with Germany.
As recently revealed, Bardella met with Germany’s Ambassador to France, Stephan Steinlein, in February.
As experts have confirmed, this was the first meeting to take place between a German ambassador and a representative of the RN or its predecessor, the National Front (FN) party.
Nothing is yet known about the content of the meeting. The German Embassy in Paris did not provide further details.
Speaking to Le Monde, an anonymous member of the German government stated that what Germany perceives is “the RN’s transformation into an established party,” noting: “The RN is less radical than the AfD and does not constantly reference National Socialism.”
In December, Bardella was also received by the US Ambassador to France, Charles Kushner.
In April, Israel’s Ambassador to France, Joshua Zarka, received Marine Le Pen.
Advice on independence from the US for Germany: Rafale instead of F-35
Last week, in an interview with the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung newspaper, Bardella also outlined his views on future Franco-German relations.
According to the interview, he views the close ties between the two countries as “indispensable to secure the independence and strategic autonomy of European nations.”
Bardella stated that he sees common ground with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on “reducing bureaucracy,” the “need to build a competitive Europe,” and “migration policy,” and praised Germany’s border controls.
On migration policy, at least, he argues that “national law must… prevail over European law.”
Conversely, Bardella is calling for the resignation of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who he claims is “completely incapable of defending Europe’s interests.”
He announces that after the end of the war in Ukraine, he plans to pull France “out of NATO’s integrated command structures,” just as Charles de Gaulle once did.
At the same time, he supports Franco-German defense projects but insists that, in return, Germany must also purchase French weapons, such as “Rafale fighter jets instead of American F-35s.”
The Rafale is manufactured by Dassault Aviation. The company’s CEO, Éric Trappier, has maintained loose ties with the RN for years.
Reaction to the RN from AfD leader
Following Bardella’s remarks, Tino Chrupalla, co-leader of the Alternative for Germany (AfD), reacted.
Objecting to the RN leader’s praise of Merz’s stance on migration, the AfD leader said, “Bardella must first become president.”
“Rather than throwing himself into the arms of Friedrich Merz, [Bardella] should focus on that,” Chrupalla continued in a statement to the television channel Welt TV.
Chrupalla was also asked about the criticism directed at the AfD by the RN and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni. “I think it is problematic for other parties abroad to interfere in our country,” Chrupalla said, adding that the RN and Meloni suffer from a “lack of information.”
The AfD was expelled last year from the European Parliament’s far-right Identity and Democracy (ID) group, of which the RN is also a member, after an AfD lawmaker made remarks downplaying the crimes of Nazi Germany’s SS.
Europe
High Court rejects Nord Stream’s €580 million insurance claim, citing war exclusion
The High Court of England and Wales has dismissed a €580 million insurance claim brought by Nord Stream AG, the operator of the Nord Stream gas pipelines, over the sabotage of the infrastructure in September 2022.
The ruling rejects the claim brought by Nord Stream AG, in which Russian state energy giant Gazprom holds a majority stake, against a consortium of insurers led by Lloyd’s Insurance Company and Arch Insurance.
According to an analysis by the Financial Times, the decision allows the underwriters to avoid paying out what would have been one of the largest compensation claims in the history of global infrastructure insurance.
In her judgment, High Court Judge Claire Moulder ruled that the destruction of the pipelines was directly linked to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Consequently, she determined that the damage fell under the war exclusion clauses stipulated in the insurance policies.
The court noted that establishing the precise identity of the actor behind the sabotage was not a decisive factor in resolving the insurance dispute.
“It is not necessary to determine who the most likely perpetrator of the sabotage was,” Justice Moulder emphasized in the ruling.
The written judgment examined four potential scenarios regarding who might have been behind the attack. The potential perpetrators identified included Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian-linked non-state actors, or the US. The court concluded that under all of these scenarios, the war remained the dominant cause of the sabotage.
“Even if any of the potential perpetrators carried out the sabotage, the war must be considered a ‘significant cause’ of this action,” the document stated. The judge emphasized that she was not making a definitive finding regarding the culpability of any specific nation.
The ruling further noted that the fact that neither Moscow, Kyiv, nor Washington had claimed responsibility for the attack did not sever the causal link between the war and the strike.
The reasoned judgment also analyzed the potential motivations each actor might have had for carrying out the operation. If the sabotage was executed by Ukraine or Ukrainian-linked forces, the primary objective would likely have been to reduce Russia’s gas export revenues and weaken the Russian economy during the war.
In the event that Russia was behind the act, the ruling suggested Moscow’s motivation would have been to exert pressure on Germany and the European Union, punish them for shifting their policies following the military invasion, and influence their support for Kyiv.
Under the scenario involving potential US participation, the operation would likewise have been directly related to the Russia-Ukraine war.
The court noted that experts appointed by both parties agreed on the technical aspects of the attack. According to expert reports, the damage that disabled three of the pipeline’s four lines was carried out using hexogen-based shaped charges.
Nord Stream AG’s claim that the damage to the fourth line might have been caused by a dropped anchor was rejected by the court. Agreeing with the insurers’ defense, the court accepted that this damage was also largely the result of the same explosion.
Separately, the German Federal Prosecutor General’s Office issued its first arrest warrant in July as part of its investigation into the pipeline sabotage.
According to investigative authorities, the operation was coordinated by Sergey Kuznetsov, a 50-year-old Ukrainian citizen.
