Asia
Afghanistan and Pakistan’s uneasy relationship
Afghan Taliban and the Pakistan rulers are teetering on the brink of a major crisis as trust-deficit between the two complicated neighbors has been sweltering. Since coming into power in August 2021, the Taliban has defied Pakistan as one of its main state benefactor during the fight against the US military, but apparently it’s done so by challenging status of the Afghan-Pakistan border, and providing hideouts to the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP).
Faced with rising violence, Pakistan has now pushed and pursued a tougher line to pressure Afghanistan’s Taliban rulers to crackdown on TTP, but the Taliban is not interested in doing so. Pakistan continues to call on Afghanistan’s Taliban to prevent terrorist attacks coming from their soil. Pakistan’s Interior Minister, Rana Sanaulllah said that the increase in terror activities by TTP should be a concern for Afghan Taliban as well as it is a threat to regional peace.
He stated that terrorism activities by TTP were on the rise in Balochistan and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa, referring to a recent suicide attack in Quetta that killed four people, including one police officer and wounded 30, mostly policemen. TTP immediately claimed responsibility for the attack just one day after the group called off a shaky ceasefire agreed with the Pakistani government in June. TTP said it launched the attack to avenge the killing of their former spokesperson, Abdul Wali, aka Omar Khalid Khurasani. He was killed in a roadside bombing in Afghanistan’s Paktika province in August.
In first nine months of this year, at least 450 people, mostly security forces were killed across Pakistan, and the officials dismiss the violence as “isolated incidents of terrorism.” Islamabad linked the spike in insurgency to the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, where TTP have taken refuge and continue to direct cross-border attacks from there.
At the same time, the Afghani Taliban are also scrambling to restore peace in Afghanistan after several deadly attacks ripped through several provinces including Kabul, the capital city, killing and wounding hundreds of people. The recent terrorist attack inside a religious school killed at least 19 students in the province of Samangan, and nearly 30 others remain injured. The casualties could be much higher.
Pakistan, Afghan Taliban and TTP’s relations
Relations between the Afghani and Pakistani Taliban are seemingly indestructible. The TTP had once announced that the group has fought foreign forces along with the Afghan Taliban and stated that many suicide attackers of the group had been killed in the war in Afghanistan to prove the group’s loyalty to the Taliban. On August 15 2022, TTP also congratulated the Taliban on the first anniversary of the withdrawal of international forces from Afghanistan. This was not the stop point as the group has emphasized that it will prove its loyalty to the Afghan Taliban in the future too.
Reportedly, Afghan Taliban since taking power has adopted four questionable steps in support of the TTP that are conspicuously against Pakistan’s security.
1 – The important step was providing TTP a free field in Afghanistan as the Taliban freed over two-thousand TTP members incarcerated in Afghan jails by the previous Afghan government. This could be the likely reason that after six years of relative stability in Pakistan, attacks claimed by TTP resumed and increased in 2021 by 56 percent.
2 – The Afghani Taliban had openly opposed fighting the TTP and instead offered peace negotiations between the group and Islamabad. Under Afghan Taliban mediation, the TTP commanders held several rounds of peace talks with Pakistani officials in Kabul and Taliban encouraged both sides to reach a ceasefire. In May, a ceasefire reached and within the time, both sides blamed each other for violating the terms, until the TTP unilaterally ended the truce on Wednesday.
3 – The most important point of contention and a big matter of concern for Pakistanis is the ongoing refusal to recognize the Durand Line. The Taliban since their first governing in 1966 till today did not recognize as settled the 2,640 kilometer border between the two countries known as the Durand Line.
Taliban top official, Zabihullah Mujahid had once said that the issue of the Durand Line is still an unresolved one, while the construction of fencing itself creates rifts within a nation spread across both sides of the border.
4 – Another significant concern for Pakistan is the openness of Taliban engagement to India, the arch-enemy of Pakistan in the region. Taliban Defense Minister, Mullah Yaqoob had once shown willingness if New Delhi provided military training for the Afghan troops. India, which has suspended its diplomatic mission in Kabul after the Taliban came to power, had just said it wants to complete unfinished development projects in Afghanistan.
Yaqoob is not an ordinary Taliban member, beside the defense minister, he is the eldest son of Taliban founder and supreme leader Mullah Omar. Yaqboo’s call for support from India came as a major blow to Pakistan’s decades-long policy in Afghanistan to have a dependent regime next door. This also doesn’t suit Islamabad’s long-term goal of using Afghanistan for its regional, and particularly its anti-India agenda.
High-level Pakistani delegation landed in Kabul
Pakistan’s Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Hina Rabbani Khar landed in Kabul and met with Afghanistan’s Foreign Minister Amir Khan Mutaqqi, discussing matters of bilateral importance. The sides discussed a range of bilateral issues of common interest including cooperation in education, health, trade and investment, regional connectivity, regional security, people-to-people contacts, and socioeconomic projects.
This is the first visit by any woman minister to Afghanistan since the Taliban regained power following the withdrawal of the US forces. The visit also came amid tension after TTP called off ceasefire with Islamabad raising security concerns about Afghanistan-Pakistan border areas. In April, Kabul and Islamabad were engaged in a war of words after Pakistan reportedly carried out deadly air raids inside Afghanistan following cross-border attacks blamed on the TTP.
Pakistan’s Interior Minister Sanaulllah on Thursday also blamed Taliban for providing safe havens to TTP, a charge Taliban strongly rejected. Spokesman for the Taliban Defense Ministry, Enayatullah Khawarazmi said that Taliban “once again assure” all the countries of the region and the world that Afghanistan’s soil will never be used against other countries.
However, the Pakistani alleges that about 5,000 TTP fighters were hiding in Afghanistan along with their families.
It was also not clear whether security issues were discussed at the meeting between Khar and Mutaqqi. There are reports doing the rounds that Mullah Yaqboo refused to meet Khar despite the Pakistani embassy in Kabul had tried to arrange a meeting between them to discuss security issues and bilateral relations.
However, Mullah Yaqoob’s main dispute with Pakistan is not clear, but there were several border clashes between Taliban and Pakistan security forces since the Taliban came to power last year. Yaqboo had also once said that US drones entered Afghanistan’s airspace from Pakistan and called on Islamabad to stop this.
There was also a brief clash between Taliban and Pakistani security forces this month in Chaman, a major crossing connecting Balochistan to the Afghan province of Kandahar. Chaman and northwestern Torkhan crossing points are connecting Afghanistan to Pakistan and serve as the main trade and transit routes between the two neighboring countries.
Pakistan in doldrums
Pakistan has historically followed a “strategic-depth policy” towards Afghanistan, whereby it attempted to control the country as a political and economic leverage. But Pakistan’s long-standing policy has seemingly failed. Cross border issues, TTP and other stark changes in Taliban’s policy are the examples of that failure.
Taliban had managed to convince Pakistan to engage in peace talks with TTP, stopped border shelling or aggression inside Afghanistan, opposing border fencing, etc.
However, it is important for Pakistan and Afghan Taliban to must revise their policy toward each other because engaging in war will benefit no party and the TTP issue must also be resolved through dialogue.
Asia
DeepSeek engineer warns AI will lead to communism or Cyberpunk
Shengyu Liu, a low-level hardware architecture and processor kernel optimisation specialist at China-based artificial intelligence organisation DeepSeek, has published an assessment addressing the existential crisis facing software developers and humanity amid the pace of AI advancement.
A senior engineer who personally coded the core attention mechanism kernels for the DeepSeek v4.1 model, Liu stated that the technology he developed with his own hands will very soon render his professional expertise redundant and has initiated the phasing out of human labour.
Arguing that AI will steer future societies either towards a communism in which productive forces are entirely emancipated or towards a dark Cyberpunk dystopia where resources are concentrated within mega tech monopolies, Liu highlighted the vital importance of the open-source software struggle for humanity.
Noting that the DeepSeek v4.1 model released a few days ago raised the capability ceiling for small-scale systems, Liu stressed that transformation across the sector is advancing at an inconceivable pace.
Recalling that the transition from initial chatbots with context lengths of only a few thousand semantic tokens to reasoning-capable contemporary models took just two years, the senior engineer observed that the emergence of autonomous agents executing complex instructions within test and execution environments spanned a period of merely one and a half years.
Stating that AI will attain the capacity for self-improvement and full integration into physically embodied systems within the next few years, Liu described the transformation this development has generated in his own field:
“AI is taking incredible strides in processor kernel design and authoring, the field for which I am responsible. Within the span of merely a year, it transformed from a modest assistant that merely scanned technical documentation, read code, and identified bugs into a master that independently reads GPU machine-language instructions and hardware-level instruction sequences directly. Using professional profiling tools, it inspects instruction latency stalls and optimises processor kernels autonomously. In the not-so-distant future, it will also acquire the ability to independently design instruction scheduling, weigh the performance of different plans, implement them, and bring them to perfection.”