Six other Ukrainian citizens, including professional divers and explosives experts, are also alleged to have participated in the sabotage operation.
Europe
EU plans to delay ETIAS visa-free travel registry until 2027 amid airport congestion
The European Union is planning to delay the launch of the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS)—which will require citizens of visa-exempt countries to obtain electronic travel authorization before entering the Schengen area—until 2027.
According to a report by the Financial Times, which cited sources close to the matter, the decision has been driven by ongoing disruptions in the currently active biometric registration system and resulting congestion at airports.
EU-Lisa, the EU agency responsible for the technical infrastructure and installation of the system, determined that the previously set target of late 2026 is unrealistic under current conditions.
The agency’s management discussed the delay in mid-June and aims to finalize the new schedule in September after reassessing technical preparedness.
The final entry-into-force date will be determined by the European Commission following the completion of testing within EU-Lisa.
Technical disruptions persist in the current system
An unnamed source highlighted the pressure on the Entry/Exit System (EES) currently in use at Schengen borders, warning: “Let us not establish a new mechanism that will double the workload at border crossings before fully streamlining the EES system.”
The EES, an electronic registration system that replaced passport stamping at border crossings, was fully deployed across the Schengen area in April of this year.
The system, which takes photographs and records fingerprints of non-EU travelers upon their first entry, has caused long wait times and technical lockups at airports.
Industry representatives, including ACI Europe, Airlines for Europe (A4E), and IATA, have petitioned the European Commission to suspend biometric checks during peak hours, while airlines are advising passengers to arrive at airports at least three hours before their flights.
Infrastructure and staffing shortages complicate the process
In a letter sent to airline executives, Magnus Brunner, the European Commissioner for Home Affairs, indicated that the delays do not stem solely from software issues.
Brunner stated that a lack of border personnel and physical infrastructure to accommodate the new systems in many member states is also negatively impacting the process.
The ETIAS project, the foundations of which were laid in 2018, aims to run security screenings on visa-free travelers planning short-term tourist or business visits to the Schengen area.
Under the planned system, travelers will apply online prior to their trip by paying a fee of 20 euros, and their personal data will be subjected to automated checks against security databases.
Europe
BRIC pioneer Jim O’Neill warns UK must break dependence on US and diversify trade
Jim O’Neill, the economist who famously coined the term “BRIC” and now serves as an adviser to prime-minister-in-waiting Andy Burnham, has criticized the United Kingdom’s long-standing over-reliance on the United States.
O’Neill, who served as a Treasury minister in the Conservative government between 2015 and 2016, said London operates under “a philosophy of life that teaches you must always side with the US, no matter what.”
The former Goldman Sachs chief economist is “informally advising” Burnham, who is expected to become prime minister later this month. However, O’Neill told POLITICO that he has not been offered any formal role.
Twenty-five years ago, as a Goldman Sachs economist, O’Neill created the “BRIC” acronym to represent the fast-growing economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China. He argued that the UK must now diversify its trade network after dealing with an “unstable” Donald Trump administration for two years:
“The first 18 months of Trump’s second term are finally giving them a bit of a shake-up. They are thinking, ‘Actually, we can’t rely on these guys like we used to.’ But they assume this is just a temporary phase, that the US will soon return to a more sensible stance, and that everything will go back to normal. This is a kind of wake-up call.”
The former minister, who currently sits as an independent crossbench peer in the House of Lords, suggested that Britain must remain open to expanding trade with countries such as China. “We must be clear and consistent about the values we actually defend,” O’Neill added.
Speaking ahead of the launch of a new think tank, the BRICS+ Thinking platform, O’Neill is expected to be one of the key voices shaping the pursuit of economic growth as Burnham seeks to revitalize the Labour Party.
However, the economist expressed doubt over whether he would accept a formal role even if one were offered.
Addressing reports that he had been offered a position at Downing Street, O’Neill said: “Whoever first leaked that story, it is complete nonsense. I am not sure if I would accept an offer. It depends. I have a lot of things I would have to give up.”
O’Neill remains hopeful that Burnham can counter critics who complain that his political and economic philosophy of “Manchesterism” is insufficiently defined:
“I think Andy’s first few weeks are going to be very exciting. Let’s see. As I often tell his team, once you put your hand up, you have to want to do it.”
O’Neill added that Burnham possesses “very good intuition,” noting: “He knows the streets very well. People in Whitehall and Westminster often live in their own little bubbles. Andy can handle the streets, and that in itself is really important.”
As the founder of the new BRICS+ Thinking platform—which aims to bring together expertise in economics and trade—O’Neill called for greater cooperation between the UK and emerging economies. He asserted that the UK “failed to listen to these countries during the decade in which the nation decided to leave the European Union.”
O’Neill also stated that he would support rejoined EU membership under the right conditions:
“Yes, I would support [rejoining], but I think it is crucial that some leaders in this country finally wake up and take serious action regarding the deeper issues affecting so many people who want to blame something for not receiving a share of prosperity over the last 30 to 40 years.”
However, O’Neill emphasized that “the conditions must be right” for any rapprochement with the EU.
While the Starmer government has made significant efforts to strengthen ties with the EU, O’Neill described his own stance as that of a “moderate Remainer,” arguing:
“Economically, I thought leaving was a crazy decision, but I also believed that the shock of such a decision could both wake us up to important domestic issues and allow the UK to take a truly bold path… by adopting a realistic stance.”
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