Expressing pride in the success achieved by the DeepSeek v4.1 model as a concrete fruit of his own labour, Liu noted that he personally coded the system’s most critical attention mechanism components, stating that the model’s success serves as an endorsement of his craft, yet the superhuman nature of technological progress remains unstoppable.
astonishing blogpost from Shengyu Liu (刘胜与, also known as interestingLSY/intlsy), kernel engineer at DeepSeek. The first part is his personal struggle with the fact that his work is about to render his beloved craft obsolete. The second is…
well. let's just say we agree. https://t.co/1mqyOqbl2Y pic.twitter.com/sw4t4bUE0k— Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞) (@teortaxesTex) September 14, 2026
“I want to lead my own revolution”
Liu considers it a certainty that within six months to a year, AI will generate processor kernels far superior to his own.
Pointing to the rapidly widening chasm between the human mind and machine capacity, the senior engineer said: “AI can think at 300 semantic tokens per second, write a line of code in half a second, and complete an entire block of code in 20 seconds. I cannot do this. AI can continually increase model depth, thinking intensity, external tool invocation frequency, and processing parallelism; I cannot achieve this.”
Emphasising that software engineers have been drawn into a race knowingly preparing their own demise, Liu explained why he works day and night on optimisation efforts that accelerate his own obsolescence:
“Throughout history, humanity has never hesitated when it comes to self-destruction. Knowing that the more flawless the kernels I write, the faster our new model’s training and inference speeds will be, the more its capabilities will multiply, and the earlier I will be sidelined, why do I continue to optimise with all my strength? On one level, this work is like a game to me; it brings me indescribable pleasure. When I discover a new method or see the performance curve of my code rise, the thrill I feel is no different from that of a record-breaking speed enthusiast. Moreover, I feel immense pride when I outperform the official code of hardware vendors.”
Pointing to the ruthless competition on the other side of the coin, Liu stated: “Yet the primary reason is this: even if I quit today or deliberately slowed the progress of our models, other companies would continue their work and eventually eliminate me anyway. Naturally, no one wishes to see their own profession overturned; however, if this revolution is inevitable, I want the force that unseats me to originate from my own hands. In a landscape where everyone is so focused on self-destruction, I, too, am forced to join this relentless arms race.”
“The din of machines crushes the joy of craft”
Preparing for the day when AI surpasses his level of expertise, Liu noted that he will not face unemployment, but will be forced to switch domains.
Stating that his judgement, cognitive capacity, and initiative will allow him to remain at the core table of the industry, the specialist engineer observed that this adaptation entails a heavy emotional toll.
Explaining that shifting fields means abandoning an area to which he is deeply devoted, Liu described his sense of dislocation:
“Switching domains means leaving behind the hardware kernel design, coding, and optimisation work to which I have dedicated years and an ardent passion, only to become a machine operator of AI agents. In the past, my personal curiosity, my area of expertise, and industry demand were in complete harmony. Now, AI has become far more adept than I am in the exact domain of my expertise. Industry demand has shifted away from the human writing high-performance kernel code toward an operator prompting AI to produce such code more rapidly. To bow to this industry demand, I must abandon the field I love and steer toward an unknown path.”
Illustrating the transformation through the metaphor of a traditional craft, Liu continued:
“Consider, for instance, being a master sweater knitter who achieves exquisite patterns and colour harmonies. The quality of the fabric you weave is so superior that wealthy patrons from surrounding villages seek you out, earning you a good living. What is more, sitting by the window sipping tea while looking out at mountains, streams, and animals brings you deep peace as you knit in silence. Then one day, a machine is invented; you feed it only wool and a pattern template, and it knits the sweater identically to your manual craft, only far faster. Realising your competitors will easily overtake you with this tool, you begin using it yourself. Thanks to your 20 years of accumulated experience, you remain faster than your competitors even while operating the machine. Yet the elegance of those hours spent listening to the rain and working stitch by stitch is crushed and extinguished under the mechanical din of the machine. That quiet by the window will be experienced for the final time this summer. I must leave my talent behind in yesterday and become an armoured-machine driver; my hands hold more gears now, but my heart has lost its rhythm.”
“AI in the hands of the unskilled spells disaster”
Looking beyond personal sorrow to societal and pedagogical risks, Liu focused on signs of decay within the education system.
Noting that the new generation of students tends to delegate coursework assignments to AI, the veteran engineer remarked that a student who spends a few cents to have AI produce top-grade code within minutes, rather than sweating for eight hours to obtain an imperfect result, will be stripped of foundational skills.
Emphasising that this shortcut will erode vital engineering abilities such as systems building, code architecture design, abstraction, and anticipating future requirements during development, Liu expressed deep concern:
“Will this foundational engineering mindset fade into history like the skill of writing machine language in past eras, or will it retain permanent value like the capacity to grasp entire computer architectures from software down to hardware? If this comprehension continues to hold value, the situation is dire indeed. Because when an individual with weak engineering fundamentals is equipped with AI, they will produce mountains of garbage code far faster than before. This will plant countless ticking time bombs deep within software systems, driving the world toward a far more precarious, ramshackle structure liable to collapse at any moment.”
Pointing out that raw authority and power will become decisive in the future world rather than technical expertise and intellect, the senior engineer stated that only time can answer these fundamental questions.
“A binary future: Communism or a dark corporate dystopia”
Observing that humanity has arrived at a crossroads with the advancement of AI, Shengyu Liu emphasised that future society will evolve toward one of two radical poles, which he termed communism and Cyberpunk:
“With the momentum of AI, future society will probably be cast toward one of two extremes: communism or Cyberpunk 2077. In the first option, productive forces are completely unshackled, domination over the means of production is broken, and human living standards make an unprecedented leap forward. In the second option, a small tech oligopoly consolidates all resources. While a privileged elite gains access to the most advanced AI and cutting-edge technologies, ascending almost to a state of mechanical divinity, the overwhelming majority of society is left with extremely weak and constrained AIs. Upward social mobility becomes impossible; to reach a higher class, one must possess the most powerful AI, yet access to that AI requires already having been born into that class. An unbreakable cycle of exploitation is thus established.”
Openly criticising the monopolistic and closed models adopted by Western tech companies, Liu posed a pointed question:
“In a scenario where the world’s most advanced AI remains permanently monopolised by a company like Anthropic, do you believe the future will evolve toward communism or a dark Cyberpunk dystopia? Go ahead and guess.”
Stating his conviction that top-tier AI must be delivered openly, transparently, and free of charge to all humanity, the DeepSeek engineer expressed a lack of trust that actors such as Anthropic or OpenAI would uphold this mission.
Likening the possibility of Anthropic alone controlling artificial general intelligence to the catastrophe of nuclear technology falling into the hands of fascist regimes during World War II, Liu concluded with his rationale for remaining at DeepSeek:
“That is precisely why I chose to remain at DeepSeek and why I am holding the line here. We build powerful, lightning-fast AIs offered for the common good of all humanity, and we release them as open source. This is the path to pulling the world back from the brink of that dark corporate dystopia and liberating productive forces for the benefit of the people.”
Asia
Analysts warn new surge in Chinese exports threatens global markets
Financial Times writer Ryan Avent has written that a fresh, rapid surge in China’s trade surplus could signal a new wave of the “China shock”.
Economists define the “China shock” as a spike in Chinese exports to global markets that intensifies competition for manufacturers in advanced economies and curtails employment in certain sectors.
The term gained widespread currency after China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, accelerating the inflow of inexpensive Chinese goods into the US and other nations.
The US was the country hit hardest by the initial shockwave. Between 1999 and 2011, more than 2 million jobs were lost because domestic producers were unable to withstand the competition.
Avent argued that the effects of the initial wave are still felt across the American economy because China failed to carry out the rebalancing that the world expected.
The share of net exports in China’s gross domestic product contracted during the 2007-2019 period, allowing Western nations to focus on national security and other matters.
Avent reported that the trade surplus is now escalating rapidly once again, posing a threat to the economies of wealthy nations.
The writer pointed to the stagnation of domestic demand following the collapse of the real estate market six years ago as one cause of this surplus. Another prominent factor is the Beijing government’s channelling of massive resources into manufacturing in pursuit of self-sufficiency.
Attention was also drawn to the role of the depreciating yuan. An appreciation of the currency could require China to alter its foreign exchange interventions, reduce purchases of foreign currency and assets, and sell those assets off. That scenario could trigger currency depreciation and rising interest rates in other countries.
The Wall Street Journal also reported in the spring of 2024 on economists’ concerns regarding a potential second wave.
Experts predicted that global markets would once again be flooded with inexpensive goods, stating that China was manufacturing far beyond domestic demand to overcome its economic troubles.
Moreover, it was stressed that China is now competing in high-technology fields such as automobiles, computer chips, and complex machinery manufacturing.
Meanwhile, Vasiliy Kashin, Director of the Centre for Comprehensive European and International Studies at the Higher School of Economics (HSE) University in Moscow, told the Russian media outlet RBC that the US has imposed sanctions on the Chinese economy since the first shock period, adding that these measures would very likely tighten in the event of a fresh export wave.
According to assessments reported by the Financial Times, this new process could also shake China’s own economy. Alongside rising output, entry-level manufacturing plants across the country are turning toward automation and reducing personnel.
This trend could trigger a painful departure from labour-intensive production, leaving millions unemployed. Manufacturing activities in China that previously capitalised on cheap labour are shifting to other Southeast Asian countries.
The Beijing administration rejected allegations that its industrialisation steps pose risks to other countries. As reported by the Xinhua news agency, China’s Ministry of Commerce stressed that claims of a “China shock 2.0” are groundless. The ministry stated:
“The US and other Western countries have circulated the so-called ‘China shock 2.0’ narrative, asserting that China’s industrial development has shaken Western monopolies and narrowed growth space for Global South countries. This claim is unsupported by concrete data and is entirely unfounded.”
Asia
Iran and China run secret barter network to bypass oil sanctions
Iran is operating a covert, barter-like trade mechanism to bypass sanctions on its oil sales and procure billions of dollars in goods from China, including military hardware.
Speaking to the Reuters news agency, two senior Iranian officials and three sources closely monitoring the matter said the Tehran administration receives credits for goods imported from China instead of cash in exchange for the oil it sells to the country.
The sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity, emphasised that this method of swapping oil revenues for Chinese goods provides an immediate financial lifeline to the Tehran government at a time when the US has intensified economic and military pressure over its nuclear programme.
China, the world’s largest crude importer, continues to access discounted Iranian oil through this arrangement while shielding its banks and exporting companies from the risk of international penalties.
Although the Washington administration has imposed sanctions on several small-scale Chinese entities facilitating the transport of Iranian oil, it avoids sweeping measures that could shake the global economy.
The US has stepped up its pressure as it seeks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing war between the two countries.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said last month that countries failing to cut commercial ties with Tehran would risk exclusion from the dollar system.
It remains unclear how the barter mechanism has been affected by the US naval blockade imposed on Iran as part of the six-month-old war.
However, since the reimposition of the blockade on 14 July, no shipments of Iranian oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz to China have been recorded.
Beijing and Tehran, which describe Western unilateral sanctions as illegal, refrain from disclosing publicly how they sustain their trade.
Sources state that Tehran introduced this system to obtain pharmaceuticals, vehicles, and communications equipment. Chinese manufacturers are said to have no direct contact with Iran, and there is no indication that they are violating sanctions.
On the other hand, the mechanism was utilised at least once last year under contracts supplying Iran with millions of dollars’ worth of air defence equipment. The sources provided no details regarding the shipments in question, and the transactions were not independently verified.
The United Nations conventional arms embargo returned alongside other sanctions in September 2025 following the collapse of the 2015 nuclear agreement between Iran and world powers.
Tehran had withdrawn from the terms of the agreement, while Beijing and Tehran described the European nations’ automatic reimposition of sanctions as legally flawed.
Responding to questions from Reuters, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that it had no knowledge of the trade structure in question.
Beijing stated that it opposes unilateral sanctions lacking United Nations Security Council authorisation and having no basis in international law.
Iran’s diplomatic missions in New York and Geneva remained silent on the inquiries. A US official speaking on behalf of the White House stated only that they are working with international partners, including the EU, to prevent Tehran from achieving its nuclear goals.
According to data analytics company Kpler, China purchased more than 80% of the crude oil exported by Iran in 2025. This share equates to an average of 1.4 million barrels per day.
Although the two countries signed a 25-year strategic partnership agreement in 2021 covering energy and infrastructure, the operational details of their cooperation remain largely confidential.
The model in question constitutes only one of the networks through which Iran procures goods and services from China without passing through international banking channels.
A Western official and two other individuals tracking the matter said that a buyer acting on behalf of state-owned Chinese oil company Zhuhai Zhenrong deposited hundreds of millions of dollars each month until this year into ChuXin, a shadow financial entity based in China.
These deposits reportedly represent payment for oil purchased from a Hong Kong-based company linked to the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC).
Approximately 70% of the oil revenues routed through ChuXin is allocated to infrastructure projects in Iran. The remainder is transferred to the accounts of a special purpose vehicle (SPV) established to disburse payments to companies supplying goods to Iran.
Sources close to Iran’s decision-making apparatus confirm the existence of this financial mechanism.
Fund management is shared between a firm acting on behalf of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce and another entity linked to the Central Bank of Iran. When the Central Bank of Iran authorises importers, money transfers are directed to supplier firms. While the name ChuXin does not appear in official records, one source noted that the structure exists solely on balance sheets.
Andrea Ghiselli, an international politics specialist at the University of Exeter, stated that Beijing uses these indirect networks to demonstrate that it will not bow to US secondary sanction threats.
Highlighting that Chinese leaders aim to protect their own banks and firms from being pushed out of the global financial system, Ghiselli said: “They want to create deniability.”
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